According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve lowering rates by 25 basis points by November is 96.3%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 3.7%. The probability of maintaining the current rate unchanged by December is 1%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 28.5%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 70.5%.

Rest assured, whoever takes office will lower rates!

The US SEC has again postponed its decision on spot Ethereum ETF options

According to a document dated October 11, the US SEC has again postponed its decision on spot Ethereum ETF options.
The document states that the US SEC has postponed its decision on a proposed rule change that would allow the Cboe exchange to list options related to several popular spot ETH funds, and the deadline for the agency's ruling has been postponed from October 19 to December 3.
Bloomberg Industry Research analyst James Seyffart said that BTC ETF options are likely to be launched in the United States in the first quarter of 2025.

$ETH

Michael Saylor: MicroStrategy aims to become the leading Bitcoin bank

In a recent interview with analysts at research and brokerage firm Bernstein, MicroStrategy founder and executive chairman Michael Saylor said the company's ultimate goal is to become the leading Bitcoin bank.
Michael Saylor believes that Bitcoin is a revolutionary form of digital capital that can effectively hedge against inflation and become an excellent tool for long-term value storage. Saylor believes that Bitcoin's volatility attracts investors seeking high returns and that it will become an indispensable asset in institutional and retail portfolios over time. Saylor sees MicroStrategy as a Bitcoin bank, with its core business being the creation of Bitcoin capital market instruments covering equities, convertible bonds, fixed income and preferred stocks. Instead of lending money like a traditional bank, MicroStrategy will seek to borrow money at low rates, offer lenders a slightly higher rate, and invest those funds in Bitcoin - the "base case" estimates an average annual return of 29%.

$BTC

Ethereum ICO whale sells 2,679 ETH again, worth about $6.47 million

According to @ai_9684xtpa, a whale who bought 310,000 ETH during the Ethereum ICO sold another 2,679 ETH, worth about $6.47 million. Since September 18, the whale has transferred a total of 6,679 ETH to exchanges, with a total value of about $15.8 million. Currently, the wallet address still holds about 17,000 ETH.

$ETH

[Emergency Alert] Market reversal is imminent, are you ready?

Dear traders, pay attention! The direction of the market may change soon, let's find out!

#今日行情快报
Date: May 29, the monthly line is about to close.

#btc : The first 20 days of this month have been rising like a rainbow, but in recent days, there has been a correction, and it is currently in a sideways state. On May 23, the daily KDJ indicator has formed a dead cross, indicating that the small level has turned bearish, and the daily level correction may be coming soon.#BTCtrend analysis

#eth : Affected by the positive impact of ETFs, Ethereum has performed strongly. However, after the positives were exhausted, the daily level also began to show a top sideways trend. Today, the KDJ indicator also formed a dead cross, and the risk of a correction cannot be ignored.#ETHtrend analysis
#Operationalsuggestions
Altcoin: Ethereum's high sideways trading has led to a wave of altcoins rising. Short-term traders, now is the time to consider reducing positions. If Ethereum starts to pull back, altcoins are likely to follow suit.

Long-term spot: For long-term holders, short-term fluctuations will not affect your investment decisions. Stick to value investment and hold on to the spot in your hands.

Outlook for Bitcoin: Even if there is a short-term pullback, the long-term bullish trend has not changed. The goal of 100,000 on Bitcoin is still expected. Buy on dips and go long. The good news of the interest rate cut in June is coming, let us wait and see!

In this volatile market, it is crucial to stay calm and rational. Don't be confused by short-term fluctuations, have a long-term vision and firm belief. Let us welcome the new opportunities in June, seize the market, and achieve wealth growth!

$BTC $ETH

[Secrets of Contract Masters] Breaking the "Unable to Hold" Trading Curse

Dear trading partners, have you ever had this experience: the contract in your hand could have made a lot of money, but in the end, because of a momentary hesitation, you only made a fraction? Or you always can't help but stare at the market, want to sell at the slightest sign of trouble, and finally get stuck in the quagmire?

Today, let's break this "unable to hold" trading curse together and see how to hold the contract firmly in your hands and let the profits roll in!

1. Why can't we always hold the contract?

- **Rash entry**: Blindly follow the advice of others or posting orders, and the result is often buying at high points and selling at low points.

- **Fear of loss**: Worry about giving back when making profits, and panic when losing money. This emotion often makes us lose our minds in trading.

- **Distrust of the system**: Although a trading plan has been made, in actual operation, I always can't help wanting to intervene, and the result is often counterproductive.

2. How to solve these problems?

- **Eliminate fear**: Fear comes from the unknown. We need to reduce fear by turning the unknown into the known through reasonable trading strategies and fund management.
- **Build confidence**: Build confidence in your trading strategy by continuously outputting an effective trading system.

3. How can you hold on to the contract?
- **Have a profitable trading system**: Ensure the effectiveness of the system after at least 3 years of review and verification.
- **Count the number of consecutive correct results**: Understand the performance of your trading system when it is continuously correct and enhance confidence.
- **Count the number of consecutive errors**: Understand the performance of your trading system when it is continuously wrong and learn to deal with it calmly.
- **Reasonable position management**: Even in the loss cycle, you can stay calm and get through it safely.

Summary:
Mature traders will not be shaken by the results of a transaction, nor will they be swayed by short-term gains and losses. It is not wrong to fail to hold on to the contract, but if you do not make changes, you may fall into the vortex of losses.

I hope this article can inspire you, let us go further and further on the road of trading together, the contract is turned over every day, and wealth is rolling in!

$BEL Prepare for a drastic change

$BEL cut back and forth repeatedly, don't raise the leverage too high, control it within 5

$BEL Long and short kills back and forth

$BEL 2.3？

$BEL Go with the flow

$BEL etc. The probability of going up to 1.92 is very high

$BEL The prediction is correct! Next, let’s look at the volume in the next 1 or 2 hours.

$BEL still has room to rise. It is expected that it will not be too late to short at 1.8 or 1.9. The insertion is powerful.

$ENA Can it reach 0.8 in these two days🤔️

$WLD I was clearly bearish on March 29, falling below 8 yuan. I just took profit at 6.9. I think it will be volatile for the time being.

$WLD Why should we go long in the short position? Have you played too much in A-shares?

$WLD will soon fall below 8 yuan, it is right to fall, shorting is so cool