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公众号：[BTC山川] 微博：山川暴富日记
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As the public chain continues to gain momentum, Sui and Fantom will become the next new narrative!
The narrative on#Solanahas basically been told. If there is no new narrative, then this round of $SOL will be about 2-3 times the increase of $ETH. Capital needs a new public chain to carry traffic.
In every round, there will be so-called Ethereum killers. Although the public chain competition seems to be over, from the perspective of capital, Ethereum killers are just superficial. They just follow the path of Ethereum again and improve the performance. In essence, they are just building a new plate to carry funds rather than carrying the sedan chair for others.
The Ethereum killer in the previous round was $ADA, which ranked third in market value at the peak of the bull market; in the previous round it was $BNB and continues to be so until now; in the first half of this round, $SOL briefly took the lead and squeezed out $BNB, and it will most likely sit firmly in the third place by the end of this round; then, the third place in the next bull market should perform well in this round, at least enter the top ten (excluding stablecoins).
In every round, there will be so-called Ethereum killers. Although the public chain competition seems to be over, from the perspective of capital, Ethereum killers are just superficial. They just follow the path of Ethereum again and improve the performance. In essence, they are just building a new plate to carry funds rather than carrying the sedan chair for others.
The Ethereum killer in the previous round was $ADA, which ranked third in market value at the peak of the bull market; in the previous round it was $BNB and continues to be so until now; in the first half of this round, $SOL briefly took the lead and squeezed out $BNB, and it will most likely sit firmly in the third place by the end of this round; then, the third place in the next bull market should perform well in this round, at least enter the top ten (excluding stablecoins).
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The local dog season is coming, Mars City MEME takes stock of the key players in the local dog race!
Let’s talk about the recent hot topics. The first one is the Mars City Coin supported by Musk. Its market value has risen from 5 million to more than 20 million!
In fact, players who often play on the chain can feel that the local dog season is coming again recently, and this time it may last longer!
Musk's Mars City#TerminusConcept#MemecoinReview
What other local dogs can observe about the Mars City concept Memecoin?
I put it all into one picture.
#TERMINUS uppercase
#Terminus lowercase
#SPACEWALK Spacewalk (background)
#THOGStarship
#BAR Mars City
#TMNS abbreviation
#MarsCoin (CZ Dialogue)
In fact, players who often play on the chain can feel that the local dog season is coming again recently, and this time it may last longer!
Musk's Mars City#TerminusConcept#MemecoinReview
What other local dogs can observe about the Mars City concept Memecoin?
I put it all into one picture.
#TERMINUS uppercase
#Terminus lowercase
#SPACEWALK Spacewalk (background)
#THOGStarship
#BAR Mars City
#TMNS abbreviation
#MarsCoin (CZ Dialogue)
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The market is about to enter the next stage, seize these 10-20x tokens in the near future!
The market is brewing or speculating on expectations of a 50 basis point cut in November. For the first time since the Fed cut interest rates last week, the market expects that the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by another 50 basis points at the next FOMC meeting on November 7 is more than 50%.
Harris made her first statement: If elected president, she will encourage the development of the cryptocurrency industry. What is certain at present is that no matter whether the Republicans or the Democratic Party comes to power, the trend of being friendly to the crypto industry is irreversible. The trend is irreversible. From an overall macro perspective, it is good news.
The market is about to enter the next stage
Looking at the market recently, it feels like the price increase driven by the contract is coming soon, but there is no big movement in the spot market. Now the funding rate is still negative, and the big players are taking the opportunity to quietly accumulate through the contract market.
Harris made her first statement: If elected president, she will encourage the development of the cryptocurrency industry. What is certain at present is that no matter whether the Republicans or the Democratic Party comes to power, the trend of being friendly to the crypto industry is irreversible. The trend is irreversible. From an overall macro perspective, it is good news.
The market is about to enter the next stage
Looking at the market recently, it feels like the price increase driven by the contract is coming soon, but there is no big movement in the spot market. Now the funding rate is still negative, and the big players are taking the opportunity to quietly accumulate through the contract market.
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Seize the opportunity, the second stage of the bull market is coming! Are these skyrocketing coins still worth buying?
1. The Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points, and all coin prices began to rise. Both mainstream coins and copycat coins are worth paying attention to.
2. The three major U.S. stock indices opened higher, setting new historical highs
3. There is a high probability of another interest rate cut in November. Pay close attention to the non-agricultural data. The opportunity is right in front of you. Seize it and you can profit from this bull market!
The second stage of the Bitcoin bull market in 2023-2025 may be almost ready
The interest rate has been cut, and the easing cycle has finally officially begun!
Whether it is A-shares or our cryptocurrency leeks, they have finally made it. It is hard to judge how the short-term trend will develop, but in the next three or four months, I personally believe that a copycat bull market will definitely start, and the interest rate cut will reduce the attractiveness of US dollar assets.
2. The three major U.S. stock indices opened higher, setting new historical highs
3. There is a high probability of another interest rate cut in November. Pay close attention to the non-agricultural data. The opportunity is right in front of you. Seize it and you can profit from this bull market!
The second stage of the Bitcoin bull market in 2023-2025 may be almost ready
The interest rate has been cut, and the easing cycle has finally officially begun!
Whether it is A-shares or our cryptocurrency leeks, they have finally made it. It is hard to judge how the short-term trend will develop, but in the next three or four months, I personally believe that a copycat bull market will definitely start, and the interest rate cut will reduce the attractiveness of US dollar assets.
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Is the bull market back? Which popular tracks can be invested in? Select the most cost-effective coins at the moment!
Has the bull market rebounded? I dare not say. But we must be prepared for which coins to invest in when the bull market rebounds.
According to statistics from various sources, it is well known that the track that made the most money in the first half of the year was meme, but the track that everyone lost the most money was vc coin, but you may not know the currency type. They are all superstars: strk zk, etc. The more famous they are, the greater the loss.
In fact, everyone knows that the value of the currency circle is not that great. It is a common phenomenon that valuable coins have no value. So it is not about looking for value, but about thinking from the perspectives of chip distribution and narrative.
Narrative and recommendation of meme track
In fact, the essence of narrative is how many people believe in a certain coin and promote that "it can still rise". In this regard, meme is the best, but unfortunately, they all have a large market value. For example, $pepe $wif $brett are all good, but the people who promote them must come up with powerful slogans such as 10 billion or even 100 billion.
According to statistics from various sources, it is well known that the track that made the most money in the first half of the year was meme, but the track that everyone lost the most money was vc coin, but you may not know the currency type. They are all superstars: strk zk, etc. The more famous they are, the greater the loss.
In fact, everyone knows that the value of the currency circle is not that great. It is a common phenomenon that valuable coins have no value. So it is not about looking for value, but about thinking from the perspectives of chip distribution and narrative.
Narrative and recommendation of meme track
In fact, the essence of narrative is how many people believe in a certain coin and promote that "it can still rise". In this regard, meme is the best, but unfortunately, they all have a large market value. For example, $pepe $wif $brett are all good, but the people who promote them must come up with powerful slogans such as 10 billion or even 100 billion.
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The bull market is coming, what should we do next?
Can this year's wave recreate the glory of 2021 and 2017?
I don't ask for a thousand times or ten thousand times. It's okay to ask for 10 times, right? It's only one tenth of the last round. There's still 10 times.
On September 19, Beijing time, the Federal Reserve announced a 50 basis point interest rate cut.
This is also the first interest rate cut in four years. The crypto market surged in response to the news of the rate cut.
The Federal Reserve has begun to cut interest rates. Is a bull market far away?
Bitcoin has now risen to 62,000, and Ethereum has reached 2,400. The overall market has not been so prosperous for a long time, and public chains such as Sui Sei have also begun to charge forward.
I don't ask for a thousand times or ten thousand times. It's okay to ask for 10 times, right? It's only one tenth of the last round. There's still 10 times.
On September 19, Beijing time, the Federal Reserve announced a 50 basis point interest rate cut.
This is also the first interest rate cut in four years. The crypto market surged in response to the news of the rate cut.
The Federal Reserve has begun to cut interest rates. Is a bull market far away?
Bitcoin has now risen to 62,000, and Ethereum has reached 2,400. The overall market has not been so prosperous for a long time, and public chains such as Sui Sei have also begun to charge forward.
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$NEIRO surged 112%, but the same name plummeted? Can these new coins be played at this stage?
Why did the two currencies with the same name, $NEIRO, plummet while the other soared?
The contract on Binance before was capitalized NEIRO, while the newly launched spot was lowercase Neiro. The two are not the same coin, and the prices are also very different. The market thought that the spot to be launched was capitalized NEIRO, but it turned out to be a mistake, causing the capitalized NEIRO to plummet when the official news was released that lowercase Neiro would be launched. I personally tend to think that this simple mistake was intentional. Well, anyway, as secondary market investors, we only talk about the issue of returns.
Next, let’s focus on analyzing whether these new coins can be purchased at this stage?
The contract on Binance before was capitalized NEIRO, while the newly launched spot was lowercase Neiro. The two are not the same coin, and the prices are also very different. The market thought that the spot to be launched was capitalized NEIRO, but it turned out to be a mistake, causing the capitalized NEIRO to plummet when the official news was released that lowercase Neiro would be launched. I personally tend to think that this simple mistake was intentional. Well, anyway, as secondary market investors, we only talk about the issue of returns.
Next, let’s focus on analyzing whether these new coins can be purchased at this stage?
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When will the bull market start? Ambush these 10-20 times potential coins in advance!
Is the Bitcoin bull run over? Where will the trend go?
Market prices are jumping back and forth, is the bull market over? The answer is no! Bitcoin 200-week moving average heat map
Historically, in every bull and bear cycle.
When we see the orange and red dots assigned to the price chart, it is a good time to sell Bitcoin because the market is overheated and the bull market has peaked. The periods when the price point is purple and close to the 200-week MA have always been good times to buy, either during a deep correction in a bear or bull market, like 94 in 2017.
The price has not bottomed out yet, and there are no orange and red dots on the chart.
Market prices are jumping back and forth, is the bull market over? The answer is no! Bitcoin 200-week moving average heat map
Historically, in every bull and bear cycle.
When we see the orange and red dots assigned to the price chart, it is a good time to sell Bitcoin because the market is overheated and the bull market has peaked. The periods when the price point is purple and close to the 200-week MA have always been good times to buy, either during a deep correction in a bear or bull market, like 94 in 2017.
The price has not bottomed out yet, and there are no orange and red dots on the chart.
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Sol conference is coming soon, and it will bring great benefits. Ambush these coins in advance to seize this wave of wealth!
The key positive news for Sol is that the annual Solana conference will be held on September 20th.
The project team always announces important updates at the conference, which is very exciting. I dare not say that it will definitely soar, but the probability of rising is really high, so you can give it a try. In addition, Sol’s current price has indeed adjusted a lot, so even without these positive factors, it is worth ambush, and the profit and loss ratio is still very cost-effective.
In addition to SOL itself, some high-quality coins under its chain are also worthy of attention!
$JUP
Jupiter (JUP) is gaining traction as a key player in the DeFi space, especially on the Solana blockchain. It acts as a DEX aggregator, simplifying token swaps, futures, and stablecoin management. In addition to efficient liquidity pools, Jupiter also offers perpetual futures and plans to launch its own stablecoin to bypass custody and regulatory issues.
The project team always announces important updates at the conference, which is very exciting. I dare not say that it will definitely soar, but the probability of rising is really high, so you can give it a try. In addition, Sol’s current price has indeed adjusted a lot, so even without these positive factors, it is worth ambush, and the profit and loss ratio is still very cost-effective.
In addition to SOL itself, some high-quality coins under its chain are also worthy of attention!
$JUP
Jupiter (JUP) is gaining traction as a key player in the DeFi space, especially on the Solana blockchain. It acts as a DEX aggregator, simplifying token swaps, futures, and stablecoin management. In addition to efficient liquidity pools, Jupiter also offers perpetual futures and plans to launch its own stablecoin to bypass custody and regulatory issues.
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BTC continues to go sideways, and some altcoins still cannot return to their highs? These hot spots must be grasped.
BTC is currently consolidating at 58,000. It was a good thing that it started to go sideways last night. The long and short positions were relatively balanced. After waking up, many altcoins took advantage of the time when Bitcoin was taking a break and soared by several points!
If BTC continues to consolidate sideways, it will be beneficial to the subsequent performance of the copycat. Next, we will pay attention to the trend of BTC. Without seeking a sharp rise, it will be an excellent trend if it can stabilize at 57,000!
The current Bitcoin market is fluctuating at a high level, with a risk of a short-term correction, but the overall trend is still bullish. It is recommended to be cautious about chasing high prices and do a good job of position management and risk control. Wait for a short-term correction to the support level before arranging a long position. If the price is weak, you can consider shorting at a high level.
If BTC continues to consolidate sideways, it will be beneficial to the subsequent performance of the copycat. Next, we will pay attention to the trend of BTC. Without seeking a sharp rise, it will be an excellent trend if it can stabilize at 57,000!
The current Bitcoin market is fluctuating at a high level, with a risk of a short-term correction, but the overall trend is still bullish. It is recommended to be cautious about chasing high prices and do a good job of position management and risk control. Wait for a short-term correction to the support level before arranging a long position. If the price is weak, you can consider shorting at a high level.
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Get rich in October! There is always one leader in each sector of the cryptocurrency circle that will increase by 100 times!
Each sector has its leading coins and some emerging coins! If you don’t know them, collect them! Let’s talk about which coin you like!
1. Public chain sector
Leading coins: BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum)
New coins/potential coins: SOL (Solana), BNB (Binance Coin), AVAX (Avalon), DOT (Polkado), etc.
2. DeFi (decentralized finance) sector
Leading coins: AAVE, COMP
New coins/potential coins: CRV, DYDX, RDNT, UNI (Uniswap), etc.
3. AI (Artificial Intelligence)
Leading coins: AGIX, FET
New coins/potential coins: WLD, NMR, RNDR (Render Token), etc.
1. Public chain sector
Leading coins: BTC (Bitcoin), ETH (Ethereum)
New coins/potential coins: SOL (Solana), BNB (Binance Coin), AVAX (Avalon), DOT (Polkado), etc.
2. DeFi (decentralized finance) sector
Leading coins: AAVE, COMP
New coins/potential coins: CRV, DYDX, RDNT, UNI (Uniswap), etc.
3. AI (Artificial Intelligence)
Leading coins: AGIX, FET
New coins/potential coins: WLD, NMR, RNDR (Render Token), etc.
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The best performing sector this year is not MEME, but RWA! RWA is a high-quality currency.
From the beginning of the year to date, the best performing sector is not MEME, BTC, or AI, but RWA. Even if the time is extended to one year, RWA still leads other sectors with a market value increase of 1373%.
The second place was held by the Depin track, which rose by 391.4%.
RWA, or real-world assets on the blockchain, has gradually become a new hot spot in the market in recent years. Because it brings blockchain technology into the traditional financial field, creates new investment channels, and brings new liquidity to the cryptocurrency circle. With the vision of reshaping the financial system, Wall Street has invested heavily, and it is inevitable that RWA will become one of the areas where the market is gradually gaining popularity.
The second place was held by the Depin track, which rose by 391.4%.
RWA, or real-world assets on the blockchain, has gradually become a new hot spot in the market in recent years. Because it brings blockchain technology into the traditional financial field, creates new investment channels, and brings new liquidity to the cryptocurrency circle. With the vision of reshaping the financial system, Wall Street has invested heavily, and it is inevitable that RWA will become one of the areas where the market is gradually gaining popularity.
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On the eve of CPI release, whales increased their holdings of Bitcoin! Is the bull market coming soon?
As the release of U.S. Consumer Price Index data approaches, Bitcoin whales appear to be optimistic and increasing their hoarding.
According to data provided by IntoTheBlock, the number of whales trading at least $100,000 worth of Bitcoin surged from 12,560 to 16,240 between September 7 and 9.
Whale activity around BTC has increased after the BTC price fell below the $54,000 mark amid intensified selling.
According to ITB data, Bitcoin giants moved more than $70 billion worth of assets in the past seven days.
It is worth noting that increased whale activity usually leads to large price movements, but in this case, large investors appear to be accumulating Bitcoin due to increased capital inflows.
According to data provided by IntoTheBlock, the number of whales trading at least $100,000 worth of Bitcoin surged from 12,560 to 16,240 between September 7 and 9.
Whale activity around BTC has increased after the BTC price fell below the $54,000 mark amid intensified selling.
According to ITB data, Bitcoin giants moved more than $70 billion worth of assets in the past seven days.
It is worth noting that increased whale activity usually leads to large price movements, but in this case, large investors appear to be accumulating Bitcoin due to increased capital inflows.
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The real trend has not come, it’s just bottoming out!
The current over-hype about the September rate cut should also prevent the small probability of no rate cut in September.
Therefore, if you have funds, you can hold 10% to 30% of your current position, and you will still have the opportunity to buy in the future. It is safer to enter the market in batches, and you must also prevent small probability uncertainties or financial storms... Don't forget that Mr. Buffett cleared his stocks.
Under the condition that the interest rate is confirmed to be lowered, there will be many consecutive times when money will flow into the currency circle. Of course, releasing money will also give people a positive affirmation in their hearts.
Tomorrow Trump and Haha debate, September rate cut becomes clear, CZ cousin returns at the end of the month, Hong Kong digital stablecoin goes online, so October will not be bad.
Therefore, if you have funds, you can hold 10% to 30% of your current position, and you will still have the opportunity to buy in the future. It is safer to enter the market in batches, and you must also prevent small probability uncertainties or financial storms... Don't forget that Mr. Buffett cleared his stocks.
Under the condition that the interest rate is confirmed to be lowered, there will be many consecutive times when money will flow into the currency circle. Of course, releasing money will also give people a positive affirmation in their hearts.
Tomorrow Trump and Haha debate, September rate cut becomes clear, CZ cousin returns at the end of the month, Hong Kong digital stablecoin goes online, so October will not be bad.
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For altcoins, it has reached the point where it can no longer fall. What should we do?
For altcoins, it has reached the point where it can’t fall any further. What should be done?
The market rebound will inevitably come as expected. It is still necessary to say here that you should not rush to buy at the bottom. The bottom is left for the dealer. If you eat its meat, what will it eat?
From today's perspective, it is absolutely correct to buy high and not buy low. How many people are busy buying at the bottom and are shocked by the turning point of the market. There are many people who think they are smart, but they don't know that there are many people who continue to do so, and in the end they are just crushed by the meat grinder of the market and see no hope.
The market rebound will inevitably come as expected. It is still necessary to say here that you should not rush to buy at the bottom. The bottom is left for the dealer. If you eat its meat, what will it eat?
From today's perspective, it is absolutely correct to buy high and not buy low. How many people are busy buying at the bottom and are shocked by the turning point of the market. There are many people who think they are smart, but they don't know that there are many people who continue to do so, and in the end they are just crushed by the meat grinder of the market and see no hope.
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Many friends are at this stage now. The market has not stopped falling and the price will fall further. They want to wait for a lower price to buy the bottom or layout. Let’s not talk about whether they can wait until it reaches the lower price. If it really reaches the lower price, you may not be able to get on the bus at the lowest point. Besides, is the dog dealer so kind to give you the opportunity to get on the bus at the lowest point? Why not buy the bottom in batches at this time? If it rises, you will not miss the opportunity. If it falls, you can just cover your position. Not to mention that long-term holding can get a good return, at least it is no problem to play a wave. So you should rush to buy the bottom in batches. Don’t be timid. At present, I have marked sats, avive, sol spot and wait for the wind to come. They are all cost-effective. In addition, the spot codes will be screened in the next few days. If you are afraid, it is recommended to cash out, because holding spot will be trapped, the contract will be liquidated, and hoarding u will also be beaten. How can you do it without a little adventurous spirit? What do you think?
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The current status of the cryptocurrency industry, these hot public chains in the sector have recently seen huge positive news!
Total market value: 2 trillion
Btc+Eth: 1.4 trillion (Btc=1.12 trillion Eth=0.284 trillion)
Stablecoins: 0.17 trillion
Other altcoins: 0.43 trillion
Among them, Btc+Eth accounts for 70%, stablecoins account for 8.5%, and other altcoins: 21.5%
Before the last bull market started, the total market value of Btc was about 270 billion, Eth was 72 billion, and the rest of the altcoins was 140 billion. Compared with before the last bull market started, Btc increased by 4.1 times, Eth increased by 3.9 times, and the rest of the altcoins increased by 3 times.
With this calculation, after 4 years of bull and bear cycles, Ethereum has not outperformed Bitcoin, and the altcoins have not outperformed Ethereum. In addition, Bitcoin and Ethereum have both increased by about 4 times on average, 4 times in 4 years, but everyone feels that the altcoins have collapsed, and many people have suffered very, very serious losses. The reason is that although the total market value of the altcoins has increased by 3 times, the number has increased by more than 30 times. Therefore, many altcoins have actually been falling for a long time, especially in the past six months, many altcoins have fallen by more than 80-90%, and many mainstream altcoins have also fallen by 60-80%.
Btc+Eth: 1.4 trillion (Btc=1.12 trillion Eth=0.284 trillion)
Stablecoins: 0.17 trillion
Other altcoins: 0.43 trillion
Among them, Btc+Eth accounts for 70%, stablecoins account for 8.5%, and other altcoins: 21.5%
Before the last bull market started, the total market value of Btc was about 270 billion, Eth was 72 billion, and the rest of the altcoins was 140 billion. Compared with before the last bull market started, Btc increased by 4.1 times, Eth increased by 3.9 times, and the rest of the altcoins increased by 3 times.
With this calculation, after 4 years of bull and bear cycles, Ethereum has not outperformed Bitcoin, and the altcoins have not outperformed Ethereum. In addition, Bitcoin and Ethereum have both increased by about 4 times on average, 4 times in 4 years, but everyone feels that the altcoins have collapsed, and many people have suffered very, very serious losses. The reason is that although the total market value of the altcoins has increased by 3 times, the number has increased by more than 30 times. Therefore, many altcoins have actually been falling for a long time, especially in the past six months, many altcoins have fallen by more than 80-90%, and many mainstream altcoins have also fallen by 60-80%.
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Take a look at the current status of the cryptocurrency industry:
Total market value: 2 trillion
Btc+Eth: 1.4 trillion (Btc=1.12 trillion Eth=0.284 trillion)
Stablecoins: 0.17 trillion
Other altcoins: 0.43 trillion
Of which Btc+Eth accounts for 70%, stablecoins 8.5%, and other altcoins: 21.5%
Before the last bull market, the total market value of Btc was about 270 billion, 72 billion, and the rest of the altcoins were 140 billion. Compared with the last bull market, Btc increased by 4.1 times, Eth increased by 3.9 times, and the rest of the altcoins increased by 3 times.
In this way, after 4 years of bull-bear cycles, Ethereum did not outperform Bitcoin, and the altcoins did not outperform Ethereum. In addition, Bitcoin and Ethereum both increased by about 4 times on average, 4 times in 4 years, but the altcoins seemed to have collapsed, and many people suffered very, very, very serious losses. The reason is that although the total market value of the altcoins increased by 3 times, the number increased by more than 30 times. Therefore, many altcoins have actually been falling for a long time, especially in the past six months, many altcoins have fallen by more than 80-90%, and many mainstream altcoins have also fallen by 60-80%.
This brings us back to another topic, that is, the market value share of Btc+Eth is still 70%. In the past 6 years, the total market value of Bitcoin+Eth has basically accounted for 70% or even higher in the entire industry. Therefore, except for the specific time window of the main bull market or the outbreak of some new sectors, the proportion of Btc+Eth in any crypto holding at any time must be 70%, or even more than 80-90%, for investment to be safe, otherwise it is easy to have systemic risks.
Many people feel desperate about the current market and see no hope of making money, but in the past history, whenever 90% of people collapse in despair and leave the market without caring, the market is quietly brewing. Kong Ge's intuitive judgment is that the market should not be far away. From now until the end of the year, we should pay more attention to market dynamics. If there are new opportunities and outbreak points, we must participate as early as possible and exit in time. If we enter the market late, it is often difficult to exit.
Total market value: 2 trillion
Btc+Eth: 1.4 trillion (Btc=1.12 trillion Eth=0.284 trillion)
Stablecoins: 0.17 trillion
Other altcoins: 0.43 trillion
Of which Btc+Eth accounts for 70%, stablecoins 8.5%, and other altcoins: 21.5%
Before the last bull market, the total market value of Btc was about 270 billion, 72 billion, and the rest of the altcoins were 140 billion. Compared with the last bull market, Btc increased by 4.1 times, Eth increased by 3.9 times, and the rest of the altcoins increased by 3 times.
In this way, after 4 years of bull-bear cycles, Ethereum did not outperform Bitcoin, and the altcoins did not outperform Ethereum. In addition, Bitcoin and Ethereum both increased by about 4 times on average, 4 times in 4 years, but the altcoins seemed to have collapsed, and many people suffered very, very, very serious losses. The reason is that although the total market value of the altcoins increased by 3 times, the number increased by more than 30 times. Therefore, many altcoins have actually been falling for a long time, especially in the past six months, many altcoins have fallen by more than 80-90%, and many mainstream altcoins have also fallen by 60-80%.
This brings us back to another topic, that is, the market value share of Btc+Eth is still 70%. In the past 6 years, the total market value of Bitcoin+Eth has basically accounted for 70% or even higher in the entire industry. Therefore, except for the specific time window of the main bull market or the outbreak of some new sectors, the proportion of Btc+Eth in any crypto holding at any time must be 70%, or even more than 80-90%, for investment to be safe, otherwise it is easy to have systemic risks.
Many people feel desperate about the current market and see no hope of making money, but in the past history, whenever 90% of people collapse in despair and leave the market without caring, the market is quietly brewing. Kong Ge's intuitive judgment is that the market should not be far away. From now until the end of the year, we should pay more attention to market dynamics. If there are new opportunities and outbreak points, we must participate as early as possible and exit in time. If we enter the market late, it is often difficult to exit.
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Objectively analyze the market, with 100% accuracy, and mainly discuss my views from two aspects.
On the one hand, Mid-Autumn Festival is an important festival that symbolizes reunion. When relatives and friends get together to discuss the cryptocurrency circle, many new investors will definitely come in, so#btcwill definitely rise.
On the other hand, many people will cash out during the Mid-Autumn Festival, buy mooncakes, treat guests to dinner, buy cars and go back home to show off, which will make liquidity worse and investors will trample on each other, so#btcwill definitely fall!
On the one hand, Mid-Autumn Festival is an important festival that symbolizes reunion. When relatives and friends get together to discuss the cryptocurrency circle, many new investors will definitely come in, so#btcwill definitely rise.
On the other hand, many people will cash out during the Mid-Autumn Festival, buy mooncakes, treat guests to dinner, buy cars and go back home to show off, which will make liquidity worse and investors will trample on each other, so#btcwill definitely fall!
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After the interest rate cut, there may be a decline period lasting up to half a year.
As the saying goes, learn from history.
First of all, we should point out that we are concerned about the entire interest rate cut cycle, not just a single interest rate cut. For example, the interest rate is cut by 25 basis points this month, 50 basis points next month, and may be further cut by 25 basis points thereafter. The purpose of the interest rate cut is to reverse the economic downturn, but this is not a short-term effect, but a cycle that gradually forms through a series of interest rate cuts.
Take the Fed’s most recent rate-cutting cycle, which began in July 2019 and ended in April 2020. During this period, the price of Bitcoin continued to fall from $13,000 to $3,800.
First of all, we should point out that we are concerned about the entire interest rate cut cycle, not just a single interest rate cut. For example, the interest rate is cut by 25 basis points this month, 50 basis points next month, and may be further cut by 25 basis points thereafter. The purpose of the interest rate cut is to reverse the economic downturn, but this is not a short-term effect, but a cycle that gradually forms through a series of interest rate cuts.
Take the Fed’s most recent rate-cutting cycle, which began in July 2019 and ended in April 2020. During this period, the price of Bitcoin continued to fall from $13,000 to $3,800.
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