Today's black swan event is really awesome. I now think the driving force behind it should be the Federal Reserve. The Federal Reserve can't bear it anymore, but it can't wait until September to cut interest rates, so I boldly predict the probability of cutting interest rates in August in advance!

Many people asked me how to buy at this time. At this time, you can't open a contract at all. The big cake has become a dog. The volatility is too large, but the long positions of the big cake with small leverage and small positions are bought at low prices. This is the most reliable, followed by the second cake.

Shanzhai currently buys hot spots. If the spot market is good, you can make 50% at will. It's like playing. The premise is to choose a hot spot. The callback speed of the hot spot must be fast. This hot spot is not the hot spot that everyone chases. I think pepe should slow down this round. After this kind of rise, it is defined as a leek coin in my mind.

Everyone should pay attention to risk control. Here I recommend a few spot products.

PENDLE:1.89 (current price)

ORDI:21.5 (current price)

DOGE:0.083 (current price)

WIF:1.14 (current price)

TRB:42 (current price)

FTM:0.27 (current price)

RATS:0.000063 (current price) I feel that the mouse's stability is still good. In June, the mouse plummeted to 6 and basically began to rebound. This round is at this position again. This position is still very critical! So you can buy some mice at 0.00006, and the cost performance is definitely not as high as Audi.

The above cottages are all spot contracts. There is no way to open a position. The fluctuation is too large. I think the current spot is almost the same as the contract! High security and large increase in the later period. The above are all preferred by the main trend. Come on, brothers, the market is bad and the whales are all liquidated, let alone our small retail investors? Hug each other for warmth! Don't look at the market too extreme.

Today the market has started to hunt down, it shouldn't go down directly from here, but will pull back repeatedly before going down.

If you followed my strategy earlier, holding a short position on the big coin, at this position you can open a long position in the opposite direction to lock in profits, waiting for the upward hunt to finish, then exiting the long position, and you can also add a bit to the short position.

The long position should mainly focus on the second coin! Lock in profits on the rebound of the big coin, and you can take the opportunity to make a short-term long position on the second coin.

There may be a new round of sprint here, and the main focus is on the second cake.

When the big cake was 68,500 before, the price of the second cake was around 3,300. Now that the big cake has returned to the second cake, there is a sign of sprinting. This sprint must have a few hundred points of room for replenishment. I choose to chase the rise at 2,690.

Stop profit at 2,850/2,950 and look up step by step.
Stop loss: around 2,635.
The above is only a personal opinion and a rational reference for personal operation.
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

10.15 Xiaoxin Community Market Analysis
Return Announcement
• I haven't updated for a long time. I have been busy with other things recently. I will officially return from tomorrow!
Market Analysis
• Judging from the underlying logic, the market gives me a feeling that the bull market is coming back quickly. Just like the previous few months, I feel that every rise is going to break new highs. I have to bite the bullet and take a beating. Since June, the market sentiment has gradually changed to short-term strength and long-term weakness. From the data of cgals's liquidation, there were few short-term liquidation data reaching hundreds of millions before. It has always been long, but the current liquidation data has achieved long-short equality. After the interest rate cut, various good news has never stopped. The news is just virtual. In fact, it depends on past experience and trends. I think there is no cost-effectiveness, and the overall box has changed
• Brief market:
Analysis of altcoins
• The various takeoffs of the altcoin sector, from the fall of the big bitcoin to the fall of the big bitcoin, the altcoin follows the rise but not the fall, has lasted for more than a month. When the big bitcoin was 66 before, the reasonable range of the second bitcoin should be above 3100. Now the second bitcoin is still 500 points away from the high point, which is very unrealistic. So at this stage, I increase my short selling instead of simply being bearish. Those who lose money in this circle are always people with faith! Don’t have faith in any currency. When everyone thinks that it will reach 100,000 by the end of the year, then it is impossible for the big bitcoin to reach 100,000 by the end of the year!
Strategic suggestions;
• Big Pie: Go short in batches between 65-67, stop loss above 68, and take profit at 62/61/60/58 in batches (there is a good short position at 67-68. If the stop loss is hit here, the market will not have any situation and you need to re-enter the market to open the pattern)
• Second Pie: Go short in batches between 2600-2700, stop loss at 2770, and take profit at 2450/2350
• Some other local dogs are similar to: wif wld mew. It is completely fine to take the popular local dogs with a drop of more than 30%. Look at the market rationally and don't have illusions!
Trading suggestions
• Cautionary reminder: Reasonable allocation of positions in currency circle transactions, mainly waiting, when there is a sharp decline in the market, it is good to invest in spot (good targets and good passwords), and the yield is not bad. Contract trading is auxiliary, and small funds are leveraged to combine!
(The above is a personal opinion, for rational reference)

Bome is listed on Ouyi, which is a big benefit

Bome still has a dog market structure. Take advantage of this big drop to make trends and potential. After the heat rises, go to harvest. Everyone has eaten all the rising trends in the early stage. The market promotion is still very good. Moreover, Ouyi has a very high cost performance at this price. There is no need to hesitate about spot goods. The current price of 0.0071 is a good price. Getting 0.013 is basically doubled. Go for it, my dears! Personally, it is no problem to get 2-3 times of BOME in this wave, which should be able to continue the popularity of Pepe.

After all, the main leverage of HY is that the amplitude of fluctuations is 5 times leverage, and 1-3% of the position is used to control it, 20x

Personal suggestion: Target: BOME
Direction: Long
Current price: Enter the market around 0.0068
Ying: 0.0082/0.0092/0.0112
Sun: 0.0059
Cycle: Medium and long term (1-3% position 20x) It depends on yourself. If the pattern is big and you keep holding it after the capital is released, there may be a surprise! The next Pepe?
#bome已出圈

Tomorrow's CPI is particularly important. Data that is too high or too low is very bad.

Tomorrow is the key turning point. When choosing a new direction, the interest rate cut is imminent. There are still many things to do before the interest rate cut is implemented. Tomorrow's CPI is particularly important and may be the key point of the next round of baptism.

During this period of panic, the market fell below 50,000. It took a few days to repair it, including the US stock market. This wave of pull-up is only forcibly repairing the global market sentiment for me. Who has such a great ability to prevent the global data from plummeting? As you can imagine, this kind of salvation behavior is only the Federal Reserve, Wall Street and Jewish capital. Saving the market is to panic and cause circuit breakers, etc. Therefore, it is necessary to pull up and relieve emotions, otherwise this mess will have too much impact.
So this The rebound in sentiment is just a big hand saving the day and alleviating the market's decline.

The probability of the next retracement is very high. I think the big cake has entered a new stage. The so-called 60/56 key position no longer exists. This round of bearishness and retracement, the range of the cottage is in the range of the 7.4-7.14 sharp drop. If there is another round of retracement in this round, the cottage will hit a new low. That is the best time. I personally think that the big cake will return to the 50-53 range again. If it is a little ugly, it will be around 48. Build positions in batches and prepare bullets. Spot can basically be received in batches now. The price increase is not large. Only the inscription speed can keep up with the rest.

But the general trend is bullish, and the short-term trend is bearish. This round of baptism should be a continuous unilateral market.

Just my personal opinion, if you prepare bullets steadily, you can buy at the bottom if it goes down, and there is no loss if it goes up.

How should mainstream coins choose this time when the market falls?

Here is a data for everyone:
If you buy 50,000 Bitcoin and it rises to 70,000, a 40% increase

If you buy 2100 Bitcoin and it rises to 3800, a 80% increase

If you buy 110 Solana and it rises to 200, a 80% increase
So is there a second choice for you? It must be ETH, why not buy Sol? I think Sol is too strong at the moment. In this situation, I won’t buy strong ones. It doesn’t mean that Sol will run fast and the trend will be good. This is just a temporary illusion

At this stage, I will choose weak coins that others despise and don’t like to buy. Similar to Bitcoin, which has been scolded badly, join the weak and firmly choose it. Verify my words after a month.

I am very pessimistic about Solana at the moment. The better it goes, the more I can personally feel the taste of risk

This is just my opinion on the investment choice of mainstream currencies. Shanzhai can invest in some coins with great potential, such as PENDLE ZK, which have actual value and significance. At least they are not swimming naked.
The above is just my personal opinion and analysis.
Today's short-term is also shorting. After the big bullish trend, remember to enter the long position near 52 and start taking it in batches. Don't think about eating from the head to the tail of the fish. Those who often suffer losses are too greedy.

There are two trends in the current situation

1: Continue to rise, and follow the unilateral trend as I predicted in July

2: Continue to pull back to kill a wave of long orders, and then continue to pull up, the pull-up will be fast
So for what we should do now, there are actually two options

1: The brothers who bought the bottom with me a few days ago can choose to sell at a high point, and then wait for a low point to pick up, so that you can expand your profits. If you are worried about missing out, then you can basically eat your low-level chips steadily, then you have to worry about profit taking

2: Basically, I have got the bottom chips, let it fluctuate at will, it has little impact on me, anyway, the general trend will go up, choose to be stable, and after breaking the cost position, continue to cover the position at a low point, which is conducive to the development of the medium and long term

I personally think that the probability of the next wave of retracement is still very high, but I mainly do medium and long-term trading time for space, so I will not choose to throw away the bottom chips in my hand, and I am not worried about profit taking, this is my choice, everyone can choose the way that suits them, but I am not the only standard!

Let me talk about this from the perspective of long-term investment: I think in the future or the next bull market, it is very likely that the big cake will fly alone, such as rising to 100,000 or even higher, and most of the current altcoins are similar to: Pepe. Similar hot coins will be like the last round of LTC and the last round of EOS, which reminds me of a famous saying of Buffett: "When the tide recedes, you will know who is swimming naked." For all the spot stocks in this round of bottom-fishing, I chose PENDLE ZK, which has actual value. It may not run very fast, but with actual value support, it is safe, stable and fast for us. The best choice.

This industry is rethinking where the value is. If you don’t understand the altcoins, don’t buy them casually. It doesn’t mean that all of them will rebound. Follow the next round of market conditions.

In fact, this situation is expected. I also caught the bottom chips yesterday, which can basically be regarded as the lowest chips that can be obtained in this round of bull market. It is meaningless to run away. Only by holding on can you get the truth.

Next, if there is a needle, you must go to pick up the goods.

In fact, this kind of market was predicted before July 9. You can see my previous predictions. When the Bitcoin conference and Trump's shooting and other favorable events occurred, there must be a pit in this rise. The bottom position of the interval I predicted may not be so perfect, but the interval cottage did kill the group of people who laid out the cottage between July 4 and July 14, so this is an opportunity for us!
The SOL chain retracement was particularly large, which also made many memers fall very badly

The trend of the target BONK is still very good, and every rebound and callback run well
Now there are too many cottages to lay out, so lay out 3 hot sectors
Inscription: ordi rats Choose one
Meme: wif bome Choose one
Metaverse: floki
Second layer: TRB ethfi
Refining: YGG ACE
Choose 3 sectors above and buy a 3% position in each sector with 20x leverage. The results are very good after 15 days
Follow Gongzhonghao: Bit Xiaoxin and indicate your purpose

Now the market is long, I'm hurrying up. The copycats I caught are still OK, such as Mouse and Bome. The market has been relatively strong these two days.

I rarely update content. This plunge is also what I expected. Many fans followed the backhand and made short orders for big cakes, escaping the top at a high position, but I don't want to come out to brag about these things. There is no meaning. Comfort yourself that this is just luck.

This is a band shock that will not end here. I have said since the beginning of July that the strength of the wash in July will not be lower than that in April, May and June. There are still two days before the end of the monthly line. These two days and the market in the first week of August must be not optimistic. After this storm, when there are wailing everywhere, I will choose to enter the market with a large position to grasp the next wave of big market. The next wave, I think, will break a new high.

This time, the cooperation between Trump and Lao Ma, including the landing of ETFs, sol's ETFs and other positive factors have led to this phenomenon. Next, I will mainly short at highs, or wait with short positions. The closing of the monthly line is boldly predicted to be around 63,000, and the chips of copycats will be suppressed on the side. Prudent people stay in short positions and wait until the day comes when the whole place is filled with wailing, and then enter the market in batches.

Let me talk about my opinion on the Bitcoin Conference:

I personally think that whether Comrade Chuan Jianguo takes office or not has little impact, it is just a range of fluctuations. Chuan's purpose this time is to canvass votes

You have to know that he can brag to canvass votes. You will see how many people did what they said during the historical competition. At present, it is to canvass votes. I personally think that this time Chuan and Lao Ma want to raise donations from the B circle, and they are interested in donations from this circle

Tomorrow's speech is likely to be supportive and at this critical moment, his polls are not as good as Harris, so he is likely to say something exciting to get votes and donations from this part of the crypto crowd. It is normal to fluctuate in the range. Tomorrow's speech will definitely usher in another wave of hype

Secondly, everyone's support for Trump is talked about by retail investors everywhere. Whether it is Chuan or Harris taking office, this kind of thing has little impact on the circle. It is only a matter of time for them to recognize the crypto market.
Personal opinion, watch rationally

This market is killing me. Although I have caught part of the first position, my previous retracement was not the first position retracement! I am unwilling to accept the first position.

The gains mentioned before are all very good and are among the best. Let me tell you my opinion. I am a little carsick and lost at the moment, but I believe in my own market sense. There must be something wrong when things are abnormal. The big cake has been falling for 1 month and consolidating for 4 months. From July 4 to July 14, the big cake has been hovering around 56 for ten days. The cottage is the bottom, which gives many people the space and time to buy the bottom. I don’t believe that this wave has made so many people successful. The selling pressure of the Mentougou incident has not started yet. I personally feel that the dog dealer pulled up to release the chips to accelerate the selling force, completely clear the chips in July in the third quarter, and then continue the rise in August and the speculation of interest rate cuts in September.

This is just my judgment and opinion. I have said before that aggressive brothers can rush, and steady brothers can wait for stability or take a needle. So don’t regret your yesterday today, but face your own reason and recognize your own behavior, including myself. We are not here to be gamblers. We want to survive forever instead of caring about the mistakes of one or two days. It is recommended that you stop profit at 80% of the position and set the rest to protect your capital. Don’t be greedy. Come on, the market is never short of opportunities!
The coins I shared before are basically among the top: wif bome ordi floki and myro which may not be available here (sol's potential stock may be a dark horse)
Next, we just need to pay attention to these. The growth of the cottage is not enough. If we want to baptize the chips that were bought at the bottom 10 days ago, the big cake will rise to 64-65 and then return to around 56. The cottage is not the same concept. The cottage rises with a low degree of growth, and the cottage falls with a large degree of decline. The rise is less and the fall is more. This wash situation is still very obvious. At present, I can't make a little bit of pattern, so just protect the profit and go! Pay for the direction you choose. You miss the opportunity because you want to be more stable. Then I am happy for my stability when I fall steadily, and I don't regret it when I rise, because the market is not a day or two. Don't look at this local situation!
#bome. #wif #floki #ordi

Let me tell you where I will get on the train this round. I will get on the train before the big bitcoin reaches 53-54. I am currently planning to lay out 7 altcoins, in different tracks, so that when hot money rushes, I can catch several hot spots. The big bitcoin is rising just now, but the altcoin I copied yesterday at 54 has only increased by 5%-10%, which is not a big range.
sol dog: bome wif
BTC ecological inscription: ordi rats (I emphasize here that the inscriptions will definitely be among the best in the future. Everyone should know that only Chinese people are playing with inscriptions, and foreigners do not recognize this thing. If it cannot be hyped up in November, it will be useless, so this round of inscriptions must be used vigorously)

Oil refining: ygg ace The part-time horse of oil refining is loose, and it has not moved for too long. GameStop gme has been listed, which should stimulate the oil refining sector and speed up, but it has not been exerted for a long time! You can try buying a small amount of GME, but YGG Ace is very worthwhile.

L2 Ecology: I am currently only considering doing Merl. The second-layer concepts such as OP and ARB have trapped the spot market in the Cancun upgrade. If you run deep in this round, you will definitely not run faster than other second-layer concepts, so choose the one that runs faster.

Metaverse: Floki is undoubtedly a must-buy coin. I recommend another one that I personally think is more amazing. You must sprint when you are high!

Maintaining the previous point of view, there is a 90% probability of baptism in the first half of July. Find a position to take over. Now hype the expectation of interest rate cuts in September, so August must be the most stable and best climax market. As for September, I don’t understand it at the moment, but it doesn’t matter. Basically, the brothers who copied this round will definitely have good returns in the climax season in August!

The current situation will not go up all at once. The key position of 56 no longer exists. The market has been fluctuating in the consolidation range for a period of time and then suddenly, I have basically made a first position in the cottage. If it goes down, I will make up for it. If it goes up, at least I will not miss the opportunity. This is my standard. I personally think that the probability of another wave of needles is more than 90%. The speculation in the third quarter must be the expectation of interest rate cuts in September, so August is the best trading stage in the third quarter. Then the baptism in July is paving the way for the next two months. It will not rise until the wash is enough. The target of this wave of dog dealers is your spot. How much money can the contract explode? How many people are trapped in the spot market when the price is cut in half? The market let the leeks pay for the Mentougou incident this time, but many people are talking about the selling pressure in Mentougou. My personal opinion is how many people will sell after receiving the compensation from Mentougou. If the compensation target is you, you get 50,000 dollars from 1,000 dollars. Be cautious about the future trend of the halving of the pie. I think the people who buy the pie at that time know no less than you, so the selling must be a minority. If you need money urgently, you may sell one or two to supplement your life. However, these data are false. If they are pulled up quickly and violently, it will be unexpected. The probability of missing out is very high, so I will go in with a top position layout.
Coins that can be bought at the moment
wif: 1.68 The price is not high and you can buy contracts. Aggressive people can build positions in batches
bome: 0.0078
merl: 0.24
ordi: 29
But I personally suggest that you don’t rush. You can connect after this wave of needles goes down. If you can’t connect, you can make a new layout. Time is exchanged for space. I am a person who is afraid of missing out. Even if there is only a 5% chance of missing out, I will do it. Don’t learn from me
#bome #wif #high #merll #ordi

Let’s talk about the situation of big cakes and copycats. It is consistent with my prediction last week. Today’s needle is also expected, and it also rushed up some of the bottom chips. But the needle is not in place, it can only be said to be the bottom, and it has not reached my ideal position. Now that it has come up, I have reduced my position. This kind of market cannot go to the pattern. If it goes up and stabilizes, do some stable layout. If it goes down, it is better to do it with confidence. Don't be afraid of wolves in front and tigers behind. If you enter the market at this position, the shock will wear out your mentality for ten days and half a month, which will affect yourself. So there is no need. Opportunities are waiting.
The next thing worth paying attention to is Sol's native dog Bome Wif (1.5-1.6 has a clear market protection behavior)
The Metaverse's Floki High is also a track for future speculation, and the refining YGG Ace (Ace is basically locked in at more than 10, and now it has only fallen back by 2 times to 6. This should be very worth grasping)
The next is the inscription orid rats of the BTC ecosystem. Old fans know that rats caught before 0.68-0.7. The 7 days to 15 have doubled. This time the impact of the callback is around 0.8, so 0.7 is the position of the dog dealer to protect the market. It is also safe and bold to do it. Audi 27 28 is a very ideal position.
L2 ecology will not look at the previously hyped OP ARB. I think the hyped coins are all leeks coins and are not worth looking at. So the next L2 second layer will focus on merl ethfi (it is worth it if there is a market protection behavior). Remember that it has not yet reached my target expectations. This wave of pull-up is relatively slow. The weekend gave many people time and space to rush. Only leeks can rush funds on weekends to push the U price to 7.5. The liquidity of funds of institutional big players is not high on weekends, so most of the funds on weekends are the Mane of leeks. This wave will not go up so easily..😀#bome #floki #ORDI #WIF #MYRO