The end of the downtrend phase is usually accompanied by the emergence of a bottom divergence in the lower histogram.

Subsequently, there will be a period of range-bound oscillation, and trading volume will begin to increase within this range to accumulate shares.

Comparison method: Use the FRVP tool to measure whether the volume during the range oscillation can cover the volume from the previous downtrend.

When the price eventually breaks through the range, the histogram will also turn green. (This is not guaranteed)

Entry can be chosen after the breakout of this range, or after the histogram shows a bottom divergence, starting DCA to enter and continuously lower the average cost.

The practical guide to the Blin War Strategy is simple and effective! 💹💹💹

1⃣ Three lines up, buy at the middle price.

2⃣ Three lines down, sell at the middle price.

3⃣ Three lines flat, buy at the lower line, sell at the upper line.

4⃣ Three lines open upwards, if the price moves bullish, look for a breakout.

5⃣ Three lines open downwards, if the price moves bearish, exit quickly.

6⃣ Three lines contracted indicate consolidation; wait and see for direction.

The trading strategy only requires learning

1⃣ To identify the trend direction accurately

2⃣ To find the precise entry and exit points.

There is an illusion that the altcoins are not following Bitcoin anymore. Is this my illusion?

1. BTC continues to fluctuate downward, dragged down by the US stock market; the independent market over the weekend can be well grasped;

2. ETH exchange rate is rising, dropping less than Bitcoin;

3. SOL continues to follow Bitcoin's movements;

4. BNB is rising instead of falling, it seems that there will be good news after the holiday, possibly a new launchpool on the way?

5. The IRS will begin taxing DeFi in 2027;

6. Solana co-founder Stephen Akridge is sued by his ex-wife, accused of stealing SOL staking earnings;

7. Galaxy Research releases annual cryptocurrency predictions, expecting Bitcoin to break $150,000 in the first half of 2025;

8. The Minister of Justice of Montenegro signed an order to extradite former Terraform Labs CEO Do Kwon to the United States;

Congratulations to stablekwon on about to embark on a journey to the US;

9. The launch of Pudgy Penguins tokens drives Ethereum NFT trading volume to $186 million;

10. Citi: The continued adoption of stablecoins and cryptocurrency ETFs will be the main drivers of digital asset performance in 2025;

11. ACT and AVA reached a cooperation, and a bunch of foreigners started shouting AVA;

12. OpenAI plans to adjust its corporate structure to create "the most resource-rich nonprofit organization";

13. Analyst: The rising market share of USDT indicates that Bitcoin may face further downward pressure;

14. SPORE continues to produce descendants, causing PHA prices to rise over 500% recently;

15. The virtuals_io ecosystem is collectively thriving, with a lot of new coins emerging yesterday, be mindful of risks; the smaller the market cap, the greater the risk and the higher the potential reward;

16. _kaitoai turned all the negative reports into learning materials overnight; the traffic seems to have been caught, but the brothers' "humble in the front and arrogant in the back" attitude is quite admirable.

Will ETH reach $6000 in 2025?

Ethereum is one of the world's leading cryptocurrencies, with a market capitalization second only to Bitcoin. The asset performed strongly in 2024, rising 40% as the cryptocurrency market entered the global stage. By 2025, Ethereum's value is expected to continue rising; will ETH reach $6000 next year?

Earlier this month, ETH hit the $4000 level, indicating strong investor interest. As has been experienced in other parts of the cryptocurrency market over the past few weeks, the price of ETH did indeed pull back. The second-largest cryptocurrency project by market capitalization also broke the $4000 barrier in March.

Multiple price predictions show that Ethereum will reach $5000 shortly after the New Year. From April to May 2025, the market will thrive. Ethereum is the best asset to benefit from these bullish predictions.

Forecast for Ethereum later in 2025

Later this year, around September 2025, the peak price of ETH could reach around $6420. However, this period may not be a peak surge, as if everything goes well for ETH, the asset's price could approach nearly $7000. For investors buying at the current price, this surge would yield over 100% return on investment.

With Donald Trump's presidential inauguration scheduled for January 20, 2025, we may witness another market-wide rebound. Trump's supportive stance on cryptocurrencies has led to a significant rise in investor sentiment. Additionally, Ethereum is the second-largest cryptocurrency-based ETF in the U.S., second only to Bitcoin. It should continue to shine during Trump's second term.

Last adjustment, cherish the opportunity to get on board

CZ has hinted that now is alt season, which is the season of altcoins. Alt season is rotating; BTC is currently fluctuating in the 92,500-99,500 range. Currently, the MACD on the 3-day line is returning to the 0 axis with a dead cross, and there is no downward pin on the daily line, making it difficult to reverse. Many altcoins have stopped following the downturn, and a bottom range has already formed. Regardless of how January adjusts, this is everyone's last opportunity to get on board. I am very optimistic about the performance of ETH and altcoins in 2025, especially from February to March. Trump and Grayscale concepts are good targets for bottom fishing.

Trump has bought AAVE, LINK, ENA, and ONDO, which are about to unlock a large amount. Projects not considering Grayscale-related projects include: ZEN, ZEC, XLM, LPT. The AI sector leader Render is backtesting important support, and you can dollar-cost average into the gaming sector leader GALA. The daily MACD needs a golden cross at the 0 axis. The decentralized leader UNI will hype its own public chain; buy the dominant 'meme' coin Pepe, supported by Musk. Dollar-cost average into the SOL series as the push machine rises 📈. RAY has already laid out in the Ethereum sector, such as: ENA, SSV, ENS will have favorable news. If you haven't boarded yet, make sure to dollar-cost average in.

In this round of the bull market, there are two major tracks with explosive potential!

1. The AI track, especially the AI agent subfield, integrates the autonomous intelligent characteristics of AI with the permissionless financial account mechanism in the web3 system. The sparks generated from this collision hold vast imaginative potential, promising to give rise to numerous innovative application scenarios and business models.

2. The RWA track can essentially be viewed as an organic integration of decentralized finance (DeFi) and traditional finance (TradFi). This track plays an indispensable role in the gradual maturation of blockchain assets into mainstream financial assets. Its development will further bridge the gap between blockchain and traditional finance, promoting more extensive communication and cooperation between the two, thereby injecting new vitality into the transformation of the entire financial system.

In the alt season, which coins can be paid attention to next?

In the alt season, some projects stand out with their innovation, practical value and growth potential. Among the many alt coins, I mainly analyze Ethereum (ETH), Stellar (XLM), and Near Protocol (NEAR)

1. Ethereum (ETH): The cornerstone of decentralized finance (Figure 1) Ethereum ranks second in the digital currency and provides a powerful development platform for decentralized applications. Ethereum is currently trading at $3,874 and faces resistance at $3,935. A breakout of this level could trigger a rebound to $4,000, while a failure to break through could lead to a retracement to the $3,000 support level.

2. Stellar (XLM): Reshaping global payments (Figure 2) Stellar focuses on providing efficient cross-border payment solutions and is favored by financial institutions and remittance service providers. Currently, Stellar's value has risen by 480%, reflecting the market's increased recognition of its blockchain capabilities. With the expansion of its application scope and a clear focus on payment business, Stellar shows the potential to break through the descending triangle pattern and start an upward trend.

3. Near Protocol (NEAR): User-friendly blockchain platform (Figure 3) Near Protocol has become a scalable and easy-to-use blockchain platform favored by developers. The current trading range is around $7-8, with a 34% increase in the past two weeks. The mainstream market view is that driven by encrypted AI applications, the price target range is $16-30.

A simple way to judge the strength of the volume of altcoins:
Extremely strong: Return to the high before the bull market in 21 years, such as XRP
Strong: Exceed the high in early 2024, such as RAY
Neutral: Return to the high before early 2024, such as NEAR
Weak: Not back to the high before early 2024, such as GMT

The outbreak of altcoins often follows the high point of Bitcoin. We can divide it into three stages:

Stage 1: Bitcoin is the only one to take the lead. Estimated time: halving in 2024 to early 2025. This is a market dominated by Bitcoin, most funds are chasing "digital gold", and altcoins are in a dormant period.

Stage 2: Smart contract awakening led by Auntie. Estimated time: first half of 2025. Institutional funds flow to smart contracts and infrastructure assets.

Stage 3: Alternation of madness and despair. Estimated time: mid-2025 to the end of the year. Retail investors enter the market in large numbers, "demon coins" bloom, and funds rotate rapidly. At this time, the ability to distinguish opportunities from traps is particularly important.

Dealing with losses, as a term in the cryptocurrency world, refers to the situation where the price of a coin rebounds to the buying price, allowing one to sell and recover funds. Learning to deal with losses is essential for true hunting; learning to recover losses is crucial for truly understanding cryptocurrency trading.
Below are methods for dealing with losses, generally divided into two types.
1. Active Recovery Strategies
1. Cutting Losses
If it's clear that the purchase was a serious mistake, especially when buying at the peak of a previous surge, one must have the determination to decisively cut losses and sell off to protect capital. There are many opportunities in the cryptocurrency market; as long as capital is not significantly damaged, it can always be earned back.
2. Switching Coins
When the coin in hand is at a loss and in a weak position, still with the possibility of further decline, if one can accurately judge that another coin has significant potential for appreciation and a stronger trend, one can decisively switch to the new coin to offset losses from the old coin.
3. Short Selling
When it is determined that the position is deeply trapped and cannot be cut, and there is further potential for a significant decline in the market or a specific coin, one can use short selling, first selling the trapped coin, and then buying it back at a lower position, effectively reducing costs.
2. Passive Recovery Strategies
1. Averaging Down
If the buying price is not high or one is firmly optimistic about the future market, averaging down techniques can be employed. However, ordinary investors can usually only withstand one or two rounds of averaging down, so timing is crucial.
2. Waiting it Out
When fully invested and deeply trapped, with no ability to cut losses or add to positions, one can only passively wait. As long as it is one's own money, not borrowed or loaned, patience is important. One must not act emotionally by carelessly abandoning all efforts, blindly adding to positions, or hastily cutting losses. Being trapped is not terrible; sometimes not being trapped means not making money, while being trapped could potentially lead to significant profits.

Avoid these 15 common mistakes when investing in digital currencies:

1. Rushing to enter the market.

2. Buying when prices rise sharply and selling when they fall sharply.

3. Lacking a stop-loss strategy, allowing losses to expand.

4. Overtrading, leading to increased costs due to frequent buying and selling.

5. Blindly following others, lacking independent investment thinking.

6. Ignoring fundamentals, relying solely on technical analysis.

7. Making emotional decisions during market fluctuations, lacking rational analysis.

8. Overusing leverage, adding extra risk.

9. Ignoring market cycles, going against the trend.

The auntie followed the big cake and fell below the trend line. Let's see if the low point is at the bottom of the box.

Today, the momentum of some cottages is still good, #SSV, #ENS, #FTT, pay more attention.

Pick coin on December 27: XRP

XRP is currently priced at around 2.17, so you can buy it and leave a position for buying more. The 1h level has been closing continuously, showing signs of stopping the decline and rebounding. Secondly, the 4h level is at the support line, and XRP is also a relatively strong currency, so you can bet on a rebound!

USUAL, how to identify shorting USUAL trend trading opportunities from a technical perspective.
1. First, determine that the probability of a downward trend forming at the current level is high on the 15-minute chart (the high from 1 hour ago + insufficient upward momentum on the 4-hour chart).

2. When it breaks below 1.28, confirm the beginning of the downward trend on the 15-minute chart, so you can look for shorting entry points during the rebound, ensuring a risk-reward ratio of over 2 (expecting to take partial profits below 1.15) before participating.

3. In the short term, trading is random, but maintaining a logical trading process will lead to a positive expected value in the long run.

Hot coin tracking: FTT

The trend is good, the bottoming out is good in all aspects, and there is news of FTX compensation in 25 years, etc., you can hold it!

Bitcoin is currently mainly fluctuating, and the selling pressure on the smaller time frames has been mostly digested. If it can stabilize at this position, we can wait for another upward breakthrough.

If Bitcoin breaks through the 4H EMA moving average again, it should result in a significant volume breakthrough. This bullish wave is still lacking a bit in volume, which has prevented it from stabilizing above. Watch for support at 94500 below and resistance at 98500 above.

Signs of Recovery in Bitcoin ETF Buying

The four indicative Bitcoin spot ETFs: FBTC, ARKB, BITB, and BTC have finally ended their continuous net outflow since December 17, with a significant net inflow starting yesterday.

Among them, the net inflows for FBTC and ARKB reached 254 million and 187 million respectively.

ETH Market Analysis on December 27 🚩

Ethereum is currently showing a short-term rebound trend of one to two hours, with resistance levels above at 3407, 3469, and 3551. If it can break through 3407 on a four-hour closing basis, the rebound strength is expected to increase. If it fails to break through, attention should be paid to the minor support level at 3355 below. Once this support is broken, the rebound may be declared over, with the next target support levels at 3303, 3220, and 3104.