Midnight Thoughts on 12.20

In the weak intraday market, our approach to trading remains consistent, and we won’t take risks when the potential losses are too great. During the day, we projected that Bitcoin would hover around 101000, looking at the range of 100000-99500, and then the market fell to around 98700. This was a perfect prediction of this downward movement, allowing us to easily capture nearly 1700 points in space, and our thinking aligned with the intraday trend.

Currently, the daily chart clearly shows a downward trend for Bitcoin, with bearish candles appearing. After a decline in the evening, the upward resistance has significantly weakened, indicating that a subsequent downward trend is just a matter of time. Signs of increased volume have emerged, and the market remains firmly within a downward center, with moving average indicators clearly pointing downward. If we close with a bearish candle today, the 100000 area will solidify as a short-term bottom. Overall, multiple technical indicators point towards a strong downward trend.

In terms of operations, it is recommended to trade Bitcoin around 101000-100500, with target areas to focus on being around 100000-99500!

In the vast sea of people, meeting Ye Fan is fate! While good horses are common, true talent scouts are rare. Just as good horses achieve greatness with the help of scouts, so too do scouts thrive thanks to good horses. Therefore, making choices is very important.

December 19th, Market Highlights:
1. BTC follows the sharp decline of US stocks, altcoins plummet. Historically, gold often emerges before and after Christmas in Europe and America.
US stocks fell sharply. The Federal Reserve takes a hawkish stance 🦅, lowering interest rates by 25 basis points as expected in December, but guiding for only 2 rate cuts next year, far below the market expectation of 4.
2. Stablecoin usual opened higher. Usual collaborates with ENA, and the partnership is favorable for smaller entities. Usual launches a new mine with an annualized return of 70%, allowing stablecoins to simultaneously mine both yield from harmony and government bonds. The main innovation in this round of DeFi lies in stablecoins and on-chain exchanges.
3. Meme's pengu rises strongly. A community culture developed over 4 years, with more diamond hands.
4. On-chain AI's arc surges. Arc plans to create a trading platform similar to virtual coin pairs. BN wallet alpha stimulated the on-chain small coin market.
Follow Ye Fan for more market analysis and trading advice, seize investment opportunities, and navigate market dynamics!

December 19th Intraday Analysis

Market Situation: Yesterday's trend repeatedly broke the 104,000 downward support, with bulls recovering slowly, showing a strong flood release reversal, with Bitcoin dropping to a low near 100,300. The Federal Reserve's interest rate in the early morning met expectations with little impact, but Powell's speech indicated a potential slowdown in rate cuts next year, which could have a profound impact on the cryptocurrency market.

The downward support on the four-hour level has been broken, with the Bollinger Bands extending downward with a large opening, providing significant support space below. The subsequent bearish pullback space is enormous, shifting the operational strategy to focus on short positions, and shorting on rebounds.

In terms of operation, it is recommended to short Bitcoin: short near 101,000, with a target looking down to around 100,000-99,500.

In the vast sea of people, you meet Ye Fan, this is fate! Good horses are common, but good judges are rare. Just as a good horse achieves a good judge, a good judge also realizes the potential of a good horse, so choosing is very important.

【Position Holding Reminder】 I believe many friends who are struggling are unable to sleep due to being trapped!

Friends who hold positions definitely do not want to exit because they are reluctant, afraid of missing out on potential gains if they cut the position, and worried about further losses if they don't. They constantly tell themselves that it should drop, but they are already swayed by floating profits and losses, starting to lose their way. Insisting on holding the position will only cause them to miss out on more profits.

Ye Fan is open tonight! Continuing online to help with free position resolution!

12.18 Evening Analysis

From the perspective of the four-hour K-line, the current low position turns upward, and there is a large upward space. The short-term price trend is not obvious. At present, it is above the lower Bollinger track and the market is weak and oscillating. Since it rebounds again, we should pay attention to the price rebound situation before making a judgment!

In terms of operation, it is recommended that Bitcoin pay attention to the price breakthrough first. The big cake breaks through the 104700-105000 range, indicating that the small level successfully stops the decline and the price will go up. At that time, pay attention to the pressure of 106000. If it breaks through the 110,000 mark again, the big cake will break through the 110,000 mark. If it falls below the 103000-103600 range again, the big cake will continue to pull back. At that time, pay attention to the support below 101200-100000

You met Ye Fan in the vast sea of ​​people. This is fate! There are often good horses, but there are not often good horse trainers. It is not only the good horses that make good horse trainers, but also the good horse trainers that make good horses, so the choice is very important.

The most important events tonight will be the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and Powell's speech.
Currently, the 4-hour technical chart shows that the RSI indicator has entered the overbought zone, which usually indicates that the market may face short-term correction pressure. However, it is worth noting that although the price encountered some resistance after reaching the top of the range, it has not clearly broken below the upward trend line.
In this context, relying solely on the RSI being overbought is not sufficient reason to short the market. This is because the market may still maintain strong momentum and continue to rise. Unless investors have positioned themselves ahead of time at the top of the range, blindly shorting in the current upward channel carries significant risk.
A more prudent strategy is to pay attention to the relationship between the price and the channel. When the price gradually approaches the bottom of the range or the lower channel, these positions often provide better entry opportunities and make it easier to set reasonable stop-loss points. Because when shorting at these positions, the stop-loss can be set at the lower lows, making the risk relatively controllable.

In summary, before the upward trend of the market shows a clear reversal, shorting at the top is highly risky, as the exact position of the top is often difficult to predict. Rational analysis and cautious operations are the key to long-term success.

When the market sentiment drops a bit, there are always people shouting out loud. What kind of people do they belong to?
Firstly, these people have never experienced a bull market, and some entered the market before the last bull market ended. When the market turned from bull to bear, they were stuck for years, not believing there will be another bull market. These individuals are overwhelmed by counterfeit assets and cannot see a bright day ahead, which leads to their emotions being easily uncontrollable.
In their thinking and perception, a bull market is one that rises continuously without any pullbacks. They are happy when the market rises and anxious when it falls, with their emotions completely controlled by the market.
I can clearly tell you that in this round, you still won't earn what you want. #加密市场盘整 #BTC再创新高 #PENGU开盘 $BTC $ETH

12.18 Lunchtime Analysis

Bitcoin surged and fell yesterday. Short-term failure to hold the 108,000 mark is ready to hit 110,000

The four-hour correction is currently underway, and the middle track has not fallen below; the hourly line has fallen below the trend line support

It is recommended to buy more than 104,500-105,000, and look up to 106,000-107,000

You met Ye Fan in the vast sea of ​​people, this is fate! There are often good horses, but there are not often good horse trainers. It is not only the good horses that make good horse trainers, but also the good horse trainers that make good horses, so the choice is very important. #BTC再创新高 #PENGU开盘 #币安Alpha $BTC $ETH

【Position Holding Tips】 I believe many friends who are not doing well are unable to sleep due to being trapped!

Friends holding positions certainly do not want to exit, because they are reluctant, and if they cut losses, they fear a drop, but if they don't cut, they fear further increases. They will repeatedly tell themselves that it should drop, but they have already been swayed by floating profits and losses, starting to lose themselves. Insisting on holding positions will only cause them to miss out on more profits.

Ye Fan is open all night! Continuously online to help you free yourself from your positions!

Evening Thoughts on November 17: Today's bullish outlook continues from yesterday. In a strong market, we can only go long; shorting carries too much risk and does not correlate with overall earnings. This morning and afternoon, we targeted Bitcoin around 105500-106000, looking towards 108000, and then the market surged to the 107502 level. This was a perfect anticipation for this evening's move, and our Bitcoin position once again captured nearly 1000 points of space, while Ethereum's performance was slightly weaker, only gaining around 30 points. Overall, the thought process aligns well with the market dynamics. The levels were also controlled quite accurately; in such a market, as long as the levels are accurately controlled before entering, it becomes easy to profit. Recently, we have adjusted some strategies and plans, and the market sentiment is quite enthusiastic. If needed, you can directly reach out to Teacher Ye Fan.

From the current market perspective, the daily line clearly shows a one-sided upward trend for Bitcoin, with bullish candles appearing, and the half-box pattern gradually improving. After a strong rise in the evening, the rebound highs are steadily increasing, with significant bullish momentum recovering lower space, indicating that the subsequent upward trend is merely a matter of time. Bullish volume signs are already evident, and the market remains firmly in an upward center, with its momentum continuously growing, and moving averages clearly pointing upwards. If today closes with a bullish candle, the 105500 area will solidify as a short-term bottom. Multiple technical indicators point towards a gradual yet firm upward trend.

Trading Suggestions: Bitcoin: Long at 106500-106000, target at 108500; Ethereum: Long at 3980-3960, target at 41000.

12.17 Afternoon Analysis

From the 4-hour candlestick trend, the Bollinger Bands are opening upward, indicating a solid dominance of the bulls. However, the KDJ indicator has not been able to maintain its expansion after the three lines crossed, suggesting that short-term bullish momentum has weakened, and the upward trend may gradually slow down. Nevertheless, the overall trend remains bullish, with Bitcoin continuously hitting new highs. The current high is a good number, at the 107777 line, and the 110,000 mark is still a bit short; this trend has hopes of breaking through this week.

Trading Suggestions:

Bitcoin: Watch around 106000, aiming for around 108000.

Altcoin: Watch around 3960-3980, aiming for around 4150.

In the vast sea of people, you meet Ye Fan; this is fate! While good horses are common, good horse trainers are rare. Just as a good horse makes a good trainer, a good trainer also makes a good horse, so choices are very important. #USUAL现货开盘预测 #加密用户突破1800万 #加密用户突破1800万 $BTC #

Key focus on the Fed's last interest rate decision of the year at 3 AM on the 19th (Wednesday night the 18th).
The market expects a continued rate cut of 25 basis points, with more being a major boost and less being a disadvantage (if it continues to cut by 25 basis points, then pay attention to Powell's speech at 3:30 for further insights). Stay tuned!
Follow Ye Fan for more market analysis and trading advice to seize investment opportunities and navigate the market trends!! ​​​

$ 12.17 Morning Thoughts Layout

Bitcoin has once again experienced an explosion. After continuously refreshing historical highs yesterday, there was a brief pullback during the European session. After the US stock market opened, Bitcoin surged again, continuing to set new highs. With the arrival of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and the impending inauguration of Trump, a series of narratives have led to a growing optimism towards Bitcoin in the market. This optimism has resulted in another explosive and significant rise in Bitcoin prices, closely related to Trump's supportive policies for cryptocurrencies. He has promised to make the United States a superpower in Bitcoin and actively promote a friendly regulatory environment for digital assets, breaking the restrictions during the Biden administration. These policy expectations are likely to drive a substantial increase in Bitcoin demand, further pushing up the price.

On the daily chart, Bitcoin has recorded four consecutive days of bullish candles with prices continuing to rise. The call from the understanding king has ignited the crypto circle, breaking historical highs at midnight again. The accompanying indicators are showing continuous expansion, and BOLL is gradually showing signs of turning upward. It’s not over yet; the bulls will continue to stretch. Don’t try to guess the top; just get on board when there’s a pullback to key support. Currently, in the short term, the price of Bitcoin is facing resistance at the 108,000 line. After consecutive highs, a certain adjustment is needed. After the adjustment, the next target will be the 110,000-112,000 area, with pullbacks still being the main way to participate.

Morning operation suggestions:

BTC: Buy on a pullback to 105,000 with a target of 108,000. A short-term pullback is possible; if you're aggressive, you can catch a short wave.

ETH: Buy on a pullback to 3,930 with a target of 4,100.

In the vast sea of people, you meet Ye Fan; this is fate! There are often good horses, but good talent is rare. Just as good horses achieve great talents, great talents also achieve good horses, so choices are very important. #BTC再创新高 #VANA开盘 #币安HODLer空投CAT、PENGU $BTC $ETH

【Position Holding Reminder】 I believe many partners who are not doing well are sleepless due to their positions!

Partners holding positions definitely do not want to exit because they are reluctant to do so, afraid of losses if they cut their positions, and worried about further gains if they hold on. You constantly tell yourself that it should drop, but you are already swayed by floating profits and losses, starting to lose yourself. Insisting on holding the position will only cause you to miss out on more profits.

Ye Fan is open tonight! Continuously online to help you resolve your positions for free!

11.16 Evening Operation Suggestions
In the 4-hour K-line trend, signs of an upward peak have already appeared, which may suggest a further pullback or adjustment of the price. There may be a small downward trend in the evening session, but at present, the possibility of a significant drop is low, so chasing highs should be done with caution!

From the current market perspective, it is difficult for Bitcoin to break through the upper pressure area of 108000 in the short term. However, if factors such as market sentiment and trading volume coalesce to break this pressure, the upward space for Bitcoin may further expand, with at least tens of thousands of points of upward space remaining.
The evening will continue to watch for pullbacks, with quick entries and exits, and avoid chasing highs or going all in. Pay attention to the strong support level.

Ye Fan suggests buying in the 103500-103000 area, with a target of 105000.
In the vast sea of people, meeting Ye Fan is fate! There are often good horses, but good judges are rare. Just as good horses make good judges, good judges also make good horses, so choices are very important.

Trump's Bold Claim:
The Cryptocurrency Field!
America Must Be the Leader!
Latest News! On December 15, former President Trump made shocking statements about cryptocurrency in an interview with CNBCicon!
Trump confidently stated, "We are going to harness cryptocurrency to do some truly great things! ... Others are slowly accepting it, but we are going to lead this industry!"
Trump's remarks undoubtedly injected new vitality and expectations into the cryptocurrency field!

Bitcoin reaches a new high, Ethereum returns to the 4000 mark.
Currently fluctuating around 104500 in the four-hour chart. If it continues to rise, any pullback would be a trap for shorts. The resistance above during the day is at 106600 and 107500, while the support below is at 103000 and 102300. Therefore, our strategy remains to buy low and temporarily avoid short positions!

　　In terms of operations, it is recommended to buy Bitcoin around 103500, add to positions at 102800, with a stop-loss at 102300, and a target range of 105500-106000!

　　In the vast crowd, meeting Ye Fan is fate! There are often talented horses, but good judges are rare. It is the talented horse that makes the good judge, and it is also the good judge that makes the talented horse, so choosing wisely is very important.

"In the near future: Bitcoin and Ethereum will ignite a dual-peak bull market!"
Additionally, BlackRock has released a report on Bitcoin, suggesting that investors allocate 1-2% of Bitcoin in their portfolios. This could drive inflows from wealth management companies and large pension funds into Bitcoin.
----BlackRock is the world's largest asset management company with an asset management scale of $11.5 trillion!
The holdings of Ethereum spot ETFs have significantly increased. Since the launch in July 2024, the total amount of Ethereum held by U.S. Ethereum spot ETFs has risen from 3.095 million to 3.41 million. This ongoing accumulation may have a significant impact on Ethereum's price, with strong buying pressure expected to push the price close to or above historical highs.

Monday Morning Market Layout 12.16

　　Looking at the market, the situation is very promising, and the bull market continues. Reviewing the weekend's performance, we can see that Bitcoin has repeatedly challenged its high limits and successfully crossed those highs. It is currently oscillating around 101000--104000.

　　The four-hour K-line has seen a continuous rise with positive candlesticks, indicating a slow upward trend. The overall trend has entered an overbought condition, but it is just a step away. Trading should discard personal subjective speculation; the correct approach is to go with the trend and closely follow the market’s pace. The current market is still dominated by bullish sentiment, and before the trend changes, any pullback gives an opportunity to be bullish.

　　Bitcoin trading advice:

　　Bitcoin: Buy around 102500-103000, target 105000

　　Ethereum trading advice:

　　Buy around 3880, target 3960

　　In the vast sea of people, you meet Ye Fan, that is destiny! A good horse is often available, but a good judge is not. It is both the good horse that achieves the judge and the judge that achieves the good horse, so choices are very important. #纳斯达克100指数宣布纳入微策略 #币安LaunchpoolVANA #VELODROME将上线币安 $BTC $ETH