Good evening, everyone. I'll update you while I'm free. At present, the actual price of the big cake has fallen below 9.6. It's not the right time to buy the bottom at 9.5. The next extreme support is 9.1-9.2. The US stock market opened tonight and it is uncertain whether it will continue to test downward. If you want to open more, you have to consider the profit and loss ratio to prevent pins.

According to CME data, the market currently believes that the probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 points in January is only 4.8%, and 95.2% remains unchanged. The next good news will have to wait for Chuanzi to take office. It is estimated that there will be a wide range of fluctuations to harvest funds. Everyone should be careful not to be thrown off the car.

$BTC Open long positions: 9.3 light positions, 9.2 callbacks, add positions, and the 1-hour line falls below 9.1 and cannot be recovered. Stop loss. Look at the pressure of 9.6. If it can't reach 9.6, just stop profit directly. If it reaches 9.8, look at it.

$ETH Open long position: light long position near 3200, add long position after callback to 3150, the 1-hour line actually fell below 3100 and could not recover the loss. Look up to 3500, and continue to look at 3700-3800 after it stabilizes.

Good evening, everyone. It's been very uncomfortable waiting for the second cake to rise recently, but we have to wait. If Chuanzi's appointment is regarded as the last wave of positive news, and the second cake breaks the previous high, there is still a lot of room above. Tonight, let's see if the Nasdaq can hold the support of 19,000. I hope it can open low and go high.

$BTC Open long position: light position near 9.5, if the 1-hour line falls below 9.4 and cannot be recovered, it will be a loss. Look at around 9.7. If it stands firm and wants to have a pattern, continue to look at 9.8-10.

$ETH Open long position: light position near 3400, if the 1-hour line falls below 3350 and cannot be recovered, it will be a loss. Look at around 3500. If it stands firm and wants to have a pattern, see if 3580 can be broken.

There are fewer sneak attacks on weekends now. If the expected point cannot be reached on weekends, just rest normally.

Finally, I hope everyone will make a fortune together in the new year.

Good Sunday everyone, the weekend market is really slow, hopefully, it can pick up this afternoon and evening. The major coin is currently fluctuating in the 9.6-9.2 range on the daily chart, while the second coin is fluctuating in the 3320-3420 range. Currently, the second coin is at 3380, with MA60 and MA5 overlapping; if it can hold above 3380 today, it can continue to rise.

Major coin long entry point: Lightly enter long near 9.40, target 9.6, a loss if the 1-hour line drops below 9.3 and does not recover. If it can hold above 9.6, close half and look towards 9.7-9.9, and focus on whether it can push to 10 and hold next week.

Second coin long entry point: Lightly enter long near 3300, target 3400, a loss if the 1-hour line drops below 3250 and does not recover. If it can hold above 3400, close half and look towards 3480-3550-3600, and focus on whether it can break through and hold above 3520-3580 next week.

Good evening everyone, I've been a bit busy lately, with the New Year approaching and a lot of personal matters to attend to. When I have some time, I will check the market and write a bit. On Tuesday night, I predicted that the Christmas trend would be weak. I didn't expect Bitcoin to directly test the 100,000 mark; it's really hard to wait for a low buy, and instead, Ethereum is showing a downward trend with the short position points reached. Still, as I said, in a bull market, many suffer losses. Everyone must manage their stop-losses well while trading, preserve their capital, and patiently wait for the market conditions to improve.

Tonight, the institutions on Wall Street should all be back to work. Asian market funds are urgently fleeing to seek safe havens; I suggest we also hold off and observe for a bit. ETF futures are down; let's wait and see if we can catch a low buy.

Open long position at $BTC : Lightly buy around 9.35, add more on a pullback to 9.3, set a stop-loss at 9.2 for a real breakout, and take profit at 9.7-9.8.

Open long position at $ETH : Lightly buy around 3270, add more on a pullback to 3220, set a stop-loss at 3200 for a real breakout, and the first target for profit is 3490, closing half near it, and if it breaks 3580, take profit freely.

Merry Christmas

Good evening, everyone. Today I reviewed the market. The price I gave yesterday was too fast for the big pie to fall. I guess you didn't dare to take it. The second pie hasn't arrived yet, which is very annoying. I looked at the copycats and many of them didn't fall with the big pie. The number of rising currencies is 1200+, while the decline is only 114. This is good news. At least the funds in the market are not so panicked, but the stop loss point still needs to be given. I hope everyone will not fall on the eve of victory.

The operation at night is still mainly low-long. Those who sleep late can wait for the high-short point, and try not to place an order to go short.

$BTC Opening long point: light long near 9.3, target 9.45-9.5 first, and continue to look up after it stabilizes. Stop loss is set at 9.2, and it actually falls below.
Opening short point: light short near 9.6, target 9.4-9.3. Stop loss is set at breaking through 9.68 and stabilizing.

$ETH Open long position: light long position near 3300, target 3450 first, close half of the position if it stands firm, and see if 3550 can be broken. If it can't be broken, take all profits. If it can break, just keep running. Stop loss consider the 1-hour line of 3250 that falls and can't recover the loss.

Open short position: 3550 can't stand firm or a large pin is inserted, light short position, look down 100 points to about 3450, continue to fall or stop falling, you can directly take profit.

PS: Considering that the Americans will go to Christmas and the trading volume will decrease, the take profit position is not very structured. The second cake may have a larger amplitude than the big cake because the Asian market prefers to be manipulated a little bit, so the take profit should be based on the actual situation.

I'm even worried about falling down like this 9😂

There is something wrong with the large volume of Bitcoin falling like this. The news is on September 42 that BlackRock deposited 828 Bitcoins with Coinbase. Does anyone in the square have any idea?

Good evening everyone, the weekend market was really slow, I hope we can find direction today. The long strategy given last night was quite thrilling, the hourly line dipped down and then returned to 3250, but the buying volume was too low only reaching 3360, making a small profit. The major coin is performing even weaker, with Christmas approaching, I wonder if we can break out before then. The strength of the bulls continues to weaken, and it will be necessary to consider shorting at high points.

Tonight's trading suggestion remains to go long at low levels, the major coin points will be a bit more conservative, and the second coin at 3250 currently seems to be able to hold up, but a support level is hard to maintain after multiple tests, so we can lower it a bit.

Opening long position for $BTC : Consider lightly going long around 9.4, with a stop loss below 9.3, targeting around 9.55-9.6. If it spikes to around 9.8 tonight but doesn't hold, we can lightly open a short position.

Opening long position for $ETH : Lightly go long near 3220, with a stop loss below 3180, targeting around 3350. It's not recommended to short the second coin tonight, but if you must, do it synchronously with the major coin.

PS: New Year's Day is approaching, and if the market remains low and you can't keep an eye on it, focus on your own matters first, preserve your capital, and have a good New Year.
I’ve been feeling overwhelmed by the market trends lately, there’s no room for any pattern, as for the bull market, I firmly believe it’s still there, it's a kind of faith unless a major shift happens in the crypto space, but the probability is low.

Good evening, another weekend is about to end. The points given last night for the big pancake and the second pancake have reached near the target positions. This afternoon, taking profit around 1500/100 points should be fine, congratulations to the friends who made a profit.

Next week is close to Christmas, and this moment feels quite difficult. It's better to take some short-term profits; we should wait for a clearer direction for the overall pattern. The reason I rarely provide both long and short points is that we are still in a bull market. If I give a short position, and someone doesn't exit, it can harm the overall pattern... Remember, when the market does not allow for a clear pattern, prioritize securing profits that you can see.

Opening long position for $BTC : Open long around 9.6, the closer to 9.5, the better. Aim for 9.7-9.8, if it drops below 9.5, cut losses.

Opening long position for $ETH : Still suggest opening long around 3300, as long as it stays close to 3250 without breaking, it's fine. If we can't hold above 3400, consider taking half profits and then reassess the situation. If it actually drops below 3250 and doesn't recover, cut losses.

PS: I am bearish for next week’s Christmas, but I might not take this short position because I don’t want to seek a sword by the boat. Each week has its own market, and I will post updates after watching the market; everyone can follow for the latest position suggestions.

Good evening, Saturday night brings another drop that is likely to dampen the mood of spot traders and those holding long contracts. But there’s nothing we can do; with Christmas approaching, the downward movements are likely to become more frequent. As mentioned in previous articles, don’t get too caught up in the situation. From my perspective, the current levels of market panic and greed seem to be about the same. The market can eat people regardless of how the dogs play.

If Bitcoin drops below 9.5 again, it’s hard to say where the bottom will be. The second coin hasn't even reached 3580 and has already been knocked down. Currently, it looks like it will fluctuate widely around 3460-3250. This position is actually quite frustrating; if you’re going long, you need to be patient, and if you’re going short, you also need to be patient. Sticking to the principle of buying on dips in a bull market, I still recommend waiting for an opportunity to go long.

Long entry point: around 9.55 with a light position; if it breaks below 9.5 without a rebound, then take a loss. Looking up to 9.7-9.8; if it can stabilize on Monday, we can look at the upside, but if it gets there, I recommend taking profits first.

Long entry point: around 3300 with a light position; if it breaks below 3250, then take a loss. Looking at 3400-3550; if it stabilizes, just continue to look upwards.

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Good evening, everyone. I thought that the U.S. stock market crashed and fell for a few days after Bao's speech, and then recovered and fell again on Christmas, but the actual situation is more serious. ETF fell again before the market. During this period, the Americans also withdrew cash to prepare for the holiday. Funds should not flow into the cryptocurrency circle too much. Those who have spot and long contracts should try to hold on for this period.

At present, it is best not to guess the bottom and open long positions. It is not easy to short short positions at the current point. You can only wait patiently for the market to recover.

In my opinion, whether the bull market is still there depends on Chuanzi's attitude towards the cryptocurrency circle after he takes office. Is it to throw it away after use or continue to use the cryptocurrency circle for profit.
The good news is that Dongda loosened its mouth a little some time ago. Chuanzi felt that the benefits were big enough and took the cryptocurrency circle up with him when he took office;
The bad news is that BlackRock bought too much and has the ability to control the market. It goes without saying that all cottages follow the big cake. If you control the big cake, you can basically control the rise and fall of most coins. Chuanzi still supports the big cake. At that time, if the benefits are unevenly distributed, it may be possible to change the gameplay directly and ignore the life and death of the cryptocurrency circle.

Finally, I hope everyone can survive this bull market. I wish you all the best.

Good evening, everyone. At present, the big cake has not pulled back and directly hit a new high. The second cake broke through 4100 as expected and then fell back to 4000. In the short term, 10.2 may be the iron bottom of the big cake. At present, the bullish trend is obvious. It is hard to say where the big cake will go this week. In terms of operation, it is recommended to go long after the retracement.

For short orders, I suggest to do it close to next week. This Christmas may not necessarily plummet, but the Americans will go to the holiday and the trading volume will be much less, so it is not easy to be hung on the tree.

$BTC Open long position: aggressive long position near 10.4, long position at 10.3, and actual loss below 10.2. Target 10.7 stabilizes and looks at 10.9.

$ETH Open long position: aggressive long position near 3960, long position at 3920, and actual loss below 3900. Target 4050 stabilizes and looks at 4100.

It is not easy to keep updating, I hope you can pay attention and like to support, the analysis content is updated daily:)

Good evening everyone, on Sunday I opened a long position on the second contract and gained about 170 points, congratulations to those who followed and profited. It's a bit unfortunate that the main contract didn't provide an opportunity; currently, the main contract is hovering around 100,000, which is not a good sign. Both long and short positions carry significant risks. During this period, it's evident that the copycats are not following much, and the second contract hasn't increased as expected.

Currently, the main contract ETF is still growing, while the second contract has seen some pullback. Be cautious with trades tonight; the entry points may need to be conservative. Opening long positions during a bull market at lower points is relatively safe.

$BTC Long entry point: If it doesn't break 10.2, lightly open a long position nearby, and when it gains about 1,000 points, consider exiting. If the U.S. stock market opens and directly breaks below 10.2, then place a long order around 9.8, with a stop loss at 9.7. If opened long at 9.8, aim for 10.1, and if it stabilizes, look at 10.3; if it breaks through, set a breakeven order at 10.2 and continue looking upward.

$ETH Long entry point: Lightly open a long position near 3825, add to the position at 3800 on a pullback, with an actual stop loss below 3760, targeting 3950, and set a breakeven stop loss at 3900, then look at 4100. I feel that when the main contract goes down once, the second contract will surge along with it when it goes back up.

It's not easy to keep updating; I hope everyone can pay attention, like, and support. The analysis content is updated daily :)

Good evening everyone, it's Sunday night again. Overall, there hasn’t been much movement this weekend; Bitcoin is fluctuating upward while altcoins are trending downward, creating a divergence. Funds are fleeing from altcoins, and the gainers list is filled with some strange altcoins; I'm seeing varying levels of fund outflows from the meme coins I’m familiar with. I bought a little NEIRO and will see how it goes before selling. If you want to buy the dip on altcoins, consider purchasing some you are familiar with and wait for the price to drop sufficiently before entering.

According to PANews, Tianfeng Securities released a research report stating that the market has strong expectations for interest rate cuts. After the U.S. non-farm payroll data for November was released, the market's expectation for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has risen to 86%. With this favorable news, Bitcoin may break a new high of 10.4 next week. It's advised to open low long positions, keep good stop-losses, and patiently wait for a direction next week, and don’t be greedy for the last bit. Right now, the market is unpredictable; once the favorable news is exhausted, it turns into a bearish sentiment. It’s common to see people smiling from profits one moment and then turning those into losses shortly after.

Long entry point for $BTC : Light long positions near 10.05, actual stop-loss below 9.92, target at 10.3 with hopes of stabilizing at 10.4, and set a break-even order at 10.2 to continue looking upward.

Long entry point for $ETH : Light long positions near 3840, add more on a pullback to 3800, actual stop-loss below 3750, target at 3950, set break-even stop-loss at 3900, and then look for a new high of 4100.

Good evening, on Saturday, both the big cake and the second cake fell. The big cake was still able to maintain fluctuations above 100,000, but the second cake failed to make up for the rise of 4,000 and fell instead, leading the cottage to dive together. At present, it is uncertain whether the big cake will break the new high and then pull back or go down directly. It is safer to do some short-term low-long on the weekend, and wait for the direction to come out next week before taking the medium-term order.

$BTC Opening long position: light long position near 9.95, actual loss below 9.9, target 10.2, stand firm and look at 10.3-10.4.

$ETH Opening long position: light long position near 3850, actual loss below 3800, target near 3950, if it stands firm, you can wait and see if it will make up for the rise, if it does, the target is near 4100.

Recently, the big cake has been pulling, and seeing the cottage funds actively hedging, it is likely that the wash will not be far away. One of the theoretical supports is that BlackRock has been buying, and it cannot sell without pulling up. The Asian market and retail investors have been killed so badly that they will not rush in without some actual benefits.

Good evening, today the prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum have barely stabilized, and there is a CPI release tonight that poses a downside risk. Currently, Ethereum has not broken through the previous resistance level of 3760, while Bitcoin has stabilized at 9.8. Personally, I feel that Ethereum's rebound is not over yet. In terms of operations, both low long and high short positions are fine, just avoid chasing after rising prices or panic selling. If Bitcoin does not break a new high this week, I feel it will continue to decline, and I strongly recommend taking profits to secure gains, as this market structure is prone to profit withdrawal or even losses.

Long entry points for Bitcoin: Light long at 9.6-9.55, stop loss if it actually breaks 9.45, target around 9.8. If it stabilizes at 9.85, then look at 9.9-10.

Short entry points for Bitcoin: Light short near 9.85, stop loss around 9.98, target to break down to 9.7 and then look for 9.6-9.5.

Long entry points for Ethereum: Light long near 3580, stop loss if it actually breaks 3500, target to stabilize around 3720 and then look at 3760-3800-3900-4000.

Short entry points for Ethereum: Light short near 3760, stop loss if it breaks and stabilizes at 3800, target to look down at 3600 and then continue to look for 3580-3520.

It is not easy to keep updating, I hope everyone can pay attention and support by liking, analysis content is updated daily :)

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I looked at the daily chart and found that you can place a long order near 3330-3320 for the second cake. The forced liquidation should be below 3000, or with a 30-50 pip stop loss. If the price continues to drop in the next few days, it will be a big profit if you can catch it.
#市场回调抄底还是观望？

Good afternoon, the two waves of selling in the early morning caused heavy losses for the bulls. I set a breakeven stop on my order and went to sleep. When I woke up, there was another sharp drop. There isn't much news that could influence this; it can only be attributed to someone leading the charge to sell off. Since December, I've felt that the market dynamics haven't allowed for profits; not holding overnight orders actually makes it easier to prevent profit loss and handle sudden situations.

In my view, the bull market is not over yet; it should at least last until January or February next year. As for how things will go afterward, it depends on the international situation and the policies of the bulls. Currently, we also need to guard against retail investors taking profits before Christmas, so I plan not to open long positions next week. Today, it's fine to operate with long positions at low points and short positions at high points. Given the clear weakness in the Asian session, it's not too late to wait until tonight to open positions.

Opening long position: Near 9.65-9.7 with a light position, actual stop loss below 9.6, target is to stabilize at 9.8 and look for 9.9-10.

Opening short position: Near 9.8 with a light position, actual stop loss if stabilized at 9.85, target is to break down to 9.7 and look for around 9.6.

Opening long position: Near 3680-3700 with a light position, actual stop loss below 3630, target is to stabilize at 3800 and look for 3900.

Opening short position: If 3800 does not stabilize, then with a light position nearby, stop loss if stabilized at 3850, target is to look down at 3700, and if 3680 breaks down, continue to look down at 3600.

It's not easy to keep updating; I hope everyone can pay attention, like, and support me. Analysis content is updated daily:)

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Good evening, this is the evening analysis. I wanted to post at 11 o'clock, but I took a look at the ETF situation and held back and watched the market for a while. Someone is obviously dumping the market tonight. At present, the big cake has fallen by nearly 3,000 points, the second cake is close to 150 points, and the ETF and Nasdaq are also in the red. Fortunately, after seeing the rebound in the afternoon, it was beaten down and the long orders were called out first. At present, I have taken a little rebound at 3810, and it will be closed if the situation is not right. If there is a daily level correction, the support of the big cake and the second cake will be seen around 9.7/3780. Try to open long positions at this point. There will be no short positions tonight. Beware of the sudden V-up of long and short double kills.

$BTC Long position: light long positions around 9.7, add long positions when it falls back to 9.65, and actually fall below 9.6. Loss, the target is 9.8, stand firm and look at 9.9-10.

$ETH Open long position: light long position around 3780-3800, add long position when it falls back to 3750, loss if it actually falls below 3720, target 3900, and 4000 is enough if it stabilizes.