New coins are often more easily accepted by the market compared to old coins.

Tcc currently maintains a market value of 13 million, while Bob has shrunk to only 5 million. When Binance launches new coins, they employ a rather clever strategy to activate a blockchain. They tend to give the secondary market some space, controlling the initial supply to tens of millions or even millions, rather than launching at a scale of hundreds of millions from the outset. As CZ mentioned yesterday, sometimes there is no need for advance announcements; going live directly can also be effective. This approach is to avoid overly suppressing the vitality of the secondary market.

Currently, blockchain technology is quite mature. After an announcement is made, it can go live within just a few hours, and a large number of people have already completed related operations on the chain.

BSC (Binance Smart Chain) has a commendable aspect where, after the price of popular coins drops, community members or even retail investors often spontaneously organize themselves to explore new development paths, trying to rejuvenate the coin.

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Grass may be suitable for a short-term operation.

Although the trend line has been genuinely broken, the consensus around the 1.5 resistance level remains strong. This morning, the 1.5 resistance level only experienced a false breakout.

It is recommended to short near 1.5 and pay attention to the range between 1.44 and 1.39. At the same time, keep an eye on the remaining space to see if it can further drop to around 1.29. The stop-loss level can be set at 1.56.

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Solana (SOL) Price Key Battle: $190 and $199 Become the Turning Point of Destiny!
Solana (SOL) is at a critical decision moment, and the two prices of $190 and $199 have become the key to determine its future trend. They are not only the core reference points in technical analysis, but also a direct reflection of market sentiment.

$190: An Indestructible Support Line

At present, $190 has built a solid support barrier for SOL. A large number of open contracts are gathered near this price, showing that buyers are very interested in this area. This price has successfully resisted the downward trend of prices many times and is an important position for bulls to hold on. Once $190 is effectively broken, it may trigger a chain of selling reactions, leading to further price declines.

$199: The main battlefield of the long-short battle

Originally regarded as a difficult resistance level, $199 may turn into a new support area after being broken recently. The successful consolidation of $199 means that bullish momentum is increasing, which may push the price of SOL to $205 or even higher. However, if it fails to stabilize above this price, the breakthrough may be just a false alarm, and the price may fall back to around $190.

Market dynamics: trading opportunities in volatility

Currently, the price of SOL has broken through $199, showing the potential for growth. Traders need to pay close attention to the stability of the $199 price level and the peak of open interest near $205. This information is crucial for predicting future price trends.

If the $199 price level is lost, the market may pull back to the $190 support level again, thus starting a new round of price fluctuations.

Summary
For Solana (SOL), $190 and $199 are the most critical game points at present. Whether it breaks through or falls below these two price levels, it will trigger violent market fluctuations. Traders need to be cautious and use data such as open interest to gain insight into market trends in order to seize potential trading opportunities.

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Can investing in PEPE tokens lead to overnight wealth?

The current price of PEPE tokens is $0.000009539. If you invest $1,000, you can purchase approximately 1 billion PEPE tokens.

Assuming the price of PEPE tokens rises to $0.001, your $1,000 investment would appreciate to over $100,000, but there is still a significant gap to the $1 million target. To achieve a $1 million return, the price of PEPE tokens would need to rise to $0.0096, which means a 1,000-fold increase is required.

So, can PEPE tokens rise to $0.001?

From a market capitalization perspective, if the price of PEPE tokens reaches this level, its market cap would reach $420 billion, which would put it on par with some well-known cryptocurrencies, making it quite challenging.

Additionally, from a circulation perspective, the total supply of PEPE tokens is over 420 trillion, meaning that significant buying power is needed to drive the price up.

Market conditions are also an important factor affecting the price of PEPE tokens. The rise and fall of its price depend on the number of users, the hype surrounding it, and the overall environment of the cryptocurrency market.

In summary, while there is potential for PEPE tokens to increase in price, achieving a growth from $1,000 to $1 million will be very difficult unless there are significant market changes or positive news. Investors should carefully consider these factors and assess the risks when making investment decisions.

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$BTC New Weekly Bitcoin Market Outlook

The key support level of Bitcoin is 95555. Although it briefly dipped and quickly rebounded last night, it was just a small episode during the low trading volume over the weekend.

The overall market showed a weak pattern, the rebound was always quickly suppressed, and the small-level oscillation range was narrowing.

CZ's call did bring a little life to the dull currency circle, but the key lies in whether BNB can have substantive actions and influence in the future. After all, consistency between words and deeds is the key, and market reaction is the only criterion for testing the truth. If BNB wants to pull the market, it cannot do without the stable cooperation of BTC, at least it needs to keep sideways without falling.

In my opinion, the current adjustment strength has been reduced compared with that in March 24. Last time we focused on the weekly MACD returning to the zero axis, and this time we can pay attention to the changes in the 3-day MACD. Once it returns to the zero axis and the K-line gives a corresponding signal, it will be a good time to arrange long orders.

At present, the price of the 3-day MA60 moving average is about 81,000, and it will continue to rise over time.

The small-level upward resistance points are: 100500, 102000 and 106000 (short selling can be considered after reaching them).

Given the lack of clear driving factors at present, the possibility of a trend breakthrough is not high, and our trading strategy is still based on two-way rebound operations within the range of shocks.

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$ETH Little Zhi really hasn't let down the expectations for the second brother's performance!

The lowest point of Ethereum has already approached around 2500. Based on the current trend, it is likely to further dip into the range of 2300-2100. In the new year, it seems that the second brother wants to show those who have confidence in him a little color, with each drop testing people's faith!

Brothers, let's wait and see what wonderful performances the second brother will bring next!

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In a bull market environment, altcoins generally fell by more than 90%. The main reasons can be attributed to the following points:

Shortage of funds: Funds are like the lifeblood of the market. In the case of tight funds, there is a lack of sufficient liquidity support, and altcoins find it difficult to maintain their upward trend.

Oversupply: Looking back at the bull market in 2017, there were less than 3,000 cryptocurrencies in circulation on the market, and funds were relatively easy to concentrate and drive prices up. However, by 2024, the number of cryptocurrencies on the market has surged to more than 30 million, and hundreds of thousands of new coins are still emerging every day. This oversupply situation of "more coins and less money" naturally makes it difficult for prices to rise.

Lack of hot spots: During the last bull market, there were hot concepts such as inscriptions and artificial intelligence in the market that could be hyped, attracting a lot of capital attention. However, the current bull market lacks new hot topics and it is difficult to attract continued capital inflows.

Loss of retail investors: The price increase of altcoins often depends on the continuous influx of retail investors. However, in this round of bull market, institutional funds mainly favor Bitcoin (BTC), while US retail investors can directly purchase Bitcoin ETFs without having to invest indirectly through altcoins. Therefore, the departure of retail investors has caused altcoins to lose their important buying power, and the market makers have lost the motivation to speculate.

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Ethereum Short-Term Outlook: Could February Be a Significant Turning Point?

Market analysts predict that the price of Ethereum (ETH) may break through the $4500 mark in February, and it is expected to rise to a high of $5087.50 by June.

Factors supporting this prediction include:

Capital Flow: Institutional funds continue to pay close attention to Ethereum, and the overall liquidity of the cryptocurrency market is gradually improving, which may together drive the price of Ethereum higher.

Advantages in the DeFi Sector: Ethereum is a leader in the decentralized finance (DeFi) field, with its application scenarios continually expanding, attracting a large influx of capital, providing strong support for Ethereum's future development.

Technical Upgrades: With the increasing maturity of Layer 2 solutions, the performance of the Ethereum network has been significantly optimized, providing solid technical support for price increases.

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Some people claim that we are currently at the end of a bull market, but I disagree. I believe the bull market hasn't even begun, mainly for two reasons.

Firstly, liquidity has not been sufficiently in place. Secondly, apart from Bitcoin (BTC), which other cryptocurrencies exhibit obvious signs of a bull market?

Indeed, BTC has seen an increase, but this is mainly due to the reallocation of traditional investment funds following the approval of ETFs. BTC is relatively stable at the current price level, making it difficult to experience a significant drop, indicating that its bubble level is not high. If the bubble is not large, then it can at most be considered the early stages of a bull market.

BTC is still in the early stages of a bull market, and the bull market for other altcoins has yet to arrive, compounded by the still insufficient liquidity. Considering these factors, it indeed cannot be regarded as the end of a bull market.

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Challenging the traditional concept of the four-year cycle suggests that although the market may enter a bear market phase, the specific time and duration of its launch may be different from previous cycle patterns.

Several key phenomena worth noting include:

At the end of the bull market, the market share of Bitcoin (Baidu) reached an unprecedented high, climbing to a new record of 64%.

Ethereum (ETH) continued to perform weakly and failed to show the strength it should have (according to the laws of past cycles, the price of ETH relative to Bitcoin (BTC) should hit the bottom between 2023 and 2024, but it is still in a downward trend).

From a macro perspective, this series of phenomena may be related to the delayed implementation of quantitative easing policies. Therefore, the peak of this round of bull market may deviate from the time of the previous bull market, and we should remain highly vigilant and concerned about this.

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In the vast realm of trading, everyone harbors dreams of profits, hoping that every transaction will be as smooth as sailing with the wind, returning with a full load. However, reality often tells us in its own way that such dreams are like mirages, difficult to reach, as they go against the established trajectory and the relentless nature of the market.

The essence of trading is, in fact, simple and unadorned: only by courageously embracing the inevitable losses can one truly seize those captivating profit opportunities. Unfortunately, many traders are often bound by a desire for 'comfort', unwittingly meddling with their trading plans. In the short term, this intervention may bring a taste of sweetness, but from a long-term perspective, it undoubtedly pushes one step by step towards the abyss.

This inevitably brings to mind the scene of fishing: perhaps you waited by the water for a long ten hours, only to catch that long-awaited fish at the very last moment. Does that mean the long wait prior was entirely meaningless? The answer is obviously no! Waiting is, in itself, a sedimentation, a form of value. The world of trading is no different; we cannot precisely predict when the best entry opportunity will arise. Faced with this omnipresent uncertainty, all we can do is steadfastly execute our trading strategy. On those days destined to end in losses, learning to face them calmly is not a mark of failure but rather a way to pave the way for greater victories in the future. In contrast, that mindset of purely seeking to earn without incurring losses can ultimately only be a castle in the air, unattainable.

On the journey of trading, what we should truly pursue is that steady stream of stable returns, where account equity rises like spring bamboo shoots, continually reaching new heights. Do not deviate from the long and challenging road to success for the sake of momentary comfort and ease. After all, for every trader, the road ahead is still long, and challenges remain numerous.

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A set of lamentable data reveals the current state of the altcoin market:

Back in 2013 to 2014, there were fewer than 500 types of altcoins, with the market being relatively niche and limited. However, by the peak period of 2017 to 2018, although the number increased, it was still only close to 3,000 types.

As of today, the variety of altcoins has exploded, exceeding an astonishing 36.4 million types, and this number continues to rise. Even more concerning is that about 70% of these tokens are worth nearly zero, reflecting the cruelty and bubble of the market.

Despite the vast variety of altcoins, the total market capitalization of all altcoins (excluding Bitcoin) is only about 1.18 trillion, and the profit margins for each coin are continuously being compressed.

Therefore, those who can profit in this ocean of altcoins are truly rare, and their achievements have surpassed the performance of most investors.

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Affected by last night's non-farm employment data and unemployment data, the price of Bitcoin once soared past the 100,000 mark, but then quickly retraced, reaching a low of around 95,500.

From the analysis of the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands currently show a downward opening trend, with the Bitcoin price fluctuating between the middle band and the lower band. The MACD indicator shows strong bearish momentum, while bullish rebounds appear weak. Given this situation, it is not advisable to blindly chase the price upwards.

Operational suggestions:
Support level: 95,000-95,300 Resistance level: 97,300-97,500

Within the above range, investors should remain cautious and closely monitor market dynamics and changes in technical indicators to formulate reasonable trading strategies.

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After being in the crypto space for a while, the most common terms you hear are MEME, followed by contracts, and finally spot trading!!

Let's briefly discuss the differences between these three, so beginners can find a trading method that suits them.

1. MEME Coins: It's like playing the lottery; you might get rich overnight, but in most cases, they will be worthless.

They are suitable for those with limited funds and a taste for adventure, such as college students or players looking to try their luck. It's fine to play with small amounts, but don’t expect to make a fortune; it could turn into an expensive meal or just instant noodles.

2. Contract Trading: It's akin to gambling; you can win fast, but you can also lose fast. Bitcoin and similar assets are highly volatile; you might gain 500% one moment and then face liquidation the next.
This is suitable for those who enjoy excitement, dare to take risks, and can bear losses. It's completely unsuitable for beginners. If you have a gambling addiction or a strong heart, you can give this a try, but the chances of losing money are high.

3. Spot Investment: Suitable for investors with substantial funds who prefer a steady approach. You’re not here to gamble; you hope to earn some stable returns by diversifying your investments across different coins and growing them slowly. Don’t think that one coin will skyrocket tenfold.
This is suitable for those with disposable income and a long-term plan.

In summary, if you can handle high risks, go for MEME coins or contracts; if you want to earn steadily, spot investment is the most reliable choice.

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Friday, Bitcoin·Ethereum Afternoon Perspective Analysis

After yesterday's violent washout, the coin price has continued to consolidate sideways. Last night, the price stopped falling and started to rise around 97300, reaching a daily high of 102200. The bullish strategy set at 103000 yesterday was almost successful, and those who followed along are quite satisfied. Overall, the bulls still remain quite strong, and the strategy of buying on dips will remain unchanged going forward.

From a technical structure perspective, the daily trend shows that the bulls are still leading. The previous declines have all been recovered by the bulls. Although there have been short-term dips, they ultimately cannot withstand the bulls' efforts, so the main strategy is to remain bullish. On the 4-hour chart, the bulls continue to exert strength, with the trend primarily upward; the declines are merely for better upward momentum. In summary, the focus will continue to be on buying on dips, waiting for the right moment!

Friday Afternoon Recommendations
Buy Bitcoin around 101300-10800, targeting near 103000. Buy Ethereum around 3300-3320, targeting near 3500.

As the year-end approaches, whether you are making money or losing it is just a matter of thought. A wave of trends is enough to help you fill a pit and get back on shore. For those not doing well, let's push together!

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You can pay attention to two altcoins, one is APT and the other is STX.

APT had a significant pullback last time, and this wave of market recovery should be quite strong.

There’s also SOLV, which is about to go live on BN, and STX, as a leader in the Bitcoin ecosystem, is also worth watching, as it may drive the trend of the BTC ecosystem.

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Several altcoins have performed impressively in the market, but investors must remain vigilant:

First, DOGE and SUI are considered strong coins, as they have shown strong resilience or quick rebound capabilities even during market downturns. However, this performance may mislead investors into thinking these coins carry no risk. Relevant notifications from the Chinese government clearly indicate that virtual currency trading carries speculation risks, reminding investors to be cautious.

Second, AAVE and OM have also demonstrated solid performance in the market, but their volatility is equally concerning. The cyclical nature of the altcoin market means these coins might yield high returns in the short term, but they also face the risk of rapid corrections. Especially when the altcoin season index has not clearly issued a buy signal, investors need to be cautious.

Furthermore, although XRP and COW have experienced relatively small pullbacks, their high-risk nature cannot be ignored. XRP has long been entangled with regulatory issues, while COW, as a relatively emerging project, relies more on the project's development and market speculation for its performance.

Finally, although coins like PEPE and RAY have seen some gains recently, their high volatility and the unpredictability of market sentiment mean that risks are also significant. Particularly, market analysts point out that the altcoin market may be nearing a momentum bottom, but this does not guarantee that there will be an increase in the future; instead, it may signal the beginning of a correction period.

When facing these impressively performing altcoins, investors must recognize: high returns come with high risks. Changes in market conditions, the stability of the projects themselves, and the dynamic adjustments of regulatory policies can all have a huge impact on the prices of these altcoins. Therefore, investors should remain rational, avoid blindly chasing highs, and conduct thorough risk assessments.

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In the field of virtual currencies, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin ($DOGE), and others are well-known mainstream coins. During the period from 2023 to 2024, Dogecoin performed remarkably:

In 2023, it rose from $0.052 to a peak of $0.48 in 2024, an increase of 923%.

In August 2024, it rose from $0.1 to $0.38, showing considerable growth.

Looking back at Dogecoin's past increases:
2017: Increased by 212%, after a 40% pullback, surged by 5000%.

2021: Increased by 476%, after a 56% pullback, surged by 12000%.

2024: Increased by 440%, after a 46% pullback.

Although Dogecoin experiences pullbacks after each surge, it has shown larger increases after the pullbacks.

Considering that the popularity of meme coins may continue to rise in 2025, Dogecoin may see even greater increases.

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Technical analysis of the futures market divides market trends into three types:

1⃣ Uptrend: Both highs and lows are continuously rising.

2⃣ Downtrend: Both highs and lows are continuously falling.

3⃣ Sideways trend: Highs and lows are roughly parallel.

Yes, you heard it right, sideways is also considered a trend.

Starting from October 2024, BTC entered an uptrend (highs and lows are rising), and then by mid-December, it transitioned into a consolidation phase (highs and lows are parallel).

So now BTC is in a consolidation phase, which means a consolidation strategy should be adopted, rather than blindly chasing highs and lows.

Understanding this is more important than blindly guessing whether BTC will rise or fall today.

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Last night, the Bitcoin price fluctuated greatly. It first tested the key resistance level near 99800, then began to pull back, reaching a low near 98500. Shortly after, the price attempted to break the resistance level near 100800 twice, but failed to succeed. Currently, it is showing a narrow range of fluctuations around 99500.

From a technical daily perspective, the close of two consecutive bullish candles seems strong for the bulls, but in reality, it hides some complexities. Previously, the price had multiple attempts to break above the 100000 mark, from the early 108000 level, to the last 103000 level, and now to the current 101000 level. It is not difficult to observe that the highs are gradually moving downwards. Currently, the price is facing strong resistance near the upper Bollinger Band at 101000, showing signs of a pullback. Typically, after a significant rise, the market often requires a correction to digest the prior gains, therefore from a long-term perspective, the bearish signals are quite apparent.

Examining the 3-hour and 4-hour levels, a bearish candle has been formed. Additionally, a green 9 has appeared on the TD indicator, which is an important bearish signal. In technical analysis, a green 9 on the TD indicator is often regarded as a warning of a trend reversal. On the 4-hour level, the price has returned to operate below the upper Bollinger Band, further confirming the formation of a short-term bearish trend. Considering all technical indicators and price movements, there is significant downward pressure on Bitcoin in the short term.

Bitcoin 99500 support, 800 defense, temporarily seeing 97800.
Altcoin 3370 support, 40 defense, temporarily seeing 3310.

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