Did I tell you to be bearish?
Good evening, Brother Yao made it clear that everyone should go short at 101200, and cover the position at 102000 when it rebounded. Then, in the evening, we reduced our positions near 100600 and steadily looked at the target point. Now 99500 has reached the point where all profit-taking and exiting are done. Have you taken advantage of the 3,000-point space? There is no need for such fluctuations. Small waves are especially outstanding in the recent market.
When profit-taking becomes a habit, go short steadily with like-minded friends. Happy Laba Festival everyone! $BTC #本轮牛市周期预期

How many heroes does this needle need to settle?
$ETH

Finally came down, the fluctuations over the weekend were still too small. Let's see if there can be a significant pullback in the evening. Overall, the market is currently oscillating weakly within a large range. The rise and fall of prices yesterday, from a daily perspective, shows that the pullback is a form of correction. The pullback high point came under pressure after touching the moving average support and retraced. Therefore, our short position at 94300 can continue to look towards around 93400. $BTC

The duration of the bull market in the cryptocurrency sector is related to various factors such as market demand, policy regulation, technological innovation, community activities, etc. The following is a specific analysis:
1. Market Demand: The rise and fall of digital currency prices largely depend on market demand, especially the mindset of investors. If market demand is strong, a large amount of capital flows into the digital currency market, and prices will naturally rise. Conversely, if market demand is insufficient, prices will also drop. Therefore, market demand is one of the important factors determining the duration of the bull market in the cryptocurrency sector.

2. Policy Regulation: Policy regulation also has a significant impact on the digital currency market. Different countries and regions have different policy regulations, leading to varying attitudes towards digital currencies. Some countries have implemented strict regulatory measures on digital currencies, such as banning ICOs and shutting down digital currency exchanges, which will lead to a short-term decline in the digital currency market. Conversely, some countries have adopted integrative policies that allow the buying and selling of digital currencies and promote digital currency payments, which will drive the rise of the digital currency market. Therefore, policy regulation is also an important factor affecting the duration of the bull market in the cryptocurrency sector.

3. Technological Innovation: The digital currency market is driven by technological innovation. With continuous technological advancements, the development of digital currencies is also accelerating. For example, Bitcoin uses blockchain applications, and the emergence of this technology has made digital currencies more secure and decentralized, leading to the rise of the digital currency market. Therefore, technological innovation is also an important factor influencing the duration of the bull market in the cryptocurrency sector.

4. Community Activities: The community within the digital currency market is also very active, and street activities, discussions, and promotions have a significant impact on the digital currency market. For instance, some communities have initiated promotional activities for digital currencies, which will attract more people to understand digital currencies, thereby increasing market demand and driving prices up. Therefore, community activities are also an important factor influencing the duration of the bull market in the cryptocurrency sector. $BTC #比特币价格走势分析

The cryptocurrency bull market offers a few points to keep in mind, be sure to remember them!

Firstly, when the coin price soars but falls slowly like a snail, it undoubtedly indicates that someone is secretly hoarding. They take advantage of low prices to accumulate for a future surge. At this time, you need to be vigilant, as opportunities may be right in front of you.

Secondly, conversely, if the coin price plummets but rises hesitantly, you need to be cautious; it is likely that the big players are quietly offloading. They want to sell their chips at high prices, and the market may be on the verge of a downturn. At this point, don’t foolishly wait to buy the dip; it’s better to evacuate quickly.

Thirdly, at market highs, if the trading volume suddenly increases, don’t rush to sell. This is because the market may still have upward momentum. However, if the trading volume suddenly decreases, you must retreat quickly. This indicates that the market lacks the strength to rise, and if you don’t leave now, you might get trapped.

Fourthly, at market lows, if the trading volume suddenly expands, don’t impulsively buy. This may just be a small rebound during a downward trend. It’s important to observe patiently; if the trading volume continues to expand and capital keeps flowing in, that’s a good time to enter the market.

Fifthly, ultimately, trading cryptocurrency is about trading people's hearts and mindsets. You must constantly change your thinking, keep your brain active, and go against the grain to thrive in the crypto space. The ultimate value of life lies in awakening and the ability to think, rather than mere survival. $BTC #非农数据大幅超出预期

No plans for Saturday, let's short $BTC lightly at 94300 first

First of all, the continuation of the bull market is certain. The 25-year cryptocurrency market is still in a bull market cycle. Bitcoin and Ethereum will continue to set new highs in the future. The target price of Bitcoin this year is around 150,000, and Ethereum is around 6,000. This is the target price before the end of this year, and the time is a bit long.

January is a callback month, a bottoming month. Bitcoin and Ethereum will not go out of the upward trend in January.

First, let's analyze the daily line of Bitcoin:

A wave: from 108,300 to 92,200 is a1, from 92,200 to 100,000 is a2, and from 100,000 to 91,500 is a3

B wave: from 91,500 to 99,000 is a b wave rebound (currently running)

C wave: from 99,000 to 87,000-89,000 (will end at the end of January, the low point is likely to be in this range, suitable for getting on board)

$BTC

In the cryptocurrency space, managing one's mindset is very important. Below are some key points organized by Lao Duan, hoping to help you understand how to navigate the cryptocurrency world:

• Market Cycle Psychology: The cryptocurrency market follows market cycles, undergoing phases of rising, falling, and rising prices again. The psychology of market cycles includes the emotions and attitudes of market participants and explains how they affect overall market trends.

• Emotional Changes: During market cycles, investors experience a range of emotional changes from hope, optimism, and belief to excitement, euphoria, then to complacency, anxiety, denial, and finally surrender, anger, and depression.

• Zen-like Trading: In the cryptocurrency space, investors need to maintain a calm mindset, unaffected by price fluctuations. Do not be ecstatic during price surges, nor devastated during declines; instead, stay calm and objective.

• Controlling Mindset: The most important aspect of entering the cryptocurrency market for trading is to control your mindset, followed by technical analysis, fundamentals, and news. If your mindset collapses, you are destined to lose money, and both your life and mental well-being will be significantly affected.

• The Influence of Investor Sentiment: Optimistic market sentiment can attract more buyers, driving up prices, while pessimistic sentiment may lead to increased selling pressure, thus lowering prices. Investors need to be wary of overly emotional decisions.

• Fear of Missing Out (FOMO): FOMO is a common phenomenon in the cryptocurrency market, causing investors to make hasty investment decisions while neglecting risk analysis.

• Risk Management: Risk management is key to controlling emotions, including setting stop-loss points and diversifying investments to reduce the risks posed by the volatility of a single asset.

• Healthy Investment Mindset: Cryptocurrency investment is a marathon, not a sprint. Cultivating a healthy investment mindset and learning to control fear and greed is key to achieving long-term success.

• Avoiding Psychological Traps: Understanding common psychological traps, such as confirmation bias, anchoring bias, and herd behavior, can help investors avoid investment risks and improve returns.

By understanding these key points of mindset and emotional management, investors can better cope with the volatility of the cryptocurrency market and make more rational investment decisions.
$BTC #比特币价格走势分析

In response to readers' feedback that reading 10,000-word macroeconomic articles is stressful, I have specially compiled two refined mind maps to help you quickly grasp the basic structure of the U.S. macroeconomics.

In the journey of the cryptocurrency circle and the U.S. stock market, a deep insight into the U.S. macroeconomics is undoubtedly your right-hand man.

Please be sure to focus on the following core indicators: GDP, the Fed's interest rate cut and interest rate hike policies, the latest developments in U.S. Treasury bonds, the U.S. dollar exchange rate and its index changes, the Federal Open Market Committee's meeting resolutions, and the consumer price index.

These key data not only directly guide the flow of funds, but also profoundly affect the ups and downs of the financial cycle.

Once you have mastered these elements, you will be able to easily invest in the cryptocurrency circle and deal with the changing market more calmly and confidently. $BTC #AI概念币强势反弹

To make a profit in the cryptocurrency world, it is crucial to master the following six key points:

Understand the bull-bear cycle: deeply understand the bull-bear conversion rules of the market, seize the opportunity, accumulate chips in the bear market, and sell them in time when the bull market comes to maximize the profit.

Select high-quality currencies: wisely choose those currencies with wide recognition and good prospects, such as Bitcoin (Big Pie), Ethereum, etc., which often have higher investment value and growth potential.

Scientifically allocate positions: reasonably allocate investment funds, ensure that mainstream currencies occupy the main part of the positions, allocate a part to currencies with long-term value, and invest in emerging projects cautiously in small amounts to achieve a balance between risk and return.

Strict emotional management: In cryptocurrency investment, emotional control is particularly important. Avoid making impulsive decisions due to debt, cash flow shortages or excessive obsession with market fluctuations. Staying calm and rational is the key to long-term profitability.

Set reasonable expectations: establish realistic and feasible profit expectations, understand that earning 5-10 times the profit in a bull market is a more practical and sustainable goal, and avoid blindly pursuing unrealistic high returns.
#区块链[超话]##财经#
Know how to accumulate and wait: Once you gain profits in the market, you should learn to "hide" profits in a timely manner, accumulate funds, and patiently wait for the arrival of the next bear market so that you can sow again and seek greater investment opportunities and gains. This strategic patience is the cornerstone of long-term success in the cryptocurrency circle. $ETH

Notes for novice traders:

1. Learn quickly and understand basic concepts: such as digital currency, trading platform, mining, contract trading, etc. If you don’t know these basic concepts, it is difficult to make money in the currency circle.

2. Practice carefully and avoid blindly following the trend: there are many scammers in the currency circle, and you need to accumulate experience through practice to form your own investment framework.

3. Choose a high-quality circle: a high-quality circle can let you see the real situation of the currency circle and avoid being misled.

4. Patience is the basis for making money: it may take a long time to learn and be deceived countless times to understand the currency circle. Every experience is a lesson on the road of investment.

5. Abide by the basic rules of the currency circle: admit your losses and be convinced by being deceived. Experts often don’t complain.

6. Pay attention to the safety of funds: be sure to go to the official website to download the wallet, avoid clicking on unknown links, and prevent funds from being stolen.

7. Choose professional analysts for fundamental guidance.

8. Diversify investment risks: don’t invest all your funds in one project or exchange.

9. Stay calm and invest rationally: Greed and fear are big taboos in investment. You must learn to control your emotions. Please remember that investing in cryptocurrencies is high risk and you must conduct sufficient research and consideration. #比特币价格走势分析

In the past, cryptocurrency was called dark currency, which means it was traded in the dark market. In the future, it will be open and aboveboard. Therefore, the currency circle also changed the word "Make America Great Again" MAGA to MBGA "Make Bitcoin Great Again", because Bitcoin suffered two setbacks during the Biden era. Now the time for it to be great again has come. The table is full of people when cryptocurrency is great again. Think about whether these people can make cryptocurrency mainstream? Of course, to really make it mainstream, a series of institutional construction is needed after Trump takes office: the first is to make this story well; the second is to cancel some regulatory restrictions, such as the US Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation explicitly prohibits banks from providing loans to these cryptocurrency transactions, and the current cryptocurrency cannot be directly connected to the accounts of the US banking system. Under the operation of the above-mentioned people, these obstacles should be eliminated soon; the third is to allow institutional investors to invest in cryptocurrency, for example, some pension funds have already started to invest in cryptocurrency; the fourth is of course to allow foreign capital to enter, just like foreign capital investing in the US stock market now. Will there be risks in the development of cryptocurrency in this way? Of course there are risks. The first risk is that cryptocurrencies do not have any assets to mortgage. Once they collapse, no one will know who to turn to for help. The second and greater risk is that it may have a huge impact on the hegemony of the US dollar, because after World War II, the hegemony of the US dollar grew together with the US high-tech, US military and US credit. Will Trump eventually become the gravedigger of the US dollar hegemony, or will he tie the US dollar to cryptocurrencies like he tied the US dollar to gold? Of course, these cryptocurrencies are directly related to his family's wealth. $BTC

What is the impact of the US election on the cryptocurrency circle?

The US election has brought a new wave of popularity to the cryptocurrency circle. From the initial lack of attention to the current important issue of the election, it can be seen that the influence of cryptocurrency has reached an unprecedented height. Since the birth of Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency market has gradually risen and expanded, from the initial rejection to the current widespread acceptance of the market, demonstrating the rapid development of the cryptocurrency circle. And this election has promoted the development of the cryptocurrency circle, so what is the impact of the US election on the cryptocurrency circle? It also needs to be analyzed from the perspectives of policies and market sentiment.

Different presidential candidates may have different attitudes towards cryptocurrencies. Trump supports the development of cryptocurrencies and advocates a loose regulatory policy;

President Trump and his government have a positive attitude towards cryptocurrencies and may introduce policies that are conducive to the development of cryptocurrencies, such as a clear regulatory framework, tax incentives, etc., which will boost market confidence.

Market sentiment and speculative behavior: Before the election, the market may fluctuate due to uncertainty in the political and economic outlook. This uncertainty usually affects investors' risk appetite, including investment in cryptocurrencies. Investors may adopt a conservative investment strategy before the election and reduce the allocation of risky assets, including cryptocurrencies.

Economic and monetary policy: The fiscal policies of the new government (such as large-scale fiscal stimulus, tax policy changes, etc.) may affect the value of the US dollar and inflation expectations. If the market expects that large-scale fiscal stimulus may lead to a depreciation of the US dollar or an increase in inflation, investors may turn to cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin as safe-haven assets.

$BTC

It is a compulsory course for every investor to be able to navigate the currency circle and learn to distinguish whether the main force is carrying out wash operations or quietly shipping. Here are some practical judgment tips:

1️⃣ Pay close attention to trading volume: changes in trading volume are the key to discerning the main intention. When the trading volume decreases significantly, it may mean that the main force is washing the market, intending to clean up the floating chips and prepare for the subsequent rise. On the contrary, if the trading volume suddenly increases significantly, this may be a sign that the main force is selling a lot, that is, shipping.

2️⃣ Observe the currency price trend carefully: In the process of raising the currency price, the main force usually washes the market after reaching an increase of about 30% to consolidate the increase and attract more follow-up orders. However, if the currency price rises by more than 60%, investors should be highly vigilant, because this may be a signal that the main force is preparing to ship, and they may want to cash out at a high point.

3️⃣ In-depth analysis of the time-sharing chart: The fluctuations on the time-sharing chart can also reveal the main force’s intentions. During the wash period, the time-sharing chart often fluctuates violently, with prices jumping up and down, creating the illusion of market instability to scare off unsteady investors. When shipping, the time-sharing chart may be relatively stable and price fluctuations are reduced, because the main force is trying to keep the price stable in order to facilitate smooth shipments.

In short, if you want to gain a foothold in the currency circle and avoid being manipulated by the main players, it is crucial to master these skills. Don’t ignore these seemingly small details, they can often help you protect your investment at critical moments and ensure steady growth of your assets. $BTC

From the 4-hour chart, although the short-term is strong, there is no appropriate downward space technically. The overall risk of technical pressure may still exist, and the bottom divergence signal has appeared in the hourly chart structure. There will still be a risk of pressure correction in the short term. In the short term, the big cake is more likely to choose shocks to digest, which can not only confirm the effectiveness of the upper pressure, but also drag down the rhythm of the decline. Whether the market can fall again in the later period needs to make further adjustments with the actual impact of the market fundamentals on the market. In terms of operation strategy, it is recommended to adopt flexible operation within the range $BTC #非农数据大幅超出预期

Is it very clear that our long orders will be exited at 95,000?

Non-agricultural profit taking, waiting for the stop-fall signal $BTC #非农数据大幅超出预期

Long orders have been cleared out after the non-farm payrolls

Long orders around 93600, exit above 95000

Making plans after the non-farm payrolls
$BTC

Today's BTC plan will be given at 1:55 p.m.
Let everyone buy more near 93,600, and the target is 95,000-96,000. Bitcoin continues to rise, and the current price is above 94,900, accurately reaching the first target to stop profit, short-term quick entry and exit to win 1,400 US dollars, reduce positions and set protection to see the second target near 96,000.
If the coin price breaks through 95,000 and stabilizes, then the bulls will have the upper hand and greatly extend the second target.
The market trend is changing rapidly, the strategy is for reference only, there will be real-time prompts for short-term operations, and the posting is arranged by the market price. Go to $BTC #比特币价格走势分析 for your own time

The long orders on Friday lived up to expectations. At noon, let everyone go long near 93600, with a target of 95000-96000.
Going in long means taking advantage of the trend. Did it rebound as expected? There is 1300 points of room for another profit. Brother Yao gives the current price order every day, with reason and evidence for everyone to refer to. Tonight's non-agricultural data fluctuates greatly, so there is no need to take risks. Those who are prudent can exit and close their positions first, and wait for the evening data with short positions! Very accurate ideas all the way forward! $BTC #加密市场回调

Bitcoin January 10
Short-term hourly chart experienced fluctuations and declines yesterday, with a slight rebound in the US market, peaking near the 94800 area. In the early morning, it faced pressure and retraced, breaking the previous day's low. The current candlestick pattern shows consecutive bullish candles, and the auxiliary chart's sub-table is running a golden cross. Therefore, there is still a corrective trend for today. In the Asian session, consider a low long strategy first.
btc buy near 93600, target 95000-96000.
Personal advice for reference only $BTC #美国非农数据即将公布