I am studying how the platform's algorithm works.

1. There is one thing I find strange, for example, if a Lead Trader has 1000 people copying him, every time this Lead places an order, 1000 orders will be placed at the same time. But the loss rate of a good Lead Trader is quite low, which means that the platform's algorithm does not focus on how many people place orders at the same time.

2. I have noticed many times that when I trade using only 10% of the total capital I put into Futures, the chances of winning are higher, but when I go all in, it feels like a fish on the chopping block waiting to be slaughtered.

Clearly, I still see many people using very high leverage, up to over 50x, yet they still profit. (Or maybe they bet both ways, and whichever side wins, they boast about it).

One more thing I often encounter is that if I keep trying to add armor for resistance, the risk of blowing up is not low at all, because the more I add, the more capital I use up.

These are the things I often encounter, so I share to see if many people are experiencing the same as me.
$ETH $BTC

Never has a monthly candle pulled its tail down so long.

Wow, next month looks very bad for the market.

The prediction is a drop to 74,000, until the day Mr. Trump takes office, it will pull up, hopefully.

For BTC, it's nothing to worry about, just afraid of Altcoin.
$BTC

This is the Week frame of $BTC

Exactly 3 weeks from now is the day Mr. Trump officially takes office. So how will the next 3 weekly candles behave?

Let's try to guess what scenarios might occur.

I guess:

1 -- If the next 3 weeks continue to create red candles, then the fourth week will have to be a green candle. That is also the week Mr. Trump takes office.

2 -- If this week is red, and the next 2 weeks are green, then the fourth week might also be red.

$BTC is really taking advantage of this news to create an excuse to increase or decrease; the inauguration day will definitely be a very volatile day, it might pretend to rise for a few hours then decrease for a few days or weeks.

Looking at the daily chart of $LINK , it's hard for me to see a significant upward movement. 😅

I've heard that, but it's just hearsay, that in the $30 range of Link, there are big players who have been holding since the 2021 cycle. This means the price is unlikely to break through that level.

Currently, the daily chart clearly shows signs of a downward trend. $BTC has not significantly dropped to the 8x range yet, and if it does drop to 8x, this Link may likely decline sharply as well.

Anyway, this is just a one-sided opinion; in this market, volatility is unpredictable, so it's wise to be cautious before investing.

Notice that every time the market drops, low-cap coins, fan tokens, and monitoring coins tend to rise sharply.

1- This is because few people are buying them, they are light-weight, and market makers can easily push the waves.

2- When they rise to a certain high point, many people will jump in to short, and the more they short, the more they get burned, because these coins are manipulated by market makers. Once they resolve the short positions, they will start to drop quickly to catch longs. For example, the coin $ATA

In general, these three types of coins are just bait, whether you long, short, or hold, you will lose.

Just be patient, even if you have losses before, be patient; at this moment, those standing outside feel easier to sleep.

I feel like the market is slowly decreasing, just like in June and July. Whenever the market behaves like this, it’s really boring; it’s better to do something else than just sit and watch.
$ATA

This is the weekly frame chart of $OP .

For example, if the position we are standing at coincides with the previous 2 positions. Then OP will wait for about 8 more weekly candles to know whether there is an uptrend or an Altcoin season.

So keep a close watch on OP over the next 8 weeks; if during those 8 weeks OP remains sideways in the price range of around $1.5, then I think that is the right time to Hold Spot.

And if history repeats itself, then during the Uptrend price increase, OP could peak at $7.2.

Yes, what I said above is in a positive direction, so what about the negative direction?

If everything goes as planned in the next 8 weeks, and many people jump in to Hold OP, then MM might not even bother to push the wave, but will continue to play the game of shaking off investors to let go of their holdings, while pushing the waves of other coins.

And you should remember that OP and ARB have many people who bought at the peak; if these peak buyers decide to Hold To Die, then MM might not even bother to push the wave for real.

January, reloaded funds to continue playing, currently burned out. 😂

Let me tell you the story of when I hadn't deposited money into the exchange; I had $70 from mining $ETH back in 2021. After that, I just left the $70 there until the beginning of 2023, when I decided to use that $70 to trade $ETH .
But to be honest, at that time I didn't know how to buy and sell, I only used conversion, meaning I converted from USDT to $ETH , and if I made a profit, I converted back.

From that $70, I turned it into $264 just by converting ETH.

My strategy back then was very simple; I only looked at the daily candles. Whenever I saw 3 red candles on the daily chart, I would convert, then I would wait until the next day to check. If there was still no profit, I would check again the next day, until I saw 1 or 2 green candles, then I would close the trade, and I kept doing that until I made $264.

At that time, ETH was around $1500.

And then what happened? I started to deposit money, but I didn't trade the old way anymore; instead, I invested haphazardly in Altcoins, and in the end, I lost.

Recently, the market has been very difficult to navigate, even BTC itself doesn't know which way to go, but going up seems to be harder than going down.

Altcoins have some that are rising and some that are falling, at this moment it's best to just stay on the sidelines.

I hope investors are cautious before deciding to invest at this time.
$BTC

When I first entered the market a year ago, I was very confused, not knowing which coin to invest in because there were too many, so I went to YouTube to watch some KOLs to clear my confusion.

When I first started, I only played Spot + listened to KOLs, but in the end, I still lost.

After watching KOLs for a long time, there was a time I heard a KOL mention the term "heavy ship". It means that if a coin has too many people holding it, it will be hard to take off.

At the time I heard the KOL call ARB and OP about a year ago, ARB was somewhere around $2, and OP was also close to $4. And of course, many people jumped in to hold these two. And I guess KOLs will never hold the coins they call. And I still clearly remember them saying that after one year, which is now, ARB could be 19$ and OP could be $40.

That's right, this is exactly guiding newcomers to stay away from their bait, because if they don't do that, newcomers might hold the coins that KOLs are holding, which would be troublesome. And they will also avoid analyzing the coins they hold if viewers happen to ask questions about those coins.

From the moment I heard about "heavy ship", I felt something strange, I stopped watching those KOL's YouTube clips, luckily I didn't hold ARB and OP at high prices.

For example, if I were a good trader, I wouldn't have the time to call others to buy this coin or that coin. And after thinking it over, I still don't understand what benefit I gain from calling trades.

The exchange might allow you to win alone, but if you drag your whole family into it, the exchange will refuse.

I’m sure BTC will go up and down again to lick some Long Short areas.

At the beginning of the week, it might go up to lick the shorts, then in the middle of the week and at the end of the week, it could drop again, because the previous week’s candle was very bad.

And when it goes up to lick the shorts, it won’t reach close to the peak, because halfway up, the Longs below will open positions, and BTC will just keep going in circles down.

But in the end, I guess the weekly candle will also end up being a red candle like last week.

So it’s best to stay out at this time; entering positions doesn’t always guarantee a win, and often you’ll wish you hadn’t entered after doing so.

All the posts from everyone here are for reference only, reflecting their personal thoughts; not everyone has the correct assessment. The important thing is to make sure you don’t lose money.

Do you remember when BTC created a bottom around 49,000 and then surged to over 100,000? It also coincided with those previous highs.

So currently, with the weekly candle looking very bad, I guess it will oscillate up and down in a larger range to hunt for Longs and Shorts for many weeks or about 3 months before creating a bottom that pulls back right around the 74,000 area, and from 74,000 it will double to 150,000 just like from 49,000 it doubled to 100,000.

And with BTC's weekly candle looking so bad, it usually indicates that the next 2 weeks will also be in the red.

This is just a personal opinion; I am not a forecasting expert.

I do not think this is the right time to invest; rather, it is more suitable for observation. Please be cautious.$BTC

what price did you buy at?

NEIRO, I think this coin has already increased before the market, since the bottom of its listing it has increased by x100 times.

Perhaps this is why the recent increase of the NEIRO market could not continue, and it is now leading the price drop.

To be straightforward, many people who are buying at the peak will start to complain, but I guess it will split 10 times from the peak, which means the lowest price it can increase back to will start somewhere around 0.0003.

Look at its chart, it has created 3 peaks, usually when the third peak is reached, it starts to decline, and I also say directly, it may take a very long time or it may not return to the price at the third peak, this is a way to eliminate those who Hold Spot.

BTC increased from 35k to 74k thanks to the ETF effect.

Then it rose to 100k due to the effect of Trump being elected.

So will BTC now wait for Trump to become the god?

If there are no more excuses to increase, will BTC rise again? Or will it go sideways for many months waiting for a reason to rise further?

But you should remember, if BTC goes sideways for a long time, Altcoins will be devastated again.

Always the worst, like a child, when eating thinks they've found the secret, when losing they curse, hate, and so on, the lesson about the previous PDA still hasn't woken up, now it's this one.

This is the chart of SUI on the daily timeframe. What can you see?

1 head and shoulders structure, just missing one shoulder, I guess it will complete the peak of the right shoulder somewhere on the 3rd or 4th day of next week.

If it happens just like that, then it’s likely we can return to around the price of $1.

But don’t just trust the chart, this is only a prediction. It clearly looks like that, but you should remember, the game is different now, the familiar candle patterns from the past may not apply today.

So I advise you to observe if SUI retraces back to the 4.4 region next week, if anyone happened to spot it right at that moment, they should cut and run quickly. Because if you look back at the lowest and closest bottom, SUI has already x10 from the current level.

I may not be as skilled as the experts in analyzing which coins will rise, but at least I can help everyone minimize the risk of losing money.

Hãy thử nhìn vào biểu đồ nhiệt của lệnh Long/Short này, bạn sẽ thấy khả năng BTC vẫn sẽ còn giảm tiếp, nhưng tôi nghỉ nó giảm từ từ kèo dài ra trong 2 tuần tới, hoặc có thể là 3 tuần.

Nếu bạn nhìn thấy bất cứ hiện tượng tăng đột ngột nào của BTC thì cứ nhớ rõ đó là tăng lên để giảm xuống.

Thị trường này nó vậy đó, muốn tăng là tăng muốn giảm là giảm, tin tức chỉ là cái cớ. Nếu sáng mai nó hồi lên thì tôi sẽ Short, hôm nay tôi lỡ mất vị thế tốt rồi nên ngồi nhìn thôi.

Tôi ví dụ nhé, khi có ít người đào coin thì đào sẽ dễ hơn khi có nhiều người đào, thì sàn giao dịch cũng vậy, càng có nhiều người tham gia, cuộc chơi dành chiến thắng sẽ càng khó.

Tôi hy vọng các nhà đầu tư nên thận trọng, đây là một chút kinh nghiệm tôi có được sau khi tài khoản chia 100 lần.

Since the strong market correction from June to August, I have always been cautious of situations like today.

Every day you open your account to check, you see more negative than the previous day.

The issue now is if BTC continues to extend this decline slowly, then Altcoins could hit a new bottom, and those who bought at the peak during the recent uptrend might have to wait indefinitely.

It seems like the exchange is finding ways to eliminate those who hold Spot.

It's hard to predict anything; if the second wave of increase comes, perhaps only a few major Coins will return to their previous peaks.

Is there a possibility that the market will decline and move sideways for a whole month until Mr. Trump takes office?
Is there a possibility that the current market is gradually declining every day similar to the downturn in June and July recently?