#BTC重返10万 #美联储12月降息预期上升 Talk about the picture 😂😂😂 1. Market Overview BTC is fluctuating and declining; this week ETH ETF inflows hit a new high. The market is favoring old coins over new ones, with old altcoins rising and new coins falling. The US stock market is down. The US November industrial inflation PPI exceeded expectations, and the market is betting on a pause in interest rate cuts in January next year, with rate hikes possibly delayed until March next year. 2. Market Highlights: 1. The public chain ETH is rising, and DeFi projects LINK, AAVE, COW, and LDO are surging. The Trump family is using the COW protocol to buy ETH, LINK, and AAVE. LDO has submitted a trust application to Grayscale. This round of increases in DeFi projects is mainly related to US politics and regulatory narratives. 2. The payment sector AVA and UTK are surging. AVA is a travel crypto payment platform, an old coin from 2017. CZ announced investments before the pandemic, with an annual revenue reaching $100 million. 3. On-chain AI memes GOAT, VIRTUAL, and FARTCOIN are rising. GOAT is okay on the platform. On-chain DeSci URO surged, with a market cap surpassing RIF. The market cap of the new on-chain DeFi coin HYPE reached $18 billion. 4. The BN new coin sector is leading the decline, including ME, MOVE, USUAL, ORCA, ACX, etc. The decline of USUAL is due to the end of pre-market trading, leading to a significant increase in supply. 5. Remember to follow me so you don't get lost; I share real-time trading strategies and points every day without second-guessing. Talk about the picture.
$UNI #UNIUSDT uni, why recommend uni, UNI token as the governance token of Uniswap's decentralized trading protocol grants its holders governance rights and a share of trading fee profits, providing investors with a stable source of returns. Uniswap, as the leading decentralized exchange on Ethereum, its continuously growing trading volume and user base also provide solid support for UNI token. Moreover, the investment returns of UNI token are very optimistic, with a market capitalization of 54.5 billion USD and listed on 76 exchanges, demonstrating its investment value in the DeFi market. Summary: As the leading token of a decentralized exchange, the future value of uni can be referenced to the current price of the leading token of a centralized exchange, Binance's platform token BNB, which is currently priced at 650 USD. One is a centralized exchange, and the other is the leading token of a decentralized exchange; a tenfold increase for uni is not excessive, and it will eventually break one hundred USD. The current price is 16 USD, and a drop below 15 USD can easily achieve a tenfold return.
$ETH #圣诞行情预测 Is it time to buy ETH? Ethereum whales hold $28.5 million worth of Ether Ethereum (ETH) is the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization globally, and after a significant price drop in recent days, it is expected to continue its upward momentum. This bullish speculation is driven by investors and long-term holders who have recently been buying ETH on dips. Cryptocurrency whales increase their holdings by $28.5 million in ETH Recently, the blockchain-based transaction tracker Lookonchain announced on X (formerly Twitter) that four new crypto wallets owned by whales purchased $28.43 million worth of 8,440 ETH. This massive ETH purchase occurred during a period when altcoin prices began to recover after a significant decline. During the recent downturn, the price of ETH dropped by more than 22.5%. However, as interest continues to grow, altcoins have rebounded, regaining key levels after retesting their important support level at the 200 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of $3,100. Current price momentum As of the time of writing, ETH is trading close to $3,410, with prices surging over 1.75% in the past 24 hours. During the same period, its trading volume increased by 10%, indicating that trader and investor participation has risen during the market downturn. Meanwhile, long-term holders and whales appear to have seized the opportunity to significantly increase their holdings.
#比特币市场波动观察 #市场调整後的机会? Differences Between Bull Markets and Bear Markets : In a bear market, prices often rise rapidly at first, then slowly decline. In a bull market, however, prices may suddenly drop, but will gradually recover thereafter. Before a bear market arrives, there is a constant stream of negative global news, often accompanied by rising prices. On the eve of a bull market, despite frequent negative news, there may occasionally be positive news as well. In a bear market, some cryptocurrencies experience extreme price fluctuations, alternating between rises and falls. In a bull market, most cryptocurrencies' prices continue to climb. The characteristic of a bear market is that within one or two years, the value of most altcoins may evaporate by over 90%. Currently, altcoins have already dropped by 90%, and may continue to decline in the future. Only a few potential cryptocurrencies can survive a bear market and shine in the next bull market. During a bear market, the candlestick chart shows more bearish candles than bullish candles, reflecting that prices mainly fluctuate and decline. Retail investors find it difficult to make profits and are mostly in a state of loss. The characteristic of a bull market is that trading volume and market activity continue to increase. The candlestick chart shows more bullish candles than bearish candles, with prices rarely falling, allowing most retail investors to make profits and experience fewer losses.
$UNI #比特币市场波动观察 The contract strategy is here today. Why haven’t I given you the contract strategy these days? It’s because it hasn’t reached the bottom yet. Today I started to buy the bottom long order. What coin should I buy the bottom of? The first ten-fold coin recommended in our article, uni, is currently 12.8 US dollars. Why did I buy the bottom of it? Because it fell to the support level of the weekly line, plus the lower track of the daily line, double insurance. uni is saying that it is bullish around 12.8 Defense is at 12 Target above 15 Personal opinion, for reference only. Finally, if you haven’t followed it yet, please follow the avatar to avoid getting lost.
$ETH #加密市场回调 The Trump family bought 722.2 ETH today. Don't be afraid of the big drop, the president is buying the dip, and in a month Trump will move into the White House. There is a saying: when others are greedy, I am fearful; when others are fearful, I am greedy.
The market has plummeted again, let's update the rankings of the top twenty cryptocurrencies by market cap. Don't be afraid of the market drop, because everyone is stuck, even the coins bought by the Trump family are stuck. It's true that the market always drops during holidays; in a bull market, it rebounds quickly, unlike a bear market where it doesn't rebound. The same goes for contracts, recently it's best to take profits when things look good, focus on short-term trades, and if there isn't a big trend, just go for short trades.
Every time Bitcoin ($BTC ) experiences a pullback, many people think the bull market is over. In fact, every dip in a bull market is meant for a better rise. Based on Bitcoin's current price base, a pullback of 10,000 points is actually not much; from the peak, it's only about 10%. A 10% pullback in a bull market is quite normal. The biggest characteristic of a bull market is the frequent spikes and sharp drops, but the overall trend is that the coin price keeps rising. The purpose of the dips is to jump even higher.
The “black swan event” triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut! Start bottom fishing!
What are the impacts of the “black swan event” triggered by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut that we must recognize? What has transformed the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, which was originally expected, into what can be considered the biggest “black swan” event for the financial markets before the end of 2024? The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point reduction in the federal funds rate target range, lowering it to between 4.25% and 4.5%. This marks the third consecutive rate cut this year, following a 50 basis point cut on September 19 and a 25 basis point cut on November 8. The Federal Reserve voted 11 in favor and 1 against (Harker preferred to keep rates unchanged) to lower the federal benchmark interest rate to between 4.25% and 4.5%!
$USUAL #美联储放鹰 #市场调整後的机会? Federal Reserve Meeting Notes: This hawkish rate cut has led to a significant drop in the US dollar, US Treasuries, US stocks, gold, and Bitcoin. In this meeting, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points to a level of 4.25%-4.5%, as expected. The overnight reverse repurchase tool underwent a technical adjustment to the lower bound of the federal funds rate range. The wording of the meeting statement has been adjusted, reflecting that the FOMC has changed the 'pace' and 'magnitude' of the implementation of subsequent policies. There were also divergences in the types of votes, with some members opposing a rate cut in December. The economic forecast clearly reflects concerns about inflation risks, and the Fed's risk balance has evidently shifted back towards inflation. The dot plot only suggests two rate cuts next year, showing a strong hawkish tendency. In opening remarks at the press conference, Powell mentioned a 'more neutral setting' and expressed 'caution' regarding further rate cuts, indicating a hawkish stance. The US dollar/VIX surged, while US Treasuries, US stocks, gold, and Bitcoin experienced significant declines. Economic Forecast and Dot Plot Upward revisions for the 2024/2025 economic forecast, downward revision for unemployment rate forecast, and upward revision for inflation forecast, with a significant increase in the inflation forecast for 2025. The dot plot only indicates two rate cuts for the entire year next year, displaying a strong hawkish tendency. In fact, every decline in a bull market is an opportunity; when there is no risk one day, it also means there are no returns. Finally, keep an eye on me so you don't lose track, ambush tenfold mainstream cryptocurrencies to get rich together, and I will never disappoint you with more exciting content.
Many people are in despair! Why did it drop despite the positive news last night? Let me explain: During a Q&A session with the Federal Reserve, someone asked about $BTC, and Chairman Powell clearly stated that both he personally and the Federal Reserve do not have a positive view on Bitcoin. They do not consider Bitcoin suitable as a strategic reserve asset. Although in theory Congress could amend the law to force the Federal Reserve to accept Bitcoin, Chairman Powell hopes that this situation does not occur. In short, Powell and the Federal Reserve have a negative attitude towards Bitcoin and do not wish for it to become an officially recognized reserve asset. Many people do not understand; after all, the president is the founder of the country, can’t he handle this small matter? Let me put it this way, everyone originally thought it was a 100% chance of winning, but suddenly two villains appeared to oppose you, and your winning rate dropped to 70%. As someone betting on the outcome, do you have to bet on both sides? Got it? But the drop is so harsh, it's definitely some market manipulators causing trouble!
#加密市场回调 The DeFi project World Liberty Financial (WLFI) supported by the Trump family continued to purchase 250,000 USDC of ENA 4 hours ago, right after they reached a partnership with Ethena.
Additionally, they exchanged 102.9 cbBTC they held for WBTC. This may have been influenced by their partner Tron: previously, Tron invested $30 million in WLFI to acquire 2 billion $WLFI, and Sun became an advisor to WLFI.
Since 11/30, the multi-signature address of the World Liberty project has cumulatively spent $44.99 million USDC to acquire 6 tokens: ◎ETH: 8,105 ETH. Spent $30 million USDC at an average price of $3,701; ◎WBTC: 103.1 WBTC. Spent $10 million USDC at an average price of $97,182; ◎LINK: 78,387 LINK. Spent $2 million USDC at an average price of $25.5; ◎AAVE: 6,137 AAVE. Spent $1.99 million USDC at an average price of $324; ◎ENA: 741,687 ENA. Spent $750,000 USDC at an average price of $1.01; ◎ONDO: 134,216 ONDO. Spent $250,000 USDC at an average price of $1.86.
The Trump family's crypto project WLFI bought $250,000 ENA 4 hours ago, and exchanged 103 cbBTC for WBTC. According to Onchain Lens monitoring, about 4 hours ago, the Trump family's crypto project WLFI (World Liberty) spent $250,000 USDC to purchase 231,726 ENA and exchanged 103 cbBTC worth $10.36 million for WBTC. So far this month, it has spent: -$30 million USDC to purchase 8,105 ETH; -$10 million USDC to purchase 103 cbBTC (exchanged for WBTC); -$2 million USDC to purchase 78,387 LINK; -$1.91 million USDC to purchase 6,137 AAVE; -$750,000 USDC to purchase 741,687 ENA; -$250,000 USDC to purchase 134,216 ONDO.
#降息放水 Suggesting Trump to take office and fire Old Bao 😂 Last night’s 25 basis point rate cut was originally positive news, but subsequent continuous suppression led to a significant drop in the market today. Everyone guessed it would rise yesterday, but the market is always contrarian; no one guessed right. The Americans are about to celebrate the New Year, so there won't be significant gains during this time. Recently, there hasn't been much one-sided market movement, so it's time to take profits from contracts.
$PENGU pengu coin is now listed on Binance and has increased by 7 times. Let's see if it still has potential. pengu coin is the official token of the Pudgy Penguins project, which will be launched on the Solana chain in 2024. The total supply of this token is 88.8 billion, aimed at expanding the project's community and attracting new users. The distribution of PENGU coin focuses on community building and ecological development, with the specific distribution as follows: Pudgy Penguins community accounts for 25.9%, other communities account for 24.12%, the team accounts for 17.8% (1-year lock-up period, 3-year linear vesting), partners account for 11.48% (1-year lock-up period, 3-year linear vesting), liquidity support accounts for 12.35%, and promotion and public sale account for 4% each, FTT holders account for 0.35%. Summary: It reached a market value ranking of 65 upon launch, which is relatively high. Consider that mainstream projects like arb and ordi are ranked outside the top 80. Therefore, I believe this coin has a high market value and is not worth purchasing. It is likely to spike on the first day and then decline continuously.
$BTC #ETF✅ #圣诞行情预测 Litecoin ETF may appear before XRP ETF. Experts say that Eric Balchunas, one of the leading ETF analysts, poured cold water on the prospects of the XRP exchange-traded fund receiving approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the near future. In fact, according to Balchunas, the SEC is likely to approve the Litecoin ETF before the XRP ETF. It was reported earlier this month that the SEC notified at least two of five potential issuers that it intends to reject their applications for a spot Solana ETF. Following the nomination of crypto libertarian Paul Atkins to replace SEC Chairman Gary Gensler, there are widespread expectations that the SEC will take a more crypto-friendly stance next year. However, Balchunas stated that this does not mean the XRP ETF will be approved shortly after Atkins begins his term. Both XRP and Solana face 'complex legal issues,' and these must be resolved before the SEC can approve a spot ETF. However, Balchunas noted that Litecoin (LTC) and Hedera (HBAR) have never been classified as securities by the SEC, making their path to a spot ETF less complicated. Meanwhile, the analyst warned that it is still unclear whether there is sufficient demand from investors for the ETF products recently submitted by Canary Capital. Which coin do you think will receive ETF approval first?
Technical Analysis: If Bitcoin can establish solid support above $100,000, and the market maintains its current buying momentum, a breakout above $110,000 is possible. Indicators such as moving averages and RSI show upside potential.
Market Sentiment: The current FOMO sentiment is strong, which may drive more funds into the market, pushing prices higher.
Macroeconomic Environment: If expectations for interest rate cuts or friendly policies towards cryptocurrencies continue, Bitcoin may keep rising.
Market Outlook: Bull Market Confirmation: Breaking $100,000 marks the continuation of a bull market, showing a strong long-term upward trend.
Market Maturity: Increased participation from institutions and investors provides stability and financial support to the market.
Risk Management: Despite high market sentiment, investors should remain cautious and implement risk control measures, such as diversification and stop-loss strategies.
Long-term Perspective: Bitcoin may continue to serve as digital gold, but short-term volatility is unavoidable; holding long-term may be more advantageous.
It’s best not to miss my occasional updates, where I will periodically recommend some real-time strategic operation points and directions, and update recommendations for accumulating quality mainstream cryptocurrencies to seize the bull market and become wealthy together.
With Bitcoin's surge, those who are eager to establish national reserves are on the move. As Bitcoin's price breaks through the $100,000 mark, are the countries holding substantial wealth also starting to take notice? It seems they do not want to miss this opportunity and are considering establishing national Bitcoin reserves to prepare for the future. In the United States, Trump strongly supports Bitcoin. He has publicly expressed his intention to push the Federal Reserve to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve and is promoting the "Bitcoin Bill," planning to purchase 200,000 Bitcoins each year for the next five years! This is quite a significant plan, showcasing Bitcoin's potential. Brazil is also keeping pace, as the government has proposed a bill to include Bitcoin in the national reserves. By doing so, Brazil can better cope with exchange rate fluctuations and geopolitical risks, enhancing economic resilience. In Poland, presidential candidate Stawomir Mentzen strongly supports building a Bitcoin reserve and hopes to make Poland a safe haven for cryptocurrencies through friendly laws and regulations! This idea is truly exciting. Although there are internal disagreements in Russia, some lawmakers support the establishment of a Bitcoin reserve. Recently, Russia's stance on cryptocurrencies has gradually shifted to an open one, and the issue may be reconsidered in the future since the potential of digital assets cannot be underestimated! Japan is not falling behind either, as legislator Akira Hamada has submitted a request for discussions to quickly begin on establishing a national Bitcoin reserve. It seems Japan is also ready to keep pace and act accordingly! Seeing these countries taking action, are you, as an ordinary investor, feeling a bit excited too? If your country also starts to establish Bitcoin reserves, could you benefit from it? Follow the host to stay on track and achieve your dream of wealth. Don’t hesitate any longer, join us, and witness this era full of opportunities and challenges together! The rise of Bitcoin has just begun, and the future remains full of possibilities!
$BTC Tonight, let me just say a few simple words. The pancake has no intention of turning back at all. The D point in the butterfly pattern is located around 107574, which is a relatively important resistance level. If this point breaks, then the next points upward could be around 109400 and 112050. We need to watch closely. We should enjoy the benefits of the rise while also being mindful of risks. In a bull market, there are often pullbacks; it’s been several days without a decent pullback. Be careful of the market makers on both sides. After taking profits on all long positions in batches, remember to set your break-even point. Make sure to lock in profits. If there is a pullback, the support levels below are: 104000, 102500, 99110. Let’s look forward to it.