$BTC $ETH
Brothers, did I do something wrong?
Why are they attacking me?
I can't understand!
It's not Versailles, it's just that my complete break is not wrong!
So, behind every good deed, there's a point that doesn't let go of reason.
Do you think there's something wrong with my approach?
It's very puzzling...

$BTC$ETH
Today's analysis
Going straight to a new high? Will there be a pullback? Is there still a chance to get on board?
Let's answer these questions in the comment area first:
1. First of all, we must admit that Trump is very capable. Even when BlackRock ETF sold more than 100 million yesterday, he still pulled the market! And it was a hard pull!

2. Because I took a short position at 106, I sold half of this contract at 1028, and sold half of half at 95. I wanted to wait for the rest to break 90,000, but unfortunately I didn't get it! Technically speaking, this kind of downward insertion is indeed a daily level pullback, and it should be easy to break 90,000. As for some people's rebuttal, are you waiting for a pullback to pick you up? The same logic,
Did you buy the bottom at 4.9? Did you buy the bottom at Ethereum 21? I bought it, and I bought it with a heavy position! The kind that loses 5 and earns 15! It's not at the position where I want to enter the market yet. I choose the contract and wait and wait. I personally think there is nothing wrong with it! (Figure 3 is the transaction record of 8.05)

3. Is going straight to a new high established? I think there is still resistance to the upward rush. If it closes at 100,000, it will return to the upward trend. If it does not close, it will still be likely to go down! Since you missed the needle, assuming that this can go out of 110,000, there is still a chance to go long! The closing at 4 o'clock should be a downward trend, which is a normal retracement today! Last night, BTC gave a short order at 98, and a position at 99. If this short enters the market, it will be sold at the average price to reduce the risk! The rebound to 1005 must be sold anyway. It is not difficult to make back the 2,000 dollars with my idea! Don't carry the order! Ethereum is 3420 short and 3520 to cover the position. It is also half of the average price! If it stands firmly at 36, you must run away, and there is basically no risk!

4. Get on the car. For spot, I talked about it when Ethereum fell to 3200 yesterday. There were chips all over the ground. Those who let themselves be welded to the car, and those who are trapped will wait for another downward exploration. It is relatively safe!

So basically this is the idea for the day!

$BTC $ETH
You didn’t call for a short position yesterday? Didn’t you call for a short position when BTC hit 108?
Didn’t you call for a short position when Ethereum hit 4100?
Take a good look at Figure 1. I said no to the contract at 3260. Is there a problem?
When it was 3200 later, I replied to the post saying that you should not take the short position. Is there a problem?
Those who read my post yesterday didn’t call for a good position to go short at 102600 and 3720 in the morning? Before this decline, Ethereum was still at 3887. Didn’t you call for 4100? BTC is looking at 109?

I don’t think you are qualified to criticize me in the comment area. If I hadn’t reminded you yesterday, how many people would have been at more than 35 or 33? The end is not much better, at least yesterday, BTC went to 10,000 dollars and Ethereum went to 600 dollars when it went short at the top. Where did you go?

The spot mentioned in Figure 1 can enter the market with the door welded shut. Even if you are trapped, let it be trapped. Is there a problem? You don’t do your work every day, you just like to criticize the sky, the earth, and the air!

On September 7th and October 7th, I called for entry. Where were you? Click on my avatar to check by date. I was the first one on the Internet to say that the market ends on the 5th of every month and opens on the 7th. I drew a picture since August 5th. Go and see it yourself?

Yesterday, everyone who asked me whether to cut the spot, I replied: Don’t cut? The bull market is not over!

You want to rush the contract, but I don’t want to rush. I don’t feel safe. Is that okay? It means that I shouldn’t say it out loud and affect everyone’s money-making?

4 days ago, didn’t I say to buy first: cow, crv, usual, scr, aave, ondo, dydx? Just go against defi and rwa! Except for crv and dydx, which have poor cash performance, who else has trapped you?

$BTC
In the 2013 cycle, after 6 weeks of consecutive gains, BTC experienced its first major adjustment in the 7th week!

In the 2017 cycle, it took 7 weeks of gains, and then in the 8th week, a significant pullback of -34% occurred!

In the 2021 cycle, BTC saw its first meaningful pullback of -16% before the price rebounded 6 weeks later!

In the 2024 cycle, BTC set a record with 7 consecutive weekly gains, followed by a 14.5% pullback in the 8th week!

When will the rebound happen? A second test will occur~~~~~~~~

#比特币市场波动观察 #市场调整後的机会？

$XRP
I confidently bought in at 2, as I mentioned yesterday. Is there anyone not afraid to jump in!

Last time it retraced to 1.9, I bought in at 2, and it seems there's no difference from when you all bought in at 2 yesterday. Why didn't I sell when it rose to 2.7? Because I really want to play the bigger game! Let me know where you plan to dump, so I can make my escape!

$BTC $ETH
December 20th midnight analysis No. 86
Good night, cryptocurrency traders!
Chuan Huang enters the market, big V Tianlong? Another big wash of 14,000 dollars?
It is not always so satisfactory to call for a break of 90,000 across the board!
Review of yesterday's points: Bitcoin gave 102,600, Ethereum was 3,720, which is considered accurate. It is rare to be so accurate, so today's 10,000 dollars small follow is also very pleasant. Even if half of the position is sold, it is still very fragrant.

Let's look at today: Today's 1027 to 92 10,000 dollars, a rebound of 5,000 dollars is in line with expectations, and a rebound of 7,000 dollars is even beyond expectations. If it rebounds back to 102,700, I will never believe it.

This rebound is indeed very fierce, so fierce that I don't know what to do, right? In fact, a big drop in history will always have a big rebound, but will this be like the last time from 104500📉 to 902, and break the previous high and go out of 110,000? Not very realistic.

Tonight's rebound 98 is the top. Here, it breaks the top and breaks the sky, pierces the needle 100,000 to hit the loss order and then falls. So the entry of short orders should be around 98,000, which is in line with the 1-hour spiral top.

Ethereum's ⬆️ is 3420 in place. It still pierces the stop loss needle like Bitcoin.

My view is that the decline is not over. The 200-day moving average must be adjusted once, which is not too far from 🉐️. Today's market is purely short-selling, completely suppressing longs. When there are more and more shorts, it is understandable to have an over-upward move.

The current 4-hour macd has not broken the water surface. If it rises like this, it is an over-inflation. So 🈳️ single entry at this time should be small, and reserve for replenishment. Even if the stop loss is 11,000, I think it is cost-effective. There are still 8,000 dollars to go down, and 2,000 dollars to go up, which is very cost-effective.

Ethereum is the same. 3420 is normal. Above 35 is an over-inflation. 3600 is unlikely, so the idea of ​​short orders is the same as Bitcoin. There are 500 dollars to go down, and only 100 dollars can be seen up temporarily, so this transaction is also very cost-effective.

The same sentence: make a profit and loss ratio position management plan for yourself, you can bear to enter the market, but you can't bear to leave the market. As a blogger, the analysis of contracts is for traffic, but there are many players in the market, so make some voices. Only for those who resonate!

In this market, everyone is still trying to find ways to buy at the bottom, so it can't be the bottom

When you want to short, it's time to buy at the bottom

When Ethereum BTC has a short position and starts to gamble tens of dollars or thousands of dollars in profit, it's time to enter the market with a heavy position!

When someone asks me what to do with a short position in the comment area, if you find it, please remember to open a long position! Because you must trap people to despair!

$BTC $ETH
Night analysis:

SOS life-saving advice...
Bitcoin is ready for the final acceleration today, contract players.

Don't try to buy the bottom,

Don't try to buy the bottom,

Don't try to buy the bottom.

Wait for a rebound and then go down to the right side, don't take this kind of needle.

Once it falls below, there will be panic selling, and 90,000 is impossible to hold
Ethereum has not reached the bottom yet. It just fell more than Bitcoin
Tonight will be a one-step rhythm.

The short at 106, I am the one who calls for it from the whole network.
The short at 3900 is also the one who calls for it from the whole network.
It is very likely that Bitcoin will go down to 88, and no one dares to say it won't go down to 82.
The concentration area of ​​​​Ethereum is 3030-2780.
I really want to go long, waiting for a rebound.
There are 3 major supports in the short term
90
88
85

Ethereum will rebound once. Today's decline reached 10 points and a 3-point correction is possible.

Currently, the main bears, once the momentum is formed, it is absolutely impossible to counterattack instantly.
Then let me talk about another logic:
If it falls to the position I said, you must dare to enter the market. If you don't dare to enter the market, it will be a waste.

I don't need to say whether the bull market has ended or not, it depends on what the market says.
If you want me to say it is impossible!

Therefore, you must dare to enter the market when it falls to the position I said. I will send it directly when I enter the market. It depends on you whether you can keep up~

$ETH $BTC

Alert: It has fallen below the first interval and is about to enter the next channel. If the U.S. stock market cannot be repaired in time when it opens at night, it will go directly to the second interval! Today's panic injection has not appeared yet! I will choose to enter the market when the injection appears!

Looking at the current market, I don't want to pretend at all. I don't care about the Asian and American markets. I just want to smash them. I think I can get it in one day!

It still takes only 3 days to rise for 1 month and fall

After falling for 3 days, enter the market in a short time!

With the U price reaching 7.4+7.5+, enter the market in a long time! At present, it is 7.33, and there is still room. No funds are willing to enter the market!

Then the fear index 30 all-in sprints into the market. At present, it is still greedy 75. It is estimated that the update will directly turn into fear!

$BTC $ETH $SOL
Is it still bullish? Are you still talking about missing out on the bull market?
The US stock market hasn't opened yet tonight. How about another shot after opening? A one-month rise can be completely lost in just three days!

The most correct thing I did today was to tell you not to rush in. Rebound shorts are the way to go! There is no rebound today at all. Entering the market is giving away your life!

BTC still has not seen the same shot.
Let's see if Ethereum can hold at 32. If it breaks 31, it will definitely enter the market. At worst, I will cover my position at 28--26. If I have the ability, I will trap you for another half a year😂

sol168 is the limit position! It is also very cost-effective to buy spot now. If you cover your position at 168, you can buy with your eyes closed when it reaches 168~~~

$BTC $ETH
3 o'clock every day - after dinner (let's talk about something!)

BTC+ETH information:
Bitcoin spot ETF had a net outflow of 680 million US dollars in a single day, setting a record high! This fully shows that the US will continue to sell interest rates on Christmas. Will retail investors in the US continue to sell?

Ethereum spot ETF had a net outflow of 60.4677 million US dollars yesterday, ending the 18-day net inflow trend; Ethereum really can't stand the storm, the rise did not break the history, and it fell like a copycat!

Sector rotation:
No sector can withstand the BTC crash! A general drop of 10 points!

Hot tokens:
Usually on the list of gains is worth talking about. At present, everyone is using it to pledge liquidity mining; the liquidity is relatively large, so the rise during this period is very good!

Macro information:
The focus is the American Christmas!

$XRP
Is this the strongest mainstream?
If the bull flag is not broken, do you dare to get on the train if it goes to around 2 yuan?
If it goes to 5 yuan next year, do you think it is an opportunity to step back?
The dark horse in the first half of this bull market is ton
The second half will probably depend on xrp
However, the founder of ton can be truly released after 3 months, and when he leaves France, it will be time for ton to return to the spotlight!

$BTC
I see many people shouting to buy the dip again! The bull is back~~~
Reply to this! If it breaks down, a short-term increase indicates that this round of main upward wave has reached its target! Next, those who do not listen to advice will be buried! You can only do rebounds, not reversals! In plain words, it's fine to enter the market, just don't think too big!

The daily line must return to the zero axis! Where is the zero axis?
Combining time, space, volume, and price, look at each time's chip stagnation area; the longer it stops, the stronger the support. If it cannot effectively support, it will continue to fall. The daily line returning to the zero axis will definitely rebound once, as for where this needle goes down to, pay attention to the support at 95·94 and 91·90 in the morning!

Ethereum needs to see 33·328!

If the daily line breaks down, where will it go? Breaking down 90,000 is a must, so without ETF buying on Christmas in the US, everyone needs to spend money during the New Year, right? If it breaks down 90,000 around Christmas, wait for Trump’s speech on January 6, then entering the market in advance around the 2nd-3rd of the month is not a problem, right?

Looking at the Ethereum chart, the pullback can really see the MA + EMA 200 moving averages; it has now returned to 3000. Although many people are shouting 2800, so what if I enter at 3000 and let it trap me for 200 bucks? If it truly goes to 2600, what’s the harm in adding more?

Based on the saying of the upper stock season, there are still 5 days left. I believe there's nothing wrong with entering the market and buying a little at this time! If you have positions, just wait a bit to expand the utilization rate of funds, isn't that good? The market is indeed bought out! I also have positions stuck on the car, like BOME, DYDX, CRV, SAGA, SCR! I not only recommend these to everyone, but I also have positions in them! The mainstream position has half of Ethereum with an average price of 3000, originally 2800, using high selling and low buying to raise the average price. I plan to hold this until it goes to 5000! So there will still be half a year of bull market next year, what is there to be afraid of?

$SCR $USUAL
I am going to crash the market...
Why are my usual and scr so strong? Because I have a friend called 'not a human'. I am ready to sell at usual1.5 😹

$BTC $ETH
Morning Analysis
One night lost $1.027 billion, once again washing away the mountains and rivers...
So those who watched my analysis in the past two days should have escaped a disaster. Let the spot positions be trapped; the contracts are shorted.

The shorting price given in the evening was 102600, and for Ethereum, it was 3720. Almost a perfect entry point. Today's short position should be reduced.

The spiral decline will definitely have a rebound. If you want to short the big positions, you can take small positions to catch the rebound. It's better not to think about holding short since the bull market hasn't ended. Barely shorting to 80,000 or 90,000, Ethereum around 3050 should be about right 😹!

Looking at today's market, Ethereum has dropped sharply, breaking below 3400 down to 33, encountering support at the 3-day line, with a slight rebound. The bottom instant trading volume was 100,000, not bad, completing a rebound of 100 dollars. Prepare for the second injection! The weekly chart has started to enter a dead cross, which is a bit troublesome. It should break the previous low during the day without any issues, in order to complete the KDJ reaching the bottom. If it goes down big, then we can reverse and enter long positions, looking at around 3280 to see if it works.

Bitcoin dropped to 956, with a rebound to 97 lacking strength, indicating that another injection is needed, but the support at 94 is very strong. Additionally, the daily MACD needs a rebound to return to the zero axis, and KDJ is almost at the bottom, so it's best to have another injection. Therefore, let's see if there's a suitable position to catch the rebound at 94. If 94 is broken, it will drop straight down to 90,000. This is the strongest support; let's see how the situation develops for another rebound!

$USDC
When to bottom out? When to add positions?
Wait for the price to reach 7.5, wait for greed to turn into fear!
At that time, don't hesitate to use up your bullets, uninstall the exchange, hold until March next year, and then come back to this post.
Is it okay if I pin it? See you in March next year!

$BTC$ETH
Evening Analysis:
The interest rate cut has turned into a bearish signal; remember that chaos is brewing, and soon it will be Christmas disaster! The road is long and winding; when will the account be safe?

A high warning for three consecutive days, and the anticipated drop of ten thousand indeed came; this morning, 100,000 broke down. Although there was a rebound to the 1026 position within the day, it currently seems weak in its upward attempts. Last night at 2 AM, we witnessed this historical moment together; the interest rate cut led to a complete collapse, US stocks plunged, gold broke through 2600, and the crypto market saw widespread declines! The lack of any rebound is indeed a bit beyond expectations! Therefore, I didn't dare to suggest shorting, as extreme market conditions cause significant psychological pressure!

The BTC trend during the day is not particularly strong; a rebound of 4000 is within expectations, as typically a drop of ten thousand should see a rebound of 3000-5000. I believe the general direction is still a bounce to short, as this is just the first jab; there should be a second jab in the 4-hour chart! In principle, the bullish trend of BTC has not broken; it still belongs to an upward channel. If it were at ten thousand, there would definitely be opportunities to take long positions at 100,000, as locking in this profit of 2000 is crucial—don't let it drop and end up giving back profits! BTC's one-hour rise to 1026 met resistance, and without a V-shaped rebound, the peak would be around 103500!

Ethereum, on the other hand, is not optimistic. Currently, the daily line has broken the previous high, diverging and breaking the upward trend at the daily level, and it needs to pull back at the weekly level! Therefore, it’s not advisable to force long positions at this time; unless it’s spot trading, it’s useless to say even 5000. You need to consider your position's bearing capacity! Today's rebound to 3720 is an excellent position to enter short orders. It could drop back to around 3560!

The above analysis is purely personal trading records; those who follow are responsible for their own profits and losses!

$BTC $ETH

It's set in stone, definitely 25bp. Just as expected.
The key focus next is Powell's speech on 3.30, which will determine the market volatility.

Currently, we are experiencing slight fluctuations on a 15-minute chart, and there will be significant fluctuations later. There's no rush to enter the market. Wait for the peak or a golden opportunity. Control your own hands.

Personally, I lean towards the technical side. If it can pull back to 102, you can enter; if it rises to 108, you can short. Set your stop loss at 1 point. After all, we all need to sleep 😹!

What highlights are there in the Federal Reserve's year-end interest rate decision? Is the 25bp cut a certainty?

At 3 AM, the Federal Reserve is set to announce the much-anticipated December interest rate decision, and Chairman Powell will, as usual, speak at the routine press conference half an hour later (3:30). Currently, the industry widely expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates by another 25 basis points at this week's meeting, with little suspense remaining.

This will mark the Federal Reserve's third consecutive meeting to announce a rate cut after September and November, bringing the total rate cut for the year to an estimated 100 basis points.

So what important information should we focus on regarding tonight's rate cut?

I believe there are three main highlights:

1. Will there be continued hints for January?

2. How many more times can we expect a rate cut in 2025?

3. Will Powell and Trump stage a 2.0 version!

Personally, I am particularly interested in the third point 😹🤣
#美降息25个基点预期升温