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10.12 Market Analysis
The PPI monthly rate and consumer confidence index released last night are both bearish for the US dollar and bullish for the cryptocurrency market. Its mild performance gives the Fed a reason to further ease. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25BP in November is 95.6%, and the probability of not cutting interest rates is 4.4%. Some analysts believe that the macro factors affecting the performance of cryptocurrencies are shifting from monetary policy to the results of the US election.
After BTC fell sharply to below 59,000 in the early hours of yesterday, it has been fluctuating upward, reaching a high of around 63,400 and currently falling back to around 62,600. Excluding the impact of news, BTC's weekend fluctuation range is between 61,000 and 63,500. Try to focus on high altitude in operations
ETH tested 2470 yesterday and currently fell back to around 2445. Excluding the impact of news, ETH's weekend fluctuation range is between 2500 and 2380. Try to focus on high altitude in operations

10.11 Market Analysis
Bostic of the Federal Reserve said that he was open to the possibility of not cutting interest rates in November. Trump said that in fact, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates a little too quickly. In addition, after the BTC price fell, a giant whale once again panic-sold 800 BTC, which may be the main reason for the sharp drop in the early morning.
BTC showed a V-shaped trend in the early morning, and it rebounded after reaching a low of 58,900. The current price is around 60,700. There is no news worth paying attention to today. Pay a little attention to the consumer confidence index at 10 o'clock in the evening, but I personally think that the deviation value will not be large. Excluding the impact of the news, BTC's oscillation space today is between 59,500 and 62,000.
ETH has now fully repaired the sharp drop in the early morning. The current price is 2406. Excluding the impact of the news, ETH's oscillation space today is between 2350 and 2480. In terms of operation, try to focus on low and long. $BTC $ETH #6万保卫战

Ethereum developers proposed two proposals to improve first-layer efficiency
Ethereum developers released EIP-7781 and EIP-7783, which aim to enhance the scalability of the network's base layer. EIP-7781 will reduce Ethereum's time slot to 8 seconds, while EIP-7783 will increase the gas target over time. $ETH

While cryptocurrency is considered a form of currency, the IRS considers it a financial asset or property for tax purposes. Like most other investments, if you make capital gains from selling or trading cryptocurrency, the government wants a piece of the profits. $BTC #6万保卫战

10.10 Market Analysis
The minutes of the Fed meeting released this morning showed that the sharp interest rate cut was not a concern for the economy, nor was it a signal of a rapid interest rate cut. The minutes showed that the vast majority of members supported a 50 basis point interest rate cut. Since the release of the Fed meeting minutes, the possibility of no interest rate cut in November has risen to 29.6%.
BTC has been fluctuating in a narrow range yesterday afternoon. From 12:00 p.m. to the close of the U.S. stock market, it fell by $2,000, reaching a low of around $60,200. It has now rebounded to around $60,800. The current price has not broken through the starting point of the sharp drop after the close of the U.S. stock market last night. The CPI data will be released at 8:30 tonight. Judging from the non-agricultural data released last week, tonight's data may be bullish for the U.S. dollar. Excluding the impact of the news, BTC's fluctuation range before the release of CPI is between 60,000 and 62,000. In terms of operation, try to focus on low and long positions. The entry point for long orders is recommended to be 60,400, the stop profit is 61,000, and the stop loss point is 59,800.
ETH outperformed BTC last night. After the opening of the U.S. stock market, it formed a double top structure with yesterday morning, and then began to fall rapidly, with the lowest adjustment to around 2350. It has now rebounded to around 2390. Excluding the impact of news, ETH's fluctuation range before the release of CPI is 2330-2440. In terms of operation, it is recommended to focus on low and long positions. The entry point for long orders is 2370, the take-profit point is 2400, and the stop-loss point is 2340.$BTC
$ETH
#非农人数大幅升温

The internal group repositioning plan order once again stops profit and leaves the market $BTC $ETH

At 2 o'clock in the morning, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of the monetary policy meeting. During this period of time, the volatility may increase. Brothers, you must set the stop-profit and stop-loss positions for your orders before 2 o'clock. I personally predict that it is bullish. $BTC $ETH

US stocks opened close to flat, Chinese concept stock index fell 2.5%
Jinshi Data reported on October 9 that the three major US stock indexes opened close to flat, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 19 points. $BTC $ETH

10.9 Market Analysis
Fed Bostic: The labor market has slowed down, but it does not appear weak or weak. The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25BP in November is 86.7%, and the probability of not cutting interest rates is 13.3%. Fed Collins: The core inflation rate is expected to return to 2% in 2025

BTC's trend yesterday was in line with my prediction. It was in a small shock overall. Our operation was also long and short. It fell to around 61,800 yesterday, which just gave us an opportunity to enter the market. The current BTC price is around 62,300. Excluding the impact of news, BTC's oscillation space today is between 63,500 and 61,500, and the operation is mainly low-long

ETH was not synchronized with BTC yesterday, and the trend was stronger than BTC. Excluding the impact of news, ETH's oscillation space today is between 2,380 and 2,480, and the operation is mainly low-long$BTC $ETH #大A香还是大饼香

The internal group turned over the warehouse order to stop profit and left the market. Today, the internal group has four consecutive reds $BTC $ETH #美联储11月降息预期升温

BTC surged yesterday, then fell back to 62,500, breaking through yesterday's daily decline of $BTC #美联储11月降息预期升温

10.8 Market Analysis
The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25BP in November is 86.3%, and the probability of not cutting interest rates has risen to 13.7%, which basically rules out the possibility of a 50 basis point cut. However, some Fed officials have different opinions. Buffett continues to sell Bank of America, with a cumulative cash out of more than $10 billion. Does this mean that the US stock market has reached a high and urgently needs to be slowly adjusted down?
BTC once surged to around 64,500 last night, and then began to fall back, currently falling back to around 62,500. This position is also near the highest point of the weekend. Excluding the impact of news, BTC's oscillation space today is between 63,500 and 61,500
ETH broke through 2,500 twice yesterday, but unfortunately failed to successfully stand above it. It can be seen that the pressure at this position is still very large, and it is currently stepping back to around 2,430. Excluding the impact of news, ETH's oscillation space today is between 2,480 and 2,380