A few key things to focus on this week
In addition to slightly paying attention to a few token unlocks
The main focus is on the Federal Reserve's interest rate announcement on Thursday
This is the third rate cut this year, scheduled for 3 AM on the 19th
One can only say that whether the rate cut is good or bad is a mixed bag
Positive factors: Increased liquidity, depreciation of the dollar benefits the crypto space, demand for safe havens: in times of economic uncertainty, the crypto space becomes a safe haven
Negative factors: Increased market volatility raises risks, policy uncertainty may lead to tighter regulation, inflation increases impacts on the crypto space

From the daily chart, Bitcoin received a small positive line yesterday and broke a new high again. The daily line moved upward along the MA5/10 daily moving average, and the bullish trend was obvious. From the 4-hour chart, the overall price moved upward along the MA5 daily moving average, and the price gradually broke a new high. The short-term support and long opportunities are at the MA5/10 daily moving average. At the same time, pay attention to the 1-hour MA30 daily moving average retracement and long opportunities.
From the daily chart, Ethereum received a cross star red K-line with upper and lower shadows yesterday. The price retraced the MA10 daily moving average and then rebounded upward. The overall price remained above the MA5/10 daily moving average. From the 4-hour level, the support of each moving average continued to concentrate upward. In the short term, wait for the retracement to go long, and wait for the breakthrough to stabilize at 4000 to see the strength of the rebound.
BTC: light long near 10.56/10.4, target above 10.7
ETH: light long near 3980/3920, target above 4050

The daily chart for Bitcoin rose from around 103300 yesterday to a high of around 107800, once again breaking a new high, closing around 106100. The support below is near the MA7 moving average; if it breaks, we can look towards the MA14. A pullback can be taken to go long nearby. The upper target can be set at a new high. The MACD shows an increase in bullish momentum, forming a golden cross. On the four-hour chart, support below is near the MA14; if it breaks, we can look towards the MA30. A pullback can be taken to go long nearby. The MACD shows an increase in bullish momentum.
The daily chart for Ethereum rose from around 3885 yesterday to a high of around 4110, closing around 3985. The support below is near the MA7 moving average; if it breaks, we can look towards the MA14. A pullback can be taken to go long nearby. The MACD shows a decrease in bearish momentum and has signs of forming a golden cross. On the four-hour chart, support below is near the MA14; if it breaks, we can look towards the MA60. A pullback can be taken to go long nearby. The MACD shows an increase in bullish momentum, forming a golden cross #比特币冲向11万？ .

Tonight there is November sales data, tomorrow night (Wednesday) there is third quarter current account data, and the day after tomorrow at 3 AM there is a monetary policy meeting, with Q3 GDP and PCE data in the evening.

Multiple needles, this needle is an opportunity to buy on dips and add positions, with high points continuously looking upwards. Pay attention to short-term fluctuations and take timely profits, with advantageous opening costs (more than 3000 points below the market price). For each high point, just take 30% profit, and for pullbacks, you can look towards the 111500-112600 range. #BTC再创新高

Everything starts from the heart, a smile can resolve a thousand worries. With a good mindset, good emotions, good health, and good luck.

The sunrise brings hope, the sunset brings thoughts.

With hope in the heart, busy yet not lost.

Follow your own light, be sincere and brave!

Last night's prediction directly took profit, Bitcoin secured 3500 Iodine, Auntie secured 190 Iodine #BTC再创新高

In the early morning, the first rays of sunlight gently pass through the gaps in the curtains, casting light on our faces like a tender kiss, awakening the sleeping world and us as well. In this tranquil and beautiful moment, saying 'good morning' seems to infuse the new day with boundless vitality and anticipation.

Every morning is a precious gift from nature. Birds sing joyfully on the branches, welcoming the sunrise with their clear voices; the leaves sway gently in the breeze, shimmering with dewdrops, resembling tiny scattered diamonds. All of this reminds us that life is full of vitality and beauty, waiting for us to discover and feel. #BTC再创新高

Bitcoin weekly level continues to close with a bullish candle, Bollinger Bands continue to open upwards, MACD moving averages continue to rise, bullish volume continues to increase, KDJ line is moving steadily, at the daily level, Bollinger Bands are starting to open slightly upwards, MACD moving averages are starting to rise, bearish volume continues to decrease, KDJ line is moving upwards;
Ethereum weekly level closes with a bearish pin bar, Bollinger Bands are opening upwards, MACD moving averages are rising, bullish volume continues to increase, KDJ line is moving upwards, at the daily level, Bollinger Bands continue to close upwards, MACD moving averages are moving downwards, bearish volume continues to slightly increase, KDJ line is moving upwards, at the 4-hour level, Bollinger Bands are starting to open, MACD moving averages are moving steadily upwards, bullish volume is decreasing, KDJ line is moving downwards;
Buy Bitcoin in the 104000-103500 area, target 105500-107000, stop loss at 103000;
Buy Ethereum in the 3910-3920 area, target 4020-4100, stop loss at 3870; #BTC重回关键位置后走势

Bullish Cannon Pattern Summary [Yawn][Yawn][Yawn]

1. Pattern Description:
Consists of three candlesticks: two large bullish candles surrounding one bearish candle.
The bearish candle is completely engulfed by the two bullish candles, typically appearing in an uptrend, indicating that the market is likely to continue rising.

2. Specific Characteristics:
The first candlestick is a large bullish candle, representing the beginning of an upward wave.
The second candlestick is a bearish candle, completely located within the first large bullish candle.
The third candlestick is a large bullish candle, engulfing the second bearish candle, with the closing price ideally equal to the closing price of the first large bullish candle.

3. Investment Advice:
If you cannot select strong coins, it is advisable to pay attention to my analysis and seize short-term opportunities.
Success comes from choices and circles; opportunities are fleeting and must be grasped.

Summary:
The bullish cannon is a bullish pattern, and if you can timely identify strong coins, there is a chance to profit in the short term.

Tips and Tricks of the Bull Market

It has been previously mentioned that the biggest characteristic of this bull market is the blooming of multiple sectors and sector rotation. However, sector rotation is intermittent, for example, after MEME rotates, it switches to DEFI, and after DEFI, it goes to public chain rotation, and so on.

No matter which sector is rotating, random switching of positions will leave you with nothing. To steadily enjoy the entire bull market, you need to identify the sector with the strongest sustainability, because after other sectors have rotated, the final funds will still flow into this sustainable sector #比特币战略储备

The price oscillated and made a significant rebound in the morning, breaking through new highs and reaching an unprecedented level. This may be due to Trump's statements buying BTC. From the indicators, the previous dip formed a lower shadow, and the price oscillated and rebounded. Today, it reached a higher point with an upper shadow. The bears have also come down as expected. The key focus now is the previous high point converting to a support level at 104056. If this wave of a surge breaks this level on a pullback, the price will continue to decline, maintaining the oscillating pattern. If it doesn't break, it will continue to support and pull back, but it is still recommended to short first and then long at this position.
① Short in the 105500-106000 area, bearish if breaking 104100 to target 102000
② Short in the 4000-4200 area, target 3920-3900

Methods for Unwinding After Being Trapped in Cryptocurrency Trading
Unwinding in the cryptocurrency space refers to selling a cryptocurrency when its price rebounds to near the buying price to recover funds. Learning to trap is the first step in hunting; learning to unwind is the real understanding of market trading.

There are generally two types of unwinding methods:
1. Proactive Unwinding Strategies
1. Cut Losses: If it's discovered that the purchase was a serious mistake, especially if bought at the peak of a previous spike, one must have the determination to make a decisive cut and sell to protect capital. The cryptocurrency market has many opportunities; as long as the capital does not suffer a significant loss, one can always earn back.
2. Swap Coins: If the cryptocurrency held is trapped and in a weak position, with further downside potential, and if one accurately judges that another coin has greater upside potential and a stronger trend, one can decisively swap coins to offset losses from the old coin with profits from the new coin.
3. Short Selling: When it’s confirmed that one is deeply trapped and cannot cut losses, and there is further downside potential in the market or a specific cryptocurrency, one can adopt short selling, selling the trapped coin first and waiting to buy back at a lower price to effectively reduce costs.

2. Passive Unwinding Strategies
1. Averaging Down: When the buying price is not high or there is strong optimism about the future market, one can choose to use averaging down techniques. However, ordinary investors can usually only withstand one or two rounds of averaging down, so timing is crucial.
2. Wait It Out: If fully invested and deeply trapped, unable to cut losses or add to positions, one can only wait passively. As long as it’s one’s own money, not borrowed or loaned, there is patience to wait.

One must not act emotionally, recklessly adding to positions or cutting losses without thinking. Being trapped is not terrifying; sometimes not being trapped means not making money, and being trapped may even lead to significant profits. Therefore, do not simply view being trapped as a disaster; if managed properly, it can completely turn into an opportunity.

There is room for the long position to develop, so it is not advisable to chase the high position; Li Hui still arranges short orders. The daily Bollinger Bands are closing, and the upper space has not been opened. It is recommended to pay attention to whether the big cake daily line can reverse the divergence or wait for the fast and slow lines of the big cake to close before opening a short position.
① Clear the big cake 106000-10500 range and do 🈳
② Try shorting with a light position in the 4010-4050 range of the big cake, and stop loss above the previous high #BTC重回关键位置后走势

The pancake pattern is high and not declining, insufficient chips, the dog owner is meaningless, creating an illusion.
Market trends have no right or wrong, focus on increasing positions, stay proactive, and observe support levels. A turning point is expected to arrive, pay attention to the rebound at 103200-103500, and note the support at 100000 and 96000.

From historical experience, the repeated fluctuations at each peak of Bitcoin are a form of 'wash trading', meaning that the main funds are trying to wash out those investors who bought Bitcoin at prices of 90,000, 80,000, or even 70,000, attracting more people to enter the market and pushing them to hold their coins and wait for a rebound.

The future market for altcoins is closely related to ETH, after all, if Ethereum takes over after Bitcoin in the second half, there is a very high probability that it can explode and hit new highs, or even higher new highs!

With the impact of the current Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs, the market's liquidity is simply off the charts compared to the past, only the liquidity and logic of altcoins still maintain the same appearance as before, so the seasonal explosion of altcoins will follow a certain pattern under the influence of the overall market. Christmas is a very important holiday in the West, and there are many settlements at the end of the year, so recently there has indeed been some capital outflow, leading to a short-term slump in the market. According to past patterns, the market usually bottoms out around Christmas.

Every time the market is bad or very good, people will say this time is different.
Actually, in my opinion, every time is the same.
Because it is people who play in this market, and people have the same human nature, which hasn't changed since ancient times. No matter what the world does, human nature remains unchanged.
So this time is still the same.
If you are confused by various winds, then there is no other reason; it must be that your position is too heavy, or you bought the wrong asset.
Then you will look for various phenomena to confirm your views, such as the price breaking below the 200-day moving average, a death cross, or a recession in the U.S.
You will find countless pieces of evidence to prove that this situation is doomed, and then you will really fulfill it by liquidating all your positions.
In my opinion, making money in the crypto circle is really too easy. #比特币战略储备

One of the reference factors for the top of the big pie:
It must be accompanied by very significant positive news, and the nationwide FOMO can provide ample liquidity. For example, the ETF through day in the first half of the year was the stage peak, and this time it might be related to the understanding of the king? Or something else, anyway, it won't just reach the peak calmly.
Under this major premise, encountering a deep squat and making profits has a high probability (deep squat, like the single-day drop of 20+ on the 9th), and a second exploration that doesn't break the previous low is an excellent position for opening and joy, with a very close stop-loss and great cost-effectiveness. At the same time, we can also observe that if there is no huge increase in volume, and it is merely a deep squat caused by the removal of liquidity that clears leverage, the winning rate is even higher.

If the principal is less than 100,000 and you are keen on short-term trading, you must read this note several times and remember the following 4 key short-term techniques! The text is brief, but the value is immense; understanding it can save you several years of detours!

First, do not rush to sell when the morning market drops; increase your position at a low price with T+0. If the stock price drops in the morning, there is no need to rush to sell. Instead, take the opportunity to buy more at a low point, which will lower your average cost. When the stock price rises later, you can sell for a profit in the morning. This operation can refer to the 5-minute and 15-minute K-line charts to find the low point.

Second, when there is a significant rise in the afternoon, it is advisable to reduce your position; if there is a significant decline at the close, consider buying the next day. If there is a substantial upward trend in the afternoon, be sure to reduce your position; if there is a significant drop at the close, then consider building a position to buy the next day, as there is usually a higher probability of a lower open and a higher close the next day.

Third, how to judge the strength of a limit-up? Observe the intraday chart; if it is locked at the limit-up before 11:30 AM and remains closed all day with large orders, it indicates strong momentum; if it is locked after this period, the stock is weak. Avoid touching stocks that only lock up near the closing bell, as there are often tricks involved when the stock is pushed up at the close.

Fourth, controlling drawdowns is key. Most retail investors find it a hundred times more painful to miss out than to be trapped. They always fantasize about seizing every opportunity, yet the market is always there, and opportunities arise every day. After making a big profit, it is easy to become arrogant; one must know that pride leads to downfall. If there are no excellent opportunities, it is wise to take a break for a day or two and secure your profits.

The pancake daily line rebounded from the lowest point near 99180 yesterday to the highest point near 101950, closing around 101400. Support below is near the MA7 moving average; if broken, it can be watched down to near MA14. A pullback can be taken to buy nearby. The MACD bears are shrinking, showing signs of forming a golden cross. On the four-hour chart, support below is near MA14; if broken, it can be watched down to near MA30. A pullback can be taken to buy nearby. The MACD bulls are increasing.
Ethereum daily line rose from the lowest point near 3850 yesterday to the highest point near 3970, closing around 3905. Support below is near the MA7 moving average; if broken, it can be watched down to near MA14. A pullback can be taken to buy nearby. Resistance above is near 4010. The MACD bears are shrinking, showing signs of forming a golden cross. On the four-hour chart, support below is near MA60; if broken, it can be watched down to near MA30. A pullback can be taken to buy nearby. The MACD bulls are shrinking, showing signs of forming a dead cross.

Four iron rules of the bull market for Bitcoin, with no exceptions to date:
1. Halving occurs once every four years
2. A major bull market starts six months after the halving
3. The bull market ends one and a half years after the halving, followed by a crash — the best time to take profits
4. The crash lasts for 1 year, hitting the bottom with an 80% drop — the best time to buy the dip

When the Bitcoin bull market rises significantly, funds will naturally flow to altcoins. When the trading volume of altcoins increases, they will rise (unless Bitcoin hasn't entered a bull market).