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柏盛
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主做二级市场,经历两牛一熊,擅长中短线布局、趋势及波段战法。 曾经执着寻找山寨百倍币,现在专注比特币、以太坊。 每天分析想法和故事。全网同名:A柏盛、柏盛
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The US is caught in a difficult situation in the Sino-US financial war. Is the interest rate cut a "new conspiracy" to curb the Chinese economy?The financial war between China and the United States has been going on for three years. Has the winner been decided? The United States originally thought that it could completely destroy the Chinese economy by exploding the Chinese real estate market, and in the process reap trillions of high-quality assets. It would use China as a fat sheep to make up for its own deficit of 35 trillion dollars and continue to be the world hegemon for another 100 years. Unfortunately, after two years of violent interest rate hikes, the Chinese economy has not shown any signs of collapse. The United States cannot figure out what the problem is. This matter has to start from the beginning China's economic take-off began in 2001. In fact, at the beginning of China's rise, it was the former US president who helped us. At that time, we had been working hard for 15 years to return to the world trade system, but Western countries had a deep misunderstanding of China and had always kept us out.

The US is caught in a difficult situation in the Sino-US financial war. Is the interest rate cut a "new conspiracy" to curb the Chinese economy?

The financial war between China and the United States has been going on for three years. Has the winner been decided?
The United States originally thought that it could completely destroy the Chinese economy by exploding the Chinese real estate market, and in the process reap trillions of high-quality assets. It would use China as a fat sheep to make up for its own deficit of 35 trillion dollars and continue to be the world hegemon for another 100 years. Unfortunately, after two years of violent interest rate hikes, the Chinese economy has not shown any signs of collapse. The United States cannot figure out what the problem is.
This matter has to start from the beginning
China's economic take-off began in 2001. In fact, at the beginning of China's rise, it was the former US president who helped us. At that time, we had been working hard for 15 years to return to the world trade system, but Western countries had a deep misunderstanding of China and had always kept us out.
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Alas, I got hit for standing at attention. Although I knew that the price would go up after breaking through 64100, I was still bearish until the evening, thinking that the price would fall once before going to 64100. As a result, I got hit hard in the face, which was uncomfortable. Now I am not a fence-sitter of Bosheng, but in terms of the logic of right-side trading, 64100 is a very critical position, and I had already said it yesterday and at noon today. $BTC #加密市场反弹 #比特币盈利供应能否推动价格上涨? #BTC走势预测 #BTC☀ #BTC走势分析
Alas, I got hit for standing at attention.

Although I knew that the price would go up after breaking through 64100,

I was still bearish until the evening, thinking that the price would fall once before going to 64100.

As a result, I got hit hard in the face, which was uncomfortable.

Now I am not a fence-sitter of Bosheng, but in terms of the logic of right-side trading,

64100 is a very critical position, and I had already said it yesterday and at noon today. $BTC #加密市场反弹 #比特币盈利供应能否推动价格上涨? #BTC走势预测 #BTC☀ #BTC走势分析
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Stop acting, come down quickly

Otherwise I will write it wrong today
$BTC #加密市场反弹 #比特币盈利供应能否推动价格上涨? #BTC☀ #BTC走势预测 #BTC走势分析
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Stop acting, come down quickly

Otherwise I will write it wrong today
$BTC #加密市场反弹 #比特币盈利供应能否推动价格上涨? #BTC☀ #BTC走势预测 #BTC走势分析
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2024-09-26 BTC Market Analysis Since the 20th of this month, BTC has been sideways for nearly 7 days. On the 20th, Bosheng pointed out in the article that there is a high probability that a 1h-level center will be built next, which is now completely in line with the judgment. As long as the next retracement does not fall below 62,000, the next rebound will definitely break through 65,000 and reach above 66,000. If it falls below 62,000 next, it means that the 4h rebound since the 7th of this month has ended, and the first retracement is expected to reach around 60,600. Bosheng is a firm bullish party, and the long order of 59,000 has been held until now, with a stop loss of 60,500. Short-term The overall situation is still in a 1h-level retracement, and it is expected to reach the key point of 62,300 again around 7 pm. Therefore, short-term rebound is still the main focus. #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #加密市场反弹 #BTC☀ #BTC走势预测 #BTC走势分析 Direction: Long or short Buy point 1: 62600 Sell point 1: Current price Buy point 2: 62300 Sell point 2: 63600
2024-09-26 BTC Market Analysis

Since the 20th of this month, BTC has been sideways for nearly 7 days. On the 20th, Bosheng pointed out in the article that there is a high probability that a 1h-level center will be built next, which is now completely in line with the judgment.

As long as the next retracement does not fall below 62,000, the next rebound will definitely break through 65,000 and reach above 66,000. If it falls below 62,000 next, it means that the 4h rebound since the 7th of this month has ended, and the first retracement is expected to reach around 60,600.

Bosheng is a firm bullish party, and the long order of 59,000 has been held until now, with a stop loss of 60,500.

Short-term

The overall situation is still in a 1h-level retracement, and it is expected to reach the key point of 62,300 again around 7 pm. Therefore, short-term rebound is still the main focus. #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #加密市场反弹 #BTC☀ #BTC走势预测 #BTC走势分析

Direction: Long or short

Buy point 1: 62600 Sell point 1: Current price

Buy point 2: 62300 Sell point 2: 63600
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"Action" is the most powerful force.

Only when you are brave enough can you be brilliant enough.

The world will not forget every courage and persistence.
$BTC #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #加密市场反弹 #BTC走势预测 #BTC走势分析 #BTC☀
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2024-09-26 BTC morning analysis

Bitcoin has gone through 6 consecutive negative lines at the 4h level

A 1h level retracement is currently in progress

We need to focus on the 62300 position

If 62300 is lost, it will further fall to around 61500

Operation suggestions:
Short around 63100-63400, and look at around 62400-62100. $BTC #加密市场反弹 #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #BTC☀ #BTC走势预测 #BTC走势分析
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2024-09-25 BTC Market Analysis Since the 14th of this month, Bosheng has emphasized that this 4h rebound will eventually reach around 65,000. The article on the 20th said that the price will return to the 1h middle track to build a central axis and finally break through 65,000 to reach above 66,000. At present, the trend is moving in the direction I said. It has been sideways for nearly 6 days since the 20th. The highs during this period were 64,100, 64,700, and 64,800. The lows were 62,300, 62,600, and 63,200. The lows are higher and the highs are also higher, which is in line with the characteristics of the upward trend. If it is still in an upward trend, I personally think that 65,000 is no longer the end point. After the 1h level central axis that has been consolidating for nearly 6 days, the next rebound target should directly reach above 66,000. Short-term In terms of time, 63200 is the end point of the 15m retracement since 9:30 this morning. Next, we should see a rebound, and if this rebound does not encounter resistance at 64100, it will definitely reach above 65000. $BTC #加密市场反弹 #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #BTC☀ #BTC走势预测 #BTC走势分析
2024-09-25 BTC Market Analysis

Since the 14th of this month, Bosheng has emphasized that this 4h rebound will eventually reach around 65,000. The article on the 20th said that the price will return to the 1h middle track to build a central axis and finally break through 65,000 to reach above 66,000.

At present, the trend is moving in the direction I said. It has been sideways for nearly 6 days since the 20th. The highs during this period were 64,100, 64,700, and 64,800. The lows were 62,300, 62,600, and 63,200. The lows are higher and the highs are also higher, which is in line with the characteristics of the upward trend.

If it is still in an upward trend, I personally think that 65,000 is no longer the end point. After the 1h level central axis that has been consolidating for nearly 6 days, the next rebound target should directly reach above 66,000.

Short-term

In terms of time, 63200 is the end point of the 15m retracement since 9:30 this morning. Next, we should see a rebound, and if this rebound does not encounter resistance at 64100, it will definitely reach above 65000. $BTC #加密市场反弹 #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #BTC☀ #BTC走势预测 #BTC走势分析
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2024-09-14 Bitcoin Market Analysis

Throughout the day, the market is still rising. As I mentioned in yesterday's article, whether this 1h rebound can be extended to the 4h level depends on the breakthrough of the key point (59800).

It is expected that this 4h level rebound will reach around 65000. But it should be noted that a rebound does not mean a reversal. After reaching 65000, there will definitely be at least a 1h decline.

Short-term

Currently, a 15m level retracement is running, and it is expected to reach around 58800. If the support around 58800 is not strong, it will fall further to around 58000.

Direction: short
Selling point 1: current price
Selling point 2: around 60200
Selling point 3: around 60500$BTC #美国8月核心CPI超预期 #特朗普哈里斯辩论未提及加密货币 #BTC☀ #BTC走势预测 #BTC走势分析
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2024-09.24 BTC Market Analysis Currently, Bitcoin is still in a 4h level rebound since 52510 on the 7th of this month. Yesterday, it reached a high of 64724. Since the 14th, Bosheng has been emphasizing that this rebound will reach around 65000. Looking back at this 4h rebound since the 7th, the longest 1h retracement during the period did not exceed 4 days, but it has been sideways for 5 days since the 20th. In my opinion, this is either to accumulate power for the next breakthrough of 65000, or a signal of a change (I personally think the probability is small) So it needs to be emphasized that those who chase high positions should still be alert to risks, because if the next retracement falls below 62300, it will at least go to around 61500 before breaking through 65000. If it falls further below 61000, it means that this 4h rebound since the 7th of this month is over. Short-term The next focus point is the 62000-62300 range. Players on the left can enter and build a long position at any point in this range, while players on the right can follow the trend and take a few hundred points and run. $BTC #加密市场反弹 #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #BTC走势预测 #BTC走势分析
2024-09.24 BTC Market Analysis

Currently, Bitcoin is still in a 4h level rebound since 52510 on the 7th of this month. Yesterday, it reached a high of 64724. Since the 14th, Bosheng has been emphasizing that this rebound will reach around 65000.

Looking back at this 4h rebound since the 7th, the longest 1h retracement during the period did not exceed 4 days, but it has been sideways for 5 days since the 20th. In my opinion, this is either to accumulate power for the next breakthrough of 65000, or a signal of a change (I personally think the probability is small)

So it needs to be emphasized that those who chase high positions should still be alert to risks, because if the next retracement falls below 62300, it will at least go to around 61500 before breaking through 65000. If it falls further below 61000, it means that this 4h rebound since the 7th of this month is over.

Short-term

The next focus point is the 62000-62300 range. Players on the left can enter and build a long position at any point in this range, while players on the right can follow the trend and take a few hundred points and run. $BTC #加密市场反弹 #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #BTC走势预测 #BTC走势分析
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The timing and the point are correct, right?

Why not become a patient left-side trader with Bosheng?
$BTC #加密市场反弹 #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #BTC走势预测 #BTC☀ #BTC走势分析
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2024-09.23 BTC Market Analysis

Bai Sheng has been talking about 65,000 from the 14th to this morning, and it was finally about to reach 65,000 at 11 am.

Normally speaking, it is also approaching the end of the 4h level rebound since September 7th this month. As early as the 14th, it was said that there would be at least a 1h level retracement after reaching 65,000, but now it seems that it is a bit incorrect. I personally think that it will not fall below 62,900 before reaching 65,000, so the current level is at most a 15m level retracement.

In my opinion, early retracement is a good thing. The upward trend should be higher than the previous wave, which means that the trend can continue, and a sudden rise of a positive column is often a peak signal. $BTC #加密市场反弹 #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #BTC☀ #BTC走势预测 #BTC走势分析

Short-term

A 15m-level retracement should be running at present, and this retracement is expected to reach around 63,100.

Direction: Long

Buy point 1: Current price

Buy point 2: 63,100
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2024-09.23 BTC Evening Thoughts

The current 15M retracement has not yet ended,

It is expected to reach around 63100 around 10 pm,

Short-term players trading on the left side can continue to wait patiently.
$BTC #加密市场反弹 #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #BTC☀ #BTC走势预测 #BTC走势分析
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In the world of cryptocurrency trading, it is crucial to remain flexible and rational. Many friends often fall into similar dilemmas. 1 Even if you know it is not the best impulse to buy, you will chase high. This short-term fluctuation is too persistent, which is the embodiment of obsession. 2 Over-focusing on short-term fluctuations, fomo when rising, ignoring the reality of market cycles and valuation adjustments once falling, and obsessing about finding favorable information to support the original view. This is also a symptom of obsession. 3 After the transaction is frustrated, the emotional turn becomes a firm bull, rejecting any bearish voices, rational judgment is overwhelmed by emotions, blindly optimistic, this obsession makes it difficult to extricate oneself 4 In the face of losses, because you cannot accept it, you are reluctant to stop losses, but instead let the losses expand, dragging from short-term to long-term, and cannot accept any losses. This is the obsession. 5 The experience of failure makes some currencies a shadow in the heart. Even if there are opportunities in the future, they refuse to touch them because of past pain. This deep obsession hinders rational decision-making. 6 Missing opportunities in short-term operations, knowing that the currency still has potential, but being bothered by the small profit, refusing to intervene again, and missing out on greater gains, this is also the result of obsession. 7 Buy every day, no matter what the market is like, no matter how much the account balance is, you must trade. This reckless desire to buy is driven by obsession 8 Lack of patience, eager to sell the currency when it fluctuates slightly, unable to enjoy the dividends of long-term growth, this obsession makes people miss great opportunities. 9 Stubborn in a certain trading model, refusing to change even if it is a long-term loss, firmly believing that "persistence is victory", but not knowing that timely adjustment is the right way, this is also an obsession. 10 Greedy when making profits, ignoring market signals, and not willing to stop until the preset target is reached, resulting in missing the best time to leave, which is also a manifestation of obsession. 11 Although the position is small, it is difficult to let go of the loss, unwilling to admit mistakes, the more losses, the more compensation, and finally stuck in the quagmire, behind this is a deep obsession. 12 An accidental success makes people mistakenly think that it is the victory of the method. Even if they fail repeatedly, they are unwilling to give up and stubbornly believe that they can replicate the glory of that time. This is also obsession affecting judgment. 13 When the transaction results do not meet expectations, they cannot let it go for a long time, repeatedly recall and regret. This excessive entanglement with past mistakes is another form of obsession.
In the world of cryptocurrency trading, it is crucial to remain flexible and rational. Many friends often fall into similar dilemmas.

1 Even if you know it is not the best impulse to buy, you will chase high. This short-term fluctuation is too persistent, which is the embodiment of obsession.

2 Over-focusing on short-term fluctuations, fomo when rising, ignoring the reality of market cycles and valuation adjustments once falling, and obsessing about finding favorable information to support the original view. This is also a symptom of obsession.

3 After the transaction is frustrated, the emotional turn becomes a firm bull, rejecting any bearish voices, rational judgment is overwhelmed by emotions, blindly optimistic, this obsession makes it difficult to extricate oneself

4 In the face of losses, because you cannot accept it, you are reluctant to stop losses, but instead let the losses expand, dragging from short-term to long-term, and cannot accept any losses. This is the obsession.

5 The experience of failure makes some currencies a shadow in the heart. Even if there are opportunities in the future, they refuse to touch them because of past pain. This deep obsession hinders rational decision-making.

6 Missing opportunities in short-term operations, knowing that the currency still has potential, but being bothered by the small profit, refusing to intervene again, and missing out on greater gains, this is also the result of obsession.

7 Buy every day, no matter what the market is like, no matter how much the account balance is, you must trade. This reckless desire to buy is driven by obsession

8 Lack of patience, eager to sell the currency when it fluctuates slightly, unable to enjoy the dividends of long-term growth, this obsession makes people miss great opportunities.

9 Stubborn in a certain trading model, refusing to change even if it is a long-term loss, firmly believing that "persistence is victory", but not knowing that timely adjustment is the right way, this is also an obsession.

10 Greedy when making profits, ignoring market signals, and not willing to stop until the preset target is reached, resulting in missing the best time to leave, which is also a manifestation of obsession.

11 Although the position is small, it is difficult to let go of the loss, unwilling to admit mistakes, the more losses, the more compensation, and finally stuck in the quagmire, behind this is a deep obsession.

12 An accidental success makes people mistakenly think that it is the victory of the method. Even if they fail repeatedly, they are unwilling to give up and stubbornly believe that they can replicate the glory of that time. This is also obsession affecting judgment.

13 When the transaction results do not meet expectations, they cannot let it go for a long time, repeatedly recall and regret. This excessive entanglement with past mistakes is another form of obsession.
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2024-09-14 Bitcoin Market Analysis

Throughout the day, the market is still rising. As I mentioned in yesterday's article, whether this 1h rebound can be extended to the 4h level depends on the breakthrough of the key point (59800).

It is expected that this 4h level rebound will reach around 65000. But it should be noted that a rebound does not mean a reversal. After reaching 65000, there will definitely be at least a 1h decline.

Short-term

Currently, a 15m level retracement is running, and it is expected to reach around 58800. If the support around 58800 is not strong, it will fall further to around 58000.

Direction: short
Selling point 1: current price
Selling point 2: around 60200
Selling point 3: around 60500$BTC #美国8月核心CPI超预期 #特朗普哈里斯辩论未提及加密货币 #BTC☀ #BTC走势预测 #BTC走势分析
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