$BTC TMD, I really didn't expect that this thing could be so accurate, and it can even predict the increase. It really is possible to master the art of divination and be able to discuss the world!
Let me answer this question. Why do many KOLs with tens of millions of assets still charge members to make some money?
Answer: Membership fees can be used to buy coins to make more money. In my opinion, KOLs who make big money (tens of millions or more) basically make money by speculating in coins. They can't actually make much money by relying on members (a few million a year is pretty good). Therefore, our main way to achieve wealth growth is still investment, and by the way, we can help "comrades" realize their dreams together and avoid detours.
Continue to rise! Break through 64,000 USD! Has the bull market returned? I dare not say. But if the bull market returns, these coins can definitely be used
According to statistics from various sources, the track that made the most money in the first half of the year is known to be meme, but the track that everyone lost the most money is vc coin, but the coin may not be known, all of them are superstars: strk zk, etc. The more famous, the more miserable the loss. In the currency circle, everyone knows that the value is not big. It is a common phenomenon that value coins have no value, so it is not about finding value, but thinking from the perspectives of chip distribution and narrative.
Selected several coins with high cost performance at present $AEVO The market value is 323 million USD, which is a VC coin. In March, it fell from the highest of 3.94 dollars to the lowest of 0.269. It took only a few months to complete the decline of a coin in the bear market for several years. Fortunately, the current circulation of AEVO has reached 84%, with high circulation and low market value. It has just started now, and it is time to find an angle to enter the market in a small cycle. The reference entry price is 0.36-0.37 dollars, the stop loss is 0.32 dollars, and the short-term target is 0.6 dollars. You can double the capital and get a profit pattern. $ENA The current price is 0.24 dollars, which is very cost-effective at present. It has not risen much since the bottom. Brothers who have bullets and are selecting coins can pay attention to it. You can enter the market at the current price, stop loss 0.228, and double the capital at the first target, which is a profit pattern.
$ETHFI Ether re-staking track The current price is 1.48 dollars, enter the market near 1.4 dollars, stop loss is 1.28 dollars, and the first target is near 3.24 dollars. Double the capital, profit pattern.
$ARKM
Potential coin of AI sector invested by Ultraman Potential coin of AI sector invested by Ultraman Current price is $1.12, market value is $160 million, stop loss is $1, and the first target price is around $1.78.
Bitcoin breaks the September curse, Ethereum is expected to see a large fluctuation and increase? Can the altcoin follow suit?
BTC's rise encountered resistance in the mid-line suppression area of 63939 given yesterday. From the internal structure, from yesterday evening to now, there has been a certain selling pressure above 63000. The small level is at a relatively high level. Although there is no clear signal of falling for the time being, it is still recommended that the medium and short-term chips are mainly based on the idea of selling at highs, and do not chase.
How will the market go in the future? It is estimated that it will still fluctuate, and it is difficult to directly start the second half of the bull market. Even if the interest rate is cut now, the interest rate is still at a restricted level. It is necessary to cut the interest rate multiple times before the external liquidity can be gradually relaxed. It is expected that it will take one interest rate cut to be effective!
What else needs to be focused on from now to the end of the year?
1. Employment reports for the remaining months of this year
2. The actual number and extent of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve before the end of the year
3. The results of the US election
The above 3 points will bring greater fluctuations to the market, especially the extent of the subsequent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve
Will Ethereum see a large fluctuation and increase? Can the altcoin follow suit?
1. The formation of a huge chip vacuum zone
After a huge drop of 8.5, ETH proved that there is a huge chip vacuum zone between 3350 and 2150;
There is no strong consensus on the price in this range, nor is there a dense turnover of chips, which is easy to produce huge fluctuations. In other words, there is no support when it falls and no resistance when it rises.
2. The market value is halved, and the cost of pulling up is close to the second echelon
After more than 50 days of decline, the market value of ETH has been nearly halved. The double plunge in liquidity and coin prices is more conducive to the large capital participants of ETH in the market to collect low-priced chips, increase the concentration of ETH chips, and reduce the selling pressure resistance during the pull-up process
At present, the market value of ETH is about 300 billion u, and the gap with BNB and SOL has been further narrowed;
We can refer to the fluctuation range of BNB after it plummeted to 200 last year and soared to 721 in the first half of this year.
3. Conclusion Projects with a lot of strong capital participation often have the space and willingness to fluctuate in the opposite direction after experiencing FUD. The current situation of ETH is extremely similar to that of BNB at 200. We have reason to believe that ETH will most likely experience a large volatility increase as BTC breaks through.
Let's take a look at the situation of each small coin.
First of all, Sui has ushered in a huge benefit.
That is, it has reached a cooperation with USDC and became the first Move-based public chain to issue native USDC. This will bring huge funds and trading volume to Sui.
And we also reported last Friday that Sui was also included in the Grayscale Trust Fund, allowing Wall Street funds to enter the market, so now it seems that American capital is very interested in Sui. Ah, that's true. The current new generation of public chains Solana and Ton have a large market value, so Sui, which has a smaller market value and faster speed, has become the second choice for many investors.
However, this coin still has the old problem. Only 26% of its tokens have been unlocked, and three-quarters of the coins are constantly unlocked and sold, so you have to pay attention to this. Anyway, I don't like this type of unlocking.
In addition, the long-dormant DYDX is also about to usher in a qualitative change.
It will launch a prediction market based on the original perpetual contract, that is, betting on real events such as election results or football goals. This is a very hot track.
So if DYDX launches a prediction market, it may have a second spring. Those who are interested can pay attention to it.
Then someone asked me when People and Fet will become popular again after all the positive news has been released and the correction has lasted for so long.
Well... There is no rush. The election will be held on November 5, so People will start to run wild in mid-to-early October, and then it will completely lose its popularity in early November. At that time, you must clear all your positions and never touch them again, because by then the election will be over and there will be no political topics to hype, right?
And the next wave of positive news for Fet, that is, the AI sector, will be Nvidia's financial report on November 26. Everyone should pay attention to this time point.
The four kings of BRC20 inscriptions! Who will lead the next wave of market craze?
From SATS to PIZZA, these four giants have shown their magical powers. Which one do you prefer?
$1000SATS The support of the giants has made SATS far ahead in market value, and the narrative is very eye-catching! The strength of the banker should not be underestimated, but the recent rebound is fierce, and the profit-taking is ready to strike at any time, and the market is turbulent.
$ORDI As a pioneer in the inscription industry, ORDI has been steadily following the pace of BTC. The banker has a far-reaching vision. Although the recent trend is a bit flat, the potential cannot be ignored.
$RATS RATS is rising like a dark horse, with abundant traffic and low market value. The support of Binance Contract makes it ready to go! However, the lack of support from super large exchanges makes its future somewhat uncertain.
PIZZA PIZZA has become the focus of the market with its strong consensus foundation and low market value, and the market makers are actively accumulating funds. Although it has not been hyped yet, the liquidity is insufficient, and risks and opportunities coexist.
K-line pattern: The daily line is a cross star with upper and lower shadows, with an increase in trading volume, a decrease in shrinking volume, and an increase in incremental volume.
Indicator analysis: MA30 slightly turns downward, and the MACD fast line crosses the zero axis, showing a weakening downward momentum.
Trend judgment: There is a possibility of decline, but beware of short traps, which may rebound after a rapid decline.
Operational suggestions: Spot can be bought in batches, with pressure levels of 3150-3320-3500 and support levels of 2650-2540-2320.
K-line pattern: The daily line is a positive line with an upper shadow line, with an amplitude of more than 10%, and the trading volume is the same as the previous day.
Indicator analysis: MA30 is upward, and MACD is above the zero axis, indicating that the upward momentum is increasing.
Trend judgment: ORDI is strong, and there may be a short-term correction, and it may enter the main rising wave stage later.
Operational suggestions: A proper short-term retracement is conducive to the rise, with pressure levels of 36.2-37.2-41.2 and support levels of 31.5-30.7-29.2.
24-hour trading volume: $786 million Sui is a smart contract platform that relies on a decentralized set of validators to support its operation, similar to other blockchain systems. Its native token, SUI, is used to pay transaction fees and can be staked for specific periods of time (called "epochs") through a delegated proof-of-stake model. Sui is known for its excellent scalability, with the ability to handle multiple independent transactions simultaneously. The platform is supported by a strong community and developers, attracting a large number of users. Endorsements from major industry players boost the platform’s credibility, while partnerships with financial institutions further enhance SUI’s reputation, potentially driving its price upwards.
Market trend: The market rebounded sharply, and liquidity improved. The US stock market rose and fell. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50bp, and the market expects two more 25bp cuts this year. 2) Market hot spots: 1. Public chains Sui, FTM, Saga, and Sei rose sharply. Sui ecosystem Blub rose sharply, with a market value of 3000WU. Blub is a meme of Sui, similar to Pepe, and it rose a hundred times this month. 2. BN's new currency Neiro rose. The dealer has strong control over the market, and the rise is more than the fall. 3. Pow's KDA rose, and BN opened a new contract. 4. The on-chain meme Moodeng rose sharply. Moodeng is a Thai hippopotamus baby, which rose a hundred times in a week and has a market value of 3000WU. The small-cap meme on BN activated the on-chain local dog market.
Market sentiment is very good, but we have to break the cold water. There are two main reasons why everyone feels that the bull market has returned:
1. After the interest rate cut cycle begins, liquidity will gradually ease
2. The price of the currency rebounded during the day, especially the good performance of the cottage industry, which gave people hope
However, most people in the market are still in a trapped state, which means that the potential supply will not be small, so who will help us get out of the trap? That is the problem.
1. Clarify some of the Fed's remarks in the future. Inflation is no longer a factor that hinders interest rate cuts. This statement has deleted remarks about high inflation.
In the future, the Fed will focus on unemployment and employment reports, so future non-farm data and employment reports will become key data.
In the future, the Fed can accept an unemployment rate of less than or equal to 4.4%, and core PCE is controlled within 2.6%.
2. Pay attention to the interest rate decision of the Bank of Japan at 11:00 tomorrow, and then the speech at 14:30. If there are hawkish remarks and interest rate hikes here, it will be bad for the market.
Just like the previous financial market crash caused by concerns about the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike and the flight of arbitrage funds, this time the Fed's interest rate cut may ease this pressure.
3. It must depend on the future trend of US stocks and Bitcoin. From a technical perspective, whether it can cooperate with the interest rate cut, especially Bitcoin continues to be suppressed below the MA200 daily line, which is a medium- and long-term reversal indicator.
4. Although the Fed has ended the rate hike and entered the rate cut cycle, it has not ended QT. Therefore, short-term market liquidity is not obvious simply by rate cuts. We need to pay attention to the progress of the Fed's balance sheet reduction and when it will stop.
In any case, this rate cut is a big boon to the market, and the Fed has no problem supporting the market. This can be seen from history. Inflation has been controlled. In the future, the Fed's focus will be on how to make the economy land softly without triggering a recession.
Looking back at the Fed's previous interest rate cut cycles, each 50 basis point rate cut was almost always accompanied by a major crisis. From the 2001 tech bubble, the 2007 financial crisis to the 2020 epidemic, the Fed often started an easing cycle with a large interest rate cut when responding to emergency economic situations.
After a lapse of 4 years, the Fed directly cut interest rates by 50bp again. The market may be dealing with a potential major crisis. How will the market evolve next? Let's wait and see! ——— Historically, the impact of interest rate cuts: 1. Improved liquidity: interest rate cuts usually release more funds and increase market liquidity; 2. Lower borrowing costs: As interest rates fall, borrowing costs for companies and individuals will also decrease; 3. Increased risk appetite: In a low interest rate environment, investors may be more willing to take risks and seek higher returns; 4. Rising cryptocurrency prices: interest rate cuts may bring upward momentum to the cryptocurrency market.#BTC#ETH ———#FederalReserve Rate Cut#EconomicObservation#CoinCircle Volatility#MarketRisk
$NEIRO surged 2000% in two days. It has been listed on Binance for only two months and has caused heated discussions in the market. Whether it can replicate the success of Dogecoin has attracted attention.
On the first day of listing, the price of NEIRO remained at 0.0000314u, but it quickly peaked to 0.00081440u 48 hours later, an astonishing increase.
However, investing in meme coins like NEIRO also comes with high risks.
Despite the impressive short-term gains, investors still need stability, especially when meme coins lack sophisticated fundamental support.
Similar tokens may cause confusion, and their potential risks should be deeply understood before investing.
K-line pattern: Yang line with long lower shadow, trading volume increased by 25% compared with the previous day, indicating that buying has increased.
Moving average and MACD: The daily MA30 is slightly upturned, and MACD shows that the momentum is weakening near the zero axis. If there is no negative line in the next two days, a golden cross may be formed.
Price performance: The lowest price fell to 2595, which is in the bottom-picking range, and the short-term profit is about 10%. It is expected to continue to rise after the retracement.
Key position: pressure level 3320-3500, support level 2650-2540-2320. It is recommended to hold the spot patiently.
K-line pattern: small positive line with long lower shadow, trading volume is twice that of the previous day, showing a large-scale rise.
Moving average and MACD: The daily MA30 line starts to rise, and MACD shows increased momentum above the zero axis.
Price performance: The price rebounded after stepping back on the daily level rising trend line, and the trend is related to Bitcoin. There may be a retracement in the short term, but the overall trend is still optimistic.
Key positions: pressure level 32-33.5-35.6-36.7, support level 29.5-27-25.6.
• The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points for the first time in four years.
• $ZETA $ALEO - Cb announced the listing of $ZETA and $ALEO. $ALEO has started trading, and $ZETA is scheduled to be traded at 9 am Pacific Time on September 19.
• Binance Labs announced an investment in @hemi_xyz. Hemi is a modular protocol powered by Bitcoin and Ethereum with excellent scalability, security, and interoperability.
• $LINA - Linear Finance has announced the release of a new game-changing product.
• $TIA - Celestia announced that the Lemongrass update is now live. Lemongrass introduces one-click interactions such as IBC, cross-chain accounts, etc.
• $MKR - Users who provide $USDS on the Sky protocol can earn additional @ChronicleLabs points through the Sky token rewards feature. Points holders can later claim tokens at a rate of 1 USD CLE per 10 points
• $OM - MANTRA Chain announced the launch of its mainnet in October.
• $XAI $ATH - Aethir and Xai launched a $10 million ecosystem grant program to support AI gaming projects.
$ETH $SOL $DOGE Can the altcoin return to its high point? ? ?
1. Don't have the illusion that the big cake has not reached the highest point and the altcoin can still set a new high.
2. Don't be obsessed with the highest point of the altcoin. Being able to get out of the trap or make a slight loss is already a good result.
3. Give up unrealistic expectations and stop profit in altcoins in time. Holding altcoins for a long time is like looking for gold in 99.9% of garbage. Most of them will eventually return to zero, and the loss may exceed 90%.
4. It is difficult for the hot sector to return to its high point after the explosion, and the rebound strength is also very limited.
5. Some long-term depressed sectors and new coins still have a chance to rise wildly