There should be significant volatility tonight. We choose to stand on the opposite side of human nature. Due to the fact that USDT will be officially restricted by the EU today, and a large number of retail investors are shorting, we will still look bullish first before bearish. Although the overall trend is definitely bearish, for now, we need to look bullish before looking bearish.
We will patiently monitor tonight's volatility, hoping for a greater movement. As long as it does not fall below 3350, there is a high probability of a strong bullish candle. Tonight's support level will be quite interesting.
According to what we know, a studio is also holding positions in the range of 3360-3380. So if the 3350 support level is ineffective, then we will temporarily abandon and observe from the sidelines.
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$USUAL This coin increased by 900% over four years, which means an increase of 225% per year. The interest on US Treasury bonds is 5% per year, and there are also staking interests as high as 400%. With millions of new coins issued every day, how can this be absorbed? I just want to know where the money is coming from. Is it using the money from the back to pay the money from the front? Is it a scam? Otherwise, how could there be so much profit? Even if the Treasury bond profit of 5% is added to USUAL, how much can it rise in a year? Is it enough to drop? Or will USUAL continue to depreciate? Is it air interest? Can someone explain?
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Fans, let me analyze the squirrel 🐿️. If that's the case, he definitely hasn't seen my second chapter of dry goods; otherwise, why would he ask me to analyze the squirrel? pnut0.592 is currently testing the bottom for the second time and is still in the process. I don't know where it will stop falling, but the decline shouldn't be too significant. A pullback to around 0.57 should trigger a rally, mainly because the recent meme hype has picked up, and everyone is in a pullback, so holding onto the spot is fine. When the market is bad, it's best to do less with contracts; it's not too late to trade contracts when the market stabilizes. If the meme hype continues, pnut should perform well, but the key is that if the hype is decent, then it might lead to a gradual decline. A drop isn't scary; the most frightening thing is a gradual decline because that means there’s no bottom.
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What is the only criterion for the arrival of the copycat season? Ninety percent of people are wrong!
When Ethereum rises, everything grows!
From November 20 to May 21, the copycat market will be big, including the upgrade of Ethereum Berlin in April 21. From July 21 to November 21, the copycat market will be big, including the upgrade of Ethereum Glacier in December 21. From July 22 to August 22, the copycat market will be big, including the upgrade of Ethereum Paris in September 22. From January 23 to April 23, the copycat market will be big, including the upgrade of Ethereum Shanghai in April 23. From October 23 to March 24, the copycat market will be big, including the upgrade of Ethereum Cancun in March 24. Every time, before the upgrade of Ethereum, there will be advance hype, and every time the good news lands, the market will end. Let's take a look at the trend of the big cake again. I really have an inexplicable sense of familiarity. The trend of this round is exactly the same as the trend of the previous round of halving! Bitcoin started to gain momentum in November, and then it fell back by 12% in December, completing a wash. By the beginning of January, Wall Street had finished the holiday, and the main players returned in full force. In addition, there was good news that Trump came to power in January, and it is said that Bitcoin is expected to be announced as a strategic reserve. Almost the vast majority believe that the crazy rise of ETH is the signal of the arrival of the alt season. There is only one correct answer. Only the continuous explosion of Bitcoin is the only signal of the opening of the alt season. Remember, it is the only one! This is the key and the essence of the matter. The premise of the opening of the alt season is that Bitcoin continues to explode without thinking, not that Ethereum’s rise means that the alt season has come.
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The last key week of the year is coming, and Wednesday to Friday may be full of crazy running. However, the trend may be stable in the early part of the week on Monday and Tuesday. The third round of testing 9.2 support will be completed within the day. If it is not broken, there will be a rebound demand in the short term. Intraday view: The decline in the morning did not break 9.2, which means that the time for decline has not yet arrived. The short-term trend needs to be adjusted upward. It is a rebound but it may also be a lure to buy more, the eve of the storm. Cycle view: The strongest suppression is 10.2. As long as it cannot break through this week, the retracement cycle will continue. The subsequent sharp drop is only a matter of time. If it does not touch 8.5 below, it will be difficult to get an effective surge. Short-term support does not break the new low. Pay attention to 9.35-9.3 intraday support. The upper suppression is 9.6-9.65, which is also regarded as the first round of mid-line suppression. If the suppression breaks through, pay attention to the defense point up to 9.75. If it breaks further, look for the next suppression point. As a senior cryptocurrency investor, I would like to share my experience and insights. Are you interested in the cryptocurrency circle but don’t know where to start? Follow me and see my homepage. Follow the public account and I will help you achieve freedom in this bull market. #2025比特币价格预测 #BTC挖矿难度创新高 $BTC $ETH $XRP
Do you want to turn a few thousand into tens of millions through cryptocurrency trading? Listen carefully, I have some skills, but remember, this is not a joke; you need to put in real effort!
#ATA Trend Analysis
If you see a popular cryptocurrency that has been declining for nine consecutive days, you need to pay attention; this could be a signal that the market is about to change, and you need to keep up with the rhythm.
Conversely, if a cryptocurrency has been rising for two consecutive days, don’t celebrate too early; quickly reduce your position, and playing it safe is the way to go.
There’s also a rule: if one day a cryptocurrency suddenly rises by over 7%, don’t rush to sell; first, see how it performs the next day; it might rise even more.
When you encounter a potential bull coin, don’t rush; wait until it stabilizes after a pullback before getting in; it’s not too late. If a cryptocurrency has been stagnant for several days, take another look after three days; if it’s still not moving, switch to something else; don’t stubbornly hold on.
If the cryptocurrency you bought today doesn’t recover its cost by tomorrow, don’t hesitate; quickly exit; don’t waste time with the market.
There’s a trading mantra: "Three have five, and if there are five, there must be seven," which means that for cryptocurrencies that have risen for two consecutive days, you can try to buy a little at a lower price; usually, the fifth day is a good selling point, so seize the opportunity.
Trading volume is the barometer of cryptocurrency trading; you need to study it carefully. If the trading volume increases and breaks through when the price is low, it might be about to take off; if the volume increases but the price remains stagnant when it’s high, then you should run quickly; don’t hesitate.
You must follow the market when trading cryptocurrencies; only cryptocurrencies with an upward trend are worth our attention. For short-term, look at the three-day moving average; for medium-term, check the thirty-day moving average; for long-term, keep an eye on the one hundred twenty-day moving average; if these lines are trending upwards, that’s a signal to rise.
Next, I will focus on positioning a tenfold cryptocurrency, which I will announce on my #public account #On-chain Red Rose.
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Part Three: The Pseudo-Decentralization of Governance The TON blockchain claims to adopt a decentralized governance model, but in reality, its governance is highly concentrated in the hands of a few stakeholders: Uneven Node Distribution: Most of the validating nodes on the TON blockchain are controlled by only a few institutions, and ordinary users have almost no say. Highly Monopolized Governance: The so-called community voting is merely a facade, with real decision-making power held by the development team and early investors.
Part Four: The Gap Between the Roadmap and Reality The TON blockchain's roadmap is filled with grand goals such as 'scalability improvements' and 'smart contract optimizations.' However, most of these goals remain at the PPT stage, with very few projects being realized: Too Many Promises, Too Few Deliveries: Each update of the TON blockchain comes with a lot of publicity, but the actual delivered functionalities are few and far between. Lack of Technical Innovation: Most of the technological highlights of the TON blockchain are borrowed from other projects, and the so-called innovations are merely 'changing the soup but not the medicine.'
Conclusion: The Bubble Will Eventually Burst The existence of the TON blockchain is yet another typical case of the 'technology bubble' in the cryptocurrency space. Its technical capabilities are severely exaggerated, its ecological construction is lacking, and there is a serious centralization issue in its governance model. The blockchain industry needs genuine technological innovation, not pseudo-projects wrapped in fancy language. The TON blockchain appears glamorous, but every detail reveals a truth: this is a beautifully packaged bubble destined for short-lived existence.
The conclusion is simple: TON blockchain, the 'luxuriously decorated unfinished building' of the cryptocurrency world, no matter how much it is painted and colored, cannot hide its problems.
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Part Two: The False Prosperity of Ecological Construction 1. The Predicament of the Developer Ecosystem The core competitiveness of blockchain projects lies in the support of the developer community. However, the developer ecosystem of the TON chain can be described as “desolate”: Poor Development Tools: The official development tools of the TON chain lack necessary functional support, and even the most basic debugging tools are missing. This makes developers feel frustrated when building DApps. Low Quality Documentation: The development documentation of the TON chain is filled with errors and incomplete descriptions, requiring developers to spend a lot of time figuring things out on their own.
2. The Embarrassment of the DApp Ecosystem There are almost no noteworthy decentralized applications on the TON chain. The current number of DApps is very limited, and most of them are simple transfer tools or boring mini-games. This ecological status raises the question: Who exactly does the technical advantage of the TON chain serve?
3. Low User Activity Users are the core of blockchain projects. However, the user data of the TON chain has always been bleak: Few Active Wallet Users: The growth of wallet users on the TON chain is slow, with a significant gap compared to mainstream blockchain projects. Low Transaction Volume: The transaction volume on the chain is severely insufficient, which not only indicates limited user interest but also reflects the overall lack of attractiveness of the ecosystem.
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TON chain, the "finely decorated unfinished building" of blockchain
A deified blockchain farce TON chain, known as the "new pinnacle of blockchain technology", has set off a big wave in the currency circle since its launch. From its boasted "million TPS" to the so-called "Telegram lineage" and then to its sharding technology, the packaging of TON chain can be said to be so exquisite that it makes people applaud. However, when we peel off this bright coat, we find that this project is a complete joke in terms of technology and ecology. The existence of TON chain proves a truth: the more exquisite the packaging, the more questionable the content. Next, let us comprehensively analyze this "finely decorated unfinished building" in the currency circle from technology to ecology, from governance to reality, and see how it continues to collapse under the halo.
Part I: Technical promises become empty words 1. "Million TPS": a technical myth on paper One of the most proud selling points of TON chain is its "million TPS" (transaction processing capacity per second). However, this million TPS claim is completely theoretical data, and it has not been realized in a real environment. In the field of blockchain, the improvement of TPS often means the weakening of decentralization. In order to brag about its performance, the TON chain adopts a highly centralized node architecture, which makes its TPS appear high in theory, but it is full of loopholes in actual application: Test data is unreliable: The performance test of the TON chain is completely based on an ideal environment, such as a small number of users, fixed network conditions, etc. In a real distributed environment, network latency and communication efficiency directly lead to a shocking decline in its performance. Centralization problem is serious: In order to pursue high TPS, the TON chain adopts a centralized node distribution method, which runs counter to the core concept of decentralization. In other words, it is nothing more than a "pseudo-high-performance system in the guise of blockchain."
2. Sharding technology: self-promoting pseudo-innovation TON chain claims to use the most advanced sharding technology, which can distribute transaction loads to multiple shards to improve overall performance
Recently, I plan to ambush a potential coin that is ready to explode. It is still very simple to double it. At the same time, I am also preparing to find some potential coins to get to the end of the year. It is no problem to expect more than 10 times the space. If you want to keep up with me, follow the official account of Zhuye
#2025 What are the key narratives? In the cryptocurrency space, to safely withdraw 10 million without being frozen, one must take legal and compliant routes, as well as implement some security measures. Here are some practical suggestions:
First, choose a compliant trading platform. These platforms are usually on the bank's whitelist and are as secure as domestic bank-securities transfers.
Second, do not withdraw too much at once; withdraw in batches to different wallets or bank accounts to reduce risk.
Moreover, using a cold wallet to store cryptocurrencies is much safer than a hot wallet. For instance, Ledger Nano X and Ledger flexible wallets support multiple cryptocurrencies and allow registration of exchange accounts.
Additionally, overseas virtual bank cards are quite useful, supporting cryptocurrency deposits and then transferring funds out via WeChat or Alipay. Cards like OneKey Card provide foreign Visa and MasterCard virtual credit cards that can be linked to Alipay, WeChat, etc.
P2P trading platforms are also an option, allowing direct transactions with other users to sell cryptocurrencies for fiat currency.
Alternatively, find a third-party service provider to convert virtual currencies to fiat and then transfer to a bank account. Of course, if transaction fees are not an issue, directly withdrawing to a bank card is also quite fast.
Do not forget to set withdrawal limits on your account to restrict the amount of a single withdrawal for added security.
When trading, use a VPN to encrypt your network connection to prevent hackers from intercepting data. Regularly monitor your account and set up notifications and alerts for logins, withdrawals, and transactions so that any issues can be detected promptly.
The C2C model carries high risks, so try to avoid using it. Finally, choose compliant withdrawal paths, such as withdrawing from Kraken to ZhongAn, then transferring to Bank of China Hong Kong, and finally exchanging to Bank of China Mainland.
In summary, withdrawal operations must be legal and compliant; avoid illegal activities like money laundering. Personal privacy and fund security should be prioritized.
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$USUAL The dealer of this currency only wants to blow up the contract. I don't know if you understand the dealer's attributes. In the past two days, the currency price has dropped from 1.4. A lot of people have opened long contracts. As a result, the currency price has dropped straight down. If you don't open many contracts, just play the spot. The dealer really buys more and more when the price drops. Don't worry about not making money. Falling is to cover the position. Don't cover the position when the price rises. Entering the market is called chasing high. Don't open too many contracts, which will cause all spot people to lose money. You can't make money by opening contracts yourself. The more the spot price falls, the more you buy. Don't be afraid to cover the position steadily. You will definitely make money.
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$USUAL is a stablecoin governance token. If you hold it for a long time, you will definitely make a lot of money. Don't sell your chips easily because of the price drop in the past few days. If you don't believe it, you can check it out. It is supported by actual data. Since USUAL was officially traded on Binance, the number of addresses holding coins has increased from more than 7,000 to 13,553 in just 12 days, and it is still increasing every day. TVL has also increased from US$900 million to US$1.8 billion since the official trading. Although the price has fallen from above 1.65U to around 1.05U, it is definitely an upward trend in the long run. The continuous increase in the number of addresses holding coins is the biggest benefit for a token. I believe that it will not take long for it to be reflected in the rising price.
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In the world of cryptocurrency trading, there is a seemingly clumsy but effective strategy. Mastering it requires time and practice, and there are three iron rules to keep in mind:
Avoid chasing prices: Stay calm when market sentiment is high and look for opportunities when everyone is panicking. Get used to buying on dips during downturns.
Be flexible and avoid heavy positions: Maintain flexibility in trading; do not be bound by a single position. Adjusting flexibly is essential to cope with the market's ever-changing nature.
Avoid full position trading: A full position means high risk and low flexibility. There are many opportunities in the market, and the opportunity cost of a full position is simply too high.
Next, I will share six mantras for short-term cryptocurrency trading:
After consolidation at high levels, new highs can be expected; after consolidation at low levels, new lows are hard to escape: When the price of a coin consolidates for a long time at high or low levels, it often leads to a new breakout direction. Patiently wait for a signal of change before taking action.
During sideways trading, observe the changes: This is the simplest principle in cryptocurrency trading, but also the hardest to practice. Avoid frequent trading during sideways periods, as this is the root cause of losses for many traders.
Buy on red candles, sell on green candles: Consider buying when daily candles close red, and selling when they close green. The speed of decline determines the strength of the rebound; slow declines lead to slow rebounds, and fast declines lead to quick rebounds.
Pyramid-style position building: This is a classic rule in value investing, equally applicable to cryptocurrency trading.
Before and after a change in trend, adjust strategies: After the price of a coin continues to rise or fall, it often enters a period of sideways consolidation.
At this time, it is not advisable to sell heavily at high positions or buy heavily at low positions, as a change in trend could occur at any moment. Adjust strategies flexibly according to market movements to ensure a stable and long-term journey in cryptocurrency trading.
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12.30 Ethereum is about to welcome a new round of market trends, how to identify bullish and bearish signal changes!
Current price of Ethereum is 3355. Yesterday, friends in the crypto community who bought at 3300 exited at 3400. From the current order book, the take-profit point is the best cash-out point. Many friends regretted not choosing to go south, and some said I was too cautious, clearly seeing the short position above 3400 but missed such a good opportunity to go south. My principle is simple: I'd rather miss out than make a wrong move. The pullback hasn't even reached the most basic trend resistance, so there are no conditions to short, only a sideways consolidating order book.
The daily K-line has oscillated around the EMA60 trend line at 3370 for four days, temporarily breaking below EMA60. We should wait for a further dip to EMA90 support at 3245 before considering going north. For now, we continue to wait. If the main force chooses to continue sideways consolidation, we can take this opportunity to rest and enjoy the New Year. The EMA trend indicator is still contracting, and the MACD is also contracting. The Bollinger Bands are in a downward channel, with the upper band not touching the middle band at 3595 and the lower band not touching the lower band at 3110. This kind of trend is quite thought-provoking.
The four-hour K-line shows a more obvious contraction, a typical symmetrical triangle trend. As long as it doesn’t break above 3430 or below 3300, we are in a wait-and-see period. The EMA trend indicator is contracting, the MACD is shrinking, and the DIF and DEA are consolidating below the zero axis. The Bollinger Bands are contracting, narrowing the distance between bulls and bears. The upper band focuses on 3420, while the lower band supports at 3300. The overall trend is basically in line with expectations; for the time being, we will wait and see how the trend develops.
Short-term reference: Safety first. Remember that the market is never 100% certain, so always set stop-losses. Safety first, aim for small losses and big gains.
Going north trial position 3240 to 3200, defend 3150 to 3100, stop-loss at 50 points, target at 3300 to 3350, if broken, look at 3400 to 3450.
Going south trial position 3450 to 3500, defend 3550, stop-loss at 50 points, target at 3400 to 3350, if broken, look at 3300.
Specific operations should be based on real-time market data. For more information, you can consult the author. There may be a delay in article publication, so the suggestions are for reference only, and risks are borne by yourself.
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The MEME Leader that Soared 3100% in a Year - PEPE [Is There Still an Opportunity]
Today, let's take a look at this year's very popular MEME track leader [PEPE] It is a MEME coin, similar to DOGE and SHIB, and is the top choice for major MEME hoarders. The recent increase has been quite good, rising from 0.00000771 on November 1 to a peak of 0.00002754 on December 9, a 2.5 times increase in 39 days. It has currently retreated to 0.00002508, and the market cap of PEPE has reached 10.56 billion USD, ranking 20th by market cap. Today, let's see why it is so strong.
PEPE is a deflationary meme coin launched on Ethereum. This cryptocurrency was created to honor the “Pepe The Frog” internet meme created by Matt Furie (the meme became popular in the early 21st century). The project aims to create an investment product similar to meme coins like Shiba Inu and Dogecoin and strives to become one of the top cryptocurrencies in the meme field. PEPE employs the following methods to attract cryptocurrency enthusiasts, including: a no-fee policy, a redistribution system favorable to long-term investors, and a destruction mechanism to maintain the rarity of PEPE tokens.
Project Background It is worth noting that in August 2023, PEPE's price plummeted by 20%, and founder Testa faced scrutiny, with reports indicating that he and team members had stolen over 15 million USD worth of PEPE from the project's multi-signature wallet.
Details and Destruction of PEPE Coin The maximum supply of the token is as high as 420,690,000,000,000 tokens. It is currently fully circulated. At present, PEPE's holders remain strong, believing in PEPE and holding large amounts.
The whale holdings have not significantly decreased, indicating that whales still hold fantasies about PEPE, which may lead to further price increases of the token.
Social Media Data X platform [Twitter]: 720k followers, with an average of about 200k views per post. PEPE official website: 88.7K, Financial category ranking #2729 [growth is still quite good]
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There is serious suspicion that the institution is shorting the funding rate, and I don't know if there are still open positions at high levels. This time, it is estimated that there will be a significant correction, likely to hit the weekly mid-line next week, and finally touch the monthly mid-line. It seems that they want to wash out the high-level short positions. Back when it was 108,000, I also shorted, but I closed my position at 98,000. Let's see if the operator will kill the chasing shorts; if they do, there might be some profit to be made.
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Analysis of the Big Cake Trend 1. Yesterday, the big cake tested a small resistance at 9.65 during the day session, resulting in a quick pullback. However, the bulls were not discouraged and organized an offensive, briefly breaking through 9.65 but then facing strong resistance at 9.75. In the evening session, they completely gave up resistance and continued to decline, reaching a low of around 9.35.
2. In the morning analysis, Ding Ge clearly mentioned the short positions at 9.65 and 9.75 and the trend reversal strategies, strictly implementing them to secure 1800 and 2000 points respectively. Even though there was a small loss during the second attempt at 9.65, the day's performance still stood out! Unity of knowledge and action leads to success.
3. Overall, the trend is in a consolidation phase following a major cycle decline. The fluctuations within the large range are chaotic and illogical in the short term. Our task is to identify the key points in the market; both long and short positions are options, with no absolute right or wrong.
4. For today, the strategy is to hold the low point of 9.35 during the day session, so a short position was opened near 9.42, targeting 9.53-55. The upper resistance is at 9.65, and further upward movement is expected. The entry point for the short position is in the 9.58-9.6 area, while the downside target is 9.4-9.35, with a break looking towards 9.25.
5. The day session is optimistic about running within the range of 9.35 to 9.65. In the evening, the range will be expanded to 9.25-9.65, looking for a long position first and then a short position. If it breaks below 9.35, consider entering long between 9.25-9.28 to bet on a rebound from the low.
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1. In 2025, L2 as a collective will generate more economic activity than Alt L1.
2. As on-chain applications allocate at least $1 billion in nominal value to users and token holders from treasury and profit sharing, DeFi will enter the 'Dividend Era'.
3. On-chain governance will see a revival, and applications will attempt future governance models.
4. In 2025, the world's four major custodians will hold digital assets.
5. There will be at least ten stablecoins launched, supported by TradFi partners.
6. By 2025, the total supply of stablecoins will double, exceeding $400 billion.
7. Tether's long-standing market dominance will drop below 50%, challenged by alternatives like Blackrock's BUIDL, Ethena's USDe, and even Coinbase/Circle's USDC rewards.
8. The total amount of crypto venture capital will exceed $150 billion, growing by more than 50% year-on-year.
9. Stablecoin legislation will pass both houses of Congress and be signed into law by President Trump in 2025, but market structure legislation will not.
10. The U.S. government will not purchase Bitcoin in 2025 but will use its existing Bitcoin holdings to establish reserves, and departments and agencies will take action to explore expanding Bitcoin reserve policies.
11. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission will investigate the first so-called 'special purpose broker-dealer' Prometheum.
12. Dogecoin will eventually reach $1, and the market capitalization of the world’s largest and oldest memecoin will reach $100 billion.
Recently, I plan to set up a potential coin that is ready to explode, doubling is quite simple, and I also plan to find some potential coins to hold until the end of the year, expecting a space of more than 10 times is not a problem. If you want to follow, check my WeChat public account #加密ETF申请热潮涌现 #GMT热度飙升 $BTC $ETH $XRP
1. Bitcoin will break $150,000 in the first half of the year and test or reach $185,000 in the fourth quarter of 2025.
2. By 2025, the assets under management of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETPs will exceed $250 billion.
3. In 2025, Bitcoin will again be one of the best-performing assets globally on a risk-adjusted basis.
4. At least one top wealth management platform will announce a recommended allocation of 2% or higher in Bitcoin.
5. Five companies from the NASDAQ 100 index and five nation-states will announce the addition of Bitcoin to their balance sheets or sovereign wealth funds.
6. Bitcoin developers will reach a consensus on the next protocol upgrade in 2025.
7. By market capitalization, more than half of the top 20 publicly traded Bitcoin miners will announce a transformation or partnerships with large-scale providers, artificial intelligence,
8. or high-performance computing companies.
9. Bitcoin DeFi (defined as the total amount of BTC locked in DeFi smart contracts and deposited in staking protocols) will nearly double by 2025.
10. The trading price of Ether will exceed $5,500 in 2025.
11. The Ethereum staking rate will exceed 50%.
12. The ETH/BTC ratio will be below 0.03 in 2025 but will be above 0.06 by the end of the year.
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Yesterday, there was a sudden surge that hit our target perfectly, reaching the target point of 97500! It faced pressure and began to pull back, with a minimum around 93500!
Although today is the weekend, I believe the market won't be quiet!
Operation Suggestions Buy around 93600-94100, with a target initially looking at above 95500!
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