Big news!
Full-scale war is imminent!
The United States officially announced! Is a full-scale war about to begin? The commander of the U.S. Central Command arrived in Israel.

1. This sudden military exercise is like a cold winter wind, which makes people shudder. Is Russia defending its national dignity or is it plotting something else?

2. According to Israeli media reports, after arriving in Israel on October 5, the commander of the U.S. Central Command, Kurilla, met with Israeli generals to coordinate support for Israel's strike against Iran.

3. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu publicly stated that he would retaliate against Iran, and Iran also responded strongly, saying that if the Israeli army retaliated, it would continue to strike Israel.

4. At the end of September, the United States provided Israel with $8.7 billion in military aid to support Israel's military operations.

5. Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries have announced that they will remain neutral in the conflict between Israel and Iran, which limits the route options for the Israeli army to strike Iran, and can only pass through Syria, Iraq and other countries, and there are many U.S. military bases in these areas that can provide support.

6. If the United States supports Israel's cross-border bombing, it may trigger hostility from all Arab countries in the Middle East and cause a surge in crude oil prices, indirectly affecting the economic development of the United States.

7. It is reported that Israel plans to attack oil production facilities, nuclear facilities and other strategic targets in Iran.

8. Previously, Iran launched a large-scale ballistic missile attack on Israel using the Fatah hypersonic missile, and about 90% of the missiles successfully hit the target.

9. The United States will continue to launch air strikes against the Houthi armed forces in Yemen to help the Israeli army reduce the threat from the side and rear. Recently, the US and British forces have carried out multiple rounds of air strikes on Yemen.

Current price list, kong

Big pancakes are expected to go down to 63000-63500

Auntie is expected to go down to 2430-2450

Personal suggestions are for reference only

In the morning, the A-share market of the US stock market rose sharply, reaching 2,000 points.

The rising trend of this week has already begun.
The 62,000 mark was held last night, and it can basically be said that it will not go down. So now we have to slowly touch the 7-starting point.

Lunchtime thoughts

Big cake suggestion: around 62,500-63,000
Looking up to 65,000-66,000

Auntie suggestion: around 2,450-2,480
Looking up to 2,550-2,600

Those who keep up with the train of thought in the morning can be said to be opening champagne in the evening.

Daily global commodity market news (October 14)]
Energy:
1. A senior US State Department diplomat said during a visit to Serbia that the United States will support Serbia in reducing its dependence on fossil fuel imports from Russia and accelerating its transition to renewable energy.
2. Libya's National Oil Corporation said it produced 1.25 million barrels per day on Friday.
3. UK Offshore Energy Association: UK gas production is falling faster than expected.
4. Libya's National Oil Corporation: Oil production in the past 24 hours was 1.3 million barrels per day.
5. Azerbaijan Ministry of Energy: Oil production from January to September was 21.6 million tons; Azerbaijan exported 17.9 million tons of oil from January to September.
6. Azerbaijan Ministry of Energy: From January to September this year, Azerbaijan exported 9.4 billion cubic meters of natural gas to Europe.
Others:
1. Ukrainian officials: Ukraine's grain exports will fall to 40 million tons in 2024/25 due to reduced production.
2. Russian Ministry of Agriculture: Russia raised wheat export tariffs by more than 40% to 1,872 rubles per ton.
3. U.S. Energy Secretary: About 75% of Florida's electricity has been restored. It is expected that the vast majority of Florida's electricity will be restored by the end of Tuesday.
4. Fitch: If U.S. trade protectionism rises sharply, economic growth in South Korea and Vietnam will be particularly affected. If U.S. trade protectionism intensifies, South Korea and Vietnam's real GDP is expected to be 1% or more lower than the current baseline level by 2028.

Digital currency dynamics summary (2024-10-14)
1. Viewpoint: The trend of Meme coins is inevitable, and further transparency and fairness are still needed.
2. Last week, the US Bitcoin spot ETF increased its holdings by a total of 4,635 BTC, exceeding the production in the same period.
3. The monthly growth rate of Bitcoin demand is the highest since April.
4. Trader Peter Brandt: Bitcoin's rise often occurs in the second half of the halving cycle.
5. The ranking of the countries and regions most suitable for cryptocurrency business in the world in 2024 is released, with Dubai, Switzerland and South Korea ranking in the top three.
6. Suspect involved in a $180 million cryptocurrency scam fled after tampering with the ankle monitor.
7. Analysis: The macro factors affecting the performance of cryptocurrencies are shifting from monetary policy to the US election.
8. Ethiopia increases Bitcoin mining power allocation to 600 megawatts.
9. Viewpoint: The recent decline in the market value of stablecoins by $780 million may indicate a decline in market purchasing power.
10. Trump family crypto project WLFI introduced the details of the public sale in a live broadcast on October 14.
11. SlowMist: A new AI-themed MEV robot scam has emerged, using fake smart contracts to steal ETH.
12. South African tax authorities plan to include cryptocurrencies in their compliance plans.
13. Google searches for "Bitcoin" fell to the lowest level of the year, while searches for "memecoin" surged.
14. Monochrome plans to launch Australia's first Ethereum spot ETF on Cboe.

10.14 Morning Thoughts

The market retreated slightly last night, but it was above 62,000. The overall market volatility was not large. It is still in the consolidation stage at the weekend high, and the pullback after the high is not optimistic. The overall idea today is to buy high and sell low.

Personal suggestions, for reference only

Bitcoin retreated to around 62,000-62,300,

Ether retreated to around 2,430-2,410,

How to select dark horse coins with large gains in the current market? Since it is a dark horse, it should have these characteristics:
1. The market value cannot be too large, and it must be less than 100 million U.

2. At least it is listed on several second-tier exchanges for safety padding, and of course there are trading pairs listed on Binance, such as Myro Rats NEIRO.

3. The dealer must have recently absorbed funds to prepare for the subsequent pull.

4. It is best to use the new currency that was launched in 24 years or the airdropped currency PIZZA DOG, etc.

5. Study the chip structure, the dealer has a high degree of control, and the retail investors have been washed out.

6. The dealer has money, strength and resources. It is best to have a successful project before, such as the dealer of Dog is the Rune Stone project party, the dealer of Pizza Sats is the Unisats project party, and the dealer of Neiro Ordi is Binance.

Summary: low market value + strong dealer has money + good background + good resources + high control + sufficient wash + new currency = dark horse potential coin.

The real high return of meme (more than 100x) still needs to exchange time for cycles, such as popcat, which may be at the annual level. Of course, if it is at the beginning of the bull market, this cycle may be faster, such as meedeng hippo.

From this, we can see that a long-term + short-term comprehensive system can be established
The long-term is that high-quality memes cannot be held, and the short-term is a continuous band cash flow.

Don’t rush into new stocks, especially those that have risen many times. At this time, chasing high is to seek death. Don’t rush into new stocks because of the market’s money-making sentiment fomo. Remember the lesson. If you rush a little late, you will be trapped by high profits.

After a large-volume breakthrough, chase bravely. Don’t think that today’s 100% increase is already very high. You must be brave to buy to make money. Most people don’t dare to chase, so they can’t make money

The long and short liquidation game has begun

It depends on who is the big winner

The result will be known in the evening

Some friends say that the cryptocurrency world no longer has the opportunity to get rich quickly that the altcoin boom of 2017 brought.

How many altcoins were there in the 2017 bull market? I remember that at that time, many altcoins were listed on the Guangjucoin platform every day. Some altcoins lost 50% or more in seconds after they were bought. Only after the great waves of the times did many star altcoins with hundreds or thousands of times of return emerge.

And when I go back to the future, I will also feel that the surge in some MEME coins in this bull market brought opportunities to get rich quickly...
And when I go back to the future, I will also feel that the surge in some MEME coins in this bull market brought opportunities to get rich quickly...

At present, Hangqing has bottomed out and rebounded in the short term, forming a relatively obvious V reverse shape. At the same time, the price comparison is basically stable above 63,000.

In the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands spread. After a strong upward pressure, the K-line made a certain step back, but the strength was limited. Then it rebounded again and continued to rise. The bullish trend is obvious in the short-term trend, and the indicators and moving averages in the attached chart They are all bullish upward extension patterns. If the overall trend is bullish, then you can go long if the retracement is given!

morning advice

The big pie is in the 63000-62500 area, so look at 63500-64000

There are many areas in Ether 2460-2440, look at 2550

Although it said it rebounded around 62800-63300 in the morning,

But I also made up for a rebound and successfully scored 600 points.

We have now reached our entry point, and at the same time, long orders have left the market.

The principles of cryptocurrency trading in a bull market can be summarized as a combination of technical aspects and cycle theory. The key elements are as follows:

First: Maintain your position and never go short.
While ensuring that only idle money is used for investment, buy mainstream coins with the largest position. In the early stage of a bull market, prices are still relatively low, so you must dare to hold on to the coins for short-term trading. Be sure to follow the main operation to avoid diverging from the market trend.

Second: Avoid chasing highs and buy on dips.
Don't blindly chase up when prices are too high. A bull market will not rise straight all the way, and there will always be opportunities for a pullback. Seizing the opportunity of a pullback to increase your position and go long is the best strategy in a bull market.

Third: Avoid short selling and go with the flow.
In a bull market, any idea of ​​short selling is dangerous. Going with the flow and following market trends is a smart investment decision, and never go against the general trend.

Fourth: Resolutely do not buy junk coins.
Even if junk coins rise a lot in the short term, they lack long-term consensus support and will eventually burst the bubble. When investing, you should focus on leading currencies that have actual consensus and market recognition, and avoid chasing the empty bubbles of short-term gains.

Summary: stabilize your position, seize the callback to increase your position, follow the trend, choose high-quality leading coins, and seize opportunities in the bull market.

Do you really know all the common definitions of positions?

1. Position: If you plan to use 100,000 yuan to speculate in cryptocurrencies, if you currently hold 10,000 yuan worth of cryptocurrencies, that is a 10% position.

2. Position: The meaning is similar to position, both refer to the number of tokens you hold.

3. Bottom position: Usually refers to the part of the position that will not be sold in long-term investment, or the position of trial purchase.

4. Heavy position: Have a large number of positions, about 70% to 80% of the position.

5. Light position: Only keep a small number of positions, about 20% to 30% of the position.

6. Half position: Five-layer position.

7. Clear position: Sell all the tokens held.

8. Full position: Use all the invested funds to buy.

9. All-in: Buy all the remaining chips at once.

10. Empty position: No position.

11. Opening a position: Buying for the first time.

12. Opening a position in batches: Buying in batches.

13. Reducing a position: Selling a part to reduce the position.

14. Adding a position: Continue to buy a certain currency, which will increase the cost price.

15. Covering a position: Buying in the case of loss, the purpose is to reduce the cost price.

Last night, U.S. and European stocks rose collectively, and financial giants such as JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo had a "good start" in their financial reports. At the same time, more than $250 million of funds poured into spot BTC ETFs such as FBTC and ARKB, stimulating BTC to break through the 63,000 mark.

According to the tracking of major large orders, during the U.S. trading period, the main BTC majors had a total transaction of more than $670 million in huge sell orders, including:

• 61,300~62,300: The main force had already laid out this range before the release of CPI data on Thursday, and the cumulative long and spot sales were 359 million US dollars

• 62,400~63,400: The main contract was bearish, with a cumulative short opening + long closing of 213 million US dollars

It is worth noting that this time BTC's breakthrough of 63,000 exceeded the expectations of many major players. Large orders showed that the main force concentrated on opening shorts in the 62,400~62,500 range, with an amount of 68.53 million US dollars, which means that the main force was initially bullish to this range.

I woke up yesterday and saw that the big pie had pulled more than 4,000 points. Black Friday was really awesome. It first pulled the shorts, and then took a small loss and suffered a big loss. It was one-sided all the way.

From the current technical structure, in the four-hour level, the running channel maintained a narrow downward trend, and the price continued to fluctuate and fall. There was no strong rebound. The volume was arranged in a weak bullish pattern, and the moving average was consistent and downward. The short cycle was still dominated by shorts.

Big pie idea: around 62800-63300

To stop loss, Black Friday is indeed not exaggerated!

I admit my mistake to everyone

PANews reported on October 11 that according to Bitcoin.com, the Texas regulator recently issued an emergency cease and desist order to two individuals, Darrell Porter and Eric Ture Muhammad, who were suspected of promoting a fraudulent cryptocurrency investment program. The investment program is allegedly related to Trage Technologies, which promises high returns through digital asset arbitrage trading, but actually misleads investors. Trage Technologies is accused of falsely claiming to be registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and using illegal multi-level marketing strategies, posing significant risks to retail investors.

According to the allegations, the cryptocurrency arbitrage trading program launched by Trage Technologies, in which Porter and Muhammad participated, allegedly earned 3,600 USDT per month for a principal of 10,000 USDT, and accumulated 43,800 USDT in one year. However, the Commissioner's Office found that Trage Technologies not only concealed important information about its leadership, but also used an illegal multi-level marketing (MLM) system to recruit agents and falsely claimed to be eligible for protection under Section 506(c) of Regulation D.

Texas officials noted that the company did not limit sales to accredited investors or verify their accredited investor status, thus failing to comply with Regulation D requirements. The accused parties have 31 days to challenge the cease and desist order. Porter and Muhammad have previously promoted other companies involved in legal proceedings.