大阳线

Today I will give everyone another wealth code! Gold! Calculated to reach 40,000 in 5 years.

Discuss why there is a possibility of easing the situation? First, it is important to understand the strategy of the U.S. or what Trump calls his strategy. Three points: 1. Reshape the global economic order, monetary supply, and depreciate the dollar to reduce debt. 2. Hope for a prosperous U.S. stock market. 3. Hope to bring manufacturing back to the U.S. Among these, point 3 is very difficult to achieve during Trump's term, as it is a strategic goal that takes at least 10 years. Secondly, Trump is not afraid to disrupt the global economy; the more chaotic, the better. However, he does not want to see a decline in the U.S. stock market, even though he essentially anticipated the risks of tariffs leading to a decline in the stock market, setting the limit for the stock market drop at 50%. However, that is not his original intention. Currently, through tariffs, Trump has initially achieved the early effects of dollar depreciation, but the stock market has also been sluggish, leading to the outflow of capital from the U.S. Capital leaving the U.S. will certainly flow towards gold, as well as Hong Kong stocks and A-shares. In other words, the economic losses faced by China due to tariffs can be compensated by the influx of capital. This will greatly affect the purpose of Trump's tariffs. Therefore, as the preparations for the midterm elections begin one to one and a half years in advance, Trump may adjust the stock market through fiscal policies, tax measures, or other administrative orders. Hence, this is the so-called underlying logic of easing. Of course, Trump is an unpredictable person, so the trend has not yet formed, and the process will change randomly.

Pay attention, it can be used as a reference.

Beware that the Trump administration may freeze Chinese assets in the U.S.

Additionally, if you are unable to clearly distinguish the timeline, let me tell you a landmark event: the Federal Reserve's purchase of high-grade U.S. stock ETFs. It's not just about interest rate cuts; once such news comes out, you can clearly indicate that a bottoming rebound is approaching.

Friends who have seen my posts must know when I started reminding everyone. The reason I raised the warning while many are still enthusiastic is that many do not understand the macroeconomic situation and geopolitical factors. Today, I will talk about a few key points.

1. The essence of the China-US trade war
The China-US trade war is actually the Third World War. China can talk with any country, even Canada or Japan. But it can only not talk with the United States. The same goes for the United States; it can only not talk with China. Therefore, there will be absolutely no compromise between China and the US on tariffs.

2. Trump's bottom line
Trump's bottom line is a 50% crash in the US stock market. Don't think it's impossible; the bottom line he can bear is not something an ordinary person can imagine. However, the US has various tactical methods to make adjustments during the process. So sometimes there will be sudden market rallies.

3. When will it get better?
Between May and November 2025, a full recovery must begin. If it happens quickly, in May; if slowly, in November. Why? Everything is for the midterm elections.

I want to remind everyone of a fact again!!! All historical surges in the US are linked to election periods! If you still don't understand what I'm saying, I won't say it anymore!

Can you see clearly! Our tariffs will take effect tomorrow! A white paper is a huge benefit? The trade war has officially begun.

Anyone who understands a bit about economics will definitely advise you to avoid risks. Those who say it's the bottom, those who blindly interpret policies, and those who advise you to go long, I can only understand as trying to earn commissions. You can stay in cash and observe, but absolutely do not try to make a counter move just because you missed the opportunity. China is just the beginning; next up is Europe.

Those bloggers who encourage people to go long, have a little conscience, right? What about the Federal Reserve's closed-door meetings, what about strong support levels? You all earn commissions regardless of winning or losing, but what about retail investors? I reiterate once again, the big financial storm is a systemic change, not a child's play that can be resolved overnight. Even if the Federal Reserve announces interest rate cuts, global capital will seek safe havens instead of bottom fishing. A short-term rebound does not change the existing situation. When investing, one must choose a margin of safety rather than gamble.

Hehe, the article I wrote with great effort was ultimately restricted in visibility. If more people saw it today, they wouldn't feel so frustrated.

Everyone is waiting for a market crash, for a rise, both bulls and bears are to benefit. The impact of tariffs is felt over the next three months, not something that happens in a day.

Tonight it is most likely that a global tariff will be imposed on a certain category of goods, with a tax rate of 15% or higher.

Let me mention one more thing, many people may find that institutions are buying, such as MSTR, and it feels like institutions have activated a buying mode, quickly trying to bottom out. This indicates that you still do not understand the manipulation methods of Wall Street institutions in the financial markets.

First of all, buying does not mean driving up prices!
Institutional buying is usually over-the-counter trading or gradual accumulation, quietly purchasing to avoid causing market fluctuations (driving prices up), rather than sweeping large orders on the exchange. So you won't notice any changes in the candlestick chart.

Secondly, many are selling on good news or hedging.
A common tactic on Wall Street is to buy expectations and sell facts. Many times, they have already bought in advance, and when they announce the purchase, they are actually preparing to sell. Do you understand?

Thirdly, a price drop does not mean that institutions are losing money.
Often, institutions have a very low buying price, and they can hedge through futures and options, so even if the spot price drops, they may still make a profit. Some institutions have a fixed quantitative buying strategy, holding for several years without caring about price fluctuations.

Finally, even the smartest institutions cannot resist market factors.
For example, major economic conditions, panic emotions, etc., even if institutions buy in, it cannot prevent a decline.

So, you will find that many times when institutions enter the market, the situation is still unsatisfactory. Do not see institutions buying and then wildly speculate; when you do not understand the essence of finance, you will be very confused, drifting like a kite. It's a simple saying: institutions are not afraid of declines, they are only afraid of not buying enough! Just like a venture capital firm investing in a company, do not save money; spend the money given to you according to the steps, it's the same principle.

Finally, let me remind you of some basic trends. Note: I won't write many such articles; our team's background is not something that so-called chart-reading bloggers can understand. What is meant by the macro economy? Understanding the economy is not about just listening to news and checking reports. If you want to make money in the crypto space, you must first understand risk management, and then the trends. If you don't understand risk management and act in the opposite direction, solidifying the mindset of bull and bear markets while following those so-called K-line experts who don't even have a bachelor's degree, if you aren't a naive player, who will be! To summarize the macro economy: currently, there are three main players in the entire economic landscape: the US Dollar! Gold! Renminbi! The true purpose of Trump's tariffs is not to lower interest rates, but to devalue the dollar; lowering interest rates is to prevent a hard landing. Moreover, the second purpose of the Trump administration's implementation of dollar devaluation is to prevent other currencies from appreciating; this is what is called the reset of the global currency system! Simply put, the dollar devalues, the exchange rate keeps falling, the renminbi also devalues, and gold surges. Why do this? Devaluing the dollar is most beneficial for reducing debt. The global currency reset is to prevent other currencies, such as the renminbi, from appreciating; if the renminbi or euro appreciates, then global capital will purchase renminbi and euros, which goes against the original intention of the US. Therefore, the US is currently focused on this matter. China is currently maintaining the exchange rate, stabilizing the renminbi, and there is a game between China and the US because China also has debts, so fundamentally, it also does not wish for the renminbi to appreciate. Additionally, we have offshore renminbi in Hong Kong, controlled at 7.25. Thus, the price of gold is bound to exceed 4000. The pricing unit of Bitcoin is the dollar; if the dollar devalues, how can Bitcoin rise? So stop thinking that Bitcoin can operate independently. The future market will see one rise and two falls; when will it recover? In 3-6 months! Always remember to manage your position well! That's all for now. Those who understand will naturally understand! For those who don't, let them argue!

Be careful!

I still want to remind everyone once again, perhaps you have already incurred losses. Have you thought about why you lost? Because you listened to many influencers' advice to go long. And now are they suggesting to catch the bottom and go long again? Or to trade short-term for fifteen minutes? You need to understand that the more you do this, the more you will lose. With your capital decreasing, you will not be able to withstand even a slight fluctuation. I posted an article yesterday at 17:26, and then it started to drop. Why? Because if a downtrend forms, it must forcibly change its pattern under the conditions of the weekly and monthly closing in 2 days. Very few people will notice this. Therefore, for friends who are currently losing, stay calm and wait patiently. This is a patient wait, not a wait for the points you hear inside your mind or from outside. Otherwise, you will soon lose everything. Even if there is a slight rebound in the short term, ignore it!

Those distributed at 17.26 are all purposeful.

I still say, at this stage, do not be overly attached to candlestick charts. You need to understand the logic behind international capital and the United States. Why are U.S. stocks falling? Why is gold surging? The real reason is that all of this is because Trump is determined to rapidly devalue the dollar! You might not understand why he is doing this? It's to reduce debt. There are many ways for the U.S. to reduce its debt, but the most effective way is to quickly devalue the dollar. Thus, the 30 trillion dollars in debt could shrink to 20 trillion due to dollar devaluation. This is an extremely risky but clever move. Therefore, U.S. stocks and Bitcoin will inevitably be affected and fall. It's not that Trump wants U.S. stocks and Bitcoin to fall. It's a matter of physical inertia. Global capital has seen through Trump's hidden agenda, so they are withdrawing and waiting. Only retail investors are still ambitious. So when you think Trump is stirring everything up to force the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, that is not the real reason; the real reason is to force the dollar devaluation, and cutting interest rates is a way to mitigate the risks of the U.S. economy's downturn during the process. Many people in this circle have good technical skills, but their understanding of the macro situation has not kept up.

A warning was issued yesterday, but I also made a mistake by adding an extra character while typing, which may have led some fans to misunderstand. What I actually meant to express is to be cautious during the Air Force phase.

The Air Force stage should be cautious