Indeed, after the elections in 2012, 2016, and 2020, Bitcoin (BTC) saw a significant increase in the following quarter. However, you need to remember:
1. In the years 2012, 2016, and 2020, at the time of the election, BTC had not reached its all-time high price. 2. At previous election times, the number of people profiting from BTC in those years was still low, below 50%.
BTC in 2024 is completely different from the context of BTC in previous years.
Conclusion: BTC has the potential to break the 100k USD mark by 2025.
However, currently, with the US elections and a 0.5% interest rate reduction on November 8th, BTC may reach an average high of 75k USD. This will serve as a springboard for "big players" to take profits in Q4 2024.
When you see me taking pictures of any altcoin or I buy spot or short that altcoin, it is certain that: around the W (weekly) frame will quickly correct, at the latest on the M (monthly) frame it will adjust again.
This is thanks to a set of formulas determining the peak and bottom thresholds. Note: never make a buy or sell decision based on a single factor or indicator.
In this formula, there is one important criterion: - The price range where 95% of buyers in the last 2 years have made a profit with the altcoin. - The price range where 98% of buyers in the last 4 years have made a profit with Bitcoin.
Imagine when an altcoin is profitable, 100% of its buyers are in profit. How to redistribute that coin, take over it and increase the amount in the hands of the market maker before the price soars? - Must sell, and whoever sells faster will be the winner. Draw the story. Because usually the selling time is much shorter than the buying time.
This formula has been applied to both altcoins and Bitcoin.
Their idol takes profit at 70k and then they come to praise. I take profit and they curse me, saying I'm stupid for closing early. I DCA BTC below 60k and they curse me too. It's true that
What does resilience mean at this time? It means having a little capital left to DCA and buy. Accepting to buy and being ready to DCA while accepting a 30% loss. As long as they can endure like this, they are almost in the first green account group when the market runs. Because they are over 90% ahead of the majority in terms of buy price, with a shorter time in the negative. If they don’t win, then how can those who bought in Q1 and Q2 of 2024 have a chance to win?
Finally, this needs to be done. Good preparation will help you always be proactive, when there is an opportunity, you will know which one to enter immediately. Note: long-term coins are different, short-term spot coins are different.
What is the most difficult and important thing I have to do in the next month?
Actually, this is not difficult, but it determines my position in the second quarter of 2025 and many other brothers and sisters.
Why is it difficult to make a decision? Because there are too many good projects and each individual has financial limitations. With my current capacity, I will be proactive with the spot in this cycle, aiming for codes that cannot lose before looking for profits. If I find codes that cannot lose, then profits are only a matter of time.
We often have the mentality of looking at other people's portfolios, seeing them buying while we see red and negative. From there, it is easy to create a lack of confidence in the time of project evaluation and finding projects to hold.
Therefore, you must realize that your finances are limited. The time you decide is almost the time you believe will bring the most optimal results. You need at least time to verify the results for that choice.
Btc appears in 2 super large zones 43900$ to 39000$.
I don't know if btc will reach here.
This is also the point I drew many months ago.
This price zone will be my last buy price zone. It is expected to last for 2-3 days. I don't know when there will be 2 timing points. 1: In the 4th quarter of 2024 2: Early 1st quarter of 2025 after the new President takes office.
Schedule to x capital for beginners. 2024: buy and hold codes that cannot lose. - Many codes + large volume. - Many codes + small volume. - Few codes + large volume - Few codes + small volume There are 4 ways above to have a good position, luckily there are codes x100 x50.
To x20 x50 or x100 total wallet, you need to go to phase 2. - Play few codes with large volume. This will help you guys xxx.
I play futures with only two purposes. This helps me to be less greedy. Before implementing this long-term and persistent plan, I used many ways to improve the futures winning ratio from 50/50 to 70/30 and found that we lose the most in the D and H frames.
To win, you have to win in the M and W frames first, then move the ratio to the D and H frames. At first glance, you will see a lot of work to do, currently it is only the meme portfolio.
**Purpose:** Take DCA money and buy meme coins. But usually, I will spend most of the profit from futures on buying meme coins.
I have tips and principles to find a meme code that cannot lose in 2024. However, to test and give long-term holding results, you have to wait until at least June 2025. I have applied this formula since 2023 and early 2024 and it has given good results. So this time I will use the profit from futures to buy meme coins. There will be a 100x code anyway.
The meme codes I found before being listed on Binance: - Turbo - Babydoge - Bonk
But the plan for 2025 this time is not to find the ones listed on Binance, but to find the memes on CEX that cannot lose - using the money that is earned from futures to buy and hold.
**Note:** I do not play memes on DEX in 2024; I only play memes on DEX in 2025. Why? Because the capital in 2024 does not allow me to risk playing on DEX, winning little but losing a lot. Instead, I have to use the winnings from futures very carefully, otherwise it will be difficult to get back what I paid for in 2021 and 2019.
Why am I sharing this paragraph and this plan?Because I'm going to show you what memes I have in 2025.
With my knowledge and ability to see monthly views, quarterly views. My ability to evaluate coins. The ability in this crypto market, it is almost impossible to lose xx times when playing spot.
At the end of last month, I told some brothers to close the profit, they said I was stupid, closed too early, the trend was up. At that time, it was on average September 25, 2024. They also teased me.
In early September, specifically from September 5 to September 15, I shared about the price increase and recovery wave of BTC, helping many brothers win BTC from 53k to 65k, an average of more than 10k price, and altcoin increased from 30% to 50%.
But when I finished closing, the price went from 65k to nearly 67k, a difference of nearly 2000 prices, they teased me again.
Many times before, and this time they teased me again if I reported DCA and bought.
There is a big problem here: the majority is always like that, a lot of them are unstable. They are unstable from knowledge to experience and greed. They do not know how to filter information when faced with important information being shared.
Short: 65800$ 1.5% Total wallet BTC/USDC PAIR And the short pair BTC/USDT is still holding "until this Thursday to see the situation" Long: 61400$ STL 60500$ short term.
Leverage above x50 because of small volume, you can increase the leverage. If using leverage below x50, bring the volume to 2% of the total wallet.