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凯哥的交易日记
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Brothers, stay patient. $BTC and $ETH are short together. Several features show that the market has reached a temporary top. The financing rate has reached the highest rate at 7.29. Holdings have reached a record high. Ethereum is making up for the rise. So stay patient and short #新币挖矿已上线HMSTR #本周美国将公布PCE、GDP数据
Brothers, stay patient. $BTC and $ETH are short together.
Several features show that the market has reached a temporary top.
The financing rate has reached the highest rate at 7.29.
Holdings have reached a record high.
Ethereum is making up for the rise.
So stay patient and short #新币挖矿已上线HMSTR #本周美国将公布PCE、GDP数据
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Brother Kai is back to bring a new direction to everyone. Although I only did copycats this time, I didn’t catch up with the rise of mainstream coins. But I am very confident in this wave of short selling. Every rise of Ethereum means that the market is approaching the end. This time, a false breakthrough began at 8 o’clock in the morning to clear the shorts. So I quickly opened a short position. It is estimated that it will fall tonight and go through a small painting gate market. The big bull will probably return in October#DODO助力Meme发行 #新币挖矿已上线HMSTR {spot}(ETHUSDT)
Brother Kai is back to bring a new direction to everyone. Although I only did copycats this time, I didn’t catch up with the rise of mainstream coins. But I am very confident in this wave of short selling. Every rise of Ethereum means that the market is approaching the end. This time, a false breakthrough began at 8 o’clock in the morning to clear the shorts. So I quickly opened a short position. It is estimated that it will fall tonight and go through a small painting gate market. The big bull will probably return in October#DODO助力Meme发行 #新币挖矿已上线HMSTR
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I recently made a copycat coin. Now many small coins are pulling up very high. The theory is a bit like the low liquidity of the original TRB. A small amount of money with a low market value can be pulled up several times. I also got on a SF Express bus. Don't listen to what you can't play contracts. How many big Vs in the currency circle you can see are playing spot trading? You come here to make a lot of money. If you want risk-free financial management, you can go to the bank. The currency circle itself represents high risk. The essence of so many copycat coins pulling up the market every day on the increase list is to deceive people to chase high prices. The dealer intervenes in the operation just to sell the coin to you at a high price. Whether it is the surge of TRB or REEF, it is for the dealer to make money. Whose money is it? It's yours, that is, the money of retail investors. How many people in the currency circle can make money in the long run? Everyone has made money, but few can make money all the time. The reason is that you will definitely lose if you play against the dealer, it's a matter of time; but if you play with the dealer, it's different. The winning rate must be more reliable than your so-called feeling. From the perspective of probability If you play by yourself, your winning rate is only 50% at most The dealer will generally look for small-volume, low-heat altcoins First, draw a bigger pie, such as the recent reef, and then negotiate the price with the project party, buy most of the chips in your own hands with multiple exchange accounts, and then go to the exchange to pull the market, and sell while pulling, and sell it to retail investors at a high price. Finally, you buy the air coin that the dealer gave you at a high price The more chips in the dealer's hands, the greater its pricing power As long as you can put the coin at the same low opening price as it, he will have no way to deal with you unless he gives up this coin to pull the market But my personal habit is to use small amounts of cash The goods are matched with contracts of a certain size. The rates of copycat pull-ups are often very negative. Your long orders are open and you are eating and You can't see the funding income in the transaction details. Sometimes there are several % points a day, because the funding fee is calculated by the position x leverage multiple x funding rate to get your final income, which is related to the multiple you open As for the profit, it depends on the cost of the dealer and how high the final pull is, and how many retail investors can take over. All the coins in the currency circle follow this model#token2049 #新币挖矿HMSTR #币安上线NEIRO {future}(ETHUSDT)
I recently made a copycat coin. Now many small coins are pulling up very high. The theory is a bit like the low liquidity of the original TRB. A small amount of money with a low market value can be pulled up several times. I also got on a SF Express bus.
Don't listen to what you can't play contracts. How many big Vs in the currency circle you can see are playing spot trading? You come here to make a lot of money. If you want risk-free financial management, you can go to the bank. The currency circle itself represents high risk.

The essence of so many copycat coins pulling up the market every day on the increase list is to deceive people to chase high prices. The dealer intervenes in the operation just to sell the coin to you at a high price.
Whether it is the surge of TRB or REEF, it is for the dealer to make money. Whose money is it? It's yours, that is, the money of retail investors. How many people in the currency circle can make money in the long run? Everyone has made money, but few can make money all the time. The reason is that you will definitely lose if you play against the dealer, it's a matter of time; but if you play with the dealer, it's different. The winning rate must be more reliable than your so-called feeling. From the perspective of probability If you play by yourself, your winning rate is only 50% at most

The dealer will generally look for small-volume, low-heat altcoins
First, draw a bigger pie, such as the recent reef, and then negotiate the price with the project party, buy most of the chips in your own hands with multiple exchange accounts, and then go to the exchange to pull the market, and sell while pulling, and sell it to retail investors at a high price. Finally, you buy the air coin that the dealer gave you at a high price

The more chips in the dealer's hands, the greater its pricing power
As long as you can put the coin at the same low opening price as it, he will have no way to deal with you unless he gives up this coin to pull the market

But my personal habit is to use small amounts of cash The goods are matched with contracts of a certain size. The rates of copycat pull-ups are often very negative. Your long orders are open and you are eating and

You can't see the funding income in the transaction details. Sometimes there are several % points a day, because the funding fee is calculated by the position x leverage multiple x funding rate to get your final income, which is related to the multiple you open

As for the profit, it depends on the cost of the dealer and how high the final pull is, and how many retail investors can take over. All the coins in the currency circle follow this model#token2049 #新币挖矿HMSTR #币安上线NEIRO
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In the past three interest rate cut cycles, when the federal funds rate drops to near the neutral rate, a "liquidity trap" or black swan event often occurs, causing risk assets to fall further 📉, forcing the Fed to lower interest rates to a lower level. Therefore, leverage and position management at this stage are very important. Refer to the market before 312 #新币挖矿HMSTR #新币挖矿HMSTR #币安上线NEIRO
In the past three interest rate cut cycles, when the federal funds rate drops to near the neutral rate, a "liquidity trap" or black swan event often occurs, causing risk assets to fall further 📉, forcing the Fed to lower interest rates to a lower level. Therefore, leverage and position management at this stage are very important. Refer to the market before 312 #新币挖矿HMSTR #新币挖矿HMSTR #币安上线NEIRO
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Just now a friend showed me his delivery note. He opened 4 bitcoins with a 3000u position and earned about several thousand u with a 100x leverage. He wanted to communicate with me. I can't communicate with this kind of person. He is not here to trade at all. He is giving money to the exchange. He doesn't even understand mathematical expectations and logic. First of all, brothers need to pay fees for opening and closing positions. The opening and closing fees of his gameplay account for 20% of his principal. He will be liquidated in one or two days or two weeks. I kindly advised him and scolded me and said that I have low education. It is the correct mathematical logic to take it slow in the current market and wait for the bull market to make big money. If you think you can make money slowly, use high leverage, and you will only lose money in the end. Sometimes I envy this kind of young people, who have the courage to move forward. Brother Kai only knows how to manage risks and live longer. 😂#新币挖矿HMSTR #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #美降息25个基点预期升温
Just now a friend showed me his delivery note. He opened 4 bitcoins with a 3000u position and earned about several thousand u with a 100x leverage. He wanted to communicate with me. I can't communicate with this kind of person. He is not here to trade at all. He is giving money to the exchange. He doesn't even understand mathematical expectations and logic. First of all, brothers need to pay fees for opening and closing positions. The opening and closing fees of his gameplay account for 20% of his principal. He will be liquidated in one or two days or two weeks. I kindly advised him and scolded me and said that I have low education. It is the correct mathematical logic to take it slow in the current market and wait for the bull market to make big money. If you think you can make money slowly, use high leverage, and you will only lose money in the end. Sometimes I envy this kind of young people, who have the courage to move forward. Brother Kai only knows how to manage risks and live longer. 😂#新币挖矿HMSTR #灰度将推出首个美国XRP信托 #美降息25个基点预期升温
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Harris was clearly well prepared, as can be seen from the parallel sentence "I have a plan..." On the other hand, Trump seemed to underestimate his opponent, and the expected scene of making the opponent speechless or speechless did not appear. The hosts in the audience also obviously chose sides. The male host favored Harris, and the female host slightly favored Trump, resulting in no obvious advantage in the entire debate. For Harris, a tie is a victory, but for Trump, there is no obvious advantage, but it is a bit of a disadvantage. #美国经济软着陆? #美国经济软着陆?
Harris was clearly well prepared, as can be seen from the parallel sentence "I have a plan..." On the other hand, Trump seemed to underestimate his opponent, and the expected scene of making the opponent speechless or speechless did not appear.

The hosts in the audience also obviously chose sides. The male host favored Harris, and the female host slightly favored Trump, resulting in no obvious advantage in the entire debate.

For Harris, a tie is a victory, but for Trump, there is no obvious advantage, but it is a bit of a disadvantage. #美国经济软着陆? #美国经济软着陆?
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80% of the wealth in China is concentrated in the generation born in the 1960s and 1970s. They experienced reform and opening up, shantytown renovation, and skyrocketing real estate prices, and accumulated a large amount of assets. However, as they age, their risk appetite declines. They are not only unwilling to take over real estate, but also unwilling to take over the stock market, let alone the real economy. They are only willing to deposit money in the bank to earn 2-3 points. What do young people have? They have mortgages and an uncertain future. They have a risk appetite, but they have no money and no expectation of income growth. Rich people are unwilling to invest, and those who are willing to invest have no money. This is the current situation. The infrastructure that has been maintained for the past 20-30 years is increasingly unable to bring returns in the stage of population decline. Infrastructure cannot bring investment attraction, nor can it bring land price increases. Therefore, infrastructure is just consumption, not investment. Due to insufficient investment, domestic demand can only be revitalized after the 1960s and 1970s pass away and assets are redistributed to young people who are willing to take risks. During this period, there is only one way, which is to go abroad: one is to invest in foreign assets, and the other is to do business abroad. So brothers, whoever invests in the cryptocurrency circle and engages in A-shares is a fool #美国大选如何影响加密产业? #美国经济软着陆? #以太坊基金会
80% of the wealth in China is concentrated in the generation born in the 1960s and 1970s. They experienced reform and opening up, shantytown renovation, and skyrocketing real estate prices, and accumulated a large amount of assets. However, as they age, their risk appetite declines. They are not only unwilling to take over real estate, but also unwilling to take over the stock market, let alone the real economy. They are only willing to deposit money in the bank to earn 2-3 points. What do young people have? They have mortgages and an uncertain future. They have a risk appetite, but they have no money and no expectation of income growth. Rich people are unwilling to invest, and those who are willing to invest have no money. This is the current situation. The infrastructure that has been maintained for the past 20-30 years is increasingly unable to bring returns in the stage of population decline. Infrastructure cannot bring investment attraction, nor can it bring land price increases. Therefore, infrastructure is just consumption, not investment. Due to insufficient investment, domestic demand can only be revitalized after the 1960s and 1970s pass away and assets are redistributed to young people who are willing to take risks. During this period, there is only one way, which is to go abroad: one is to invest in foreign assets, and the other is to do business abroad. So brothers, whoever invests in the cryptocurrency circle and engages in A-shares is a fool #美国大选如何影响加密产业? #美国经济软着陆? #以太坊基金会
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Most of the long orders were closed here. There is still no one-sided bull market in September. This wave took two points, and it is never a hindsight to follow Brother Kai There are many negative factors in September Seasonal reduction of positions: After the summer vacation, institutional traders return to the market, re-evaluate their portfolios and reduce their holdings, especially assets with large profits. -Q3 Reporting: At the end of the third quarter, institutional investors closed or adjusted their positions to optimize performance reports to beautify the reports to their investors. -Tax planning: Investors harvest tax losses and sell loss-making assets to reduce the annual capital gains tax burden. - Reduced buybacks by listed companies: As the earnings season approaches, the company's buyback window is closed, reducing market support. #以太坊基金会 #以太坊基金会 #美国8月非农就业人数不及预期 {spot}(ETHUSDT)
Most of the long orders were closed here. There is still no one-sided bull market in September.
This wave took two points, and it is never a hindsight to follow Brother Kai
There are many negative factors in September
Seasonal reduction of positions: After the summer vacation, institutional traders return to the market, re-evaluate their portfolios and reduce their holdings, especially assets with large profits.
-Q3 Reporting: At the end of the third quarter, institutional investors closed or adjusted their positions to optimize performance reports to beautify the reports to their investors.
-Tax planning: Investors harvest tax losses and sell loss-making assets to reduce the annual capital gains tax burden.
- Reduced buybacks by listed companies: As the earnings season approaches, the company's buyback window is closed, reducing market support. #以太坊基金会 #以太坊基金会 #美国8月非农就业人数不及预期
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The high-cognition people I know have never been poor. Only those with low-dimensional cognition will become poor. In the process of communication between high-cognition and so-called low-cognition people, there is a rule behind it that everyone does not talk about, called dimensionality reduction invariance, that is, I will not debate with people who reduce the dimension. This is actually an unspoken rule behind high-cognition recognition. This is a very simple truth. You take a cup, for example, this is a high-dimensional one, this is a three-dimensional one, you throw it on the ground, then the person below you see it as a circle, then you tell the person below this dimension that it is a cylinder, no matter how you explain it, he will not believe it, so it is meaningless for you to let the person in this dimension explain it to him repeatedly. So all the high-cognition people I have seen, even when they meet and communicate with people in low dimensions, they do not defend themselves, do not debate, and are unwilling to tell you the truth, because it is actually useless for them to tell you. Therefore, many of us today who call themselves high-cognition poor people are false propositions. The information they see and their own cognition are low-dimensional and false. Therefore, once a high dimension is formed, there is no poor person. He must have his own, regardless of spiritual wealth and material wealth. #美国经济软着陆? #美国8月非农就业人数不及预期
The high-cognition people I know have never been poor. Only those with low-dimensional cognition will become poor. In the process of communication between high-cognition and so-called low-cognition people, there is a rule behind it that everyone does not talk about, called dimensionality reduction invariance, that is, I will not debate with people who reduce the dimension. This is actually an unspoken rule behind high-cognition recognition. This is a very simple truth. You take a cup, for example, this is a high-dimensional one, this is a three-dimensional one, you throw it on the ground, then the person below you see it as a circle, then you tell the person below this dimension that it is a cylinder, no matter how you explain it, he will not believe it, so it is meaningless for you to let the person in this dimension explain it to him repeatedly. So all the high-cognition people I have seen, even when they meet and communicate with people in low dimensions, they do not defend themselves, do not debate, and are unwilling to tell you the truth, because it is actually useless for them to tell you. Therefore, many of us today who call themselves high-cognition poor people are false propositions. The information they see and their own cognition are low-dimensional and false. Therefore, once a high dimension is formed, there is no poor person. He must have his own, regardless of spiritual wealth and material wealth. #美国经济软着陆? #美国8月非农就业人数不及预期
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I opened a long order. Now the indicator has reached the daily oversold. There are a lot of people chasing shorts, and there are many short gamblers on the top who need to be liquidated. Now the winning rate of opening a long order is very high. I just posted the photo of the last order. I just checked and I have lost almost one point. Now I open a copy of my bottom #美国8月非农就业人数不及预期 #小非农增幅创3年多新低 #BTC走势分析
I opened a long order. Now the indicator has reached the daily oversold. There are a lot of people chasing shorts, and there are many short gamblers on the top who need to be liquidated. Now the winning rate of opening a long order is very high. I just posted the photo of the last order. I just checked and I have lost almost one point. Now I open a copy of my bottom #美国8月非农就业人数不及预期 #小非农增幅创3年多新低 #BTC走势分析
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What is the way out for the poor? Poverty is cognitive poverty. As long as you understand the word poverty, you will know what is going on. If you treat a mentally retarded person well, he will doubt you. If you treat a truly understanding person well, he will thank you. So the poor are full of complaints and calculations in their thinking, while the rich are full of gratitude and dedication, including what I just mentioned. We Chinese generally do not use Chinese. This is a typical poor mindset. There is another thing you should know. This is an objective reality. This is the need of the sickle. Without the poor, how can there be rich people? You should know that the poor are the greatest asset of the rich. Thoreau's Walden Lake specifically said that the extravagance of one class needs the poverty of another class to support it. Mark Twain also said that it is more difficult to make people believe that they have been deceived than to deceive them. So this is why there are too many people willing to cut leeks. Cutting leeks is easy, but it is difficult to enlighten leeks. There is a saying in the mob: in the torrent of the mob, individual thoughts are washed away without a trace, and blindly following the trend becomes the dominant trend, even if you don't want to follow the trend. #小非农增幅创3年多新低 #非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC走势分析
What is the way out for the poor? Poverty is cognitive poverty. As long as you understand the word poverty, you will know what is going on. If you treat a mentally retarded person well, he will doubt you. If you treat a truly understanding person well, he will thank you. So the poor are full of complaints and calculations in their thinking, while the rich are full of gratitude and dedication, including what I just mentioned. We Chinese generally do not use Chinese. This is a typical poor mindset. There is another thing you should know. This is an objective reality. This is the need of the sickle. Without the poor, how can there be rich people? You should know that the poor are the greatest asset of the rich. Thoreau's Walden Lake specifically said that the extravagance of one class needs the poverty of another class to support it. Mark Twain also said that it is more difficult to make people believe that they have been deceived than to deceive them. So this is why there are too many people willing to cut leeks. Cutting leeks is easy, but it is difficult to enlighten leeks. There is a saying in the mob: in the torrent of the mob, individual thoughts are washed away without a trace, and blindly following the trend becomes the dominant trend, even if you don't want to follow the trend. #小非农增幅创3年多新低 #非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC走势分析
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I opened a long order. The possible scenario is that the non-agricultural data will surge tonight and then continue to fall over the weekend. Therefore, wait patiently for a wave of acceleration. If the spot level can re-examine the positive premium brought by the demand side, then the market will gradually warm up. Before that, it is better not to go long with the pattern. Recently, a large amount of short liquidity has accumulated above the price, but it is not cleared. The continuous supply of spot is so disgusting. The previous market that stared at the liquidity fixed-point clearing and drew the door back and forth seems to have to wait a while. Wait for the spot market selling pressure to end first, and maybe there will be a big positive line that quickly bursts out. "Go long! Lost!" "Go long again! Lost again!" "Go long again! There will always be a time to buy the bottom!" This kind of emotion is actually not good. Now the market is becoming more and more disordered. Binance Bitcoin contract trading volume is 18 billion US dollars a day. The OI of Bitcoin + copycat contracts is 52 billion US dollars. The various chains on the chain add up to 3 billion US dollars a day. Excluding stablecoins/various eth transactions, the transaction volume of local dogs is about 500 million US dollars to 800 million US dollars. My observation: 1. Binance determines the main liquidity of the blockchain and has the current main pricing power, followed by ETFs, and then other exchanges. 2. No one plays copycat local dogs anymore, but the liquidity of hot projects is concentrated. 3. The dark forest mode is launched, and the contract once again dominates the entire blockchain market. #小非农增幅创3年多新低 #非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC走势分析 {future}(BTCUSDT)
I opened a long order. The possible scenario is that the non-agricultural data will surge tonight and then continue to fall over the weekend.

Therefore, wait patiently for a wave of acceleration. If the spot level can re-examine the positive premium brought by the demand side, then the market will gradually warm up. Before that, it is better not to go long with the pattern. Recently, a large amount of short liquidity has accumulated above the price, but it is not cleared. The continuous supply of spot is so disgusting. The previous market that stared at the liquidity fixed-point clearing and drew the door back and forth seems to have to wait a while. Wait for the spot market selling pressure to end first, and maybe there will be a big positive line that quickly bursts out.

"Go long! Lost!"
"Go long again! Lost again!"
"Go long again! There will always be a time to buy the bottom!" This kind of emotion is actually not good. Now the market is becoming more and more disordered. Binance Bitcoin contract trading volume is 18 billion US dollars a day. The OI of Bitcoin + copycat contracts is 52 billion US dollars. The various chains on the chain add up to 3 billion US dollars a day. Excluding stablecoins/various eth transactions, the transaction volume of local dogs is about 500 million US dollars to 800 million US dollars. My observation: 1. Binance determines the main liquidity of the blockchain and has the current main pricing power, followed by ETFs, and then other exchanges. 2. No one plays copycat local dogs anymore, but the liquidity of hot projects is concentrated. 3. The dark forest mode is launched, and the contract once again dominates the entire blockchain market. #小非农增幅创3年多新低 #非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC走势分析
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Several terrifying predictions for the end of this year: the dollar will begin to depreciate globally, the global purchasing power of the dollar will decline, the dollar will be exchanged for RMB at a ratio of 1:3, global trade denominated in dollars will suffer serious losses, the United States will export more goods, the unemployment rate will decrease, the cost of repaying the US $3.5 billion debt will decrease, global commodities will begin to rise, global food prices will rise, and many countries will face food crises. There will be a large influx of funds and increased liquidity in the cryptocurrency field. #非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC走势分析 {future}(BTCUSDT)
Several terrifying predictions for the end of this year: the dollar will begin to depreciate globally, the global purchasing power of the dollar will decline, the dollar will be exchanged for RMB at a ratio of 1:3, global trade denominated in dollars will suffer serious losses, the United States will export more goods, the unemployment rate will decrease, the cost of repaying the US $3.5 billion debt will decrease, global commodities will begin to rise, global food prices will rise, and many countries will face food crises. There will be a large influx of funds and increased liquidity in the cryptocurrency field. #非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC走势分析
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