Before the big market next week Write a long article Since Niu Ding still has exactly one year left It’s time to write a long-term operation article with a range of up to one year. Please note that the following is only a forecast analysis. The actual trends may differ. It is meaningful to provide some reference for this article. Without further ado, here are the pictures.
As you can see, the above picture simulates the approximate trend to the bull peak in the next year. The key nodes combined with the current time process are as follows: 1. Pull up to 72 in early November Second, after two weeks of correction, it hit 75 again at the end of November. 3. The three-day line made a big correction, and it returned to 60 in mid-to-late December.
The volume is large. If you are afraid, use the bottom of the current hourly column as the stop loss, especially if you have a heavy position, pay attention to safety. Generally, the bottom is reached in the hour after the bottom is reached, and there will be at least two or three days of rebound Weekends are generally more likely to rebound That's all! $BTC
After hitting the upper rail 764 in one hour, it is converging. From the daily line, it is normal to fluctuate sideways for a few days. The hourly level indicators need to be repaired. At least six hours convergence. It is still early. It is expected to continue to attack next week. $BTC
Currently, U's liquidity can support around 92k. So the short positions that are forcibly liquidated at this level are not safe. Be aware The liquidity gradually released after the interest rate cut tomorrow will exacerbate this phenomenon Further raise the upper limit So I see this round of sprinting lasting about a month. The target is just over eighty thousand to ninety thousand. If the time is up and the price is about right, you can clear out. If the price is about right but the time is not up yet, You can remove leverage and hold cash to observe further. That’s all! $BTC
Many shorts attempt to resist the order There are many liquidations at around eighty to ninety thousand Trust me Your liquidation price is not safe If this wave peaks with a small bull Then the vast majority of shorts will be liquidated Change your thinking Go long to eighty or ninety thousand Probably by the end of the month Make a killing Instead of being liquidated $BTC
Current Best Strategy The medium to long-term answer given by the Taoist priest is the standard answer 🤪
1. For those with no positions, do not chase highs, wait for the price to drop to the lower boundary of the daily line to enter spot trading, and enter with up to three times leverage at the lower boundary of the three-day line. When buying the dip, it's important to understand the situation in the United States; there should be no economic crisis.
2. For those fully invested with high leverage, you need to close part of your positions, manage the liquidation price carefully to avoid unexpected events. The best control is to keep it below fifty thousand for liquidation.
3. Do not short, do not short, do not short!
4. For those with low leverage and light positions, hold on at least until the end of the month. If you can't hold, close part of your position until you can hold it, but you must not go to cash!
The lower track rises to 731 in 30 minutes But I think it's too high Patiently wait for the daily lower track to buy the dip At least it needs to converge for over ten days No rush Learned a lesson from the rise 🤪 No opportunities given Then just hold on until it reaches 83 That's all! $BTC
Note that Qi Men can only serve as a reference and should not be relied upon completely. In most cases, if the overall judgment can be basically accurate, that would be fortunate! Therefore, primarily for entertainment, don't take it too seriously! The following is the AI's forecast for the Bitcoin trend over the next month starting tomorrow: Overall bullish, with a pullback at the end! Based on an average increase of 10%, reaching 83 by the end of the month is possible. This also aligns with the spirit and purpose of my previous article: cautiously holding for an increase, after surpassing an increase of 83, then considering full liquidation based on liquidity conditions. Below is the full text of AI analysis: In the analysis of Bitcoin price trends from November 7 to December 6, 2024, based on factors such as the Yin Escape of Qimen and the Five Elements of the Nine Palaces, the time is divided into several stages, and the interaction of factors such as the Nine Stars, Eight Doors, and Three Qi Six Instruments is considered to predict the amplitude of fluctuations and overall trends.
Analysis of gains and losses at market entanglement points
Now we have come to the tangled point again It is a position that can be moved up and down Because it is currently at a relatively high position Without other auxiliary tools such as Qimen Technical means Both up and down
First, if we follow the trend of last year, repeatedly wash the market and delay time, waiting for liquidity to be replenished, then referring to the single top trend given at the top, we can return to the weekly middle track around 64 in early December.
Then it will gradually move towards 80,000, and at that time the liquidity can reach 90,000. This is a slow bull market. The top will not be too high. The top of the big bull market is around 150,000.
Second, if the trend follows the previous bull market peak after the U.S. election day in the year before, a new bull market will start directly, or at least a small bull market peak will appear. Refer to the upper track of the monthly line at 83, and a strong pull may be close to 90, probably in early December. Refer to the figure below.
The result prediction was wrong But the analysis was very close At the beginning, Trump had a big advantage The gap narrowed later It was very tight In the end, Trump still had the upper hand in fortune
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Liu Yao sees whether Trump can be elected as the US president
Conclusion first Judging from the overall hexagram, Trump is a case of much ado about nothing, with a strong momentum at the beginning but a lack of momentum afterwards. In the end, Harris may win by a slight margin and be elected the first female president. So how should cryptocurrency players respond? Sell your coins quickly after the election votes are counted. A big drop is expected, possibly an adjustment on the three-day line. Let’s see if it can reach the upper weekly line of 71 before the election. If it happens to reach it, then we must run. The following is a detailed analysis of the hexagram: According to the hexagram "Lin Bian Gui Mei" you provided and the relevant theories of Qi Men Dun Jia, combined with the general trend and the current election background, we can analyze from multiple angles:
Always said not to short Don't short Don't short Now do you understand my point of view? This short has almost exploded It's not clean yet 76 can blow most of it Continue $BTC
Just take it See where it can be pulled If we directly start the little bull here Then at least it will last for twenty days to a month By then, we'll see Also, no chasing high prices Currently holding less than 2.5 times $BTC
701 ran 0.5 times leverage Loss of four hundred points is no big deal Not betting on the day after tomorrow If there is a big drop back to 65, then eat full three times Control overall risk 🤪 $BTC
Let's talk about liquidity again tonight This time we discuss the overall liquidity in the United States, not just the U Look at the chart below You can see that from 2009 to 2017, there was a massive increase in liquidity This gave rise to an unprecedented bull market in Bitcoin It lasted through two cycles, with a bear market adjustment in 2014 Subsequently accompanied by tightening liquidity In 2018, there was another bear market for a year In 2019, as the pandemic began, there was another massive increase in liquidity This led to the bull market in 2020 and 2021 At the end of 2021, tightening began, and balance sheet reduction occurred Bitcoin continued to enter a bear market Currently, the overall liquidity has not improved significantly Therefore, if there are no interest rate cuts and balance sheet expansion at the Federal Reserve meeting on the 8th Then the outlook for a doubling surge is not optimistic Do not think that just because it has risen a bit now it will reach 100,000 or 200,000 It’s impossible That's it! $BTC
Daily Level Due to currently entering the later stage of a bull market The short-term lifeline is currently at 628 During the adjustment period, it may fall below The long-term lifeline is at 585 The probability of falling below and falling deeply is very low Therefore, these two lines are also important references $BTC
Why have I not moved my three times position? The reason is here.
Previously, I hesitated over the rebound and stopped loss at 0.5 to one times. It's much safer this way. To prevent a large weekly level drop. But I held on.
In November 2020, it rose close to historical highs, made a twelve-hour pullback, hit a new high, and then made a daily line pullback. Note that there was no touching of the daily line lower track here; it almost didn't reach it, similar to hitting 668 in the middle of the night but not continuing to probe lower to 653. So the plan to open a big five times position at 65 to bottom fish is correct, and there's no need for a stop loss.
After the end of 2020, the market will continue to rise, doubling before making a daily line lower track pullback, and then continue to push for peaks.
The daily lower track of 653 has not yet reached the target Currently just defined as a rebound Those with high leverage can reduce their positions a bit during the rebound I will continue to hold my triple position Waiting for it to drop to 653 before increasing positions $BTC