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道长谈比特币
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中长线分析判断比特币走势，仅供娱乐。
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Major corrections on the three-day line since the beginning of this bull market
First, let’s state the conclusion
Without exception, all directly start a major correction after hitting a new high
Figure one
After reaching a new high of 25100, it directly corrects to 19500, a rapid correction in twenty days, a decline of 22%
Figure two
After reaching a new high of 31000, a major correction begins directly, with a slow correction lasting a month and a half to 24800, a decline of 20%
Figure three
After reaching a new high of 48900, a major correction starts immediately, with a rapid correction dropping back to the lower bound of the three-day line at 38500 in thirteen days, a decline of 21%
Figure four
After reaching a new high of 73700, a major correction begins, with a slow correction taking nearly two months to drop to 56500, a decline of 23%
Okay, don't think that there won't be a major correction in a bull market
Without exception, all directly start a major correction after hitting a new high
Figure one
After reaching a new high of 25100, it directly corrects to 19500, a rapid correction in twenty days, a decline of 22%
Figure two
After reaching a new high of 31000, a major correction begins directly, with a slow correction lasting a month and a half to 24800, a decline of 20%
Figure three
After reaching a new high of 48900, a major correction starts immediately, with a rapid correction dropping back to the lower bound of the three-day line at 38500 in thirteen days, a decline of 21%
Figure four
After reaching a new high of 73700, a major correction begins, with a slow correction taking nearly two months to drop to 56500, a decline of 23%
Okay, don't think that there won't be a major correction in a bull market
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Monthly Qimen Trend Analysis for December 6 (Super Training Enhanced Version)
The following is the monthly Qimen trend analysis made by the trained AI
Compared to the previous untrained version, it is more refined and complete
It may also be more accurate.
It should be noted that Qimen can only serve as a reference and is for entertainment purposes.
Act accordingly at your own risk; consequences are your own responsibility.
The optimized version looks roughly at this month, summarized as follows:
Early in the month, there is a slight downward adjustment, followed by a significant rise in the middle of the month until a peak before Christmas, estimated to be around 110,000. After that, there will be repeated fluctuations at a high level until early January.
The following is a detailed analysis:
Analysis: Bitcoin trend from December 6, 2024, to January 5, 2025 (Qimen Dunjia analysis)
Compared to the previous untrained version, it is more refined and complete
It may also be more accurate.
It should be noted that Qimen can only serve as a reference and is for entertainment purposes.
Act accordingly at your own risk; consequences are your own responsibility.
The optimized version looks roughly at this month, summarized as follows:
Early in the month, there is a slight downward adjustment, followed by a significant rise in the middle of the month until a peak before Christmas, estimated to be around 110,000. After that, there will be repeated fluctuations at a high level until early January.
The following is a detailed analysis:
Analysis: Bitcoin trend from December 6, 2024, to January 5, 2025 (Qimen Dunjia analysis)
See original
Be patient for another two days
The current trend hasn't deteriorated
Breaking through is just a matter of two days
Don't rush
If you can't hold a large position, you can reduce a bit
Then you can hold on
$BTC
The current trend hasn't deteriorated
Breaking through is just a matter of two days
Don't rush
If you can't hold a large position, you can reduce a bit
Then you can hold on
$BTC
See original
Historical three-day line pullback
The following statistics show the three-day line callbacks in history after 17 years.
There were few bull markets in the past
These two rounds
Especially this round, there are many
The shortest decline period is more than ten to twenty days
Up to two months
Remove the longest and shortest samples
The average is 20 days
Do you understand? 🤪
There is no rebound pattern in the three-day line pullback
The best thing is to wait for the three-day line to bottom out
Make advance
The dog village may not be hit by
Sometimes hanging a little
That's it!
$BTC
There were few bull markets in the past
These two rounds
Especially this round, there are many
The shortest decline period is more than ten to twenty days
Up to two months
Remove the longest and shortest samples
The average is 20 days
Do you understand? 🤪
There is no rebound pattern in the three-day line pullback
The best thing is to wait for the three-day line to bottom out
Make advance
The dog village may not be hit by
Sometimes hanging a little
That's it!
$BTC
See original
Currently a 30-minute lower track rebound
No need to rush
It's going quite well
Since it started to drop on January 5th for twenty days
Around January 25th, it will reach a major bottom
So the time left for the main force is no more than about a week
In this time, it is impossible to reach 120,000
Even reaching the previous high of 108 is difficult
The best scenario is still to touch the upper track of the daily line at 106 and then fluctuate repeatedly
Then start a major pullback
Of course, if it can't go that high
102 is also acceptable
Note ⚠️
Above!
$BTC
No need to rush
It's going quite well
Since it started to drop on January 5th for twenty days
Around January 25th, it will reach a major bottom
So the time left for the main force is no more than about a week
In this time, it is impossible to reach 120,000
Even reaching the previous high of 108 is difficult
The best scenario is still to touch the upper track of the daily line at 106 and then fluctuate repeatedly
Then start a major pullback
Of course, if it can't go that high
102 is also acceptable
Note ⚠️
Above!
$BTC
See original
Today we won't talk about Qimen
Let's talk purely about the Bollinger Band trend
Looking at the daily K-line
It has hit the middle band twice
Historically, there have been very few cases where it hit the middle band and then went down directly
Less than 20%
Another 50% involves repeated fluctuations hitting the upper band, or directly hitting the upper band within a few days
The difference lies in the high points
There is also a 30% probability of a false breakout at the middle band, but failing to hit the upper band, leading to a big drop after a few days of consolidation
Therefore, regardless, the probability of a direct big drop from the middle band here is very low
It’s worth a shot
Have you
Learned it all?🤪
$BTC
Let's talk purely about the Bollinger Band trend
Looking at the daily K-line
It has hit the middle band twice
Historically, there have been very few cases where it hit the middle band and then went down directly
Less than 20%
Another 50% involves repeated fluctuations hitting the upper band, or directly hitting the upper band within a few days
The difference lies in the high points
There is also a 30% probability of a false breakout at the middle band, but failing to hit the upper band, leading to a big drop after a few days of consolidation
Therefore, regardless, the probability of a direct big drop from the middle band here is very low
It’s worth a shot
Have you
Learned it all?🤪
$BTC
See original
Continue to hold firmly
Only two strong bullish candles are needed to go up
Use floating profits for something worthwhile
Currently, most people don't understand or are bearish
This is a good thing
Get to the US stock market close on the 28th
$BTC
Only two strong bullish candles are needed to go up
Use floating profits for something worthwhile
Currently, most people don't understand or are bearish
This is a good thing
Get to the US stock market close on the 28th
$BTC
See original
Only 99?
At least let's aim for 999 in six hours.
Arriving tonight.
What does everyone think?
Breakthrough 995.
Then it won't just be 995.
And it won't just be 999.
Continue to hold for three more days as originally planned.
Above!
$BTC
At least let's aim for 999 in six hours.
Arriving tonight.
What does everyone think?
Breakthrough 995.
Then it won't just be 995.
And it won't just be 999.
Continue to hold for three more days as originally planned.
Above!
$BTC
See original
Micro Strategy has been deleted
I guess Binance does not allow US stocks to compete in the bitcoin market
No way
Current market
975 stopped?
It's too early
Since the rise has started
It will not be a matter of one or two days
At least three or four days
The target daily upper track is 105
If you can't hold it, look at what I said
$BTC
I guess Binance does not allow US stocks to compete in the bitcoin market
No way
Current market
975 stopped?
It's too early
Since the rise has started
It will not be a matter of one or two days
At least three or four days
The target daily upper track is 105
If you can't hold it, look at what I said
$BTC
See original
Don't be sad
Don't be discouraged
There's no need to be upset
After last Christmas
It took three days to get back on track
It's not like it hasn't happened before
$BTC
Don't be discouraged
There's no need to be upset
After last Christmas
It took three days to get back on track
It's not like it hasn't happened before
$BTC
See original
Waves of the floating world,
Rises and falls have their ways.
Do not ask the heart about gains and losses,
Who reflects the myriad phenomena?
The moon hides in the cold frost wind,
The stars appear while the sky is still high.
The day of Christmas is approaching,
Wishing for a bountiful year’s return.
Gold and silver, smiling in dreams,
The heart of the way accompanies through the cold night.
Wishing you a year full of abundance,
Together enjoying the east wind blooming in the spring morning.
Merry christmas!
Rises and falls have their ways.
Do not ask the heart about gains and losses,
Who reflects the myriad phenomena?
The moon hides in the cold frost wind,
The stars appear while the sky is still high.
The day of Christmas is approaching,
Wishing for a bountiful year’s return.
Gold and silver, smiling in dreams,
The heart of the way accompanies through the cold night.
Wishing you a year full of abundance,
Together enjoying the east wind blooming in the spring morning.
Merry christmas!
See original
The recent event that has been making a lot of noise
is the news of several YouTubers publicly launching a token
In fact, they did not organize or plan well
Without collaborating with market makers to maintain market value
it is very difficult to successfully develop a token
Moreover, such a token has no intrinsic value
It merely relies on consensus within a small circle
Ultimately, it is very likely to fail
So, why do we say that 99% of tokens will fail?
What is betrayed is everyone's trust
In fact,
there are many ways to make money
One of them is to pay more attention to Daoist masters 🤪
Making money through one's own abilities
is lasting and reliable
and will not harm anyone
That's it!
$BTC
is the news of several YouTubers publicly launching a token
In fact, they did not organize or plan well
Without collaborating with market makers to maintain market value
it is very difficult to successfully develop a token
Moreover, such a token has no intrinsic value
It merely relies on consensus within a small circle
Ultimately, it is very likely to fail
So, why do we say that 99% of tokens will fail?
What is betrayed is everyone's trust
In fact,
there are many ways to make money
One of them is to pay more attention to Daoist masters 🤪
Making money through one's own abilities
is lasting and reliable
and will not harm anyone
That's it!
$BTC
See original
About Nvidia
The upper rail of the daily line at 145 has to be run
Preventing a drop in January along with it
Re-enter by the end of January
The best entry around the lower rail of the weekly line near 100
Let's see if it gives
If not, I'll buy MicroStrategy instead 🤪
The upper rail of the daily line at 145 has to be run
Preventing a drop in January along with it
Re-enter by the end of January
The best entry around the lower rail of the weekly line near 100
Let's see if it gives
If not, I'll buy MicroStrategy instead 🤪
See original
Big rebound?
After three o'clock in the morning
Tianxin opens
Expected to directly reach 99
Remember this time
$BTC
After three o'clock in the morning
Tianxin opens
Expected to directly reach 99
Remember this time
$BTC
See original
The pancake currently has multiple peak scenarios
At the end of January, it fell back to the lower track of the three-day line at 83
In two, three, and four months, it will rise to around 130,000
In five and six months, it will continue to undergo a three-day line or even a weekly line pullback, with the target still being over 80,000 to 90,000
In seven, eight, nine, and ten months, it will double and end
Final target around 180,000
Above!
$BTC
At the end of January, it fell back to the lower track of the three-day line at 83
In two, three, and four months, it will rise to around 130,000
In five and six months, it will continue to undergo a three-day line or even a weekly line pullback, with the target still being over 80,000 to 90,000
In seven, eight, nine, and ten months, it will double and end
Final target around 180,000
Above!
$BTC
See original
If you want to bet on altcoins
Eat full at the end of January
Because the big pie has dropped to the right level by the end of January
At that time, altcoins won't have much of a rebound
It's just relatively resistant to decline
By the end of January, most altcoins are in an excellent bottom buying range
You can cash out by mid-April
Remember
Altcoin betting is just a short two-month period from the end of January to mid-April
Do not fall in love with battle
That's it!
$BTC
Eat full at the end of January
Because the big pie has dropped to the right level by the end of January
At that time, altcoins won't have much of a rebound
It's just relatively resistant to decline
By the end of January, most altcoins are in an excellent bottom buying range
You can cash out by mid-April
Remember
Altcoin betting is just a short two-month period from the end of January to mid-April
Do not fall in love with battle
That's it!
$BTC
See original
The lowest point on January 25th was about 83. It has only been a few days since the rebound. $BTC
LIVE
CryptoChan
--
Current BTC: MVRV Indicator, perhaps a peak in March 25? 😏
The black line in the chart represents the BTC: MVRV indicator for the period ⟨24 years - present⟩; the blue line represents the BTC: MVRV indicator for the period ⟨20-23 years⟩; the red line represents the BTC: MVRV indicator for the period ⟨16-19 years⟩. All three lines start from the Bitcoin halving date of their respective cycles.
Note: MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) refers to the ratio of Bitcoin's market value to its purchase cost.
The black line in the chart represents the BTC: MVRV indicator for the period ⟨24 years - present⟩; the blue line represents the BTC: MVRV indicator for the period ⟨20-23 years⟩; the red line represents the BTC: MVRV indicator for the period ⟨16-19 years⟩. All three lines start from the Bitcoin halving date of their respective cycles.
Note: MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) refers to the ratio of Bitcoin's market value to its purchase cost.
See original
Too many bulls
No way
All contracts are going long
Can only wait for the main force to clean up
$BTC
No way
All contracts are going long
Can only wait for the main force to clean up
$BTC
See original
Do you regret buying Bitcoin?
US stocks are still appealing
If the expectations for Bitcoin are bad, you should switch to Nvidia completely
Then it will be excellent
Buy MicroStrategy again at the end of January
This way the returns will be very considerable!
Much better than endlessly struggling in the crypto circle 🤪
$BTC
US stocks are still appealing
If the expectations for Bitcoin are bad, you should switch to Nvidia completely
Then it will be excellent
Buy MicroStrategy again at the end of January
This way the returns will be very considerable!
Much better than endlessly struggling in the crypto circle 🤪
$BTC
See original
Perfect second exploration
Is to get infinitely close to the lower track around 93
As long as there are no continuous drops below the lower track in the next few days
Then there will be no problem
In fact
If there is a rebound
It can be seen within a few days
So don't worry
Just pay attention to the position
No gambling!
$BTC
Is to get infinitely close to the lower track around 93
As long as there are no continuous drops below the lower track in the next few days
Then there will be no problem
In fact
If there is a rebound
It can be seen within a few days
So don't worry
Just pay attention to the position
No gambling!
$BTC
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Crypto2025Trends
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$XRP 2025 is the year I will sell EVERYTHING
📉
And you should be doing the same.
I’m 100% serious.
Why?
That is when the Crypto Top will be and there's no doubt.
How do I know?
These metrics will signal the top:
- Bitcoin Profitability Index tops at 300% every cycle.
- MVRV Ratio will peak above 3.0 during cycle tops, signaling overvaluation.
- Exchange Inflows as whales will move BTC to exchanges, preparing to sell.
- Dormant Wallet Activity will increase as long-term holders start offloading.
- Retail FOMO & Masses will flood in at the peak.
- BTC Dominance will have a sharp drop to 45% & altcoins explode is the final rotation.
- NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss peaks in the “euphoria” zone signal a top.
- SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) Hits extremes as profits are taken aggressively.
This is not guesswork, This is not luck.
This is market driven data & proven strategies. Don’t fall for the moon boys coz every single coin won't reach the moon.
I don’t care if people hate me Or laugh at me.
We will still win and I want my fam to create as much wealth as possible.
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