Only the dealer can easily make a lot of money in the secondary market. It is impossible for retail investors to defeat the dealer. From any dimension, the dealer has a crushing advantage. If retail investors make money, it is not that they have defeated the dealer. They just drink a mouthful of soup while the dealer eats meat. Despite this, only a small number of retail investors can make money each time, because the dealer will not allow most retail investors to make money. What the dealer wants to harvest is "most retail investors." Compared with the various regulations and policies of the stock market, it is easy to be a banker in the cryptocurrency circle. Only by understanding the principle of banker manipulation can retail investors make money. In addition to having trading skills and funds to control the market, you must first have chips, which is a prerequisite.
I have always said not to trade during the election period. You think you are betting on who will win or lose, but in reality, the house is just harvesting contracts during this chaotic period.
Last night, after harvesting long positions, they are now harvesting short positions again.
Then, the current range has once again seen a relatively dense flow of long and short liquidity, with the short liquidation position around 70800 and the long liquidation position around 67400...
In the end, I still want to say, it seems that BTC is fluctuating due to external information, but in fact, the recent 24-hour liquidation records show that every fluctuation is actually purposeful.
In my view, significant capital in the market is going back and forth to harvest the high leverage liquidity of retail investors; #美国大选后涨或跌? #美国大选后叙事观察
Update the direction. No matter who is elected, it is impossible to go up all at once. No matter who is elected, it will be correct to continue to rise after adjusting the decline. My expected bottom point is around 6w5. Since I have too much spot, I opened an ETH short order here to hedge my own risk of too much spot. .
If it is the King of Understanding, it will rise first, then pull back, and then rise. If it is Sister Haha, it will directly pull back and consolidate. The market just hates uncertainty. Don't be disturbed by the news.
After the broadcast, I looked at the indicators and felt that a drop in BTC to around 65,000 is likely to happen. Don't fomo everyone, this pullback is over and the next wave is the real rise. #美国大选后涨或跌? #美国大选后叙事观察
Last night the market still did not reach the bottom.
Currently, both bulls and bears have exceeded the number of orders in their positions, and the fluctuations today and tomorrow will be very large. All high-leverage contracts will be liquidated, and I see many people in the square opening contracts betting on who will win and who will lose.
Regardless of who wins or loses, your contract orders will be liquidated. Currently, waiting for the right opportunity to enter long positions is the most important thing #美国大选后涨或跌? #以太坊白皮书11周年
Update on the major direction, friends who are watching my live broadcast should know what my current strategy is. It is to wait for a reasonable low point to buy large positions in anticipation of the bull market in November.
I also advise friends in the current market to definitely give up short-term contracts recently, as the recent volatility will be very large and the market will eliminate everyone before finding direction again. However, what can be seen is that the market in November will definitely be very good.
No matter who is elected, after the adjustment, the market will continue to rise. Do not play with high leverage contracts recently and lose all your principal. #美国大选后涨或跌? #美联储利率决议来袭
I mentioned last Wednesday to the community friends to pay attention to this coin, troy. This coin has a market value of only 200 million. Suddenly, it changed its concept and went to contracts, which is likely a switch in the controlling party. The market value is also very small, so the margin of safety is relatively high.
I feel that the best indicator for small coins is to look at their positions. troy's position is currently also 100 million U, because positions are the real money that the controlling party needs to use as margin for contracts. The rare position I mentioned on Saturday hasn't come down yet, but since the controlling party hasn't pushed the price, they should still be in the trial phase and haven't accumulated enough chips.
I have always told everyone that such small coins can only be played with small positions, and being stuck with a loss of several points is very normal. What I have been doing is using large positions to seek certainty, and small positions to seek probability. #美国大选后涨或跌? #美联储利率决议来袭 #11月市场预测 $TROY
The volatility in the U.S. election will continue to intensify and become more severe over the next couple of days, as the market dislikes uncertainty, coupled with a large number of retail investors betting their chips in this vicinity. Here, clearing institutions will liquidate more orders and contracts.
I currently do not recommend anyone to chase highs and lows here, or play short-term contracts. I am quite sure that in the next couple of days, all high-leverage positions will be liquidated by the market.
However, a glorious month after the election is about to arrive. My current strategy is to buy contracts on dips, compared to BTC and SOL, and to purchase some high-potential altcoins. I am certain that the market in November will become straightforward and profitable.
My followers and viewership have always been relatively low because my articles are primarily understood by veteran investors and a few knowledgeable friends. This market has propagated too many myths about thousandfold and ten-thousandfold returns. However, controlling leverage to amplify cycles, earning tenfold is already impressive. Yet, many novice investors still hold fantasies about the market.
Don’t think it's possible to make a few million from a few thousand in one go; earning one million from a hundred thousand is already remarkable. No one wins all the time; we can only say to control risks. We cannot predict the market, but we can manage our own risks. A large position is likely to bet on certainty, while a small position is less likely to bet on probability, and that is sufficient.
I will be live-streaming at 8:30 PM tonight to explain the upcoming market trends.
If you have done some research, you will find that starting from May, market funds are always sold at the beginning of the month and bottom out in the first few days of the month.
I firmly believe that the market will bottom out again around the 5th, and I will buy a series of contracts plus spot at that time. With the issuance of USDT reaching the peak of the last bull market, I believe November will be a prosperous month. #你问我答 #美国大选后行情预测 #美国大选后行情预测
I made a rare order on Saturday and have lost money. Many people have lost money following me. I want to say here that I am only responsible for the people in my community, and I will also set strict stop-profit and stop-loss and position management for the community. I only have a rough hint on the square. Sometimes you can open leverage to do it, and sometimes you can only gamble with a small position, and everyone will lose money. This is normal. My trading philosophy has always been not to lose big money and not to make small money. If you want to see Yongzhuan Ge, I think there are all of them on the square. It is difficult to see a loss.
I will also tell you here about the market next week. The market next week should bottom out around November 5th. At present, the market is bleeding slowly on Saturdays and Sundays, especially the altcoins, because almost every altcoin is bleeding slowly due to the uncertainty of the election.
My view is that no matter who is elected, the market will continue to rise after bleeding. Every year when the US election comes, liquidity will explode. So I will buy BTC contracts, SOL contracts and a number of altcoins that I am optimistic about at the right opportunity around November 5th.
At present, from the perspective of order flow and on-chain data, BTC holdings have completely dropped, and the market sentiment has completely dropped. A large number of long positions have been closed, and the leverage of altcoins has been completely liquidated as in the article I posted last Friday. From the on-chain data, the issuance of USDT has reached the peak of the last bull market. Every time this happens, the market will rise wildly.
So after hitting the bottom around November 5, it will usher in the best month of the year. The real simple mode and bull market will start soon. I will live broadcast at 8:30 every week. You can go to my live broadcast room to listen to my explanation of the market. #你问我答 #美国大选后行情预测 #美国大选后涨或跌? #比特币矿工收入飙升
The rare market maker has started to take action, and the amount of capital inflow and holdings has increased sharply.
The size of the contract orders opened by the market maker is close to the last peak, and the negative holding fee rate shows that retail investors are still busy shorting.
The next step should be to continue to pull the market and play another short-selling game with retail investors. At present, the sideways trading here is to clear the early high leverage and to see the participation of retail investors. If all are met, the market will start to pull. #你问我答 #美国大选后行情预测 #美国大选后涨或跌?
Before the results of the US election came out, the volatility became more and more violent.
This is a healthy deleveraging action. When the election is over, all leverage and positions will be washed out and it will be time to go all in and enjoy the feast.
This short selling wave has perfectly reached the take profit and has all been closed. The script from last night's live broadcast at 8:30 was also perfectly performed.
Now preparing to look for opportunities to buy the dip, it is worth noting that tonight's non-farm data is coming out. My personal view is that before the election day, there will only be sharp fluctuations around the new highs without a real main upward wave.
Hasn't everyone noticed that the current situation is very similar to last year's ETF? Now we are speculating on the election results, last year we were speculating on the ETF results.
The upcoming November and December are both opportunities for a big bull market, everyone must seize it.
Tonight at 8:30, I will continue the live broadcast to explain the market situation.
The result of this short-selling operation came as expected, and six points of profit have been earned.
I think that friends who came to my live broadcast did not go to buy the bottom. The next step is to see when the callback is completed and then to arrange some cottages. At present, the cottages have not plummeted as before. It shows that the proportion and liquidity of cottages are slowly returning.
In the next two months, the market of cottages will slowly emerge. It can be felt that the proportion of Bitcoin is approaching the top, and the strong cottages have climbed up. At present, I plan to close half of the position and hedge the spot.
Live broadcast at 8:30 tonight, continuing to explain the market. I explained the logic of shorting ETH last night. The orders were also shared in the live broadcast last night. #市场关注美国非农数据 #美国大选后行情预测 #TIA超大额解锁 #你问我答
Yesterday, BlackRock purchased $900 million worth of ETFs. When arbitrage funds of this scale and level enter the market, it means that the market is nearing its end stage. Therefore, what people actually see is that when there is a large inflow of ETF funds, it is at the top, and when there is a large outflow of ETF funds, it is at the bottom.
I see many people in the square teaching that a bull market is coming, and that the current market leverage is too high, so one should be cautious. It's okay to teach everyone to chase the bullish pattern in spot trading, but what about futures?
So, Bitcoin may potentially return to around 68,000, while the leverage in altcoins will be completely liquidated.
Currently, most retail investors are opening long positions on altcoins, so the leverage on altcoins will be liquidated again. Last night, I noticed many people in the square chasing after altcoins, which only indicates that there are many uninformed investors with excess cash and insufficient understanding of the cryptocurrency market. I also clearly stated during my live stream that those with long positions should close them early, and those with spot positions can short Ethereum as a hedge.
I continue to short Ethereum. I see in the square that when Bitcoin and Ethereum rise, they shout for altcoins. It is impossible for altcoins at low prices to be openly offered for you to buy; they don't even have enough to build their positions, yet they let you buy. #BinanceBlockchainWeek #美国大选后行情预测 #TIA超大额解锁
Just talked about the logic of shorting Ethereum in the live stream. I also opened a small position to short Ethereum to hedge my long positions and spot holdings.
The logic for shorting Ethereum and the market is as follows: 1. The Ethereum Foundation is dumping again, and every time the foundation dumps, the market usually reaches its peak.
2. The exchange rate of Ethereum is strengthening, while Solana and Bitcoin are both declining. This is an unhealthy situation; the market flow should go to the strongest coins first and then to the weaker ones. This is a sign of an unhealthy market.
3. The open interest for Ethereum and Bitcoin contracts has both reached historical highs, and the fees have increased. Therefore, it is correct to expect a pullback and consolidation in the current market. It’s not yet time to go long.
Strategy summary: Currently, except for the long-term investment in Tao being stuck, all other altcoins in the short term have exited with profits. $BTC #BinanceBlockchainWeek #狗狗币创数月新高 #你问我答