The current market situation is consistent with the forecast, and the following is a detailed analysis:
1. Current price
• Price: 2.6766 USDT • The price is close to the lower edge of the support zone (2.693 to 2.800) mentioned earlier. • The price shows a clear downward trend, falling about 36% from the highest point of 4.200, and is currently in a low consolidation state.
2. Technical indicators
• Moving average (MA): • MA7 (2.7325) and MA25 (2.8816) show short-term moving average suppression. • MA99 (3.2338) is above as a stronger resistance area. • Trading volume: • The trading volume is gradually shrinking, indicating that the market sentiment is more cautious. • MACD: • DIF (-0.0941) and DEA (-0.0757) are below the zero axis, and the short-term trend is still bearish. • The red column is shorter, indicating that the downward momentum has weakened. • RSI indicator: • RSI(6): 27.52 and RSI(12): 31.83, entering the oversold area, indicating that the market has a rebound demand.
3. Comprehensive analysis and prediction
1. Support area: • The current price is approaching the 2.693 - 2.800 support area, which is consistent with the previous analysis. This area is still an important support and the possibility of a rebound is high. 2. Rebound conditions: • If the price stops falling in this support area and the trading volume increases, there may be a rebound opportunity. • The key resistance area is 3.200 - 3.300 (short-term) and 4.200 (medium-term). 3. Downside risk: • If the 2.693 support is broken, the next potential support is around 2.400.
4. Conclusion
• Analysis accuracy: The previous analysis is relatively accurate, especially the judgment of the support area. • Operation suggestions: • The current area is suitable for observing whether there is a stop-loss signal. If there is a positive line rebound, you can consider going long with a light position. • If it falls below 2.693, it is recommended to wait for more stable support before intervening. • Risk control: strictly stop loss to prevent the risk of further price decline.
Overall, the market is close to the predicted key support area, and it is worth paying close attention to market dynamics!
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