Ethereum has broken through the ceiling, first aiming for 5000, next step 8000 USD!
As we analyzed yesterday, indeed big funds entered Wall Street last night, causing both Bitcoin and Ethereum to break through.
Many people think that Ethereum may be a false breakout, but you need to consider that BTC has truly broken out and will continue to rise, while ETH has tested the 4000 mark multiple times before, so I am more inclined to believe that this time the 4000 level is a real breakout, and we are about to enter a price vacuum zone, it is a sea of stars!

The current strange market situation is just as we analyzed a few days ago; indeed, Bitcoin is sucking the blood of small coins. Bitcoin needs to rise first, perhaps to around 120,000 USD, before small coins will follow suit and start to explode.
In fact, I was quite surprised that Ethereum could rise alongside BTC without being drained, it seems that Ethereum's ETF is indeed effective, being flooded by Wall Street, and both are soaring together.
We firmly entered ETH long positions at just over 3800. At that time, many people were bearish, shaken by liquidation data, and even shorting into liquidation, while our community aggressively increased positions, buying what others dared not buy.
If you haven't bought ETH before, you can accumulate a bit at lows; this time there is hope to reach the 5000 mark. On the other hand, with the explosive rise of BTC and ETH, the arrival of altcoin season is a certainty, so coins like Pepe, Uni, Doge, and AAVE can be accumulated at lows, and the altcoin season should start in a few weeks.

Monday afternoon Hangqing sharing

In the analysis framework of the daily chart, the upward trend is particularly prominent, and the duo head momentum appears to be extremely abundant. Once the upper rail limit is successfully crossed, various technical indicators follow one after another, unanimously pointing to the continuation of the duo head, and the overall visual factory trend is still firmly biased towards high. Further refinement to the four-hour chart, it can be seen that the K line continues to rely on the upper moving average support, showing a steady upward trajectory. Turning to the one-hour chart, the current K line is facing the test of the upper rail of the Bollinger Band. At the same time, the two moving averages of MA5 and MA10 intersect to form a golden cross pattern. This signal indicates that the power of the duo head is further strengthened, and the momentum indicator also shows an increasing trend. Visual factory participants are generally optimistic and in high spirits. In view of this strong structure, our strategy follows the trend and adopts the Silk Road of laying orange duo heads at a relatively low level.

Big pie: around 104000-103500, looking up to 106000-107000#BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

The Federal Reserve is taking action alongside major central banks around the world, and will Powell's speech become the key to triggering new hotspots?

At the meeting scheduled for December 17-18, the probability of the Federal Reserve implementing a 25 basis point rate cut has risen to 97%. However, it is worth noting that the strong performance of the economic data in November has laid the groundwork for the Federal Reserve to potentially pause the rate-cutting process in early 2025. Against this backdrop, Powell's speech after the meeting, as well as the latest economic forecasts released by the Federal Reserve, will undoubtedly carry crucial guiding significance.

Although the rate cut in December by the Federal Reserve has almost become a foregone conclusion, and it is expected to continue to cut rates by 25 basis points in January and March of 2025, with further cuts likely in the meetings in June and September, the current situation still contains many uncertainties. Given that more and more officials within the Federal Reserve are beginning to express intentions regarding the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) pace, the risk of the Federal Reserve pausing the rate cuts at the upcoming January meeting is quietly rising. #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #BTC☀

Monday Morning Market Outlook

Bitcoin has risen to 106,665 points, showing a steady upward trend and embarking on a journey to create new highs. Yesterday afternoon, we suggested that after a pullback, one could directly enter the market to take advantage of the rally. This round of increase is completely within our expectations.

From a technical structural perspective, the four-hour chart has continuously shown five bullish candles, and the BOLL indicator is in an expanding state. The support structure is clearly visible, and the momentum is steadily accumulating. The key resistance level above is primarily concentrated around the solid position of 105,000 points. Once this level is successfully broken, the price is expected to extend further into the range of 108,000 to 112,000. The support level below is solid at 101,500 points. Therefore, in terms of strategy, it is recommended to continue maintaining a low-position strategy to fully seize the current market momentum.

Bitcoin 103,800-104,300 long - looking at 106,000-107,000

Sunday Morning Recommendation Sharing

Based on the current situation analysis, yesterday Bitcoin experienced a round of rise but once again encountered a pullback, showing that there is still significant resistance in its upward path. Given that it is currently the weekend, the market is relatively quiet, making it particularly difficult to break through the existing consolidation pattern in the short term.

Recently, Bitcoin has repeatedly attempted to rally, but has not achieved a decisive breakthrough, instead falling into a correction period. From the four-hour technical chart, it has currently touched the lower edge of the downward channel, while the significant round number of 100,000 shows some signs of stability. Therefore, this Sunday, our strategy will continue to flexibly focus on the pressure levels above.

Sunday Morning Recommendation:
Buy Bitcoin in the range of 102,000-102,500 with a target of 1,000,015,175,899,655 and 37,558,224,908.

Saturday Evening Recommendations

Bitcoin rose to around 102600 in the morning but faced pressure and fell to a low of 101568. In the morning, the orange indicator showed resistance levels, achieving over 900 points. Currently, it is fluctuating around 101500.

Observing within a 1-hour time frame, the K-line is operating above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, while the KDJ indicator shows a downward trend. At the same time, the momentum indicator is showing an enhancing trend. This evening, it is recommended to focus on rebounds.

Bitcoin is fluctuating between 101800-102500, with support at 100900-100400. #Bitcoin Drops, 290,000 Liquidations#
Ethereum is fluctuating around 3910-3930, with lower support at 3870-3850.

The analysis for the weekend afternoon is as follows:

Last night, the big pancake once again showed strong momentum, successfully breaking through the key resistance level of 100500 and climbing into the first and second pressure zones. Given that today is the weekend, the market volatility is expected to be relatively small. However, it is still necessary to closely monitor the pullback situation, especially paying attention to the key point at 101500. If the price breaks below this level and remains there for more than an hour, it could signal the beginning of a short-term correction. Current support levels below are at 101000, 99800, and 99000. If the four-hour closing price breaks below 101000, the four-hour level may enter a correction phase. Friends must be cautious.

In addition, the one-hour closing position has not yet broken through 101500, indicating that the smaller trend still leans towards the upside. The upper resistance levels continue to focus on 102594, 103655, and 104648.

As for Ethereum, the current four-hour level shows a sideways consolidation pattern, with solid support on the upside at the 3900 line. As long as this support level is not effectively broken, the overall market still tends to go upward. Key resistance levels to watch above are 3982, 4020, and 4088. If the four-hour closing position breaks below 3900, the four-hour level may initiate a correction, with pullback support levels at 3838, 3800, and 3731. #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #BTC☀

Saturday Morning Trading Insights

Analysis shows that Bitcoin is currently in a volatile range, facing resistance at the key level of 102,000, making it difficult to break through in the short term. Attempts last night were unsuccessful, but the momentum remains strong, providing opportunities for short-term trades within the range.

On the technical front, the four-hour Bollinger Bands show an upward movement of the middle band, providing support. Price corrections above this line have received support, without breaking lower. The KDJ indicator is turning upward, indicating that a golden cross is about to form, boosting trader confidence. It’s essential to closely monitor the dynamics of the 102,000 resistance line.

In terms of strategy, it is recommended to buy on dips this weekend to capture potential upward opportunities. Saturday's insights: Bitcoin is in the range of 99,800 to 102,500—focus on high volatility for Bitcoin, while Ethereum should be watched in the range of 3,880 to 4,000.

1. The pullback of altcoins is insufficient, and the upward momentum is lacking. This is why I do not recommend friends to enter the market during this period. The market is flat today.

2. BTC has risen due to positive CPI data, but a V-shaped rebound requires time to consolidate. It is expected that breaking upward in the next 3 to 5 days will be difficult.

3. Intraday strategy recommendation: The rebound of HeYue has a high cost-performance ratio. Currently, I recommend paying attention to the AGRI project led by Goldman Sachs.

4. Daily analysis shows that the market is in a horizontal consolidation phase and requires more momentum to break through. The time window is insufficient, making it difficult for the upward trend to sustain. After an initial surge, it may face downward pressure.

5. ETH and most altcoins have not exceeded previous highs. Yesterday, the market has already shown signs of pulling back. The 4-hour level sharp bottom rebound is a technical retracement, and market recovery requires time. There are many short-term opportunities in daily fluctuations.

6. The probability of BTC breaking upward in the short term (3 to 5 days) is low, and the market trend is similar to March 25, 2023. One should take advantage of the upward opportunity and short at highs.

7. Shorting at highs is more prudent. The short-term resistance level for BTC is between 101650 and 103200, while the support levels are 98750 and 95950. #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

Friday Evening - Weak Rebound May Welcome a Dominant K-Line

This evening, we will share on the following three aspects:
1. Although there was a brief rebound yesterday, it failed to effectively break through and stabilize above the 101000 level, and the overall market rhythm is still defined as a fluctuating and slightly K-line trend.

2. Currently, the factory is facing pressure in the range of 101500 to 100800, while support is located at the 95500 level. We need to be particularly wary of the sharp drop that may occur on Friday.

3. The overnight factory shows a significant bearish line characteristic, and the 4-hour short-term chart also shows a downward trend, with weak rebound strength, and the K-line trend is dominant.

In terms of operational strategy, it is recommended to maintain a single directional rough operation during the Asian and European sessions as soon as a slight rebound occurs.

If Ether cannot stabilize above the 4000 mark, it indicates that a round of liquidation targeting the K-line may occur in the future, so maintain a high K-line.

Please be particularly reminded that Friday evenings often have severe fluctuations, with frequent one-sided movements. It is crucial for everyone to strengthen risk control. If a misjudgment occurs, decisive losses should be cut.

Summary of today's highlights:

1: BTC has recently maintained a high-level consolidation and fluctuating trend, be cautious of risks‼️

2: ETH's 4-hour level lines are all bullish, and breaking through the new high position of 4100 within the year is inevitable.

3: Looking at the funds inflow of $ETH and $BTC into the US ETF in the past ten days, it is clear that ETH is receiving more attention.

4: Currently, ETH is strong, while BTC is relatively weak. As long as BTC does not experience a significant drop, ETH will have to catch up.

5: Six hours ago, when ETH dropped, 3669 ETH were acquired, worth 14.23 million USD, at an average price of 3878 USD. Big players are also engaging in short-term ETH trading, very stable.

6: Japan's interest rate hike expectation has been postponed until March next year, and there will not be significant declines between December and March; buy on dips.

7: The market is betting on a pause in interest rate cuts in January next year, with expectations for hikes possibly delayed until March next year.

8: The altcoin season has already begun, and we will soon welcome the main wave of altcoins. It is likely to end around the end of March.

9: BlackRock is focusing on exploring Bitcoin and Ethereum and will not launch new altcoin ETFs for now, with funds continuing to speculate on ETH.

10: Six hours ago, Trump's World Liberty address increased positions with 1 million USD in $LINK and 247,000 USD in $AAVE, truly impressive.

11: Today's surge in AVA is due to CZ mentioning early investment on X, and that the project is profitable.

Yesterday, Bitcoin and Ethereum showed certain differences in the short-term trend. Bitcoin had been in a state of fluctuation and correction since early morning, until it experienced a surge at 7 PM; however, this momentum did not last and turned downward after midnight. In contrast, Ethereum continued to maintain its upward trend within a small range after a brief adjustment in the early session.

As of this early morning, the two-day upward trend has temporarily come to a halt. The performance of different varieties in the market varies, with some showing a rebound while others continue their daily upward trend. Nevertheless, in the short-term cycle, they all exhibit consistent directionality and timing. It is expected that a brief rebound will occur in the morning, but it may subsequently continue the downward adjustment trend observed in the early hours, with the turning point approximately near yesterday's high.

After two consecutive days of increase, Ethereum is showing signs of diminishing upward momentum and has experienced a correction. In this context, it may be appropriate to participate in the downward adjustment of Silk Road. However, specific operations need to be flexibly adjusted according to the actual situation of the market's decline and to find the next suitable entry position.

For Ethereum, today it is essential to focus on the support situation in the 3700 price range and the potential risk of breaking below it. If the market shows sustained downward movement, we may need to prepare for the weekend's shipping arrangements at a lower position. #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

Friday Morning Market Sharing

Bitcoin has successfully broken through the resistance level of 102,000 early this morning, followed by a pullback, reaching a low around 99,300. Currently, the support at 99,000 is still quite strong. As long as this support level holds, a rebound is likely to occur.

In the four-hour time frame, Bitcoin's momentum continues to show an enhancing trend, with its price trajectory displaying a clear and orderly staircase-like ascending pattern. In terms of support and resistance, the current key support area is solidly positioned around the 99,000 level. If this support level can be effectively consolidated, it indicates the potential for further upward movement.

Regarding resistance, it is essential to closely monitor previous high points and any potential technical pressure levels. Considering the current development trend and the significant strengthening of buyer power, the strategy should lean towards taking positions for a rebound at lower levels.

Trading Suggestions
Bitcoin around 99,000-99,500, target 101,000-102,000.

Thursday Evening Sharing

After the morning big pie climbed to around 101,800, it encountered resistance and then retraced to around 100,300. Based on the morning's analysis, we anticipated this pullback, and Hangqing also dipped to the target level.

From the analysis of the current 4-hour chart structure, the strength of the big pie has increased, but the upward pressure remains significant. In terms of technical indicators, the MACD indicator is showing an upward trend, while the KDJ indicator is gradually turning downward, indicating potential short-term adjustment pressure that the market may face.

Evening Sharing Suggestion
The big pie is expected to retest around 100300-100000, looking towards 101800-102100 around #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

Thursday Afternoon Market Analysis Suggestions

In the morning, the major index surged to around 101800 before facing downward pressure to around 100300. The morning suggestion was to watch for a pullback, which effectively captured a thousand-point range. Subsequently, a short rebound was observed, closing at 998.

Based on the current 4-hour chart analysis, the price shows a certain upward trend, but it faces significant resistance levels above. At the same time, the MACD indicator is showing a positive upward trend, while the KDJ indicator is gradually trending downward. It is essential to closely monitor the resistance level near 102,000, using it as a key reference point for the short term. Turning to the 1-hour chart, the trading volume during the upward movement appears somewhat hesitant, so attention should be focused on the support level around 99,600 to assess its stability and support strength in the short term.

Afternoon suggestions:
Major index around 99500-10000, target around 101300-101800.

The four-hour K-line of Ethereum is currently challenging the ascending line at 3860 and has jumped above the EMA30 line at 3785. The head-and-shoulders bottom pattern has broken through the resistance level of 3750, and the momentum continues. The MACD has ended its contraction, with the DIF and DEA showing a golden cross. The Bollinger Bands' downward expansion is being hindered, and the K-line has broken above the middle track at 3780, which is expected to consolidate before continuing to rise.

Short-term recommendation:
In the 3900-3930 range, defend 50 points, target 3800-3750; if broken, look at 3700-3650.
For the low range of 3550-3600, defend 50 points, target 3790-3850; if broken, look at 3900-3950. #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

The current price comparison is still in a critical period of consolidation and washout, indicating that the expected pullback trend will not immediately manifest, and the structural adjustment of the pullback has not yet reached its final stage, requiring time to gradually complete this necessary adjustment process.

In the evening observation, the price comparison hovers within a narrow range of 99,500 to 100,000, which is a suitable range for adopting a waiting strategy while anticipating pullback opportunities. The initially set downward target for short-term operations is at the 96,500 level.

On the other hand, Ethereum exhibited significant rebound momentum after hitting the key support level of 3,500 yesterday. Currently, its overall upward trend remains robust, and it is expected to challenge and break through the psychological and technical resistance level of 3,800. In light of this, the recommendation for Ethereum is to implement the waiting strategy in the higher range of 3,850 to 3,900, maintaining patience and waiting for a more mature opportunity to achieve more ideal results. #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

At 21:30 tonight, the year-on-year CPI for the end of November will be officially announced.

The current factory environment is extremely sensitive, and the market is in a fierce game of strategy, where even minor changes in macroeconomic data can have significant impacts, leading to considerable volatility.

Given this, the occurrence of 'instant fluctuations' tonight has almost become a foregone conclusion, and this is undoubtedly an important moment that must be monitored.

Based on in-depth historical data analysis and macroeconomic forecasts,
there is a high probability that the upward trend will continue tonight. Therefore, it is recommended to closely monitor the data release situation, keep up with developments, and formulate reasonable plans accordingly #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

Wednesday afternoon's insights on the航晴.
Recently, the Silk Road has mainly focused on the 100,000 high k布橘. Observing the short-term trend, the high points have shown a gradual downward trend, with yesterday's high point at the 98,500 level. It is expected to remain near this range today.

Currently, the视厂 has shown a spreading trend, and the significant correction in the short term has not yet ended. It is expected to continue to explore downwards and is likely to approach the previous key support level again. The rebound at this stage should be seen as a good opportunity for high-level selling, rather than a time for blind chasing of highs. It is advisable to avoid risky behaviors at high points. Within the day, the视厂 is expected to primarily fluctuate, with a volatility range of approximately 1,000 points, which also provides friends with a very good accumulation opportunity. One should grasp the high k布 and low 多, both having potential space.

At this stage, the视厂 may undergo a certain degree of fluctuation around this support level. The CPI data will be released at 9:30 PM tonight, and friends need to pay close attention and carefully assess potential risks. On the strategy of accumulating, it is recommended that in the afternoon, if the视厂 shows a rebound and approaches the resistance level, one can consider following the high单, while setting a support level at 93,500. After confirming the support is effective with a retest, one can then consider following the多头. #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #BTC☀

#Blockchain [Super Topic]#
The night market for Bitcoin has frequently shown signs of indecision, indicating fierce competition to avoid risks. It is advisable to adopt a cautious strategy and enter the market with defensive measures.

The effective rebound of Bitcoin depends on breaking through and stabilizing above the 97,800 point, to fill the one-hour correction gap from midnight. Otherwise, the breakout signal may be false. The four-hour chart shows frequent lower shadows but lacks subsequent support. Although there is activity, momentum is insufficient, especially after 4 a.m. when liquidity is low. This is undoubtedly the result of institutional manipulation or liquidation by major players. Regardless of market fluctuations, one should adhere to principles.

On the daily chart, the price range is between 94,000 and 98,300, with bears in control. The KDJ indicator has turned downward from a high position, and there are no bottom signals in the lower mid-range, suggesting that there is still considerable downside potential. The MACD shows stable emotions, but the price has fallen below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, increasing buying pressure as prices slowly rebound while showing indecision.

In summary, Bitcoin is expected to rebound to the Bollinger Bands' middle track in the 97,300-98,000 range. The short-term chart shows long upper shadows and significant selling pressure, so entry should be cautious with defensive measures. Overall, the trend is primarily around this range, allowing for flexible trading.

Bitcoin: Short at 97,600-97,800, target 96,000-94,000, with a stop at 98,500 #Bitcoin Dives, 290,000 Liquidations#