The daily Bollinger Band channel is gradually widening, and the lower track has obviously deviated from EMA80, indicating that the potential space below is being released. The current K-line encounters strong resistance from the middle track, which constitutes an ideal opportunity for short sellers to enter the market, while the defensive strategy can set the upper track as a safe limit. The first attempt to converge the fast and slow lines failed, and instead showed a divergent trend, adding momentum to the continued growth of the short forces. Therefore, the overall idea remains unchanged to retreat and short, waiting for a good opportunity. #阿根廷总统MEME币争议 #CardanoETF讨论 #地缘政治对比特币的影响

In the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are in a continuous downtrend, with the upper band significantly pressing down and closely coinciding with the EMA80, indicating a potential further decline within the day, approaching the EMA60 level. The current candlestick is once again facing resistance at the middle band, and the MACD indicator shows a contraction below the zero line, with the fast and slow lines converging for the first time. It is worth noting that once it approaches the zero line area, a reversal opportunity may arise, making it appropriate to open a short position at the right time.

Switching to the daily level, the Bollinger Bands channel is gradually widening, and the lower band is diverging from the EMA80, revealing that the downward space is gradually being released. The current candlestick is facing pressure from the middle band above, which constitutes an ideal entry point for short sellers, and a defensive strategy could set the upper band as a reference. It is important to note that the fast and slow lines show signs of divergence after failing to converge for the first time, indicating that bearish momentum is likely to continue. Therefore, the overall strategy still focuses on shorting during pullbacks, with the strategy remaining unchanged.

#阿根廷总统MEME币争议 #CardanoETF讨论 #地缘政治对比特币的影响

According to the current market, after a long period of consolidation, Bitcoin has slightly risen in the evening, but it has not been sustained due to lack of volume support. It has now fallen back to around 95,500 for oscillation adjustment. From the analysis of the four-hour chart, Bitcoin's upward exploration encountered strong resistance at the middle track position and was beaten back to its original shape. The short-selling force gradually increased, showing a further downward trend. Therefore, when planning at midnight, we should follow the trend and adopt a high-altitude strategy.

Bitcoin can be shorted at 95,500-95,800, with a target of around 94,000

Ethereum can be shorted at 2740-2760, with a target of around 2600#阿根廷总统MEME币争议 #CardanoETF讨论 #地缘政治对比特币的影响

The afternoon provided a short-selling strategy that has been reaffirmed. The recent market conditions are also easily manageable. This market situation is the best time to accumulate positions. If you are not confident in your own judgment, I am here to wish you a helping hand.

The cryptocurrency market has recently shown the following new trends:

Price Trends and Market Sentiment

- Increased Price Volatility: Bitcoin's price once dipped to $98,300 and then rebounded to over $100,000, while mainstream coins like Ethereum and Solana also experienced significant declines.

- Complex Market Sentiment: BCA Research believes that the surge in meme coins indicates excessive optimism in the market and advises investors to take profits. However, some institutions and investors remain optimistic about the long-term prospects of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, predicting that Bitcoin may reach $200,000 by the end of the year.

Policies and Institutional Movements

- Intensifying Discussion on Government Reserves: Reports suggest that the U.S. may establish a national Bitcoin reserve, with more attention being paid to governments' attitudes and actions towards Bitcoin. The potential trend of establishing strategic Bitcoin reserves indicates that Bitcoin is viewed as a strategic component of national reserves.

- Continuous Impact of ETFs: Bitcoin ETFs, set to launch in 2024, have attracted significant funds, and the “crazy cryptocurrency ETF application frenzy” continues into 2025, including applications for cryptocurrencies related to Solana and Ripple networks, as well as meme coins.

Technological and Application Development

- Rise of Decentralized Trading: Decentralized exchanges (DEX) have become an important part of the digital currency market. For example, the XBIT decentralized exchange has established a strategic partnership with Trump coin, providing an ideal platform for meme coin trading.

- Outstanding Performance of the SOL Chain: Data from exchanges on the Solana chain shows that SOL has seen a significant increase recently, leading ETH in DEX trading volume for four consecutive months, and is expected to become the second largest cryptocurrency in the future.

Performance of Emerging Coins

- Sustained Popularity of Meme Coins: Meme coins represented by Trump coin are gaining attention, and the XBIT decentralized exchange is pursuing diversified development, with mainstream meme coins like Dogecoin and SHIB experiencing varying degrees of increase.

#阿根廷总统MEME币争议 #CardanoETF讨论 #地缘政治对比特币的影响 - Bitcoin fluctuates at a high level: Bitcoin prices fluctuate violently, once rising to $110,000 per coin, and then adjusted back, fluctuating above the $90,000 mark.

- Meme coins are popular but risky: Meme coins have exploded due to factors such as celebrity effects, such as Dogecoin, which rose 17.13% in the past 7 days, bonk coin, which rose 43% in the past 7 days, and Fartcoin, which rose 194.34%. However, Meme coins often lack intrinsic value, are greatly affected by online public opinion, and their prices are extremely unstable.

- Ethereum's long and short factors are intertwined: Ethereum's price broke through $2,699.59, but there is a phenomenon of volume-price divergence. The William indicator shows that it is in an overbought state, and there is a risk of correction or sideways consolidation in the short term. However, its technical improvements such as the Pectra upgrade plan are expected to provide support for long-term value.

Market sentiment and capital flow

- Market sentiment is cautiously optimistic: On the one hand, the surge in meme coins and record inflows of Bitcoin ETF funds indicate that the market is overly optimistic; on the other hand, institutions such as BCA Research remind investors that they may be close to the top and need to take profits and wait for a better entry point, which shows the market's cautious attitude.

- Institutional funds continue to flow in: Bitcoin ETF attracted $40 billion in new funds in 2024, and institutional discussions on cryptocurrencies continued, showing that institutional investors still have a high degree of attention to the virtual currency market.

Technology and ecological development

- The public chain has a good development momentum: For example, the number of addresses with balances on the Tron network has exceeded 125 million, showing the vigorous vitality of the Tron network. It provides users with a safe, efficient and transparent digital asset trading platform by continuously optimizing technology and improving user experience.

- The trend of technological integration is obvious: The integration of artificial intelligence and blockchain technology is accelerating. The meme coin Goatseus Maximus launched by artificial intelligence robots will appear at the end of 2024, and more complex artificial intelligence applications may subvert the existing system in 2025.

Monday is Presidents' Day in the United States, so the US stock market will not be open on Monday. There are no very critical macro data this week, which means the macroeconomic factors will have a lower impact on the market, allowing for a market correction.

The data to look forward to this week includes:

Thursday's Federal Reserve January meeting minutes: To be released in the early hours of Thursday Beijing time, the market will look for clues regarding the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy, focusing on officials' views on tariffs, whether they maintain a hawkish stance, and their attitudes towards inflation and interest rate cuts, which may affect market expectations for the dollar and monetary policy.

Friday evening's University of Michigan inflation forecast: To be released Friday evening, its one-year inflation expectation data significantly impacts the market. If the data rises, it could strengthen inflation concerns, impacting Federal Reserve monetary policy expectations and subsequently affecting financial markets; if it falls, it may alleviate market concerns about inflation.#阿根廷总统MEME币争议 #BNBChainMeme热潮 #加密货币普及

As of February 17, 2025, 08:37, there is currently no definitive news indicating a significant pullback in Bitcoin this morning. According to Yinhui Finance data, the real-time data for Bitcoin against the Australian Dollar at 06:09:15 on February 17 is 155,217.4 AUD, up 2,819.6 AUD from the previous trading day, an increase of 1.85%, with the daily range between 152,729.9 and 156,338.6 AUD.

Recently, the price trend of Bitcoin is as follows:

- After the release of U.S. inflation data on February 12, Bitcoin briefly fell below 95,000 USD, with a 24-hour decline of 2.65%, but quickly rebounded to 95,924.35 USD.

- Previously, Bitcoin's price was in a consolidation phase above the 95,000 USD support area, first breaking below the 95,000 USD support level, dropping to a low of 94,111 USD, and then rebounding, breaking through 95,000 USD and 96,000 USD, also surpassing the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and the 96,000 USD resistance level, later staying above 96,500 USD, the 100-hour moving average, and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. #阿根廷总统MEME币争议 #BNBChainMeme热潮 #加密货币普及

The latest market trend of Bitcoin presents multi-dimensional characteristics, specifically as follows:

Price Trends

- Short-term Fluctuations: As of February 15, 2025, Bitcoin's price shows a volatile upward trend. The 4-hour K-line on February 6 indicates that the price broke through the high of $101,880, but trading volume simultaneously decreased, suggesting a weakening of upward momentum. On February 14, the price retreated from January's peak of $109,000 to the range of $96,000, indicating significant short-term correction and volatility, with the current support level around $95,000 and resistance level at $101,644.

- Long-term Expectations: From a long-term perspective, there are bullish signals in the Bitcoin ecosystem. The fourth Bitcoin halving in April 2024 has driven expectations of supply tightening, coupled with increasing demand. Analysts predict that Bitcoin's price may surpass $150,000 by 2025, and even challenge $280,000.

Market Sentiment

- Divergent Investor Attitudes: Technical analysts firmly believe that Bitcoin will break historical highs, and some investors are convinced of this, increasing their investment in Bitcoin; however, some investors remain cautious, believing that market uncertainty is still high, resulting in an overall market sentiment that is both excited and cautious.

Influencing Factors

- Macroeconomic Aspects: The US dollar index has risen to 108, reinforcing the narrative of Bitcoin as 'digital gold.' However, the Federal Reserve's expectation of interest rate cuts is only once (mid-2024), and if inflation rebounds or a debt crisis (US debt exceeds $36 trillion) escalates, it may trigger a divergence in market risk-averse sentiment.

- Regulatory Policies: Several jurisdictions worldwide are tightening their regulatory policies on cryptocurrencies. For instance, El Salvador has quietly passed reforms to the 'Bitcoin Law,' no longer recognizing Bitcoin as official currency, which has somewhat suppressed short-term speculative behavior.

- Technological Development: The Lightning Network capacity has increased to 5,500 BTC, and the Ordinals protocol has driven an explosion in the Bitcoin NFT ecosystem, enhancing both transaction efficiency and application scenarios, which is beneficial for the long-term development of Bitcoin.

Recent market trends of Bitcoin exhibit the following characteristics:

Price Volatility

- Short-term correction trend: On February 15, 2025, the price of Bitcoin was $96,346.4, having retreated from its peak of $101,880 on February 6. There has also been a certain degree of decline from January 2025's peak of $109,000.

- Range fluctuation characteristics: The current price of Bitcoin is fluctuating between a support level of around $95,000 and a resistance level of around $101,600.

Influencing Factors Analysis

- Macroeconomic aspect: Stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation data and Trump's tariff policy have intensified market risk aversion, leading to some capital outflow from the cryptocurrency market. Although weak U.S. non-farm data has increased market volatility, the U.S. dollar index has risen to 108, further reinforcing Bitcoin's narrative as "digital gold."

- Regulatory policy aspect: Stricter regulatory policies for cryptocurrencies in various jurisdictions worldwide have suppressed short-term speculative behavior. El Salvador discreetly reformed the "Bitcoin Law," no longer recognizing Bitcoin as official currency, which has also affected market sentiment to some extent.

- Technological development aspect: The implementation of scaling technologies such as the Lightning Network has improved Bitcoin's trading efficiency and practicality, while the Ordinals protocol has driven the explosion of the Bitcoin NFT ecosystem. However, advancements in Google's quantum computing may threaten Bitcoin's encryption algorithms, presenting technical risks.

- Market capital aspect: Institutional investors continue to enter the market, with Bitcoin ETF assets managed by institutions like BlackRock exceeding 1.1 million BTC, accounting for over 5% of the market circulation, providing strong support for Bitcoin's price.

Future Trend Expectations

- Optimistic scenario: If institutional funds continue to flow in and regulatory policies are implemented, Bitcoin may reach $150,000 in the first half of 2025 and could challenge $280,000 by the end of the year.

- Conservative scenario: Macroeconomic fluctuations or ineffective policy implementation may lead to a price correction to the $82,000-$85,000 range. #BNBChainMeme热潮 #加密货币普及 #XRP看涨还是看跌？

Bitcoin Weekend Consolidation, Subsequent Operations Focused on Long Positions

The just-passed weekend saw the Bitcoin market displaying a striking consolidation pattern, with price fluctuations compressed within a very narrow range. Beneath this seemingly calm surface lies a clear signal for subsequent operations to focus on long positions.

From a technical analysis perspective, various indicators provide strong support for a long strategy. On the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands are continuing to narrow, which is a strong signal that the market is about to choose a direction. Currently, the Bitcoin price is steadily running close to the upper middle band of the Bollinger Bands, indicating that bullish forces are quietly accumulating. At the same time, although the MACD histogram has shortened above the zero line, it still maintains positive values, showing that the bullish advantage has not been broken; it has merely adjusted during the consolidation phase. More importantly, the KDJ indicator has formed a golden cross near the oversold area, which is usually a strong signal for a short-term market rebound, further confirming the potential explosion of bullish forces.

From the perspective of market supply and demand, the reasons for going long are also quite sufficient. During the weekend consolidation, on-chain data for Bitcoin shows an increase in large transfers, most of which are from exchange wallets to personal wallets, indicating that a large amount of capital is quietly hoarding Bitcoin. This hoarding behavior reduces the circulation of Bitcoin in the market, and with demand remaining unchanged or even increasing, a reduction in supply will inevitably drive prices up. Furthermore, as the infrastructure of the cryptocurrency market continues to improve, more and more institutional investors are beginning to pay attention to Bitcoin, and their entry will bring a substantial amount of capital, providing ample momentum for Bitcoin's price increase.

From the macroeconomic environment perspective, the global economy is still in the recovery phase, with inflationary pressures persisting. Against this background, Bitcoin, as a digital asset with anti-inflationary properties, has garnered increasing favor from investors. The uncertainty in traditional financial markets is causing capital to flow into the cryptocurrency market, and Bitcoin, as the leading variety, naturally becomes the primary target for capital inflows. This macroeconomic environment provides strong support for the long-term rise in Bitcoin prices.

#BNBChainMeme热潮 #CZ的“西兰花”梗 #加密货币普及 Bitcoin sideways over the weekend: a delicate balance between long and short markets

Over the past weekend, the Bitcoin market showed an eye-catching sideways trend, with trading prices fluctuating in a relatively narrow range, like undercurrents surging under a calm lake, attracting the attention of global investors and cryptocurrency enthusiasts.

From the perspective of technical indicators, during the weekend, the Bollinger Bands indicator at the daily level of Bitcoin gradually narrowed, indicating that the volatility of the market continued to narrow. Prices hovered around the moving average, and the short-term moving average and the medium-term moving average intertwined, forming a delicate entanglement, reflecting that the forces of both long and short sides have temporarily reached a relative balance at this stage.

Behind this sideways phenomenon, there are complex market factors. On the one hand, the uncertainty of the macroeconomic environment is still an important factor affecting the trend of Bitcoin. The monetary policy direction of major economies in the world is still unclear, and the fluctuations in inflation data make investors more cautious in asset allocation. As an emerging investment category with certain hedging properties, Bitcoin has attracted the attention of traditional hedging funds, but also faces the risk of capital withdrawal under the pressure of economic downturn.

On the other hand, the dynamics within the cryptocurrency market are also affecting the performance of Bitcoin. Recently, some emerging crypto projects have emerged, attracting some capital diversion. However, as the leader of the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin still has obvious advantages in market recognition and liquidity, which has also led some investors to choose to continue holding Bitcoin during the sideways period, waiting for the market direction to be further clarified.

For investors, Bitcoin's sideways trend brings both challenges and opportunities. During the sideways period, trading opportunities are relatively reduced and the market lacks a clear trend, which puts higher demands on investors' patience and trading strategies. However, this calm market state also provides investors with an opportunity to re-examine their investment portfolios and adjust their positions. Investors who have keen insight and deep research into the market may be able to find potential investment opportunities in this delicate balance and prepare for future market fluctuations.

Yesterday morning, the big pancake broke through short-term constraints all at once, showcasing the strength of the bulls, with the high point approaching the 99000 mark. Today, the market's focus will be on whether the price can return to and stabilize above the daily mid-line, using this as an opportunity to hope for a trend reversal. Currently, 99000 constitutes an important resistance barrier; if it cannot be successfully crossed, the market may continue to decline amidst fluctuations. In terms of operations, it is recommended to adopt a flexible strategy, first cautiously probing, and then waiting for the right moment to act. #BNBChainMeme热潮 #CZ的“西兰花”梗 #加密货币普及

Friday summary. Today, I didn't repeat the emphasis on long first and short later. The long positions we arranged in advance were also given as scheduled in the evening. Then, according to our thinking, we treated them with high altitude and took nearly 1,000 points of space again. We found that the prediction of a single direction is not so important. Grasping the rhythm of entering and exiting the market is the focus of recent attention. This week's price comparison also provides us with a good space.

Based on the current market observation, the upward trend of the pancake provides us with an opportunity to capture the opportunity to go short. Since the afternoon, signs of pressure from above have appeared, and 97,500 has become our decisive entry point for short positions. At present, the strength of the positive line is gradually converging, and the bullish momentum has obviously declined. If the price of 97,000 is difficult to stabilize, the downward trend of the currency price is almost certain. From the hourly chart, the short-selling force is ready to go. Once there are signs of rebound in the evening, it will be the best time for us to arrange short positions again.

Bitcoin can be shorted at 97000-97300, with a target of around 95000

Ether can be shorted at 2750-2760, with a target of around 2600

#BNBChainMeme热潮 #CZ的“西兰花”梗 #加密货币普及

From the current four-hour chart, the market continues to oscillate within a descending channel, making it seem difficult to break through the 100,000 mark in the short term. The upper and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands still play a key role in providing support and resistance, while the candlestick is hovering around the middle band, ultimately closing with a bearish candle, indicating that the market is undergoing a necessary adjustment and consolidation phase. Therefore, the evening strategy suggests focusing on high-level pullbacks while being ready to establish short positions at lower levels.

You can short Bitcoin at 97,000-97,300, targeting around 95,000.

You can short Ethereum at 2,710-2,730, targeting around 2,600.

#BNBChainMeme热潮 #CZ的“西兰花”梗 #加密货币普及

Bitcoin 1-hour K-line trajectory, the coin value is like a butterfly breaking out of its cocoon, gracefully rising from the lower edge of the Bollinger Band to the upper edge, gently touching the pressure barrier of the upper band. At this moment, the focus is on whether the coin value can break through this heavy pressure; although the bullish trend is evident, future movements may tend to stabilize. Looking at the 4-hour K-line chart, the coin value has already jumped above the middle track of the Bollinger Band, and the resistance point above is vaguely appearing around the 98500 point area. For those eager to act, a short-term long strategy may be adopted first. The overall operational strategy should be to short high and long low, with an emphasis on bearish layout!

Bitcoin can be shorted at 97000-97300, targeting around 95000.

Ethereum can be shorted at 2710-2730, targeting near 2600.

#BNB持续上涨 #CZ的“西兰花”梗 #加密货币普及

From the 1-hour candlestick chart of Bitcoin, we observe that the price is like the dawn light, steadily climbing from the lower Bollinger Band to the edge of the upper band, gently touching the upper band and testing the resistance above. Although the bullish trend is evident, its ascent seems steady rather than hurried. Turning to the 4-hour candlestick chart, the price has, like a butterfly emerging from its cocoon, gracefully soared above the middle Bollinger Band, with the pressure level above faintly visible around 98500 points. For those eager to position themselves, it might be worthwhile to cautiously test a short-long strategy, but it is important to remember that the overall layout should still be dominated by a high short strategy. For those with exceptional courage and an aggressive style, it may be wise to initially position long orders and, when the opportunity arises, flexibly reverse to short, capturing more opportunities in the unpredictable market.

Bitcoin can be shorted at 97000-97300, targeting around 95000.

Ethereum can be shorted at 2710-2730, targeting close to 2600.

#美国加征关税 #开通交易实盘认证 #币安Alpha上新

After a short upward trend, the market fell back again, and the current market is trapped in a clear range of fluctuations. The fluctuation range of Bitcoin exceeded 4,000 points, and Ethereum was not much better, with a fluctuation range of more than 250 points. In the MACD indicator, the red energy column is quietly shrinking, and the KDJ pattern has shown a golden cross. At the same time, the three lines of Bias slowly gathered downward, indicating that the downward momentum is gradually increasing. Therefore, today's operation strategy should be based on high altitude. #BNBChainMeme热潮 #市场清算 #XRP看涨还是看跌？

Although the bitcoin market has experienced a dramatic V-shaped reversal, after an in-depth analysis of the overall market structure, it is not difficult to find that the current market still reveals a weak trend. This rebound is more like brewing strength for the upcoming next round of decline. From the four-hour technical chart, the price has always been hovering in a clear downward channel, and this rebound encountered strong resistance when it touched the upper edge of the channel and quickly fell back, which further confirmed the effectiveness of the resistance level. It is worth noting that the current currency price is close to the key resistance level of the upper track of the channel, with only a narrow space left. This technical rebound is more likely to be building a "short trap" to accumulate potential for subsequent price breakouts. Therefore, it is recommended to use high-altitude strategies as the main intraday operation, pay close attention to the pressure performance of prices near the upper track of the channel, and wait for opportunities to arrange short orders in order to capture potential downside space. At the same time, any pullback in the market should continue to pay attention to whether it can break through the resistance formed by the previous high point.

Bitcoin can be shorted at 97800-98000, with a target of around 95000

Ether can be shorted at 2750-2760, with a target of around 2600

#BNBChainMeme热潮 #加密市场反弹 #代币储备

On the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands downward channel is stable, and the K-line keeps falling close to the lower track. Occasionally, there are rebounds, but they are firmly suppressed by the short-selling force, showing a distinct weak trend. At present, the price ratio and the moving average are both hovering at low levels, without any signs of a strong rebound, and the overall trend is firmly controlled by the short-selling. The MACD indicator's dead cross pattern continues, and the short-selling signal is clear. Therefore, in terms of operating strategy, we should firmly implement rebound shorting, while keeping a close eye on the short-term key resistance level of 97,000. If it fails to be effectively broken, the short-selling forces will continue to exert pressure and push the market to continue the downward trend.

Cake can be shorted at 96,000-96,300, with a target near 94,000

Ether can be shorted at 2,630-2,650, with a target near 2,500

#代币储备 #CPI数据来袭 #山寨季何时到来？