多余的鱼
所有的游戏都有生命周期请有目的地投资利润就是利润始终有一个合理且可敬的获利点
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In the world of crypto dreams, one small wish stands out —
A child’s dream of becoming a billionaire.
What is your crypto wish?
#BTC
A child’s dream of becoming a billionaire.
What is your crypto wish?
#BTC
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Now that the market has risen, everyone is shouting about a bull market. I believe that the bull market has not yet arrived; there will be another round of correction, with Bitcoin dropping to between 80,000 and 90,000 dollars in May, continuing until next month. After June, I expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, which will ignite the bull market. This round of the bull market will truly begin.
This is purely a personal opinion, whether it's right or wrong
#牛市进行中… #BLINKY #BTC
This is purely a personal opinion, whether it's right or wrong
#牛市进行中… #BLINKY #BTC
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What changes will Ethereum undergo after the Pectra upgrade?
The largest upgrade to Ethereum so far went live on Wednesday morning, streamlining the blockchain's cumbersome user experience, which has long been seen as a barrier to its widespread adoption.
The upgrade named Pectra was officially launched just after 10 AM London time on Wednesday.
In recent years, Ethereum's annual upgrade cycle has brought significant changes.
In 2022, a significant upgrade called 'The Merge' changed Ethereum's consensus mechanism, expected to reduce the blockchain's energy consumption by 99%.
It achieved this by changing how Ethereum approves transactions and adds them to the chain, replacing the original Bitcoin-like method with another called 'staking.' In the staking mechanism, users lock up their Ethereum in exchange for a small annual reward, thereby securing the network.
The upgrade named Pectra was officially launched just after 10 AM London time on Wednesday.
In recent years, Ethereum's annual upgrade cycle has brought significant changes.
In 2022, a significant upgrade called 'The Merge' changed Ethereum's consensus mechanism, expected to reduce the blockchain's energy consumption by 99%.
It achieved this by changing how Ethereum approves transactions and adds them to the chain, replacing the original Bitcoin-like method with another called 'staking.' In the staking mechanism, users lock up their Ethereum in exchange for a small annual reward, thereby securing the network.
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传统四年牛熊周期已经不在了，替代的是一个10年周期的超级慢牛，
我对 BTC 大势的判断是传统四年牛熊周期已经不在了，替代的是一个10年周期的超级慢牛，
1．两个大户微策略和 ETF 共持有100万个比特币，从11万跌下来到7万多，他们95％的 BTC 都在，长期持仓抗通胀的意图明显，这是短期跌不到7万以下的主要原因。
2．所有技术面都支持 BTC 下跌50%，山寨都到脚脖子了， BTC 跌不动，不跌就得涨，牛市没走完。
3．贝莱德 CEO 说，接下来10年是比特币的净采用期。各家机构的比特币仓位极低，平均低于1%，都在缓慢逢低建仓，也符合牛还在的推断。
4. BTC 本次牛市涨的少，回调时自然跌的少，这是华尔街希望看到的比特币的样子，像美股一样的慢牛。
5．比特币今年或明年应该是可以看到20-25万。
6．山寨牛市本质是纯资金推动型，投资者在比特币上获利，高位抛售比特币后，资金无去处，全涌入涨幅低抛压小的山寨币和新币市场，但是本次比特币涨到11万，获利比以往少，所以资金流去山寨的也少，造成了去年山寨就冲了那么一把就走熊了。
7．可以预见，比特币涨到15-20万时，资金高位平仓后会继续进入山寨币，推动山寨形成以往的高倍牛市。
#BLINKY #山
1．两个大户微策略和 ETF 共持有100万个比特币，从11万跌下来到7万多，他们95％的 BTC 都在，长期持仓抗通胀的意图明显，这是短期跌不到7万以下的主要原因。
2．所有技术面都支持 BTC 下跌50%，山寨都到脚脖子了， BTC 跌不动，不跌就得涨，牛市没走完。
3．贝莱德 CEO 说，接下来10年是比特币的净采用期。各家机构的比特币仓位极低，平均低于1%，都在缓慢逢低建仓，也符合牛还在的推断。
4. BTC 本次牛市涨的少，回调时自然跌的少，这是华尔街希望看到的比特币的样子，像美股一样的慢牛。
5．比特币今年或明年应该是可以看到20-25万。
6．山寨牛市本质是纯资金推动型，投资者在比特币上获利，高位抛售比特币后，资金无去处，全涌入涨幅低抛压小的山寨币和新币市场，但是本次比特币涨到11万，获利比以往少，所以资金流去山寨的也少，造成了去年山寨就冲了那么一把就走熊了。
7．可以预见，比特币涨到15-20万时，资金高位平仓后会继续进入山寨币，推动山寨形成以往的高倍牛市。
#BLINKY #山
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The 10th anniversary of Ethereum's genesis block is about to ignite a global celebration!
The Ethereum Foundation recently announced that the Ethereum network is approaching a historically significant moment—the 10th anniversary of its genesis block, specifically on July 30, 2025, at 23:26:13. This milestone not only marks Ethereum's evolution from a testing ground for blockchain technology innovation to a global leader in smart contract platforms but also witnesses its ecosystem's transformation from an early geek community to a vast network encompassing diverse groups such as developers, enterprise users, and investors.
In response to the enthusiasm for participation from the global community, the Foundation will launch the 'Global 10th Anniversary Celebration Plan,' with core content including:
• Global offline gathering collaboration: The Foundation will partner with core community organizations in various regions to host main venue activities, while also opening permissions to encourage communities, developer groups, or users from any region globally to independently plan their own celebration events, including formats such as technical seminars, ecosystem exhibitions, hackathons, themed parties, etc.
• Funding support mechanism: Through the Ecosystem Support Program (ESP), funding will be provided for eligible activities, with a maximum of $500 available for each event to cover basic expenses such as venue rental, material production, online streaming, etc., aimed at lowering the participation threshold for grassroots communities.
• Application timeline: All funding applications must be submitted through official channels of the Foundation by June 15, 2025. Projects that pass the review will receive funding in early July to ensure smooth preparation for the events.
This celebration is seen as a concentrated display of the cohesion of the Ethereum ecosystem. Since the launch of the genesis block in 2015, Ethereum has undergone key upgrades, including the transformation from PoW to PoS consensus mechanism and the implementation of Layer 2 scaling solutions, currently hosting over 3,000 DApps and on-chain assets valued in the hundreds of billions of dollars. The Foundation hopes that through this global coordination, it will further stimulate community innovation and lay the foundation for technological iteration and ecological expansion in the next decade.
#以太坊的未来 #比特币市值排名 #BLINKY
The Ethereum Foundation recently announced that the Ethereum network is approaching a historically significant moment—the 10th anniversary of its genesis block, specifically on July 30, 2025, at 23:26:13. This milestone not only marks Ethereum's evolution from a testing ground for blockchain technology innovation to a global leader in smart contract platforms but also witnesses its ecosystem's transformation from an early geek community to a vast network encompassing diverse groups such as developers, enterprise users, and investors.
In response to the enthusiasm for participation from the global community, the Foundation will launch the 'Global 10th Anniversary Celebration Plan,' with core content including:
• Global offline gathering collaboration: The Foundation will partner with core community organizations in various regions to host main venue activities, while also opening permissions to encourage communities, developer groups, or users from any region globally to independently plan their own celebration events, including formats such as technical seminars, ecosystem exhibitions, hackathons, themed parties, etc.
• Funding support mechanism: Through the Ecosystem Support Program (ESP), funding will be provided for eligible activities, with a maximum of $500 available for each event to cover basic expenses such as venue rental, material production, online streaming, etc., aimed at lowering the participation threshold for grassroots communities.
• Application timeline: All funding applications must be submitted through official channels of the Foundation by June 15, 2025. Projects that pass the review will receive funding in early July to ensure smooth preparation for the events.
This celebration is seen as a concentrated display of the cohesion of the Ethereum ecosystem. Since the launch of the genesis block in 2015, Ethereum has undergone key upgrades, including the transformation from PoW to PoS consensus mechanism and the implementation of Layer 2 scaling solutions, currently hosting over 3,000 DApps and on-chain assets valued in the hundreds of billions of dollars. The Foundation hopes that through this global coordination, it will further stimulate community innovation and lay the foundation for technological iteration and ecological expansion in the next decade.
#以太坊的未来 #比特币市值排名 #BLINKY
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There is no free lunch in this world.
Recently, I keep seeing a group of people crazily reposting 'the myth of getting rich in the universe', saying that registering gives you 100 coins and inviting people allows you to lie back and earn millions.
As an old hand who has been in the coin circle for many years, today I’m going to break it down and chat with everyone about whether this thing is a gold mine or a pit.
1. The pie that falls from the sky has hooks.
In the past two years, there have been quite a few ways to make money online—getting paid for walking, cashback for watching ads, mining for coins, making it look like a supermarket promotion.
But as the old saying goes, you see the interest from others, but they are eyeing your principal! These flashy 'money-making' projects are, to put it bluntly, just repackaged 'scallions harvesting machines'.
As an old hand who has been in the coin circle for many years, today I’m going to break it down and chat with everyone about whether this thing is a gold mine or a pit.
1. The pie that falls from the sky has hooks.
In the past two years, there have been quite a few ways to make money online—getting paid for walking, cashback for watching ads, mining for coins, making it look like a supermarket promotion.
But as the old saying goes, you see the interest from others, but they are eyeing your principal! These flashy 'money-making' projects are, to put it bluntly, just repackaged 'scallions harvesting machines'.
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How will various tracks in the cryptocurrency industry develop under market reshuffling?
1. The core of cryptocurrency is the monetary trajectory in its current form. The role of blockchain for currency/assets is like the role of the internet for information, with the consequence that speculative activities remain the primary application scenario in the industry.
Although the speed and scale of speculative behavior will fluctuate, the most significant outcomes (and the largest sources of income) in this field will still come from speculation and the derived secondary application scenarios, such as lending, derivatives, brokerage traders, etc.
2. With Circle submitting its IPO application, the stablecoin track may be approaching its peak stage. In my opinion, interest rate cuts will become another domino effect impacting this field. Considering the dual pressures of channel moats and regulatory challenges, the next significant opportunity for stablecoins may not be so explosive.
Although the speed and scale of speculative behavior will fluctuate, the most significant outcomes (and the largest sources of income) in this field will still come from speculation and the derived secondary application scenarios, such as lending, derivatives, brokerage traders, etc.
2. With Circle submitting its IPO application, the stablecoin track may be approaching its peak stage. In my opinion, interest rate cuts will become another domino effect impacting this field. Considering the dual pressures of channel moats and regulatory challenges, the next significant opportunity for stablecoins may not be so explosive.
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Before Trump took office, everyone hoped that Biden would step down soon because Trump is the president who supports cryptocurrency. When Trump took office, the spring of the crypto world arrived, but after he took office, oh my, this is not a crypto president at all, this is simply a vegetable harvesting machine 🥹 Are people now missing Biden again? 😂
#BLINKY #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税
#BLINKY #加密市场回调 #美国加征关税
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70%~80%的账户已近乎归零,币圈已经没人玩了 某交易所的人透露, 相较于半年前，有70%~80%的账户已近乎归零进入死户状态, 新增用户数在川普发币后直线拉升到达巅峰后又急剧暴跌，现在只有巅峰时的2%。短短半年，近80%的散户已经阵亡。
这就是为什么头部交易所都急了，老板亲自下场活跃市场(垂死挣扎)，没用户了，比大A还狠!排名前十的稳定币交易量已降至去年 12 月牛市水平的四分之一,创下 7 年新低。该死的川普，抽干了币圈的流动性，刺破了币圈的泡沫。
最直观的数据,一个做反拥的朋友,去年日反手续费能达2000多🔪,现在下级多了反而一天才100多🔪冷清的让任害怕.....
#BTC #ETH #SOL #BLINKY
这就是为什么头部交易所都急了，老板亲自下场活跃市场(垂死挣扎)，没用户了，比大A还狠!排名前十的稳定币交易量已降至去年 12 月牛市水平的四分之一,创下 7 年新低。该死的川普，抽干了币圈的流动性，刺破了币圈的泡沫。
最直观的数据,一个做反拥的朋友,去年日反手续费能达2000多🔪,现在下级多了反而一天才100多🔪冷清的让任害怕.....
#BTC #ETH #SOL #BLINKY
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The White House will host the first cryptocurrency summit on March 7
Recently, a major announcement has stirred significant waves in the cryptocurrency field and the international political arena. According to an official statement from the White House, on March 7, the current U.S. President Trump will personally host the inaugural White House cryptocurrency summit and deliver an important speech at the event. This summit is of great significance, representing not only a concentrated display of the Trump administration's attitude towards the cryptocurrency industry but also marking an important step for the U.S. in the direction of cryptocurrency policy.
The lineup for this summit is impressive. Well-known founders, CEOs, and investors from the cryptocurrency industry have been invited to attend, representing the core forces in the cryptocurrency field. Their businesses cover key areas such as cryptocurrency research and development, trading platform operations, and blockchain technology applications, making them the main drivers of industry development. Members of the President's Digital Asset Working Group will also gather, coming from key government agencies such as the Treasury Department, the Justice Department, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). They bear the important responsibility of providing digital asset policy recommendations to the White House and assessing cryptocurrency-related matters, playing a crucial role in the government's formulation of cryptocurrency policy.
#白宫首届加密货币峰会 #BLINKY #芝商所将推出SOL期货 #BTC #
Recently, a major announcement has stirred significant waves in the cryptocurrency field and the international political arena. According to an official statement from the White House, on March 7, the current U.S. President Trump will personally host the inaugural White House cryptocurrency summit and deliver an important speech at the event. This summit is of great significance, representing not only a concentrated display of the Trump administration's attitude towards the cryptocurrency industry but also marking an important step for the U.S. in the direction of cryptocurrency policy.
The lineup for this summit is impressive. Well-known founders, CEOs, and investors from the cryptocurrency industry have been invited to attend, representing the core forces in the cryptocurrency field. Their businesses cover key areas such as cryptocurrency research and development, trading platform operations, and blockchain technology applications, making them the main drivers of industry development. Members of the President's Digital Asset Working Group will also gather, coming from key government agencies such as the Treasury Department, the Justice Department, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). They bear the important responsibility of providing digital asset policy recommendations to the White House and assessing cryptocurrency-related matters, playing a crucial role in the government's formulation of cryptocurrency policy.
#白宫首届加密货币峰会 #BLINKY #芝商所将推出SOL期货 #BTC #
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Ethereum vs. Solana: Validator Centralization and MEV
Ethereum vs. Solana: Validator Centralization and MEV
Ethereum's validator centralization and staking dominance
Ethereum's proof-of-stake network has seen staking rights highly concentrated in a few large entities. As of 2023, most staked ETH is controlled by centralized pools or exchanges. For example, Lido Finance alone accounts for about 30-32% of all staked ETH. Combined with other top providers like Coinbase, Kraken, and Binance, over 50% of Ethereum's stake is held by four entities. This trend immediately raised early concerns after The Merge - by the end of 2022, over 60% of staked ETH was held by Lido, Coinbase, Kraken, and Binance. Overall, analyses indicate that a small number of participants wield excessive influence: about 25 entities collectively manage ~84% of all staked ETH. This centralization means that a few operators could influence or censor a large portion of validators, posing systemic risks to network decentralization and consensus. Although Ethereum has hundreds of thousands of validator slots, many are run on behalf of users by these large proof-of-stake services, thus centralizing control.
Ethereum's validator centralization and staking dominance
Ethereum's proof-of-stake network has seen staking rights highly concentrated in a few large entities. As of 2023, most staked ETH is controlled by centralized pools or exchanges. For example, Lido Finance alone accounts for about 30-32% of all staked ETH. Combined with other top providers like Coinbase, Kraken, and Binance, over 50% of Ethereum's stake is held by four entities. This trend immediately raised early concerns after The Merge - by the end of 2022, over 60% of staked ETH was held by Lido, Coinbase, Kraken, and Binance. Overall, analyses indicate that a small number of participants wield excessive influence: about 25 entities collectively manage ~84% of all staked ETH. This centralization means that a few operators could influence or censor a large portion of validators, posing systemic risks to network decentralization and consensus. Although Ethereum has hundreds of thousands of validator slots, many are run on behalf of users by these large proof-of-stake services, thus centralizing control.
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加密货币红利期已经不可避免的正在快速消失，散户已经很难生存
加密货币红利期已经不可避免的正在快速消失，散户已经很难生存
相信这一轮很多人都有一个疑问，那就是这是牛市吗？还有牛市吗？还有山寨季吗？
1、比特币进入一个长期慢牛，99%的山寨币会进入慢性死亡。
2、山寨季有，但只发生在局部，还有就是来的快去的也快，二级分化严重。
3、随着机构入场加密货币红利期正在快速消失，下轮可能投机资金会更少，不再是散户的江湖。
4、加密货币已经严重美股化，类似美股的盘前交易，提前感知消息。
5、散户的生存空间会继续被压缩，直到消失。
6、随着机构大量持有买入比特币，当交易所比特币存量枯竭，距离比特币崩盘就不远了。
7、币安这个全球顶级交易所已经不可避免的在走下坡路，加密货币参与人数增加也已经放缓很慢了。
8、以太坊上轮的defi热潮，本轮被sol上的meme币热潮取代，发生在了sol链上，以太坊没有新的叙事和创新，价格很难跟上比特币脚步了。
9、自从特朗普两口子发币，链上完全被打乱了，诈骗币横行，吸走了大量流动性，进一步恶化了链上大环境。
为什么比特币进入长期慢牛，山寨币慢性死亡？
那继续说第一点，随着现货ETF的通过，虹吸效应越发严重，资
相信这一轮很多人都有一个疑问，那就是这是牛市吗？还有牛市吗？还有山寨季吗？
1、比特币进入一个长期慢牛，99%的山寨币会进入慢性死亡。
2、山寨季有，但只发生在局部，还有就是来的快去的也快，二级分化严重。
3、随着机构入场加密货币红利期正在快速消失，下轮可能投机资金会更少，不再是散户的江湖。
4、加密货币已经严重美股化，类似美股的盘前交易，提前感知消息。
5、散户的生存空间会继续被压缩，直到消失。
6、随着机构大量持有买入比特币，当交易所比特币存量枯竭，距离比特币崩盘就不远了。
7、币安这个全球顶级交易所已经不可避免的在走下坡路，加密货币参与人数增加也已经放缓很慢了。
8、以太坊上轮的defi热潮，本轮被sol上的meme币热潮取代，发生在了sol链上，以太坊没有新的叙事和创新，价格很难跟上比特币脚步了。
9、自从特朗普两口子发币，链上完全被打乱了，诈骗币横行，吸走了大量流动性，进一步恶化了链上大环境。
为什么比特币进入长期慢牛，山寨币慢性死亡？
那继续说第一点，随着现货ETF的通过，虹吸效应越发严重，资
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Do you think trading cryptocurrencies is easy?
It's a perilous world with nine deaths and one life!
It's a perilous world with nine deaths and one life!
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牛市风向又变了？起飞的AI agent 板块都有什么看点?
这一轮牛市哪个赛道最有潜力？
如果在这一轮牛市初期提问，答案无疑是比特币生态和AI赛道。不过，行业发展到目前这一步，比特币早已突破十万美元大关，比特币生态的铭文、符文已经基本熄火，AI赛道却持续火爆，甚至接棒Meme赛道，俨然比肩DeFi Summer的迹象。
当然，现在AI赛道和去年年初以WLD、TAO等为首的AI赛道已经不是同一类项目，目前当红的且有趋势持续火爆的是由AI Meme衍生出来的AI agent赛道。
那么，AI agent是什么？目前在整个行业内的发展现状如何，对普通人来说又有哪些机会？
01
AI agent：两个月赛道市值接近200亿
AI agent是指能够感知环境并做出相应行动的智能系统，也就是说，AI agent不仅仅提供搜索结果，而且能自己规划、分解并执行任务。可以理解为，AI agent就是你的机器人助手，能根据你的需求帮你处理一系列琐事。
OpenAI 创始人近期表示“Agent 将成为下一个重大突破”，并且将在今年1月推出自己的AI agent产品，Web2的AI agent之战已经如火如荼，Web3中的AI agent赛道也在短短几
如果在这一轮牛市初期提问，答案无疑是比特币生态和AI赛道。不过，行业发展到目前这一步，比特币早已突破十万美元大关，比特币生态的铭文、符文已经基本熄火，AI赛道却持续火爆，甚至接棒Meme赛道，俨然比肩DeFi Summer的迹象。
当然，现在AI赛道和去年年初以WLD、TAO等为首的AI赛道已经不是同一类项目，目前当红的且有趋势持续火爆的是由AI Meme衍生出来的AI agent赛道。
那么，AI agent是什么？目前在整个行业内的发展现状如何，对普通人来说又有哪些机会？
01
AI agent：两个月赛道市值接近200亿
AI agent是指能够感知环境并做出相应行动的智能系统，也就是说，AI agent不仅仅提供搜索结果，而且能自己规划、分解并执行任务。可以理解为，AI agent就是你的机器人助手，能根据你的需求帮你处理一系列琐事。
OpenAI 创始人近期表示“Agent 将成为下一个重大突破”，并且将在今年1月推出自己的AI agent产品，Web2的AI agent之战已经如火如荼，Web3中的AI agent赛道也在短短几
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比特币今年20万美金？所有人都唱多反而不对劲？你怎么看？
比特币今年20万美金？所有人都唱多反而不对劲？你怎么看？
正值双“蛋”节，喜气洋洋中世界各地的人们无不期许2025将是个丰收之年。一群加密领域KOL纷纷唱多，更有一些机构早早就发布了2025的加密市场看好预测和展望，如Bitwise就预测，比特币（BTC）价格将在2025年超过20万美元，以太坊（ETH）将达到7,000美元；VanEck则预测2025 年底加密市场将创新高……
尽管2025年有特朗普的“比特币战略储备”、美国的加密友好监管、AI概念等利好的预期，按理说，真像KOL和机构预测以及我们看到的所有人都唱多的情况下，加密市场早该起飞了才对，为什么反而现在的行情沉默得令人“震耳欲聋”？
真相到底是什么呢？或许我们看到的只是水面上的“祥和”，水下实则“暗流涌动”？
预测和展望年年有，一家之言难免有失偏颇，你怎么看？
#VCCT #BTC #2025比特币价格预测
比特币今年20万美金？所有人都唱多反而不对劲？你怎么看？
正值双“蛋”节，喜气洋洋中世界各地的人们无不期许2025将是个丰收之年。一群加密领域KOL纷纷唱多，更有一些机构早早就发布了2025的加密市场看好预测和展望，如Bitwise就预测，比特币（BTC）价格将在2025年超过20万美元，以太坊（ETH）将达到7,000美元；VanEck则预测2025 年底加密市场将创新高……
尽管2025年有特朗普的“比特币战略储备”、美国的加密友好监管、AI概念等利好的预期，按理说，真像KOL和机构预测以及我们看到的所有人都唱多的情况下，加密市场早该起飞了才对，为什么反而现在的行情沉默得令人“震耳欲聋”？
真相到底是什么呢？或许我们看到的只是水面上的“祥和”，水下实则“暗流涌动”？
预测和展望年年有，一家之言难免有失偏颇，你怎么看？
#VCCT #BTC #2025比特币价格预测
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