If interest rates are not lowered, Trump will make everyone jump off buildings. Let's see if your Federal Reserve will lower them.
Binance News
--
Deutsche Bank predicts Fed policy in 2025: no rate cuts
According to Jinshi Data, Deutsche Bank's economic team holds the most hawkish view on the Fed's policy in 2025, predicting that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Chief U.S. economist Matthew Luzzetti pointed out that Trump's new tariffs may affect this forecast.
Luzzetti said trade uncertainty has already shown up in economic data, and if the impact widens and is reflected in weak labor market data, the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates. However, Deutsche Bank wants to see how long the tariffs last before changing its forecasts.
Even without being stolen, it's a big drop. Look at how much the US stock market has fallen!!
加密鱼右右
--
Last night, there was finally an upward trend, but Bybit was stolen 1.5 billion US dollars worth of ETH, which brought it down. In fact, after a careful look at the trend of the S&P, even if there was no theft, it might not be able to stand at the 100,000 mark last night, and it might also be dragged down by the US stock market. I also learned about the Bybit theft last night. First of all, it is different from FTX. FXT privately misappropriated customers' funds to fill the hole, while Bybit was completely a victim. The ETH stolen by the hacker was not an exchange behavior.
That is to say, this 1.5 billion funds will most likely be sold by the hacker for U, because the funds stolen by the hacker will most likely be washed many times and eventually become USDT cash. Many people are worried that bybit has stolen 150,000 ETH. If the hacker directly smashes the market, will ETH hit a new low?
In fact, there is no need to worry too much. First of all, the amount he stole is too large. It has become the largest amount of funds stolen in the history of the currency circle. It is highly unlikely to sell off in a short period of time or take action, because now everyone, including Bybit, is staring at the address of this hacker. It takes time for hackers to process such a large amount of money, so they keep transferring addresses or washing addresses until no one cares about them. So they are not too worried about the recent price. There is just a long-term bomb here, and it may be through over-the-counter transactions. Everything on the chain is transparent.
It's the weekend today. The liquidity is low, and the Bybit incident has made people more panicked. Fortunately, the prices of BTC and ETH are recovering well now, and they are not in a slump. Many copycats have not taken advantage of the situation to smash the market, so it is not very ugly. There is only one week left in February. Although there will be no interest rate cut in March, there are many positive factors, such as the SEC's resolution of the lawsuit with Coinbase, Franklin's application for SOL spot ETF, etc.
Ethereum is such a big plate, and occasionally the profit from the liquidation of futures contracts is more than 1.5 billion dollars. It will not easily give up its second leading position in the currency circle. On the contrary, behind such things, it will either buy low below or pull up to stabilize the morale of the troops, and will not let other selling affect Ethereum itself. It will still rise next. #ETH #bybit被盗
If you can’t withdraw money, how can you know where to transfer it? Unless there is an exchange to protect it, whoever dares to receive it will have problems, so the hacker can only transfer it to a certain address and leave it there. This is also the case with previous thefts. They will not move it for several years, and once it moves, it will be discovered. Therefore, crypto is easier to track than US dollars and more difficult to launder money.
肥猫
--
The mine of bybit has been lifted temporarily. The next question is when will these 1.5 billion ETH start to circulate in the market. It is unclear whether it has been marked, but it is likely to be processed by the mixer and then enter the market in batches. This is a sword of Damocles, after all, it is an unexpected emergency. I think it is highly unlikely that large investors or institutions will increase their holdings at this time.
There are still a few news to pay attention to in March. US tariff adjustment, FTT unlocking, Japan interest rate meeting
The nearest good news is DOGE, XRP, LTC, SOL have all submitted 194b Ether upgrade
I think it is better to watch more and do less in the past week. At least there is no risk in the capital of missing out, and most of the time you can only cut losses in the capital of the top.
The 3-day line middle track 988 broke through. Let's see if it's a false breakthrough. The Taoist priest doesn't believe it. Let it fall! (Holding more than three times the amount in his hand, laughing)
Brothers, the opportunity has come, let's go long on BTC, go long, go long, I think the cost-performance ratio at this position is quite high, Bitcoin should maintain above 100,000🔝
In fact, the long-term logic hasn't changed; what has changed are the details.
道长谈比特币
--
On Bitcoin and the power of compound interest
Don’t think that the increase of Bitcoin from 15,000 to 110,000 is not a big deal In fact As long as it is combined with low leverage You can get the same profit as a copycat. The first copycat will be back to zero, don't believe what others say The second surge and plunge is difficult to grasp Third, there may not be a big increase. Fourth, this round of logic has fundamentally changed. It is a bull market for Bitcoin. OK, let me ask you a question. Xiao Zhang has a capital of 100,000 yuan. I bought Bitcoin with low leverage in 23 years, and the principal has quadrupled I have been doing Bitcoin with low leverage for 24 years and my investment has increased by 6 times. So please answer How much is the total amount of funds in Xiao Zhang’s account now?