I have been shorting Ethereum at 3214 for 3 days, but I was scared away by the pull-up in the morning trading today, so I chose to cancel the order. In the evening, there was a wave of pull-up on the news, which just happened to reach my shorting position, but I didn’t get it. I reflect on it again and again (ps: I have always believed that the news is only a catalyst for the market, and the trend of the market has actually come out. It just depends on whether I can taste the mystery) #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

Recent insights: Most of the technical patterns of triangles will evolve into a wide rectangular oscillation box when they break through the upper or lower edge. It seems to be a breakthrough at a small level, but in the big cycle, it has not actually broken through. It’s just that one side between the long and the short has become relatively strong. Often the trend at the large level is formed after the breakthrough of the large cycle oscillation box🧐#BTC走势分析

The big cake rose in volume ahead of the resistance. This is a very bad sign. If the volume increased after breaking through the resistance, it would be a real effective breakthrough. But now it is close to the resistance after the volume increased. In conjunction with the influence of CPI news in the evening, it may be the behavior of the market makers to lure more retail investors. This time I am bearish! #美国4月CPI通胀数据即将公布

Three major events this week:
1. Powell’s speech at 10 o’clock tonight.
2. The key inflation data of the United States, CPI, will be released at 8:30 tomorrow night.
3. A new stage of Israeli-Palestinian peace talks
The focus is still on the CPI data to determine the bull and bear market. Whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year depends on it.
If it is higher than expected, BTC will break $60,000. If it is lower than expected, it will start a deep V reversal.
The current strategy is the same as what I have repeatedly emphasized to you in the past few days:
(1) Do not short positions to avoid missing out. It is recommended to control positions.
(2) Do not chase highs during rebounds, otherwise you will be trapped.
(3) After the CPI data is released, reduce or increase positions as soon as possible.
Not every investor in the market looks at the CPI data, especially in emerging markets such as the cryptocurrency circle where investors are relatively immature.
So we can make good use of the macro information gap and follow the trend to make profits.
OpenAI’s press conference was released last night.
The positive news has been released.
Be careful of a sharp pullback in AI tokens.

Analysis of BTC intraday market on May 4: BTC rebounded nearly 7,000 points near the key support of 56,500. The market has warmed up and bulls have begun to counterattack. The previous important support of 59,500 was broken and then quickly recovered. The daily line showed a large positive column, and the volume index continued to increase. The daily RSI index also rebounded from oversold, indicating that this rise was not a false breakthrough. It is currently suppressed by 63,800. If it can successfully break through this pressure, you can pay attention to the pressure of 67,000-68,000. Intraday operations are mainly low-long, pay attention to the support of 60,000-61,000 below, and you can arrange long orders in batches if you have the opportunity. The winning rate of intraday long is higher than that of shorting. Please seize the opportunity to welcome a new round of rise. #BTC走势分析

Although the price of Bitcoin has fallen earlier than expected, the current trend is still following our script.

Analysis of BTC intraday market on April 27:
After touching 67,300, Bitcoin began to fall back, which is consistent with our previous expected trend. We mainly look at the callback. At present, the daily naked K is still bearish, and there is no sign of change in the volume of MACD. After the weekly K ends, there will be an expectation of testing the 6w mark again next week. Here I will guess the trend. The low point of next week is probably in the range of 60,000-60,500. Then the MACD indicator forms a bottom divergence and rebounds to around 63,500 and then begins to fall back to test around 56,500-57,500. Then it forms a convergence shock between 60,000, and then breaks through 6w in mid-May. After a period of consolidation, it is expected to break through 68,000 in mid-June and then start a new round of rising market. #大盘走势

Analysis of BTC intraday market on April 23:
Currently, the big cake is experiencing a V-shaped reversal trend at the bottom, and a small unilateral market has emerged at a small level. At present, it has fallen slightly due to the suppression of the downward trend line in the figure. From the perspective of the daily MACD volume, the air force is weak. It is currently oscillating in the range of 66000-67300. Combined with the volume index, the probability of a big drop is not high. The market will fall sideways instead of falling. Once it breaks through 67500, the market will hit 68400-69400. At the same time, this is also the boundary area between long and short positions. If it can successfully break through, a new round of rising market can begin. Otherwise, a new round of correction market will begin. If there is bad news at the Federal Reserve meeting on May 1, the market may see a black swan market. In the short term, operations should be mainly short-term, and try not to have a pattern. You can enter the first position at 68675 in the short position, and use 69500 ​​as a stop loss to cover the position above 70000. Once a correction market is formed, this order can be used as a medium- and long-term strategy. #大盘走势

Analysis of BTC intraday market on April 18:
The market rebound is still very weak. It hit 59,600 again last night and then rebounded to 62,200. However, the bulls performed generally in the morning market today. The 4h level naked K has gone out of the structure of Yin Bao Yang. If it drops again, the probability of breaking the high-level oscillation box is very high. It is expected to hit 57,600-58,400. The current trend has been in a downward channel. Although the halving is imminent, there is no improvement in the market. If it hits 57,600-58,400 at night, you can buy more to eat the rebound, and the target is around 61,800-62,380. It is not yet time to really buy the bottom, and the operation is still mainly based on rebound shorts. #大盘走势

Analysis of the intraday market on April 17: The price of the currency has bottomed out three times near 61,700 without breaking and has not set a new low, and then rebounded. Yesterday, we said that we would continue to look at the callback. Unfortunately, the 61,000 mark is currently supported, and the small-level long volume is still good. At present, there is a rebound demand in the short term. If the 64,500 mark can be successfully broken in the short term, then the market can go to around 66,500 in the future, but this does not mean that a new round of rising market has started. The long-short dividing line is at 68,000. Only by standing firmly above it can there be a possibility of hitting a new high, which is not yet seen. At present, I understand the market as a rebound trend in the callback. In the short term, long orders can be ambushed at 63,700-63,000, and reduced holdings can be made when it reaches around 64,500. If this position is successfully broken, you can cover your position when it falls back, with the target of 66,600. In the short term, the market has temporarily stabilized, but don't be too optimistic. The weekly K trend is still bearish, and wait patiently for the high altitude after the rebound. #大盘走势

Analysis of BTC intraday market on April 16:
Today, the correction direction remains unchanged. Today's market rebounded during the day and plummeted at night. The previous upward relay pattern has been broken. If the daily K-line entity falls below 64,000 and closes below, it will test the 60,000 mark again. The naked K and volume indicators are not ideal. This time the 6w mark is likely to be lost. The long-term target is still around 53,000-50,000. The intraday operation is mainly high-altitude, and short orders are arranged at 64,500-66,600. Yesterday's short order points are relatively conservative. Today, radicals can arrange short orders near 63,500. It's still a matter of time before it falls below 6w. Although it's only a few days before the halving of the big cake, when everyone is bullish, the dealer must be operating in the opposite direction. Hold the high-level chips in your hand, exchange time for space, and wait for profit! #大盘走势 #比特币减半

Analysis of BTC intraday market on April 15: Bitcoin hit 6w and then rebounded. Today's trend is mainly rebound, but I personally feel that the callback is not strong enough. It is only a matter of time before it falls below 6w. It is not time to buy the bottom yet. Why do I say that? From the weekly K, the market is in a high-level shock, ranging from 73000 to 60000. Bitcoin started a real unilateral rise after breaking through 31000, and then consolidated between 40000 and 46000. On January 22, 2024, it suddenly hit 38850 and quickly recovered, starting another rise. The two points of 26500 and 38800 just formed an upward trend line in the early stage. Later, the accelerated rise was after breaking through 46000, so that the trend gradually deviated from the upward trend line, forming an accelerated rise. The market broke through the rising channel and directly reached 73000. The rapid rise is unhealthy. It is obviously a dealer pulling the market. The market needs to return to the previous rising channel to test the support level of the rising trend line again. It is more reasonable. From this point of view, the callback is indeed not enough. After the 6w breaks, the decline will be very smooth. The area with dense orders below is around 52800-50400. This range is also near the support of the upward trend. Spot can be ambushed here for bottom-fishing. In terms of intraday operations, short orders can be ambushed, and short orders can be entered in batches at 67600-68300-69000, with a stop loss of 69600. If an extreme market breaks through 6w, then follow the trend to short! The overall trend of the big cycle is still bullish, and the callback is an opportunity! #大盘走势

The bigger the wind and waves, the more expensive the fish#

Analysis of ETH intraday market on April 13:
Negative news has been released continuously in the past two days, and the market has been smashing the market. This is also a normal phenomenon. The contract positions in the market are high, and the dealer needs to clear these chips to obtain better liquidity. From the weekly chart, ETH ushered in the first retracement after breaking through the previous rising channel range. This situation is not very friendly to intraday short-term players, but it is a good opportunity to increase positions for spot players. At present, a second retracement has been formed near 3050, and the first occurred on March 18. From a technical point of view, it can be seen that 3130-3050 is a support range. If the chips can be given to this range next, long orders can be arranged. If this position is broken, it is very likely to fall rapidly in the short term to insert the pin 2860-3010. This range is also the replenishment range for long orders. At present, contract players must lower their forced liquidation prices to ensure the safety of their positions. #大盘走势

Analysis of ETH intraday market on April 12:
ETH trend is still biased towards wide fluctuations. Yesterday, it was mentioned that if it effectively breaks through 3600, it will have the opportunity to test the pressure near 3660. It rose to around 3618 yesterday and then quickly fell back to test the support near 3470. The market has not yet made a strong breakthrough. In terms of the day, the short volume of macd is also gradually shrinking, and it is expected to form the expectation of a golden cross on the water. Once the oversold expectation of rsi is formed, there will be a good wave of pull-up in the future. The daily level coin price also remains near the middle track of the Bollinger band and the opening shows signs of slowly shrinking. At present, it still needs time for the market to consolidate and absorb funds. Conservative players should still wait and see. Intraday short-term players focus on 3620-3470. They can sell high and buy low in this range. #大盘走势

The most promising altcoins in 2024

I think it is worth paying attention to at present. My own opinion:
#AI: RNDR, FET, GRT, WLD
#RWA: ONDO, SNX, NKR, RSR
#MEME: WIF, MYRO
#L1: SUI, TIA, TON, INJ, ASTR
#L2: STRK, OP, METIS, ARB
#DEPIN: FIL, LPT, AR, ANKR
#GAMEFI: GALA, YGG
#SOLANA: SOL, JUP, BONK
#Inscription: ORDI, SATS, RATS

Analysis of ETH intraday market on April 11:
Yesterday's view remains unchanged. The current market is maintained at a range of 3580-3470. After 3480 is effectively broken through, the oscillation box will rise to another platform, that is, the range of 3480-3650. After the four-hour level is inserted, the naked K comes out of the reverse structure of Yang Bao Yin and there are three consecutive large Yang lines, indicating that the bulls have begun to counterattack. The bullish thinking remains unchanged. The volume indicator MACD shorts are also shrinking, and the fast and slow lines are gradually expected to form a golden cross. The intraday operation is mainly based on stepping back. There is an expectation of rushing to 3650 during the week. If the weekly line stands above 3650, the probability of taking off next week is very high! The unemployment benefit data for the week of March 30 and the PPI data for March will be released at 20:30 tonight. There is a risk of insertion, and long orders can be arranged at low points. Pay attention to the vicinity of 3536 during the day. You can enter the first position with a light position, and cover the position at 3480. If there is a pin situation, you can pay attention to the vicinity of 3445. #大盘走势

Losing money in a volatile market, or even being trapped for long-term players. That is to cultivate your habit of doing swing trading!
But isn't the real main rising wave throwing these swing traders off the bus?
In a bull market, you have to eat the fattest meat, but of course you have to endure various retracements and short-term losses.
For my personal short-term positions in a bull market, I basically play with new things.
So I won't be anxious if I separate long-term and short-term positions. One word for long-term: endure.

Analysis of ETH intraday market on April 10:
The market was severely washed yesterday, and the market fell sharply. ETH fell better than BTC. The retracement after the breakthrough did not break the previous trend line. It is currently fluctuating near the trend line. At present, the decline has temporarily stopped. In the short term, the market will fluctuate and consolidate within 3560-3470. Once it breaks through, it will hit 3600 and make a narrow consolidation range. After effectively breaking through 3600, it can be seen around 3650. At the same time, 3650 is also an important resistance level in the early stage. After the first breakthrough, the retracement and loss of this position trapped many people who chased more. If it breaks through again, it will not be so smooth. It will definitely be like the previous period. Consolidation and then choose the direction. Intraday contract players are still mainly on the sidelines. Tonight, there is also CPI. Wait for the news expectations before choosing the direction of opening orders. In the week, once 3470 is lost, it is very likely to touch the 3200-3060 area. The extreme killing position this month is around 2960, which is also the position of spot ambush. #大盘走势

Analysis of ETH intraday market on April 9:
Today, let's talk about ETH. Yesterday, the overall market was pulled up, and the rebound strength of ETH was much higher than that of BTC, which laid a good foundation for the pull of altcoins in the future. From the technical point of view of ETH, after breaking through the downward trend line yesterday, it successfully broke through the important resistance level of 3650. In terms of intraday operations, the price of the currency fell back to around 3650 to intervene in the first position, and to make up for the position near 3590. If there is a pin situation, I predict that the position is around 3540-3560, and you can boldly intervene in long orders at this position. Judging from various volume indicators, the bulls have begun to launch a general attack, and the intraday callback space is very limited. If you have low chips in hand, continue to hold them. #大盘走势