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The bullish outlook we provided this morning, although the price ratio has once again experienced a pullback, reached a low of 76560 before rebounding. Overall, the market is showing a warming trend. Currently, the price ratio is above 80000. The bullish direction is correct, but we did not seize the opportunity of the pullback, which is not perfect. Ethereum's price dropped to a low of 1752 this morning, breaking below that level. Currently, Ethereum is experiencing a slight rebound, running around 1890. The 2000 mark is a strong resistance level that cannot be broken in the short term, as we mentioned in our live broadcast earlier.
On the hourly level, the Bollinger Bands are gradually converging, indicating a narrow range of market fluctuations. The coin price is fluctuating around the upper and middle bands, with small candlestick bodies alternating between slight gains and losses. In the short term, the market's high and low points are marked accurately. The market may continue to maintain a primarily oscillating trend, continuing to accumulate. In the afternoon, flexible operations within the range are suggested, maintaining the strategy of buying on dips and shorting on rallies.
Trading Suggestions
Short Bitcoin at 81000-80500, target 91000
Directly short Ethereum around 1900, target 1840
On the hourly level, the Bollinger Bands are gradually converging, indicating a narrow range of market fluctuations. The coin price is fluctuating around the upper and middle bands, with small candlestick bodies alternating between slight gains and losses. In the short term, the market's high and low points are marked accurately. The market may continue to maintain a primarily oscillating trend, continuing to accumulate. In the afternoon, flexible operations within the range are suggested, maintaining the strategy of buying on dips and shorting on rallies.
Trading Suggestions
Short Bitcoin at 81000-80500, target 91000
Directly short Ethereum around 1900, target 1840
😀😀😀
Don't be smug,
The bottom of the BTC long cycle hasn't hit yet.
I've already warned that it's a bear market; those who were reluctant to accept it are probably crying with nowhere to go now.
This wave of sharp decline will definitely continue to oscillate downward; it won't stop until it wipes out the big players on Wall Street, the whales, and the institutions.
Recently, MicroStrategy has been frantically seeking remedies; I've heard that if BTC drops below 60,000, MicroStrategy will face liquidation, with nearly 30 billion in assets being wiped out. Do you think that's possible?
Recently, various data hasn't been too good, the trade war with the U.S. continues, and the CPI index won't drop. As long as the U.S. stock market isn't on the brink of life and death, the Federal Reserve won't lower interest rates in March, and there's more suffering ahead for everyone. If you think this is the end, it's actually just the middle of the decline.
Trump also admits that the U.S. economy is in recession and accepts the current detox reality; the U.S. stock market won't rise without some chaos. Plus, everyone should check the U.S. monthly MACD; the high-level death cross indicates that the correction hasn't ended.
Let's brace for the coming storm. But many people are no longer afraid; they were already trapped at high levels, and like a dead pig, they aren’t scared of boiling water. Isn't that you?
Currently, from a technical perspective, BTC is experiencing a volume decline, MACD has crossed to the downside, and there is a continued downward trend. The long cycle has broken the bull-bear boundary, and we've entered a bear market. The trend is downward; I've been reminding everyone to just focus on short-term trades, take profits at highs, and don't get too ambitious. Currently, support is around 73,000-70,000, with resistance around 82,000-85,000.
On the hourly level, the MACD shows a golden cross, indicating a stopping decline pattern, but the rebound volume is relatively small and won't be too high. It's still advisable to mainly observe; if you must trade, go long at 77,000 with a stop loss at 76,000 and a take profit around 81,000.
On the weekly level, the structure has already been damaged, with support around 73,000.
To be honest, your wish is that the U.S. economy won't experience a systemic collapse; otherwise, to put it bluntly, BTC might show you a weekly death at around 55,000.
Oh my, is there still any law? Was Trump's presidency a blessing or a disaster? A few days ago, I reminded you that the last national reserve plan was a chance for Trump to let his cabinet escape; when it rises, you should reduce or liquidate your positions.
Thinking back now, it really is a dog show. Trump wants to play us to death.
Why, back then, did that bullet hit the ear? Instead of hitting the head? You fool. $BTC
The bottom of the BTC long cycle hasn't hit yet.
I've already warned that it's a bear market; those who were reluctant to accept it are probably crying with nowhere to go now.
This wave of sharp decline will definitely continue to oscillate downward; it won't stop until it wipes out the big players on Wall Street, the whales, and the institutions.
Recently, MicroStrategy has been frantically seeking remedies; I've heard that if BTC drops below 60,000, MicroStrategy will face liquidation, with nearly 30 billion in assets being wiped out. Do you think that's possible?
Recently, various data hasn't been too good, the trade war with the U.S. continues, and the CPI index won't drop. As long as the U.S. stock market isn't on the brink of life and death, the Federal Reserve won't lower interest rates in March, and there's more suffering ahead for everyone. If you think this is the end, it's actually just the middle of the decline.
Trump also admits that the U.S. economy is in recession and accepts the current detox reality; the U.S. stock market won't rise without some chaos. Plus, everyone should check the U.S. monthly MACD; the high-level death cross indicates that the correction hasn't ended.
Let's brace for the coming storm. But many people are no longer afraid; they were already trapped at high levels, and like a dead pig, they aren’t scared of boiling water. Isn't that you?
Currently, from a technical perspective, BTC is experiencing a volume decline, MACD has crossed to the downside, and there is a continued downward trend. The long cycle has broken the bull-bear boundary, and we've entered a bear market. The trend is downward; I've been reminding everyone to just focus on short-term trades, take profits at highs, and don't get too ambitious. Currently, support is around 73,000-70,000, with resistance around 82,000-85,000.
On the hourly level, the MACD shows a golden cross, indicating a stopping decline pattern, but the rebound volume is relatively small and won't be too high. It's still advisable to mainly observe; if you must trade, go long at 77,000 with a stop loss at 76,000 and a take profit around 81,000.
On the weekly level, the structure has already been damaged, with support around 73,000.
To be honest, your wish is that the U.S. economy won't experience a systemic collapse; otherwise, to put it bluntly, BTC might show you a weekly death at around 55,000.
Oh my, is there still any law? Was Trump's presidency a blessing or a disaster? A few days ago, I reminded you that the last national reserve plan was a chance for Trump to let his cabinet escape; when it rises, you should reduce or liquidate your positions.
Thinking back now, it really is a dog show. Trump wants to play us to death.
Why, back then, did that bullet hit the ear? Instead of hitting the head? You fool. $BTC
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美股开始逐步反弹了，
This ID mentioned the script last night and also talked about buying Trump low at 80800 and 10.5 this morning. The entire process has public real-time records, and one day will surely reach A9.
$BTC
$TRUMP
$BTC
$TRUMP
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这种容易出现极端暴涨暴跌的行情，做合约属实为赌
I don't want to make trades today or tomorrow. Let's talk about trading after the crypto summit is over. The news is frequent, and I feel like I'm being led by the nose. I prefer a market without news; there are opportunities every day. I can still live for 100 years, so delaying one or two days doesn't affect me.
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What are people like you doing mixed in the square? A bunch of rotten fish and shrimp have gathered together.
Hong Kong's richest man Li Ka-shing's CK Hutchison Holdings announced on March 4 that it plans to sell 90% of its stake in the Panama port to the BlackRock consortium for $19 billion. The overall deal involves 43 ports across 23 countries in Asia, Europe, and the Americas, with a total price of $22.8 billion. This transaction triggers a 145-day exclusive negotiation period, and CK Hutchison emphasized that it will retain core port assets in Hong Kong, Shenzhen, and mainland China.
Analysts pointed out that, in the face of escalating geopolitical risks and the potential threat of asset freezes by the United States, the 94-year-old Li Ka-shing chose to divest non-core strategic assets. His port network originally covered 50 terminals worldwide, and this sale, which exceeds 80% of its scale, is seen as a significant strategy to avoid risks from international conflicts.
Trump's reclamation of the Panama Sovereign Port has taken another step forward.
It suddenly appears that Trump's campaign promises are being fulfilled one by one.
1. Ceasefire in Russia and Ukraine, Ukraine signs mineral agreements.
2. Companies are returning to the United States, increasing employment rates. Currently imposing tariffs, TSMC, etc., are setting up factories in the U.S.
3. Greenland has not yet been secured.
4. The next step should be the establishment of the U.S. crypto capital.
5. Reducing U.S. national debt, ordering Musk to audit taxes, streamlining institutions, which has already saved thousands of dollars.
Thinking about it, Trump is really impressive.
Recently, he has started hosting a crypto summit. It can be said that there should be a surge on the 6th-7th. However, I personally believe that the national reserve plan will not be implemented now.
Because BTC has not fallen low enough. Only when BTC drops sufficiently low can the U.S. buy more BTC with minimal money, allowing it to proceed.
Therefore, I believe that the crypto summit is not impactful; it merely serves as a stimulant for retail investors, but the excitement won't last long.
Just a suggestion: in the next couple of days, BTC may rebound, and altcoins will follow suit; it's advisable to reduce positions on highs. I personally believe we are still in a downward trend, and BTC has not truly bottomed out. After the surge, it may test lower levels again. I advise everyone to reduce positions on highs. Recently, those reminding everyone to buy the dip should sell when prices rise. There's no need to worry about missing the entry. If a genuine reversal occurs, we can act accordingly and build positions later. Recently, it's still the same advice: reduce positions on rebounds, and don't focus too much on the patterns.
Analysts pointed out that, in the face of escalating geopolitical risks and the potential threat of asset freezes by the United States, the 94-year-old Li Ka-shing chose to divest non-core strategic assets. His port network originally covered 50 terminals worldwide, and this sale, which exceeds 80% of its scale, is seen as a significant strategy to avoid risks from international conflicts.
Trump's reclamation of the Panama Sovereign Port has taken another step forward.
It suddenly appears that Trump's campaign promises are being fulfilled one by one.
1. Ceasefire in Russia and Ukraine, Ukraine signs mineral agreements.
2. Companies are returning to the United States, increasing employment rates. Currently imposing tariffs, TSMC, etc., are setting up factories in the U.S.
3. Greenland has not yet been secured.
4. The next step should be the establishment of the U.S. crypto capital.
5. Reducing U.S. national debt, ordering Musk to audit taxes, streamlining institutions, which has already saved thousands of dollars.
Thinking about it, Trump is really impressive.
Recently, he has started hosting a crypto summit. It can be said that there should be a surge on the 6th-7th. However, I personally believe that the national reserve plan will not be implemented now.
Because BTC has not fallen low enough. Only when BTC drops sufficiently low can the U.S. buy more BTC with minimal money, allowing it to proceed.
Therefore, I believe that the crypto summit is not impactful; it merely serves as a stimulant for retail investors, but the excitement won't last long.
Just a suggestion: in the next couple of days, BTC may rebound, and altcoins will follow suit; it's advisable to reduce positions on highs. I personally believe we are still in a downward trend, and BTC has not truly bottomed out. After the surge, it may test lower levels again. I advise everyone to reduce positions on highs. Recently, those reminding everyone to buy the dip should sell when prices rise. There's no need to worry about missing the entry. If a genuine reversal occurs, we can act accordingly and build positions later. Recently, it's still the same advice: reduce positions on rebounds, and don't focus too much on the patterns.
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你的评论区怎么总用这些乌七八糟的东西，你有什么不可告人的目的吗？😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀
Hong Kong's richest man Li Ka-shing's CK Hutchison Holdings announced on March 4 that it plans to sell 90% of its stake in the Panama port to the BlackRock consortium for $19 billion. The overall deal involves 43 ports across 23 countries in Asia, Europe, and the Americas, with a total price of $22.8 billion. This transaction triggers a 145-day exclusive negotiation period, and CK Hutchison emphasized that it will retain core port assets in Hong Kong, Shenzhen, and mainland China.
Analysts pointed out that, in the face of escalating geopolitical risks and the potential threat of asset freezes by the United States, the 94-year-old Li Ka-shing chose to divest non-core strategic assets. His port network originally covered 50 terminals worldwide, and this sale, which exceeds 80% of its scale, is seen as a significant strategy to avoid risks from international conflicts.
Trump's reclamation of the Panama Sovereign Port has taken another step forward.
It suddenly appears that Trump's campaign promises are being fulfilled one by one.
1. Ceasefire in Russia and Ukraine, Ukraine signs mineral agreements.
2. Companies are returning to the United States, increasing employment rates. Currently imposing tariffs, TSMC, etc., are setting up factories in the U.S.
3. Greenland has not yet been secured.
4. The next step should be the establishment of the U.S. crypto capital.
5. Reducing U.S. national debt, ordering Musk to audit taxes, streamlining institutions, which has already saved thousands of dollars.
Thinking about it, Trump is really impressive.
Recently, he has started hosting a crypto summit. It can be said that there should be a surge on the 6th-7th. However, I personally believe that the national reserve plan will not be implemented now.
Because BTC has not fallen low enough. Only when BTC drops sufficiently low can the U.S. buy more BTC with minimal money, allowing it to proceed.
Therefore, I believe that the crypto summit is not impactful; it merely serves as a stimulant for retail investors, but the excitement won't last long.
Just a suggestion: in the next couple of days, BTC may rebound, and altcoins will follow suit; it's advisable to reduce positions on highs. I personally believe we are still in a downward trend, and BTC has not truly bottomed out. After the surge, it may test lower levels again. I advise everyone to reduce positions on highs. Recently, those reminding everyone to buy the dip should sell when prices rise. There's no need to worry about missing the entry. If a genuine reversal occurs, we can act accordingly and build positions later. Recently, it's still the same advice: reduce positions on rebounds, and don't focus too much on the patterns.
Analysts pointed out that, in the face of escalating geopolitical risks and the potential threat of asset freezes by the United States, the 94-year-old Li Ka-shing chose to divest non-core strategic assets. His port network originally covered 50 terminals worldwide, and this sale, which exceeds 80% of its scale, is seen as a significant strategy to avoid risks from international conflicts.
Trump's reclamation of the Panama Sovereign Port has taken another step forward.
It suddenly appears that Trump's campaign promises are being fulfilled one by one.
1. Ceasefire in Russia and Ukraine, Ukraine signs mineral agreements.
2. Companies are returning to the United States, increasing employment rates. Currently imposing tariffs, TSMC, etc., are setting up factories in the U.S.
3. Greenland has not yet been secured.
4. The next step should be the establishment of the U.S. crypto capital.
5. Reducing U.S. national debt, ordering Musk to audit taxes, streamlining institutions, which has already saved thousands of dollars.
Thinking about it, Trump is really impressive.
Recently, he has started hosting a crypto summit. It can be said that there should be a surge on the 6th-7th. However, I personally believe that the national reserve plan will not be implemented now.
Because BTC has not fallen low enough. Only when BTC drops sufficiently low can the U.S. buy more BTC with minimal money, allowing it to proceed.
Therefore, I believe that the crypto summit is not impactful; it merely serves as a stimulant for retail investors, but the excitement won't last long.
Just a suggestion: in the next couple of days, BTC may rebound, and altcoins will follow suit; it's advisable to reduce positions on highs. I personally believe we are still in a downward trend, and BTC has not truly bottomed out. After the surge, it may test lower levels again. I advise everyone to reduce positions on highs. Recently, those reminding everyone to buy the dip should sell when prices rise. There's no need to worry about missing the entry. If a genuine reversal occurs, we can act accordingly and build positions later. Recently, it's still the same advice: reduce positions on rebounds, and don't focus too much on the patterns.
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头脑不要极度膨胀，整庄收割也要跟随，别被一时盘面的雄起产生的红利，再次变成韭菜的角色！！！！！
$ADA
As long as it is confirmed to be false news, just throw the blame on North Korean hackers.
Anyway, X being hacked is not something that happened overnight.
I believe that the bulls in the crypto circle can understand.
As long as it is confirmed to be false news, just throw the blame on North Korean hackers.
Anyway, X being hacked is not something that happened overnight.
I believe that the bulls in the crypto circle can understand.
See original
Nvidia's assets have once again shrunk by several billion dollars. Although the stock market was closed on Saturday and Sunday, Nvidia will definitely impact the Nasdaq and Dow Jones when trading opens today on Monday. Last night, the cryptocurrency market surged sharply, and it remains to be seen whether it is related to today’s stock market. My personal intuition tells me that there will be fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market tonight, so stay alert.
Ukraine's biggest problem right now is not a lack of money or weapons to fight back, but a lack of people. Over three years, at least five hundred thousand young people have been lost, and the front lines can only rely on drones to fill the gaps!
To achieve the so-called battlefield advantage, Zelensky needs the United States to provide the most advanced long-range strike weapons to win with fewer forces! But Russia will definitely escalate the confrontation and use tactical nuclear weapons in retaliation, the consequence of which would be to completely ignite World War III, and it would be a nuclear war.
Ukrainian Finance Minister Serhiy Marchenko stated that the UK and Ukraine have reached a loan agreement of £2.26 billion to support Ukraine's defense capabilities.
Zelensky had a video call tonight with Starmer and Chancellor Rachel Reeves along with Marchenko.
Marchenko wrote on social media that this funding is "guaranteed by frozen Russian assets."
He also expressed his "gratitude" to the UK for "holding the aggressor accountable for the war."
Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba suddenly announced that Japan would add $12 billion in non-repayable economic aid on top of the $3 billion previously transferred to Ukraine.
The Russia-Ukraine war will not ease just because Trump and Zelensky have a falling out. One could say that, on the contrary, this incident will further push the war in a worse direction.
Either Europe will be knocked down, or Greater Russia will be knocked down. Relatively speaking, there exists a danger of war for the entire world.
The entire international financial market is likely to become more turbulent and unstable. Currently, Wall Street capital will not invest heavily in this momentum, supporting and boosting the market. Instead, it is fleeing to avoid risks.
Yesterday, Trump called out in the cryptocurrency circle, knowing full well that the Nasdaq would be closed over the weekend. Such unusual operations are meant to exploit a timing difference, hoping to raise prices and then buy low in cryptocurrencies, cashing out and leaving.
The Nasdaq's opening today should not be too good. It still faces the risk of further decline or collapse.
BTC made a big rally, but in the long cycle, it is still in a bearish pattern, and on the daily level, it is still in a downward correction trend. Currently, during this rebound, it is advisable to reduce positions at highs and see how it goes.
At this unclear moment, calling out to raise prices is unusual and must have its reasons.
To achieve the so-called battlefield advantage, Zelensky needs the United States to provide the most advanced long-range strike weapons to win with fewer forces! But Russia will definitely escalate the confrontation and use tactical nuclear weapons in retaliation, the consequence of which would be to completely ignite World War III, and it would be a nuclear war.
Ukrainian Finance Minister Serhiy Marchenko stated that the UK and Ukraine have reached a loan agreement of £2.26 billion to support Ukraine's defense capabilities.
Zelensky had a video call tonight with Starmer and Chancellor Rachel Reeves along with Marchenko.
Marchenko wrote on social media that this funding is "guaranteed by frozen Russian assets."
He also expressed his "gratitude" to the UK for "holding the aggressor accountable for the war."
Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba suddenly announced that Japan would add $12 billion in non-repayable economic aid on top of the $3 billion previously transferred to Ukraine.
The Russia-Ukraine war will not ease just because Trump and Zelensky have a falling out. One could say that, on the contrary, this incident will further push the war in a worse direction.
Either Europe will be knocked down, or Greater Russia will be knocked down. Relatively speaking, there exists a danger of war for the entire world.
The entire international financial market is likely to become more turbulent and unstable. Currently, Wall Street capital will not invest heavily in this momentum, supporting and boosting the market. Instead, it is fleeing to avoid risks.
Yesterday, Trump called out in the cryptocurrency circle, knowing full well that the Nasdaq would be closed over the weekend. Such unusual operations are meant to exploit a timing difference, hoping to raise prices and then buy low in cryptocurrencies, cashing out and leaving.
The Nasdaq's opening today should not be too good. It still faces the risk of further decline or collapse.
BTC made a big rally, but in the long cycle, it is still in a bearish pattern, and on the daily level, it is still in a downward correction trend. Currently, during this rebound, it is advisable to reduce positions at highs and see how it goes.
At this unclear moment, calling out to raise prices is unusual and must have its reasons.
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注意，明天美股纳斯达克，道琼斯极有可能会再次大暴跌
试试吧，只在日线以上级别边界点交易，不会频繁操作的
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There is no general who wins forever in finance
The unrest of the long weekend, with just one word from Trump, the crypto world trembles three times. In the face of sudden news, all the K-lines appear weak, and all analyses seem extremely ridiculous! This is why we set stop losses, why we manage positions, and why we can't get too excited! I don't dare to act anymore, taking a break at midnight! Let's come back tomorrow; I can't be sure now, and the second half of the night is likely to be restless... If anyone chased the rise during the explosive surge just now, they're probably feeling the pain too... The short positions from Saturday are suffering, the dark side has some dirt exposed, there are materials now, the orders are all there, the records are all there, Zhong Liang will not delete the posts!
See original
This cycle isn't over yet, don't discuss the next cycle's matters.
For those who don't have a gold mine at home and lack financial freedom, it's best to work diligently. Don't let the market sting you at the wrong time; buying more as prices drop is not advisable now, as BTC is still at the peak. Trading small intervals in spot may yield some profit, but the prerequisite is to wait for a phase bottom to appear.
Reserve enough for living expenses and set aside principal, patiently waiting to maximize coin accumulation at the lowest point of the next bear market. There may not be the biggest opportunity this year, but there will definitely be one next year. The next time I start accumulating coins again will be the time to catch the bottom. In the next round, I will only buy BTC spot and leading sectors below 27,850; if by the end of the year it unexpectedly touches 120,000 to 150,000, I will make adjustments. Only by catching the bottom in each bear market can you have the possibility of turning your fortunes around and achieving financial freedom. A cost of 40,000 to 60,000 USD for BTC is too high; during the transition from bear to bull, having less than 15 coins makes it difficult to realize profits exceeding ten million. Buying more than 15 BTC in spot during the bear market bottom allows you to use them as chips to make significant profits by going long on coin positions from the bottom as the market transitions, rolling profits into 20 to 30 BTC, and then waiting for the price to rise to 70,000 to 100,000 to sell in batches.
Reserve enough for living expenses and set aside principal, patiently waiting to maximize coin accumulation at the lowest point of the next bear market. There may not be the biggest opportunity this year, but there will definitely be one next year. The next time I start accumulating coins again will be the time to catch the bottom. In the next round, I will only buy BTC spot and leading sectors below 27,850; if by the end of the year it unexpectedly touches 120,000 to 150,000, I will make adjustments. Only by catching the bottom in each bear market can you have the possibility of turning your fortunes around and achieving financial freedom. A cost of 40,000 to 60,000 USD for BTC is too high; during the transition from bear to bull, having less than 15 coins makes it difficult to realize profits exceeding ten million. Buying more than 15 BTC in spot during the bear market bottom allows you to use them as chips to make significant profits by going long on coin positions from the bottom as the market transitions, rolling profits into 20 to 30 BTC, and then waiting for the price to rise to 70,000 to 100,000 to sell in batches.
See original
The last bull market of this round has not yet arrived; it's too early to discuss the next cycle's bear market. Instead, we should focus on managing the tail end of this bull market.
For those who don't have a gold mine at home and lack financial freedom, it's best to work diligently. Don't let the market sting you at the wrong time; buying more as prices drop is not advisable now, as BTC is still at the peak. Trading small intervals in spot may yield some profit, but the prerequisite is to wait for a phase bottom to appear.
Reserve enough for living expenses and set aside principal, patiently waiting to maximize coin accumulation at the lowest point of the next bear market. There may not be the biggest opportunity this year, but there will definitely be one next year. The next time I start accumulating coins again will be the time to catch the bottom. In the next round, I will only buy BTC spot and leading sectors below 27,850; if by the end of the year it unexpectedly touches 120,000 to 150,000, I will make adjustments. Only by catching the bottom in each bear market can you have the possibility of turning your fortunes around and achieving financial freedom. A cost of 40,000 to 60,000 USD for BTC is too high; during the transition from bear to bull, having less than 15 coins makes it difficult to realize profits exceeding ten million. Buying more than 15 BTC in spot during the bear market bottom allows you to use them as chips to make significant profits by going long on coin positions from the bottom as the market transitions, rolling profits into 20 to 30 BTC, and then waiting for the price to rise to 70,000 to 100,000 to sell in batches.
Reserve enough for living expenses and set aside principal, patiently waiting to maximize coin accumulation at the lowest point of the next bear market. There may not be the biggest opportunity this year, but there will definitely be one next year. The next time I start accumulating coins again will be the time to catch the bottom. In the next round, I will only buy BTC spot and leading sectors below 27,850; if by the end of the year it unexpectedly touches 120,000 to 150,000, I will make adjustments. Only by catching the bottom in each bear market can you have the possibility of turning your fortunes around and achieving financial freedom. A cost of 40,000 to 60,000 USD for BTC is too high; during the transition from bear to bull, having less than 15 coins makes it difficult to realize profits exceeding ten million. Buying more than 15 BTC in spot during the bear market bottom allows you to use them as chips to make significant profits by going long on coin positions from the bottom as the market transitions, rolling profits into 20 to 30 BTC, and then waiting for the price to rise to 70,000 to 100,000 to sell in batches.
See original
The final crazy bull market has not arrived yet, don't sing the blues, no one and nothing will change the original trajectory of BTC, including ETFs.
When it comes to whether the bull market has ended or is about to end, there are two supporting bases (the market currently has significant divergence):
1. The bull market has not ended:
A. The previous three rounds of bull market cycles after the halving lasted for 16-17 months (with 1-2 major corrections in between);
B. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts have not clearly ended. Today I found that the probability of no interest rate increase at the Federal Reserve meeting on March 20 is 94%, the probability of no interest rate increase at the meeting on May 8 is 72.2%, and the probability of no rate cut on June 20 is 24.2%, with a 56.8% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut. Therefore, June is the turning point for market recovery, and generally, the market will react in advance after the May 8 Federal Reserve meeting.
C. The MACD on the weekly BTC chart is still quite far from zero and below the zero axis.
2. The bull market has ended or is on the verge of ending:
A. The fluctuations from April to September last year occurred before the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut in September and before Trump's campaign, with clear expectations for significant benefits. Therefore, after the adjustment, there was an expectation of a new high, and stabilizing at 73,000 could break 100,000, which aligns with the anticipated outcome of the interest rate cut. However, the current major correction is genuinely affected by the macro-level suspension of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and new policy influences, and maintaining a strong dollar, along with aggressive policies like imposing tariffs, could lead to rising inflation. Loose monetary policy may begin to tighten, and there have been no significant positive developments recently.
B. The market is in a large-scale bearish trend of adjustment, with daily and weekly charts progressively upgrading adjustments, showing no obvious signs of stopping the decline.
C. Even if a 25 basis point rate cut in June becomes a reality, the rebound it triggers may be very limited, unlikely to match the upward momentum caused by the first and second rate cuts. Furthermore, there is another interest rate hike in Japan in July, and whether BTC can stand above 90,000 to 100,000 again is uncertain. If the low before June is below 73,000, the probability of reaching a new high in the second half of the year is very low. As long as there are no new highs or sustained declines from March to November, it can theoretically be said that the bull market has ended.
Overall, the bearish outlook outweighs the bullish one. Even if there are one or two market movements within the year, they are basically regarded as rebounds, and the possibility of a reversal is quite low, unless Trump cancels the tariff increases, there are more than three rate cuts, Japan stops raising interest rates, or the Russia-Ukraine war ends perfectly, etc. Meeting all these conditions has a low probability. The bottom line is, having faith alone is not useful; risk avoidance is the priority, and only then should opportunities be considered.
1. The bull market has not ended:
A. The previous three rounds of bull market cycles after the halving lasted for 16-17 months (with 1-2 major corrections in between);
B. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts have not clearly ended. Today I found that the probability of no interest rate increase at the Federal Reserve meeting on March 20 is 94%, the probability of no interest rate increase at the meeting on May 8 is 72.2%, and the probability of no rate cut on June 20 is 24.2%, with a 56.8% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut. Therefore, June is the turning point for market recovery, and generally, the market will react in advance after the May 8 Federal Reserve meeting.
C. The MACD on the weekly BTC chart is still quite far from zero and below the zero axis.
2. The bull market has ended or is on the verge of ending:
A. The fluctuations from April to September last year occurred before the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut in September and before Trump's campaign, with clear expectations for significant benefits. Therefore, after the adjustment, there was an expectation of a new high, and stabilizing at 73,000 could break 100,000, which aligns with the anticipated outcome of the interest rate cut. However, the current major correction is genuinely affected by the macro-level suspension of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and new policy influences, and maintaining a strong dollar, along with aggressive policies like imposing tariffs, could lead to rising inflation. Loose monetary policy may begin to tighten, and there have been no significant positive developments recently.
B. The market is in a large-scale bearish trend of adjustment, with daily and weekly charts progressively upgrading adjustments, showing no obvious signs of stopping the decline.
C. Even if a 25 basis point rate cut in June becomes a reality, the rebound it triggers may be very limited, unlikely to match the upward momentum caused by the first and second rate cuts. Furthermore, there is another interest rate hike in Japan in July, and whether BTC can stand above 90,000 to 100,000 again is uncertain. If the low before June is below 73,000, the probability of reaching a new high in the second half of the year is very low. As long as there are no new highs or sustained declines from March to November, it can theoretically be said that the bull market has ended.
Overall, the bearish outlook outweighs the bullish one. Even if there are one or two market movements within the year, they are basically regarded as rebounds, and the possibility of a reversal is quite low, unless Trump cancels the tariff increases, there are more than three rate cuts, Japan stops raising interest rates, or the Russia-Ukraine war ends perfectly, etc. Meeting all these conditions has a low probability. The bottom line is, having faith alone is not useful; risk avoidance is the priority, and only then should opportunities be considered.
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Saw the 70,000 area, saw the 60,000 area
Continue to plummet and break down, short near 89000 during the day, with a space of over 3500 points, I ask you, are you convinced?
Shorts, Yingjie has been calling for a month, saying it would reach the 80-85k range, many did not believe it, from the current trend, do you think it will be far off?
Many have gone from questioning Yingjie to definitely believing in Yingjie, but you will never become Yingjie...
Shorts, Yingjie has been calling for a month, saying it would reach the 80-85k range, many did not believe it, from the current trend, do you think it will be far off?
Many have gone from questioning Yingjie to definitely believing in Yingjie, but you will never become Yingjie...
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How to see that 80,000 should be bearable
Continue to plummet and break down, short near 89000 during the day, with a space of over 3500 points, I ask you, are you convinced?
Shorts, Yingjie has been calling for a month, saying it would reach the 80-85k range, many did not believe it, from the current trend, do you think it will be far off?
Many have gone from questioning Yingjie to definitely believing in Yingjie, but you will never become Yingjie...
Shorts, Yingjie has been calling for a month, saying it would reach the 80-85k range, many did not believe it, from the current trend, do you think it will be far off?
Many have gone from questioning Yingjie to definitely believing in Yingjie, but you will never become Yingjie...
See original
After a round of bull market, the achievements you have announced have already created billions in wealth, so the square is a slaughterhouse, with scraps everywhere.
Short-term single 1100U profit
Early morning video tips
89000 short
Are you following along?
$BTC #比特币价格走势分析
Early morning video tips
89000 short
Are you following along?
$BTC #比特币价格走势分析
See original
Support you, beauty, to always stay in the square and not disappear from time to time. 👍👍👍
BTC short position entry, 89500～90500～91500 can be divided into three entry points, stop loss at 93000. Hanging low points will incur significant stop loss, high points may not be filled, decide at your own discretion. Absolutely do not bottom fish in the short term, the neckline at the top must break down to be considered a breakdown. Next is the start of a periodic pullback. The idea of this position is to break down the neckline, rebound without breaking, and follow the short position idea.
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怎么好长时间没有发动态了
BTC short position entry, 89500～90500～91500 can be divided into three entry points, stop loss at 93000. Hanging low points will incur significant stop loss, high points may not be filled, decide at your own discretion. Absolutely do not bottom fish in the short term, the neckline at the top must break down to be considered a breakdown. Next is the start of a periodic pullback. The idea of this position is to break down the neckline, rebound without breaking, and follow the short position idea.
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美女晚上好啊
BTC short position entry, 89500～90500～91500 can be divided into three entry points, stop loss at 93000. Hanging low points will incur significant stop loss, high points may not be filled, decide at your own discretion. Absolutely do not bottom fish in the short term, the neckline at the top must break down to be considered a breakdown. Next is the start of a periodic pullback. The idea of this position is to break down the neckline, rebound without breaking, and follow the short position idea.
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Harvesting still doesn't hurt, in the end, harvest once more
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