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From September 3rd to 4th, Bitcoin was hovering at 57,700, with almost no fluctuations.
Therefore, the game between long and short sides began to reach a balance, waiting for a new direction. One is waiting for the occurrence of bad news and good news, and the other is looking for a breakthrough point. The most ideal state is a sharp drop of 54,000 and then a sharp rise, breaking through the long orders near 57,000 and sweeping the stop loss.
The biggest disadvantage of a direct rise is that 57700 is the recent important support level, and there are a lot of bottom-fishing orders. If the stop loss is not swept, the rise will be a risky profit.

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On August 28, Bitcoin fell back to the lowest point of 57,900, and there was a big difference between the support level of yesterday's Cognitive Society article
I thought 60,000 was another rebound, but the market control was awesome, and it fell back to 57,900.
The price that had rebounded to 57,700 fell back to where it was, which only means that the market is re-oscillating and the market's bullish confidence has been extinguished again.
There is a high probability of a rate cut in September. The biggest short-term impact on Bitcoin is Nvidia's financial report. This is Bitcoin in the United States, Bitcoin in the U.S. stock market. Various data in the United States have a direct impact on Bitcoin, and there are huge price fluctuations. This is called pricing power.

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On August 26, Bitcoin fell back to a maximum point of 63,300, which perfectly matched the support level of 63,000 in the Cognitive Society article yesterday.
The biggest feature of the 24 years is that the strength of Bitcoin's retracement is expected most of the time, but the decline of the altcoins is a surprise.
Bitcoin rose from 49,000 to 65,000, and fell back a few points, which is a strong consolidation. But the situation of the copycat is different. The decline of TON itself is not bad, but the market confidence has been hit hard.
Recently, the market has been bottoming out at the beginning of the month and rebounding at the end of the month, so be patient and wait for a sharp drop to make up for the losses. When the market rebounds strongly, reduce your position slightly near the cost.

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No update on August 22
On August 21, Bitcoin fell back to the lowest point of 58,500, which perfectly matched the support level of 58,500 in the Cognition Society article yesterday.
On August 20, Bitcoin fell back to the lowest point of 57,700, which perfectly matched the support level of 57,700 in the Cognition Society article yesterday.
Bitcoin is still fluctuating, so I haven't updated it specifically because the points of the fluctuations haven't changed much.
Whether the DEFI sector can become the first to recover, the surge of AAVE and CRV is still not enough to prove it. UNI needs to stand firm at 12 and LINK needs to stand firm at 15, because the market confidence needs to be established. The market value of AAVE CRV is too small. Even if it rises again, it is difficult to show the firm attitude of the main force. UNI LINK is needed as a benchmark to drive everyone to follow suit.

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Bitcoin on August 17th Bitcoin was stuck at 60,000.
It’s not that the selling pressure of Bitcoin at 60,000 is too great, but the market is cooling down. Everyone is waiting for a sharp drop. Everyone is eager for a new low and lower chips. Almost no one wants to chase highs. Therefore, every time the price rises, everyone is very enthusiastic about selling, and when it plummets, the enthusiasm for bottom-fishing is also good.
The real short-term pressure of Bitcoin is 62000-66000, where there are more locked-in orders. The MACD value of Bitcoin's daily line has been competing around 0. Both the long and short sides are working hard, and the market should choose a direction soon.

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Bitcoin fell back to its lowest point of 49,000 on August 4.
After the liquidity providers withdrew their orders, the depth of the market began to have problems, especially the fact that several Ethereum market makers sold Ethereum and left the market, making the market crash unusually smooth.
Bitcoin 49,000 is definitely beyond the expectations of the cognitive society, because it is ridiculous that the support of 57,000 is so easily broken, the lowest point in 24 years and eight months.
BlackRock's super purchasing power should be able to maintain the situation. As long as there is no new major negative news, such as the United States really attacking Israel, Bitcoin should have a big rebound.

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The lowest point of Bitcoin on August 1st, 63,000, is far from the support level in yesterday's article.
The bloodbath at the beginning of the month is here again, indicating that the rebound at the end of the month still does not meet the requirements for stabilization.
Every time Grayscale withdraws ether from the exchange, there is a sharp drop. Everyone in the market is paying attention to Grayscale, and everyone knows that Grayscale's 2.9 million ethers are to be sold. Therefore, Cognition Society repeatedly reminds Grayscale to speed up the sale. It is ideal to sell most of the selling pressure by the end of August. If you sell slowly, you may have to wait one more month until September.

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Bitcoin fell back to the lowest level of 65900 on July 23 and the support level of 65800 mentioned in yesterday’s article.
Although Bitcoin fell due to the selling pressure in Mentougou, the decline was small.
Yesterday, the article Cognition Society reminded that Grayscale had millions of ethers to sell when the Ethereum spot ETF was traded.... As a result, the great BlackRock comrade could not resist Grayscale's selling.......................This..............BlackRock resisted Grayscale's selling when Bitcoin ETF was launched.

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The highest point of Bitcoin's rebound on July 17 was 66,000, which coincides with the pressure point of 66,000 in yesterday's article.
The highest point of Bitcoin's rebound on July 16, 63,300, is far from the pressure point of 66,000 in yesterday's article.
Bitcoin's highest rebound point of 63,300 on July 15 is close to the pressure point of 64,000 in yesterday's article
Bitcoin's highest rebound point on July 14 was 60,300, which is consistent with the pressure point of 60,000 in yesterday's article.
Bitcoin sprinted to 65,100 on July 18 and then fell sharply, which was consistent with the expectations of Cognitive Society.

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The highest point of Bitcoin's rebound on July 17 was 66,000, which coincides with the pressure point of 66,000 in yesterday's article.
The highest point of Bitcoin's rebound on July 16, 63,300, is far from the pressure point of 66,000 in yesterday's article.
Bitcoin's highest rebound point of 63,300 on July 15 is close to the pressure point of 64,000 in yesterday's article
Bitcoin's highest rebound point on July 14 was 60,300, which is consistent with the pressure point of 60,000 in yesterday's article.
Bitcoin is in a very strong consolidation.
The attitude of Cognitive Society is stable. Unless there is a positive stimulus from the Ethereum spot ETF trading, it is very unlikely that Bitcoin will stabilize at 67,000. If Ethereum and Bitcoin sprint together, it will be difficult to last too long. In this round of copycat killing, there is no voice of entry in the entire encryption industry. No friends around you ask you how to enter the market.

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The highest point of Bitcoin's rebound on July 16, 63,300, is far from the pressure point of 66,000 in yesterday's article.
Bitcoin's highest rebound point of 63,300 on July 15 is close to the pressure point of 64,000 in yesterday's article
Bitcoin's highest rebound point on July 14 was 60,300, which is consistent with the pressure point of 60,000 in yesterday's article.
The negative impact of Mentougou directly interrupted the strong rebound of Bitcoin. It is a big negative in the short term, but a great positive in the long term. The negative impact of Mentougou has shrouded the cryptocurrency circle for ten years, and it will be faced sooner or later.

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Bitcoin's highest rebound point of 63,300 on July 15 is close to the pressure point of 64,000 in yesterday's article
Bitcoin's highest rebound point on July 14 was 60,300, which is consistent with the pressure point of 60,000 in yesterday's article.
The highest point of Bitcoin's rebound on July 13 was 58,900, which coincides with the pressure point of 59,200 in yesterday's article.
Bitcoin fell back to the lowest point of 56,500 on July 12, close to the support level of 57,000 in yesterday's article
This is a bit exaggerated one-sided market, a one-sided rebound after a sharp drop. The consequence of the main force's one-sided control is that you dare to bet on the lowest point, and the decline will continue... If you want to open a position on the right side, it has already risen in one wave.

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Bitcoin's highest rebound point on July 6 was 57,300, which is close to the pressure point of 58,000 in yesterday's article.
Bitcoin's lowest point on July 5 was 53,300, which coincides with the support level of 54,000 in yesterday's article.
Bitcoin's lowest point on July 4th was 56,800, which coincides with the support level of 57,000 in yesterday's article.
The highest point of Bitcoin's rebound on July 3 was 63,800, which coincides with the pressure point of 64,000 in yesterday's article.
The highest point of Bitcoin's rebound on July 2 was 63,800, which coincides with the pressure point of 64,000 in yesterday's article.

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On June 23, Bitcoin fell to around 64,000. The decline was small, but due to the long-term decline, the market's copycats dared not rebound.
The inability to rebound after such a sharp drop has made the market completely desperate. If the Bitcoin spot ETF flows out again, it is likely that Bitcoin will need a sharp drop to stabilize the market.
There is no particularly strong support level for Bitcoin at this position. 59,000 is considered average, because many institutions are selling Bitcoin spot ETFs and preparing to build positions in Ethereum spot ETFs.
There is still some time before the Ethereum spot ETF is open for trading, so every time there is a sharp drop in Ethereum, it is the first thing to consider.