$BTC $ETH Recently, I have been thinking whether the explosion of memes means that altcoins have been abandoned. Some may say that ETH also has ETFs, which are also accepted assets. But the ultimate question is only one: if the final purpose of web3 products, especially these circulating products, is trading, then why has a pilot project not been formed until now? In fact, El Salvador is a very good pilot. If we really want to welcome the altcoin season, it is simple; other small countries can just learn from El Salvador. Bitcoin has a pilot project, so Bitcoin has a bull market and value. You can say that Bitcoin is not worth 100,000 or 50,000, but you must admit that Bitcoin can be used as a reserve and currency; Bitcoin has value. But what about NFTs and memes, these two recent hot topics? With so many KOLs questioning them, can we simply brush it off with 'it's just jealousy because they didn't make money'? Ignoring these criticisms is truly an insult to one's intelligence.
The demand between $BTC 92000 and 93000 is very high. We do not need to understand this from the perspective of speculation on rises and falls; it is a definition of value price, indicating that this price is the position of the main force. If there is fluctuation, it will not deviate from 92000, for example, fluctuating between 85000 and 90000, which will not happen in January.
$AI Tips for making money, using AI as an example, AI is a coin that oscillates at the bottom of 0.5 and has recently resisted falling. At the position corresponding to the resistance level of Bitcoin, short orders directly set a 1% stop loss, such as 0.7 set a 0.707 stop loss and 0.65 take profit, which is very easy to touch the top. The principle is that junk coins distributed for resistance to falling will basically be shipped by a certain real negative line of BTC. For example, BTC rebounds to 95,000 and then a 2% real negative line to 93,000. At this time, AI will directly cut you by 30% to 0.5. This is the ending of the coins with weak trading volume in this round of altcoins. Because for coins with high trading volume, such as ACT and PNUTS, the dealer knows that there are many players and the market has been formed, so he can harvest them in a complete process. However, for coins that are neither high nor low, when the market has no momentum and the exchange has no leeks, they are anxious. They dare not pull the market for fear of making less money, so they play without pattern. What does it mean to have no pattern? No pattern means there is no big positive line. The big positive line is the kind of positive line that rises from 0.4 to 10, not the positive line that rises from 0.4 to 0.5.
$DOGE Although the entire cryptocurrency industry is going to enter a period of volatility. But I want to emphasize that as long as you, Marco, are still alive during this term, DOGE will have a spring. Some people ask what other copycats besides Bitcoin have a consensus, this community or that community, I want to ask which community has a greater consensus than DOGE, which replaces 50% of the federal government budget? Let's not talk about all Republican voters, let's say that 5% of Americans support this policy, that is 15 million Americans, most of these Americans have their money in US stocks, and some in DOGE, this is the basic market of DOGE.
$DOGE My current position is all Dogecoin, at 30%. I originally predicted that the major support would be around 0.35, but it is uncertain at present, because there were a lot of negative news in the entire cryptocurrency circle in the first half of the year. If you don’t know what it is, you just need to know that it is negative. The rise of Dogecoin really depends on Lao Ma. Once it falls below the previous low with Big Pie and Second Pie, it will be all over, and it will go directly back to around 0.2 before the pullback at the end of October.
$BTC This bull market is not over yet, and there are new highs to come. However, this round of correction has not started yet. After breaking the super support of 92,000, there is another super support at 85,000. Adding positions should not be done at 92,000.
$BTC I am short, and all my heavy positions in WLD, FET, PNUTS, and BTC are closed. More than 100,300 is not my script, and my script ends here. Waiting for a callback to 95,000, if there is no callback, forget it. Today is the 10th day of fixed investment in DOGE. It is very uncomfortable and I really want to close the position, but I still plan to continue fixed investment until the 20th.
$BTC I just said last night that I saw 100k upwards, and now it's already 99,500. If it breaks 100,000 during the daytime on Monday Beijing time, we can stop operations. Above 100,000 is a daily breakout of the Bollinger Bands, and the key point is that there must be volume; without volume, there is no judgment. When players in a game continuously decrease, being bullish or bearish is unfounded; all analysis is about analyzing the opponents, and the opponents haven't entered yet. Currently, friends who are FOMOing don't need to FOMO anymore. In this kind of market, it’s better to wait for a pullback or significant volume. Right now is not a bull market; it’s the upper level of a consolidation. Going long now is just the most foolish chasing and panic selling.
$BTC did not expect this fluctuation range to be so high, 92,000 is the big bottom? If we consider 108,000 as 70,000, then 92,000 is equivalent to 60,000. We are trying to find the bottom at 49,800, which is equivalent to 77,000. We know there has only been one spike down to 49,800, and with the current liquidity of 85,000, we can conclude: 85,000 will definitely be broken, and it does not mean the bull market is over. However, there are currently no signs of this breaking, in fact, Bitcoin's market is so boring right now that there are completely no highlights.
Tomorrow's close of US stocks at 1.6 is extremely, extremely critical
$BTC The big pancake Bollinger band breaks through the middle track on the weekend + pullback confirmation. Theoretically, setting a stop-loss at the middle track allows for leveraged long positions. Looking up to 100,000. However, the overall rise this week has very low trading volume, and it's getting smaller, indicating a holiday market. It is recommended to monitor the market closely on Monday night for long positions, and to go long during sideways movements. If it breaks below the daily middle track or shows a solid bearish candle, you can short. The most important thing is to set a stop-loss, oscillating around the middle track. $DOGE More interesting, rejected at the upper boundary breakout. Generally, it will move sideways and oscillate, waiting for the middle track to rise. This performance feels very much like a pullback to the middle track starting a bull market. Looking down to 0.34, then looking up to the previous high of 0.49. Specifically, building a position on dips from 0.38 to 0.34, in small batches.
$DOGE $DOGE has a very convincing bullish theory. Those who have been watching DOGE understand that before the rally from 0.2, there was a doubling over two days, which accompanied the changes in election win probabilities on Polymarket, also known as the pre-election market. Trump started making results on November 5th and began to rally. Both processes have increased by 100%. The fluctuation between 0.4 and 0.48 seems more like a distribution to me, as BTC hasn’t moved, and DOGE has consistently had an independent market at a high position. So this time it’s a pullback to the previous high at 0.3, and the coronation market doubles to around 1, perhaps breaking through to 1.2, and then it will still be a distribution process. During this period, we will see historical new highs for BTC and ETH, but when BTC pulls back sharply, DOGE will quickly be cut in half—just like every historical pullback.
$DOGE Now, if ETH experiences any downward spike or pullback, for example around 3300, even just 10%, it would trigger decisive panic because too many people have chased the price up this time, pulling the rug out from under them. But this means that the time to buy altcoins is getting closer; it is already certain that altcoins are underperforming BTC. For altcoins to hit the bottom, they still need to underperform ETH. The long-term bottom for ETH has already appeared, which is between 2500-3000. At prices below 3000, ETH can maintain its exchange rate against BTC. In other words, the next focus should be on the altcoin to ETH exchange rate, buying on dips.
The Nature and Future of MSTR Frenzy (Written for Retail Investors)
$BTC Michael's true business logic is not that the supply and demand of other stocks determine valuation prices, but that when he (self-proclaimed) becomes the foremost disciple of God (btc), followers will give him more worship (premium) due to his devoutness. In this worship value system, his competitors are the followers of other gods, competing on who is more devout (buying btc without considering costs); the more devout followers will receive a higher premium. The truth of this faith lies in the fact that as long as Michael never sells btc for dollars, the followers who follow Michael will eventually become the earliest devout believers like him. The biggest problem with this value system is that 99% of the followers are not following (investing) because of Michael's self-proclaimed devoutness; these followers believe Michael's good life is due to his dollars, not btc, and they also want to pretend to be devout to trick some dollars.
$DOGE Look down to see 0.2 (Bitcoin 86,000) for regular investment and positioning Then look up to see 0.6 (Bitcoin 119,000), this position is around Q3 2025 Further ahead, watch the interest rate cut rhythm and altcoin exchange rates. If it is a bear market for altcoins in Q3 next year, then most altcoins can be ambushed, of course, it may not be such a good thing.
The Christmas poker table lacks follow-ups; kids should not play around carelessly.
$DOGE I'll repeat it again, do not trade recently. First of all, global liquidity is currently in the Christmas market; there are no people on the streets of Paris. Staring at random fluctuations of two or three points is worse than sleeping. Since the last time the big pie was at 92, it has not moved into a new trend at all, not even a fluctuating trend. There are no entry points and no take-profit points. Unless you are an expert at trading 1-second and 1-minute lines, then let’s just say I concede. I have found that many experienced retail investors do not understand one thing: the role of leverage and spot is to serve your risk-reward ratio. If you are certain that it can rise by 1%, then using 100 times leverage with a 1% take-profit is the same as being certain that it can double and holding onto the spot.
$DOGE I posted an article yesterday about how to predict Dogecoin. I wrote it in the early morning after drinking too much. So many leeks like to read it and give me thumbs up. Don’t you have a brain? How do I know Musk’s (Zhuang) holdings? Does Musk lack this little money? The relationship between Musk and the exchange, the real distribution of Dogecoin chips, are all fucking metaphysics. You thought it was 0.01, but in fact you missed 3 zeros. People believe whatever I write. Binance Chinese circle is pure tmnt. They don’t read arbitrage tutorials or white papers and come to Binance Square to study seriously, right? Instead of looking at the K-line of doge, you might as well look at the exchange rate.