$BTC rose in the east and fell in the west. At 9:30, BTC opened at the A-share market and went south on time. It dropped from 69500 to 68710, a drop of more than 1 point.
If it doesn’t fall, there will be a rebound. The possibility of a short-term "waterfall" is not great, because the US election must maintain the stability of the stock market. The real money and silver support will not cause a stock market crash, and the big cake will not fall sharply.
But the superficial prosperity is ultimately an illusion, and it will eventually return to reality.
But then again, if this is the last time to pull the market to hype the election, it is not surprising that the big cake is pulled to 72,000 during this period. As long as the dog dealer is willing to spend money to pull it to 80,000, there is no problem, but the question is, can retail investors take it? Who will take over if there is no incremental funds in the market?
After the election, what is coming will eventually come. The US has a lot of holes waiting to be filled, and the false economic data should be "repaired"🤣
Then the stocks will fall, and the US dollar will continue to depreciate. The cryptocurrency world is not getting any better. If you continue to hold on to your coins and hope that a bull market is coming, and the main force will let you have a big meal, I suggest you wake up first, okay? 😄
In my opinion, the general trend is gone, and another round of bull market is about to end. The bears are already quietly staring at you from the ceiling😄 #美股连涨六周 #BTC要挑战7W大关了吗?
$BTC The short-term market is still bearish. The tension between South Korea and North Korea is somewhat bearish. The US airstrike on Syria and Israel's strike plan against Iran will be implemented.
According to reports, North Korea warned South Korea that it would attack it if a drone flew over its airspace again. South Korea previously said that a large amount of "air garbage" flew from North Korea, and the drones and air garbage of North and South Korea harassed each other.
But North Korea seems to be serious. Last night, it ordered the front line to "prepare to shoot" and immediately attack South Korea as long as it provokes again.
But South Korea responded by denying the launch of drones and is investigating whether it was a civil group.
Although the Internet incident fermented that South Korea and North Korea were going to fight, I think it is unlikely. This is just an external warning, not a real fight.
But South Korea, where everyone is speculating in cryptocurrencies, has some impact on the subsequent market trend.
Personal opinion: Minor negative news appears frequently, be cautious when chasing longs Big negative news fails, don’t go too far when shorting Wait for a small correction, and buy more when it rebounds If there is a big correction, don’t buy more #美联储会议纪要曝9月降息幅度有分歧 #9月美国CPI实现6连降 #美国9月PPI年率高于预期
$BTC Today's market is extremely strange. Without any major positive news, it has been nearly 4,000 points. This trend is a bit like the decline of 65,000 at the end of August. It also fell to 52,000 without any major negative news. If it follows the previous trend, it may be pulled to around 70,000 inexplicably. It is unreasonable to force all the shorts to explode. Please be careful if you continue to short. There must be something wrong when things are abnormal! The only possibility at present is that these longs have built a large number of positions and are betting on Trump's election in the US election. If this is true, it makes sense. Build positions in advance and wait for the good news of the election to land, and then sell them to make a profit when the good news is realized. #9月美国CPI实现6连降 #特朗普当选概率上升 #多军的反击
$BTC The fraudulent blogger Yongzhuan has come up with a big movie again
Now the price has fallen below the limit, why did you call for shorting now?
Oh, you are busy collecting membership fees and cutting leeks, and you were calling for people to open long positions and look at 70,000 yuan before
I have been reminding you continuously for a long time that the downward trend is mainly shorting.
Don't be afraid to add short positions when the price rises sharply. I never delete my historical posts.
It is purely to share personal ideas and market views. The purpose of posting is not only to give you reference, but also to record my misjudgment of the market.
Sincerely hope that everyone will make more and lose less
High leverage is not advisable. If you make a mistake once, it will be zero. Short-term trading is difficult to grasp. Don't open contracts for copycats. You can only play with light positions and low multiples.
The medium and long term is the most stable profit-making method for ordinary people, but it is only suitable for BTC's 5-10 times contracts. Copycats should not do medium and long-term trading. The pattern will turn profits into losses overnight.
The CPI data will be released again tonight. According to convention, it should be false data that exceeds expectations. But false data also has its role. It should rebound a little, and then temporarily stop falling and stabilize.
If the data is not false, it will fall below 6w and plummet.
$BTC The waterfall is coming again, run! Minutes of the US monetary meeting, the vast majority of people support a further 50 basis point rate cut, a small number support 25 basis points
The US President discussed with the Israeli President by phone and made plans for the "ground operation" in Lebanon
Run away from long positions! Killing people! My short position will continue to be closed below 58,000
$BTC The waterfall is about to start again. Please see the two blockbuster news released in the early morning
The Israeli Prime Minister and the US President talked on the phone to discuss Israel's response to the Iranian attack
In addition, Biden also urged Netanyahu to plan for the "follow-up actions" of the ground operation in Lebanon. But as of now, the Israeli officials and the White House have not announced the specific content of the call
Federal Reserve Minutes: A sharp interest rate cut is not a concern about the economy, nor a signal of a rapid interest rate cut
The vast majority of people support the 50 basis point rate cut that was finally approved, and a small number support a 25 basis point rate cut.
The minutes of the meeting said that officials agreed that the larger interest rate cuts passed by the meeting should not be seen as a signal of concern about the economic outlook, nor as a signal that the Federal Reserve is ready to cut interest rates quickly.
$BTC has been saying before that we should open short positions in batches, open at highs, and add short positions when the price surges.
Even if we didn't open short positions at 6.4w, we should have made money by starting to open positions at 6.2w and adding short positions all the way to 6.4w. On the contrary, those who chased the price all the way to 6.4w and ran slowly were mostly buried.
I have a feeling that the big one is coming soon, and short positions can continue to be held. The next target is the 57500 line.
In the short term, we don't consider going long on the rebound against the trend. The real pants have fallen, and it is still unknown whether the 5.7w line can be held. If it can't be held, then we will see more than 5w😂 #PeterTodd否认自己是中本聪
$BTC The U.S. stock market was closed for the past two days, and the big cake can be said to have gone out of the textbook sideways, and it was around 62,000, which made people have no desire to open an order.
But the continuous shrinking volume formed a straight line, and it was obvious that the trader was controlling the market at this time, and only a lower cost was needed.
Then everyone can infer why the dealer needs the big cake to maintain the 62,000 line. Is the K line hidden to lure more or less?
Combined with the recent big data, although the non-agricultural data is very good for U.S. assets, indicating that the economy is still strong and has not declined, the data has been falsely reported countless times and revised down too many times, and not many people believe it, so the Nasdaq has only risen by 1.2%, which can be said to have little effect. And the big cake did not further strengthen after the U.S. stock market closed.
Looking at the conflict between Lebanon, Iran and Israel, it is further escalating, and U.S. President Biden and Israel are discussing "counterattack" matters.
The strike of US port workers has caused a lot of economic losses. With the depreciation of the US dollar during the interest rate cut cycle, the A-shares of Dongda have risen.
The "inflation bull" caused by the US interest rate hike has been over for more than half a year. The bull has come and it is a waste of time. It is recommended to give up the fantasy that the dog dealer will not pull it again at this time. If there is still a bull, the next bull should happen next year. I call it the "interest rate cut bull".
Personal opinion: short at highs, add short positions when the price soars
$BTC Due to the positive economic data from non-agricultural data, the US stock market opened higher and rose slightly. The Nasdaq rose by about 1.16%, the S&P 500 rose by 0.61%, and the Bitcoin also rose slightly to 6.2w. Whether it can continue to rise depends on whether the US stock market will open high and go low in the second half of the night.
Personal opinion: The general trend is still a downward trend. This wave of rise belongs to the repair of oversold rebound. The conflict between Israel and Iran is not clear yet, so it is not recommended to go long at this time. Tomorrow, the US stock market will be closed on the weekend. The specific change day may have to wait until the opening of the A-share market after the National Day. If the A-share market can continue to open high and go high, then the funds in the currency circle may be lost more. The current positive news only allows Bitcoin to stop falling and stabilize. If there is no major positive or negative news in the future, it is likely to fluctuate sideways. #非农人数大幅升温 #9月小非农数据高于预期 #美国失业率创6月以来新低 #大A香还是大饼香
$BTC never deletes posts after the fact. I suggested to open short positions in batches near 6.5w. The breakthrough of 6.6w was blocked and closed with a large upper shadow line, and then the market slowly fell below the trend line Confirmed that the market will reverse, and immediately let the air force charge! Believe me, as long as you don’t have a 100x leverage, adding positions in batches is already a numbness. The next target is around 61500. If it can’t be stopped and falls below 59000, then look directly at the 5w line
$BTC Israeli army claims to have killed Hezbollah leader Nasrallah
Jinshi Data reported on September 28 that the Israeli Defense Forces issued a new statement today saying that the leader of Hezbollah in Lebanon, Nasrallah, was killed in an airstrike. Hezbollah in Lebanon has not responded to this for the time being. On the evening of September 27, local time, a violent explosion occurred in the southern suburbs of Beirut, the capital of Lebanon. IDF spokesman Hagari said that the Israeli army airstrikes the headquarters of Hezbollah in Lebanon that day. Israeli and American media quoted Israeli sources as saying that the leader of Hezbollah in Lebanon, Nasrallah himself, was the target of the attack. (From Jinshi Data App)
$BTC has been repeatedly pulling below 6.5w in recent days. It tried to break through several times, but then it would return to its original shape.
This trend has gradually turned many shorts into longs, because as long as it breaks through 6.5w, the profits above are very tempting.
But I am still bearish. In this big trend of both long and short explosions, the expectation of interest rate cut has been pulled from 5.3w to 6.4w. In my opinion, the good news has been almost digested. Unless there are new good news in succession, there is no potential for continued rise.
Personal opinion: The sickle has been raised, and the long position is hanging on the top of the mountain. Open positions in batches, and short to 55,000. #本周美国将公布PCE、GDP数据 $BTC
$BTC As expected, the guess was right. It was still a double explosion of long and short positions. This time, the retracement will look below 6w.
If it falls below 5.9w, then I personally think that the bullish trend will reverse to a bearish trend.
If you want to continue to go long, you can try to go long around 6w. It is recommended to keep the position below half. If the bullish trend reverses, 6w may not be able to hold.
It must stabilize near 6w to confirm support, and then follow the bullish signal to enter the market. The 6w position is only suitable for right-side trading. The long position for left-side trading is around 5w. So stop when you see a good profit, and take one or two thousand points.
The first target point for short positions is 6w, and then observe the market trend and consider the next operation. $BTC #TerraformLabs破产清算 #BananaGun钱包被盗
$BTC 62000 is weak in rising and is flat. Let's see a correction tonight and then pick up around 6w. The breakthrough order of 61000 in the morning has been closed.
Although 6.2w can be shorted, the rising market is bearish and not shorting.
Let's watch the performance of US stocks tonight with an empty position!
$BTC #美联储宣布降息50个基点 #美国8月零售销售环比好于预期 The interest rate cut has been implemented, which is good news for the market. The expected implementation of the unanimous positive factors, such as halving, will become bad news.
Recently, I have been buying on dips based on the news. I am considering buying more after a retracement.
I am afraid of missing out and have already bought half of my position at the current price. The first profit target is 64500
$BTC I will guess the scenario after the interest rate cut Before the meeting, it fluctuated around 6w, and the meeting confirmed the implementation of the interest rate cut. US stocks rose collectively. $BTC followed the rise
Break the previous 6.5w pressure level and then form a big pit. After 6.5w fluctuates for a period of time, it chooses to break upward
It is expected to peak above 6.8w but cannot break through 7w, and then the positive news is digested. The market lacks continued driving force, so the market will naturally fall
Falling to around 6.3w, bad news frequently appears, and the market begins to accelerate the decline of 63000-60000-53000. Because 5w has strong support, short-term profit-taking and long-term position building market temporarily stop falling
When the shock was over and it was about to rise, another black swan came and directly broke through 5w, sweeping away all the profit-taking orders that had been made at 4.9w.
Then the market began to panic, and a large number of retail investors were bearish on 1w and pessimism spread.
Washed until the end of December when King of Understanding came to power and issued major favorable policies and CZ was released from prison. $BTC 35000-55000 pulled 20000 overnight and it was very easy. No one rushed to buy at the bottom of the panic and the chips were sufficient. Then it kept pulling until the previous high and encountered pressure to fall again, and then encountered new policies and favorable conditions to break through the 8w mark.
The top of this bull market is expected to be 10w. Those who brag about 50w or even 100w should get up first and stop daydreaming. #美国大选如何影响加密产业? #美联储利率决议公布在即
$BTC The market closed on the weekend. The market failed to break through 61,000 again. So we will see fluctuations in the next two days. It may be damaged by the market maker's sneak attack at any time.
It may fluctuate in the range of 58,000-60,000. It is recommended to get on the long side after the pin. It is easy to wear out when making orders at garbage time. It is recommended to place orders at the bottom of the range.
Although interest rate cuts are a high-probability event, as long as the probability is not 100%, you must be prepared for defense and retreat.
Personal opinion: long-term bullish, short-term volatility