Most people lack patience, and because of this, most people have become the fodder.

Everyone desires to make money in a very short time, such as daily settlements, within 4 hours or even 1 hour.

In the current market, as long as you place orders at the positions where support and resistance levels swap, the win rate or risk-reward ratio will be relatively high. If you place orders at the 4-hour or daily level, the win rate will be even greater.

If you make 20 to 30 trades in a month, the chance of winning is quite large. If you persist in placing orders at the weekly level and hold your positions, you might encounter situations like July 1st, August 5th, or September 2nd, where there is a 10% drop in a week; having such an opportunity once a month is enough.

With this, it is very possible to accumulate a profit of over 30% in these three months.

However, people often have expectations of earning 10 times to 100 times in a month, which will only lead to faster losses. Even if there are no losses, the transaction fees will gradually erode the profits.

Take Bitcoin for example; it is currently still above the descending channel, and the 70,000 level is crucial. Only by stabilizing above 70,000 can a bullish trend be established. If it breaks below the trend line, Bitcoin will again operate within the descending channel.

In this case, you can place orders at the 4-hour level.

The support level for long positions is 67704 and 66909, while the resistance level for short positions is 71540 and 70541. You can place orders at these levels and set proper stop losses, as this kind of operation has a high risk-reward ratio, and the risk of receiving orders is low. Even if you don't receive any orders, you won't incur losses, leading to a greater overall chance of winning.

#美国大选后涨或跌？ #比特币矿工收入飙升 #美联储利率决议来袭 #BANANA、ADA、ENA大额解锁

In terms of the market, Bitcoin faced resistance and retreated near a new high position, which is a very normal phenomenon to encounter selling pressure at this level. From a weekly perspective, there is a divergence situation, and a large number of chips have a demand for profit-taking. However, there is support below 70,000, which will test the strength of market demand.

From a larger perspective, it is still a continuation structure. Although a structure similar to a double top has appeared in terms of shape, generally speaking, bull-bear reversals do not present double top patterns with such a long interval.

The biggest uncertainty in the market this week is the election. Looking back at history, it can be seen that after the election, Bitcoin prices have generally risen, without exception.

From a short-term impact perspective, due to the decline in Trump's approval rating over the weekend, the coin price has already begun a wave of adjustment. This trend can be seen as a preemptive digestion of the negative news of Trump's defeat, also known as Price in.

Therefore, if Trump loses, although the coin price will fall, the extent is expected to be not too large;

If Trump wins, the probability of a significant increase in Bitcoin is relatively high.

ETH is in a state of correlation with Bitcoin, and its exchange rate remains weak, with strong demand for a rebound in the future.

In terms of altcoins, given the recent weak performance of Bitcoin and the uncertainty brought by the election, market funds are showing a strong wait-and-see sentiment, leading to a widespread decline in the altcoin market, while Bitcoin's market capitalization ratio further increases.

Weak-performing altcoins are once again testing bottom support, while relatively strong altcoins are showing right-side adjustment trends.

The altcoin market will only regain strength after Bitcoin has completely strengthened.

So, we need to be patient.

Market data: The Fear and Greed Index is 70.

#美国大选后涨或跌？ #比特币矿工收入飙升 #美联储利率决议来袭 #BANANA、ADA、ENA大额解锁

After the perplexing fluctuations on Sunday, I wonder how your positions are holding up?

Starting from the highest point of 73600 on October 30, the price retraced to 67482, with a pullback of 6000 dollars, approximately 8%.

During this period, the impact of news was significant. After the data was released last Friday night, the price initially surged, only to be met with a sell-off, which put both bulls and bears under pressure.

The drop on Sunday may have been an attempt by bears to drive down the price to test the endurance of long positions.

I noticed that there were passive buy orders appearing at the price level of 67500, which played a protective role for that price.

From the 1-hour (1H) chart, the price broke below the 1-hour line multiplied by 400 exponential moving average (1Hx400EMA), then found support at the upper edge of an expanding wedge, and has since rebounded, reclaiming the 1H x 400EMA, and also recovering the 4-hour line multiplied by 120 exponential moving average (4H x120EMA).

Starting today through Wednesday, it coincides with the US election period, and the market is expected to be very volatile during these days. Everyone should take defensive measures and exercise caution when adding positions.

The liquidity chart for the past 24 hours indicates that liquidity is running low.

At this stage, my trading strategy continues to revolve around moving averages, but the opening and closing operations will be quicker to prevent BTC from testing the 4-hour line multiplied by 200 exponential moving average (4H x 200EMA).

In summary, the drop over the weekend was indeed strange, and we must always remain vigilant.

#美国大选后行情预测 #美国大选后涨或跌？ #比特币矿工收入飙升

In the cryptocurrency space, a7 users may face poverty for the following three reasons:

First, purchasing new coins. This is a common tactic used by market makers, who exchange new coins for the BTC in your hands. New coins often come with high risks and great uncertainty in their value. Many times, they are tools used by market makers to harvest investors. Once involved, it is very likely to suffer significant losses.

Second, participating in contract trading. This is a quite dangerous activity; not only can a7 users become impoverished because of it, but take an a8 big shot I know for example, who lost over 4 million U in just a year. The leveraged nature of margin trading can amplify profits, but it also exponentially increases risks. A small fluctuation can lead to huge losses, and investors can easily lose everything in such high-risk trades.

Third, wallet theft issues. Many investors work hard to accumulate assets to reach the a7 level, only to potentially lose everything overnight due to wallet theft. In the cryptocurrency space, wallets of institutions and celebrities are often targeted by thieves, let alone ordinary investors. If security measures have any vulnerabilities, the safety of assets can be severely threatened.

#美国大选后行情预测 #非农就业人数大幅降温 #美国大选后涨或跌？

I observed SOL and plan to go long near 165.7.

SOL has followed the market and experienced a significant decline, with a considerable retracement. From the intraday trend, there is a slight rebound trend.

When the price reaches this second low position, a long position can be taken to seize a rebound opportunity.

The stop-loss is set at 162, and the target price is 177.

This setup gives a very advantageous risk-reward ratio, and if successful, the profits will be quite substantial.

There will still be data tonight that can affect the market, so after entering the position, pay close attention to market changes.

#美国大选后行情预测 #市场关注美国非农数据 #sol板块

Stay Calm! Stay Steady!

The day of the U.S. election is approaching, and the complex situation resembling wild punches hitting a seasoned master is reappearing!

For the two candidates, Trump and Harris, no matter who ultimately wins, it is actually beneficial for the cryptocurrency market. After all, the crypto world is a profitable field; how could it not have support?

Today, Bitcoin has pulled back to around the support level of 69,000, while Ethereum has pulled back to around 2,460. Bitcoin is showing a pullback action after a breakout, whereas Ethereum is still in a consolidation range. As long as there are no effective breakouts, there shouldn't be any major issues.

We just need to wait for the market to stabilize before entering again.

#美国大选后行情预测 #市场关注美国非农数据 #下一BTC历史新高是多少？ #TIA超大额解锁

Bitcoin long-term investors are actively preparing for a price increase.

The 30-day average net position change indicator for Bitcoin long-term investors is an important metric for understanding changes in the number of holdings among long-term investors.

Currently, this indicator reached a peak in mid-September and is now showing a negative value.

However, it is worth noting that this negative net inflow value has decreased by 2.5 times compared to the previous peak, which means long-term investors are not aggressively selling off.

The reason they are only moderately selling is that they hope to hold onto their tokens in anticipation of a rise in Bitcoin prices.

#美国大选后行情预测 #下一BTC历史新高是多少？ #BTC挑战历史最高价

Sharing Experience in Cryptocurrency Trading

A sharp decline is a great test for high-quality coins.

When the market plummets, if the coins you hold only experience a minor drop, this clearly indicates that the market makers are supporting the price, preventing it from falling. For such coins, you can hold them with confidence, as they will surely yield returns in the future.

If beginners are unsure how to buy and sell, here is a simple and direct method.

For short-term trading, just hold the coin as long as its price is above the 5-day moving average, and sell once it drops below the 5-day line; for medium-term trading, use the 20-day moving average as a standard, and sell if it falls below the 20-day line. There are various trading methods, and the best one is the one that suits you.

The difficulty in trading is not the lack of methods, but in execution. As long as you mindlessly stick to one method, you can surpass 90% of the people because, remember, simplicity is the ultimate sophistication.

Once a main upward wave forms, and there is no significant increase in volume, be decisive in buying.

Continue to hold during volume increases, and also hold when there is a volume decrease as long as the trend is not broken; if there is a volume decline and the trend is broken, quickly reduce your position.

After a short-term buy, if the price does not fluctuate within three days, take the opportunity to sell.

If after buying the price not only fails to rise but instead falls, and your loss reaches 5%, you must stop loss unconditionally.

If a coin has dropped 50% from its peak and has fallen for 8 consecutive days, it indicates that it has entered an oversold channel, and an oversold rebound is often imminent; at this point, consider following up.

When trading cryptocurrencies, focus on leading coins and only operate with them; do not touch those miscellaneous coins. This is because during an uptrend, leading coins have the largest gains, and during a downturn, they are the most resilient.

Do not hesitate to enter the market out of fear. Trading cryptocurrencies is often counterintuitive; do not buy just because a coin has dropped significantly, nor should you avoid buying just because it has risen a lot.

Often, the coins that seem most unappealing to buy will rise the most, while those that seem attractive will fall; this is the principle of the strong getting stronger. When trading leading coins for the short term, the most important thing is to buy at a high price and then sell at an even higher price!

The bull market has just begun. If your funds are limited and you do not want to choose Bitcoin, but hope to gain several times the returns through altcoins, yet do not know which coin to buy, then follow me; I will guide everyone in positioning for the entire bull market.

#下一BTC历史新高是多少？ #BinanceBlockchainWeek #美国大选后行情预测

Look at the monthly chart of Ethereum (ETH), what's going on here?

With this trend, there are still people talking to me about a raging bull market?

I have always maintained a bearish view on Ethereum, believing it will fall back below 2000, and this opinion has never changed.

Now Ethereum is languishing, Bitcoin's (BTC) market share plus the proportion of stablecoins is nearing 70%, can Bitcoin really soar to 100,000 on its own? That's simply a joke.

Many people say they like to see me being obstinate and sticking to my views.

However, I also hope you can push Ethereum's price up in November; if the monthly candlestick can exceed 2820, I would be willing to admit I was wrong this time and humbly bow my head once.

#BinanceBlockchainWeek #下一BTC历史新高是多少？ #比特币白皮书16周年

Yesterday, when the market showed no significant fluctuations, BlackRock purchased 12,000 Bitcoins, worth nearly 900 million. This portion of funds actually belongs to arbitrage funds, which buy in the spot market and then short in the futures market where there is a premium.

When such large-scale, high-level arbitrage funds start to enter the market, it often indicates that the market has entered its final phase.

Therefore, in our actual observations, we find that when ETF funds flow in massively, the market is likely at a peak; and when ETF funds flow out on a large scale, the market may be at a bottom.

#下一BTC历史新高是多少？ #小非农ADP走高 #狗狗币创数月新高

It's normal for imitation to be difficult

The current situation can be described as the funds within the circle are competing, flowing here and there.

Eventually, the funds slowly concentrate in the hands of a few, who may choose to take over some large-scale risky assets, rather than opening their own or cashing out.

Currently, a relatively safe strategy is to wait for the market to break through, creating room for upward movement, and then observe the subsequent flow of funds. Opportunities for sector rotation can be found among the top twenty gainers, as not all projects can significantly rise at the same time.

The liquidity of sectors in the secondary market is usually much slower than in the primary market, so there's no need to worry about a lack of opportunities. Typically, a leading stock will first appear on the gainers list, followed by a few trailing projects that will also enter the top twenty, and finally rise together, after which they will switch to the next sector.

#下一BTC历史新高是多少？

$BTC 4H #Just a little bit away
Strong upward movement, there’s slight selling pressure at the historical high but it’s not a big issue
Nothing much to analyze, just going up, and no bearish signals
Continuing towards the target, cautiously optimistic

#狗狗币创数月新高

Rhythm from today to next week:

Today, reduce the long position by 60% at highs, and short about 20% of the long position at highs (take profit target for long positions), and sell 10% of the spot with the highest increase.

On Friday and Saturday, buy on dips, and on Tuesday and Wednesday next week, reduce the long position by 80%, sell 25% of the spot, and add to the short position once again, doubling the position from today.

In principle, take profit at highs and lock in realized profits in a timely manner. Don't wait until the trend turns down and profits are given back before calculating gains and losses.

#狗狗币创数月新高

Daily Market Analysis — ETH 10.30
🔥

1) The daily and hourly charts are consistent with yesterday
2) Focus on the current M15 chart
3) This morning there was a raid, pay attention to whether it continues upward without breaking the low point after the raid, or if it will trend downwards and break to test the M15 bullish order block.
If it doesn't break the low point and moves upward, then watch for 2605 to go long, with the low point as a stop loss.
If it continues to break down, then focus on the M15 bullish order block to go long, with a break as a stop loss.

#狗狗币创数月新高

If Bitcoin breaks through the historical high of $73,777, the cumulative short order liquidation strength of mainstream CEX will reach 386 million; if it falls below $68,000, the cumulative long order liquidation strength will reach 486 million.

In the next two weeks, the support of 68,000 is likely to be verified. The turning point may be two days before and after the election node on November 5. If it does not effectively fall below, the market will continue to rise. If it falls below 68,000, it will run away and wait and see.

In addition, from the perspective of the total network holdings, it has reached a historical high, but the price has not reached a historical high. The above two points are slightly weak for bulls.

Macro data focus this week
The third quarter GDP of the United States will be released on Wednesday
The inflation index favored by the Federal Reserve will be released on Thursday
The October non-farm employment report will be released on Friday

The current market expectation for the US macro data is the growth of GDP in the third quarter, and the inflation data will not change much. The non-farm employment report may show a slowdown in employment growth, and there is not much room for game.

The only thing to note is that Trump's trades are currently cashing out in the market ahead of schedule, and the gains are being shed when the election begins. We can judge the market sentiment by observing DJT (Trump Media Technology Group). Once it turns downward, a correction is inevitable.

#比特币布林带收窄至低水平

From the perspective of the US stock market, regardless of who is elected, there will be varying degrees of bullish news.
A Trump victory is more favorable for Bitcoin, crude oil, and regional banks.
A Harris victory is more favorable for AI and semiconductors.

What may happen next——

The opportunities for gold and crypto are certain;
The stock market will enter a phase of significant volatility;
The exchange rates of major trading countries will plummet……

#比特币布林带收窄至低水平

Shorting now, it's not too late to stop loss
Don't wait for $BTC to rise to 100,000, that would be really awkward
Otherwise, at that time, you won't want to stop loss, but holding on could lead to liquidation, and buying spot feels hard to do
Think about it, is it like this?
The food is served, take care of yourself
A crazy bull market, hard to imagine

#比特币布林带收窄至低水平

btc 71550 reached a partial take profit, buy back on pullbacks to 70750-70500 and below, aiming for 72300-73300. If the average cost is below 70k, close the position on a pullback to 70300.

eth 2626-2666 take a partial profit, buy back on pullbacks to 2580. If the average cost is below 2536, close the position on a pullback to 2566.

sol 182-184 take a partial profit, buy back on pullbacks to 181-180. If the average cost is below 179, close the position on a pullback to 180.00.

#比特币布林带收窄至低水平

The two target profit-taking positions for Dogecoin $doge are set at 0.1725 and 0.1950, planning to take profits of 5% and 10% respectively.

Although the two previous accumulation positions before the rally were not ideal, the price did not effectively support above EMA20/50 at that time, but the structural support level was not broken, allowing the position to smoothly pass through the adjustment period.

#比特币布林带收窄至低水平