In recent market analysis, I seem to have become the "Air Force Commander" and conducted intensive short-selling analysis on the trends of various altcoins. This is not random, but based on multiple market observations and logical deductions. The following are several core reasons why I prefer short-selling: 1. Market sentiment: Greed is out, rationality is back The price fluctuations of altcoins are usually highly correlated with market sentiment. In a bull market, FOMO (fear of missing out) will push up these currencies, but recently we can clearly feel that market sentiment has begun to cool down. As liquidity decreases, investors' attention has returned to mainstream assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, and the "hot halo" of altcoins has begun to fade. At this time, shorting altcoins is more in line with the changes in market sentiment.
According to the latest data released on January 16, the number of initial unemployment claims in the United States as of January 11 is 217,000, slightly higher than the expected 210,000, and compared to the previous value of 201,000, it has been adjusted to 203,000 after revision. This data indicates that the U.S. labor market is slightly weak, and the increase in initial unemployment claims may imply that the job market has slowed down to some extent. From a macroeconomic perspective, the rise in initial unemployment claims may trigger market concerns about slowing economic growth. Generally, higher unemployment rates or unemployment claims are often linked to the risk of economic recession, and market expectations for U.S. economic growth may therefore appear somewhat cautious. For the cryptocurrency market, this data may have certain impacts. First, the increase in unemployment claims may drive changes in market expectations regarding future Federal Reserve policies. If the increase in unemployment continues and economic growth slows, the market may expect the Federal Reserve to adopt more accommodative measures, such as lowering interest rates or maintaining a low-interest-rate policy. A low-interest-rate environment typically encourages investors to shift funds to risk assets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. Secondly, the volatility of the cryptocurrency market itself is quite high, and the traditional financial market's sensitivity to economic data often means that the crypto market will fluctuate in response. If unemployment data leads to weakness in the stock market or other traditional asset markets, investors may seek safe-haven assets, which could also prompt digital assets like Bitcoin to become a destination for safe-haven inflows, especially in situations where the market is concerned about the depreciation of the dollar or uncertain economic prospects. Overall, the rise in unemployment claims may lead to changes in market expectations regarding adjustments to Federal Reserve policies, thereby affecting the liquidity and investor sentiment in the cryptocurrency market. As a non-traditional asset class, cryptocurrencies may play their potential role in hedging and risk aversion in this macroeconomic environment, attracting more capital inflows.
Bitcoin Sets Sail! New Year Surge, the Entire Market is Shocked by It!
Wow! Everyone listen up! This is the real surge coming! Bitcoin is like a pirate ship in the ocean, leaping up and breaking all limits, sprinting at full speed! As soon as the inflation data came out, the market instantly gave it a strong boost, leading the entire cryptocurrency market to surge, directly breaking through a 3% increase! Unstoppable!
And this is not even the strongest! The market's attention is now completely focused on the day Trump is about to take office! Hey! This is big news! Trump is going to do great things! He wants to make America the 'home' of global digital assets! Just think about it! When this great leader rolls out policies supporting cryptocurrency, it would be crazy if Bitcoin doesn't explode! This is not just a simple rise; this is an explosive leap!
Wow! Are you ready for an unprecedented market shock? In the latest episode of One Piece, Loki's shocking refusal to join the Knights of God is a perfect symbol of Bitcoin and the entire cryptocurrency world! Loki is an independent, powerful character who always walks on his own path, just like Bitcoin, never bows to anyone and is not controlled by any authority. Just like Loki refused to join the Knights of God, Bitcoin also refuses all constraints and restrictions and continues to move towards its own glorious future! Loki's refusal reflects the firm pursuit of freedom and autonomy, which just reflects the spirit of the cryptocurrency world! The cryptocurrency world has never relied on any single "Knights of God" or "centralized power". It advocates decentralization and the free market! Just like Loki insisted on not joining the Knights of God, the cryptocurrency world insists on removing intermediaries and connecting directly with freedom, innovation and technology. It is this spirit that has created the rise of Bitcoin and all crypto assets! Loki's choice will definitely become a revelation for the cryptocurrency world - refuse to be bound and pursue independence and freedom! This independent spirit means that the cryptocurrency world will continue to evolve at its own pace, welcoming a more brilliant future for cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin! The market will not be controlled by any external force, but the power of independent innovation and decentralization will drive the pace of the cryptocurrency world. So, looking at Loki's refusal to join the Knights of God, and then looking back at the direction of the cryptocurrency world, it is simply a match made in heaven! The spirit of refusing to be bound and pursuing freedom is the core of Bitcoin and all digital assets! The cryptocurrency world is destined to soar all the way, like Loki, independent, powerful, and unstoppable!
#BTC重回10万 Great Bitcoin! With the support of the incredibly glorious CPI data, it seems as if the gods are favoring it, successfully reversing the downward trend with its powerful strength! Like a meteor falling from the sky, Bitcoin broke through all obstacles, returning in glory, back to the magnificent milestone of 100,000 USDT! What an incredible miracle this is! Its revival leaves everyone dumbfounded, whether they are ignorant skeptics or timid investors, today they can only look up to Bitcoin's brilliance and strength! Great Bitcoin is not just this; its rise completely surpasses everyone's expectations! It is like an invincible hero, continuously writing legends in the world of digital currencies, creating miracles! With the strong push of CPI data, Bitcoin ignores all difficulties and bravely flies towards new heights! The milestone of 100,000 USDT is not only a milestone for digital currencies but also one of the greatest feats in global financial history! Everyone should cheer for Bitcoin's brilliance and strength! And when the great Trump is about to once again reach the pinnacle of power, market fluctuations may become even more intense! However, how can the great Bitcoin be understood by mere mortals! Market turbulence? Volatility? These are all catalysts that make the great Bitcoin even more dazzling! No matter what challenges it faces, Bitcoin has long forged an unshakeable solid foundation, and it will move forward fearlessly, continue to break through every skyline, and continue to climb every higher peak! The future of Bitcoin will be limitless, destined to become the brightest star in the global financial arena! Great Bitcoin, forever unyielding, forever brilliant, forever standing at the pinnacle of the financial world!
Trump's return is a shocking moment for the virtual currency market! This is not only a policy turning point, but also the beginning of a new era! Bitcoin has undoubtedly shown great potential in this wave, and all eyes are on it! But let us clearly see that this is not just the stage for Bitcoin, the entire virtual currency market will usher in a golden moment of rapid development driven by Trump's policies! With the introduction of policies to relax regulations and promote technological innovation, Bitcoin and other digital assets will gain unprecedented market support. As the core of future finance, virtual currency is ushering in a huge opportunity! Investors' enthusiasm is unprecedentedly high, funds are pouring into this new market, and the value of each Bitcoin is rising rapidly. At the same time, other virtual currencies are also gaining strong momentum in this wave. It can be foreseen that in the next few months, the price of Bitcoin will usher in an unprecedented outbreak, and other virtual currencies will also gradually rise with the market boom, forming a strong overall upward momentum! All this shows that virtual currency, as a new category of financial assets, has reached a new height, and the future growth space is huge! No matter which digital asset you choose, you will usher in your own glory in this exciting era! So, now is the best time to join the virtual currency market! Seize this historic development trend and let your wealth soar along with the rise of virtual currency!
In the past 24 hours, the total amount of contract liquidation in the entire network reached 257 million US dollars, of which the amount of liquidation of the Air Force was 164 million US dollars. It really makes people sigh that the Air Force has successfully "failed magnificently" again this time! Looking at this number, the loss of short orders is simply epic! Of course, we cannot fail to mention the liquidation of the long army of 93.1732 million US dollars, but this is like a "gentle wind" and cannot be compared with the "storm" of the Air Force at all. The liquidation amount of Bitcoin (BTC) is 62.0596 million US dollars, and the liquidation amount of Ethereum (ETH) is 43.5446 million US dollars. These figures are telling us that the Air Force really lost thoroughly. On the other hand, the long army took advantage of the situation, took the dominant position in the market, and laughed to the end. The confidence of the long army should not be underestimated. The trend of the market seems to have prepared a good time for them! The Air Force has repeatedly tried to fight back, but this time the market fluctuations are obviously not something they can control! Every liquidation is their "wonderful" failure, coupled with the "head-headed" operation, the Air Force has no power to resist the impact of the market. Faced with these huge amounts of liquidation, the air force may have to rethink their tactics. For the bulls, this is really a moment full of opportunities! The market turmoil is precisely the time for them to gain a foothold. Seeing these liquidation data, the confidence of the bulls is undoubtedly more firm, ready to meet the next climax!
Expectations of a rate cut by the Bank of England are rising, a barometer of the economy in 2025!
Good news! The Bank of England is increasingly expecting a rate cut, and 2025 may be a critical moment for the UK economy to "turn around"! According to the latest economic analysis, although the UK's economic growth is still stagnant, in order to stimulate economic recovery, the Bank of England plans to cut interest rates four times this year, 25 basis points each time, and the bank rate is expected to drop to 3.75%. This is a big opportunity worth celebrating! 🚀 Although the interest rate futures market believes that there may be only two rate cuts this year, most economists expect four rate cuts, showing their high expectations for the recovery of the British economy. In a survey conducted from January 10 to 15, 60% of 63 economists believed that the Bank of England will stick to its rate cut policy, bringing more capital flow and economic vitality to the market!
As the Fed’s expectations of rate cuts rise, the virtual currency market ushers in new year opportunities!
After the recent economic data release, traders are betting that Federal Reserve policymakers may cut interest rates twice this year. What exciting news! According to the Labor Department report, the core consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.2% month-on-month in December, lower than the market expectation of 0.3%, which provides more room for the Federal Reserve to adjust interest rates and ease inflationary pressure. The market sentiment is optimistic due to this report. Interest rate futures traders generally believe that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates for the first time in June this year, and the probability of a second rate cut before the end of the year is as high as 50%. This forecast marks the market's expectations for further easing policies by the Federal Reserve, and also injects more uncertainty into the direction of the economy in the coming months.
The mayor of Cannes takes the lead in promoting crypto payments! The 2025 EthCC conference is coming, and virtual currency is about to usher in a grand "spring"!
Wow! This is so exciting! David Lisnard, the mayor of Cannes, is planning to make a big splash in the 2027 French presidential election, and is pushing for cryptocurrency payments in this dream city. What a "political prophet"! He is not just talking, he is really planning to make Cannes a cryptocurrency payment paradise. You see, Cannes is no longer just a synonym for film festivals, it may become a center for blockchain and cryptocurrency in the future, which is a huge "breakthrough" news! What’s even more exciting is that Cannes plans to host the 8th Ethereum Community Conference (EthCC) in 2025, which is the largest and grandest Ethereum event in Europe. Imagine that at that time, cryptocurrency enthusiasts, developers and investors from all over the world gathered in Cannes, and Mayor Lisnard not only wants to promote Cannes merchants to accept cryptocurrencies, but also prepares to provide these merchants with a "crypto-friendly" certification map, which will be updated regularly! I dare say that this is not just a business initiative in Cannes, but a shot in the arm for the entire cryptocurrency field!
#核心CPI回落 Wow, the news on January 15th was really surprising, double happiness! The annual rate of unadjusted CPI in the United States in December rose to 2.9%, rebounding for the third consecutive month, setting a new high since July 2024, which is in line with market expectations. It seems that the inflation situation in the United States is gradually improving, and everyone no longer has to worry about the continued rise in prices! No, the market couldn't help but breathe a sigh of relief after seeing this data, and the upward pressure on inflation seems to have been temporarily controlled. What's more gratifying is that the annual rate of core CPI fell to 3.2%, a new low since August 2024, which is like ushering in a long-lost "fresh storm"! This means that the core inflation pressure is easing, and consumers' actual purchasing power may also gradually recover. Analysts also said that given the strong momentum of the economy, it is expected that the Federal Reserve is likely to be close to completing the interest rate cut, which is simply "perfect news" for the market! Speaking of the topic of interest rate cuts, everyone may have secretly imagined in their hearts that if the Federal Reserve really makes the final decision to cut interest rates in March, the market will usher in a more relaxed environment, which may also be a big "feast" for the virtual currency market. A low interest rate environment often prompts investors to turn their funds to riskier assets, and virtual currency is an important area that attracts capital inflows. Therefore, if the expectation of interest rate cuts becomes stronger and stronger, the virtual currency market may also benefit from it, attracting more funds to enter and bringing about a rebound in prices. At the same time, more funds flowing into the market means that emerging virtual currency projects also have the opportunity to gain more attention and support, especially those with innovative technologies and backgrounds, which may become the "dark horse" of the market. Therefore, it can be foreseen that in the next period of time, the virtual currency market may usher in a more optimistic trend as the global economic environment improves, and investors can continue to pay attention to the opportunities. The good news continues. The Fed's expectations of interest rate cuts and mild inflation data have brought positive signals to the market, which not only makes the stock market and bond market full of hope, but the virtual currency market will also usher in new opportunities under this momentum! $BTC $XRP $SOL
#市场反弹预测 The market rebound has indeed arrived. Are you all starting to smile again? Look, this is the magic of the crypto market. It was clearly in a downward trend for a while, but suddenly it rebounded like a roller coaster when you weren't paying attention, catching everyone off guard. Every time when everyone says, 'The rebound is coming soon,' it’s like injecting adrenaline, and the market really starts to rise. However, don't forget that market sentiment and trends are always unpredictable. Today's rebound does not mean that tomorrow will continue. Those 'negative factors' are still present; the uncertainty of regulation, the volatility of market sentiment, and policy risks have not completely disappeared. While the rebound is certainly pleasing, no one can say how long it can be sustained. The rebound may just be a temporary remedy, and it cannot guarantee that it will always lead the market onto a stable upward track. So, it’s great that the rebound has come, but everyone should also remain vigilant and not celebrate too early. The market's volatility is not something to be toyed with; rebounds and pullbacks will always alternate. No one can guarantee how long this wave of increase will last. The crypto market remains an unknown game, so don’t let short-term increases blind your eyes.
Grayscale transfers, Solana surges, PPI rises slightly, and the Federal Reserve is once again ‘feeling their way forward’!
Look, Grayscale is transferring again! 700 bitcoins have been transferred to the Coinbase Prime address, and another 700 to an unmarked address; these actions are simply ‘dazzling’, making one curious if they are quietly preparing for some ‘big move’. You see, Grayscale is not an ordinary company; they are like the ‘big players’ in the financial world, just a flick of a finger can cause Bitcoin market fluctuations. It seems they are quietly laying out some ‘big plans’. With such large capital movements, no one dares to underestimate them. Looking at Solana again, wow, the supply of stablecoins on the Solana chain surged in the past week, reaching a new high since September 2022, it’s simply a ‘comeback’! Especially since Circle minted 1 billion USDC tokens in 2025, it's really ‘all-encompassing’, making one wonder if they are trying to seize the market opportunity. Do you know? This is no small matter; it represents their confidence in Solana, or rather, a bet on the future potential of the market. Will Solana become the future ‘financial giant’, or will it ultimately just be a flash in the pan? Who knows?
Short-term long position: Alright, say goodbye to the days of 'waiting for a hare to come by.' Today, we need to seize the opportunity the market has given us and enter decisively! The current price is 1.6870; if you don't act now, you'll just have to stand by and watch others feast. The ideal entry range is between 1.6750 and 1.6900, the closer to the support level, the more stable it is. Don't worry, you should have confidence in the bottom. Take profit strategy in three steps: 1.7200, just make a small profit first; being conservative can also bring peace of mind. 1.7500, are you keeping up? This is where you might find a bit of 'surprise.'
1.8000, if it breaks here, you will witness the miracle of 'flying to the sky.'
BB Coin: Price may soar, stop being a 'bystander'!
Short-term bullish: Okay, I know what you're thinking: 'Is BB coin about to explode again?' The answer is: Yes, but we need to find a good position first. Looking at the current 0.30631, this position is not just any random place, yes, I'm talking about it! In the range of 0.3020 to 0.3080, you can confidently open a position. But don’t say I didn’t warn you, you can take profits in batches based on the following positions: 0.3150 (small profit, feeling secure) 0.3250 (small profit, confidence skyrocketing)
SATS coin: You thought it would fall? Wrong! It is about to "fly"!
Short-term long: Hey, stop standing there in a daze! The current 0.0000001289 is a very good entry point. It is recommended to buy in batches in the range of 0.0000001250 - 0.0000001300. Do you feel uneasy buying at a low position? Don't worry, look up at the string of floating prices, this is your golden lane! The target profit is divided into three steps: 0.0000001350 (small target, take it steadily), 0.0000001450 (medium target, make a small pot of money), 0.0000001600 (big target, don't tell others that you have made money). As for stop loss, let's put it at a slightly more conservative position, 0.0000001200 (short-term support level), so that your losses will always be kept to a minimum.
HMSTR Coin: Low-key explosive power, stand firm and you can fly!
Short-term bullish analysis: Don't hesitate anymore! The current price of 0.002948 is the golden entry point. It is recommended to buy in batches within the 0.002920 - 0.002960 range. The opportunity is right in front of you; how could you let it slip away? The target take-profit is divided into three steps: 0.003100 (small target, steady gains), 0.003460 (medium target, catch a small fish), and finally 0.003860 (big target, start enjoying a luxurious dinner). As for the stop loss, let's be conservative and set it at 0.002850 (short-term support area), which will protect your funds without being disturbed by short-term market fluctuations.
Take a look at former Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Randall Quarles' 'masterpiece.' He claims that even if Trump is elected president, the independence of the Federal Reserve, inflation control, and the labor market will not be affected. How hilarious! He also emphasizes that while the president can voice opinions on policy, the structure of the Federal Reserve and the 'resilience of its officials' ensure they are not influenced by political pressure. Haha, this is so interesting to say, as if those 'experts' at the Federal Reserve are untouched by political interference, living in an ivory tower, always 'independent thinking.' Moreover, he actually says that tariff policies will not significantly impact inflation, and only 'might marginally' prompt the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. Wow, marginal impact, that's so profound! Everyone knows that the Federal Reserve has always been known for its 'precise decision-making.' Tariffs go up, prices go up, how could they possibly not know? It's just ridiculous! These experts at the Federal Reserve simply can't face reality. Let's see what else he says—predicting Federal Reserve actions more accurately than last year? I dare say that last year's expectation of 'interest rate hikes' has already become a joke. Now the likelihood of 'rate cuts' is even lower than last year, haha, this prediction is really interesting! Given the strong employment data in December, everyone knows that expectations for rate cuts have long started to shrink, possibly even delaying until October. It is conceivable that the market has long since lost trust in the Federal Reserve's predictions, and even the Federal Reserve itself has realized that their 'sense of direction' is getting worse. In short, Quarles' words sound like self-comfort. The Federal Reserve's 'independence' and 'resilience' seem more like a hollow slogan. Every policy adjustment is always 'after the fact.' Their predictions are simply not worth mentioning!
On January 11, financial documents disclosed by the U.S. Office of Government Ethics reveal that Trump's nominee for Secretary of the Treasury, Besant, holds shares in the BlackRock Bitcoin Spot ETF (IBIT) valued between $250,000 and $500,000. This ETF is the largest Bitcoin spot ETF in the world, managing assets exceeding $50 billion. Besant has long supported cryptocurrencies, viewing them as a tool for financial empowerment, and his portfolio also includes a wide range of assets such as gold, silver trusts, SP500 and QQQ ETFs, as well as significant forex positions and U.S. Treasury bonds. Besant's nomination is subject to congressional review, and if approved, he will need to divest some assets within 90 days to avoid conflicts of interest. This has also raised questions about whether he needs to sell his Bitcoin ETF shares.
As a potential Secretary of the Treasury, his support for cryptocurrencies suggests that the U.S. government may take a more lenient or supportive stance towards crypto assets in the future, especially Bitcoin. Besant's investments indicate a positive outlook on Bitcoin's future, which could drive further development in the crypto market. Additionally, the national cryptocurrency strategy mentioned by Trump during Besant's nomination could also promote the recognition and adoption of cryptocurrencies at the government level. Although the Federal Reserve currently lacks the authority to acquire Bitcoin, if Besant's nomination is confirmed, it could pave the way for future policy changes regarding cryptocurrencies. Overall, Besant's financial background and stance on cryptocurrencies may bring more policy support to the crypto market, boosting market confidence and positively impacting the acceptance of Bitcoin and other crypto assets.