Sharing my current holdings:
Large position: $ssv $iotx $tru
Medium position: #pyth #bico #api3 #magic
Lottery: #dym #rez #syn
There’s no need to fear short-term net value changes, just keep an eye on the big picture
I will analyze each one in order and share my observations and reasons for holding.

$REZ 7. Lottery Position of rez
rez is an Ethereum re-staking protocol. Initially, I bought ethfi, but later the price surged during the waves, and when I wanted to buy back, the price had already gone up. Therefore, I firmly executed my strategy to look for new targets. The fundamentals of rez are not as strong as ethfi, but its overall size is also several magnitudes smaller than ethfi, and the risk-reward ratio is relatively good. Many KOLs mentioned the VC cost of rez, but currently, we can only see the seed round cost, which is very low. However, this is not a reliable reference because among the dozens of projects that VCs invest in, very few succeed in being incubated. Therefore, this cost is naturally inaccurate. We can roughly estimate the VC cost price to be around 0.03 based on the yield of the lunchpool and the ratio contributed by the project party to the lunchpool, and there is strong support around 0.03. Therefore, I confidently bought in; this is my decision-making logic.

The research sent out last night on $MAGIC just made it to the top of the increase list today. Don't argue with me; arguing is useless; making money is what matters.

Hahaha, it's still too expensive now. Apt coin is a good coin, but I hope it can drop to 5-6, I will buy some positions.

$IMX $OP Regarding the choice of project targets, I have always focused on price, which includes circulating market value and fully diluted market value. For example, for a leading Layer 2 project like OP, I expect the FDV to reach 20-30 billion USD during a bull market. So how much can a gaming public chain like IMX reach? About 5-6 billion USD, which is three times the current value. Actually, the odds are not high, so I might as well choose the second or third leader in the industry to bet on a bigger possibility.

$MAGIC 6. The Magic of Mid-position
Magic is a gaming platform that I have been paying attention to. At the beginning of the year, the Lighthouse game was very popular for a while, and then it returned to calm. Under the arb ecosystem, project parties have not received preferential treatment, and now they have shifted to the zksync ecosystem, also conducting token swaps with zk project parties. Moreover, based on elastic chain technology, it has launched its own game chain within the zksync system.
On the day the game chain was released, it coincided with the recent downturn, immediately rebounding to break previous highs, and then it fell again. It could be that the project party was dumping news to sell off, haha. But it doesn’t matter; we are in a long cycle. As a game chain, there are not many that are fundamentally better than Magic. IMX and Ron are somewhat better, but their market caps are not low. In terms of potential growth in the later stages, Magic surpasses them. After all, it has a market cap of just over 100 million. Currently, I think it is a good entry point; the price of 0.42 is already very cheap. Benchmarking against IMX and Ron's tens of billions of FDV, I believe Magic has huge speculative space and is one of the tenfold targets in a bull market.

ZRO has not started linear unlocking yet, while AXL's steepest unlocking period has already passed. How can we compare by market capitalization unless you are playing short-term? I'm talking about playing spot in a long cycle.

$AXL Now the whole market is rising and AXL is falling. Let me tell you whether AXL is the only one who is sober while everyone else is drunk. I never follow the trend and only output my own judgment. AXL is one of the three giants of cross-chain technology. The other two are W and ZRO. Among the three, AXL is the most cost-effective choice based on the FDV indicator. In addition, AXL also has many cooperation projects in the offline world, such as online cooperation projects with Deutsche Bank and cooperation projects with AT&T. In addition, the current price has fallen below Binance's issue price. According to the amount of financing, it is basically the cost price of VC. I think there are still great opportunities in the future.
The short-term goal is to look at the previous high, and the long-term goal is 2.7.
I am optimistic about it, but I don't have any positions. There is no interest relationship with me, so you can judge for yourself.

$SYN The syn mentioned three days ago made it to the gainers list today, and the large position of ssv also performed well. Other coins are also on an upward trend; holding them is victory.

#2025比特币价格预测
What is the market waiting for? Waiting for it to break this line? I really hope it can come down to touch this line, then the knockoffs can collectively drop again, followed by leveraged liquidations, completely clearing out, and starting to rise. Bulls are the enemies of a rising market, while bears are the friends of spot holders and also the fuel for the rise ⛽️$BTC

$BICO 5. Bico in a small position, this project is related to chain abstraction, mainly focusing on B2B business project concepts and has a strong correlation with Ethereum's Prague upgrade. The Delegated Authorization Network (DAN) developed by Biconomy is also strongly related to AI, so looking at the long-term timeline, this is definitely a type of project that is viewed positively in the long run. From the K-line trend:

This coin shows clear signs of accumulation, with multiple confirmations that around 0.2 is the bottom position. I personally entered around 0.2 and am currently holding the spot. I will sell my principal when it reaches the previous high position of 0.9, and then gradually release afterwards. Looking at the chart, the bottom has been confirmed multiple times, breaking the downward trend line, and then there was a 115% increase. The best time to buy is when it breaks and retests the trend line. However, this major correction has also provided a new opportunity to get on board. It depends on whether you can seize it.

Bought a little Luce, the reason for buying is very simple, many KOLs on Twitter are stuck, almost around 0.12, at this time I go to help them lift the sedan chair and lend a hand, it should not be bad.
Just for fun, do not follow
#币安Alpha公布第8批项目

4. pyth and api3, I will write them together
To be honest, the price of pyth is not cheap. Although the high point in March has retreated a lot, the price drop compared to the online price is still small. However, there are not many competitors in the oracle track. Except for link, the others are very weak. pyth is weaker than link in the total amount of TVL of the linked project, but the amount of data processed is greater than link. And the background of the investors behind pyth is also very strong, so according to the current valuation, I think there is still a lot of room for growth. The increase in the value of link also opens the valuation ceiling for the oracle track. In fact, it is a competitive relationship and a cooperative relationship that promotes the market volume.
Let's talk about api3 again. The reason why I chose api3 is that, first, the size of the project is indeed small, and there is a lot of room for growth. Second, the project is basically fully circulated. Third, nearly half of the api3 tokens are pledged, and the number is still growing slowly.

The oracle track is the cornerstone of defi. Except for projects with their own royal language machines, such as trx's winklink oracle and sol's edge oracle, other defi projects are basically connected to third-party oracles. Therefore, this market will have more subdivisions in the future, and the size of the entire market will gradually increase. At present, judging from the price and growth, I think pyth and api3 are better choices. $PYTH $API3

3. Tru in large positions
Tru seems to have the weakest rebound, but in fact, if the cottage sector rotates, the difference of these few points will not matter. Look at the K-line of tru's previous outbreak period, the lagging gains will be recovered in one day, so I basically only look at a few points: market value, circulation rate, track and price. No matter how good the target is, it is meaningless if the price is expensive.

In fact, in the RWA track, the best target is ondo. I bought a wave at 0.3 before, with a position of several thousand U. But now the price has not turned back, so I gave up adding positions. This is what I have always said, good targets also depend on the price. Back to tru, tru's market value is very low, only more than 100 million, which is one of the projects with the smallest market value and listed on Binance in the current popular RWA sector.

Observe the second point:
The main force has obvious accumulation behavior, the average price is in the range of 0.08, and the weekly level has been accumulating funds for 3 months. These main forces have no obvious shipping behavior at present, so it is judged that there will be a pull-up in the future. Such a large amount of funds must be supported by large liquidity. Liquidity can only cover shipments when violent pull-ups occur.

My first stop-profit point will be around 0.24, the previous high in June, which is almost 3 times the current price. The second stop-profit point may be above 0.4. $TRU

How to put it, it is certainly wrong not to listen to the community's opinions, but there are also counterexamples. When Sol first started last round, there were many doubts about the early models that came out, and the community debated it but was silenced. Many people got off at 30, and then the project side forcibly pumped the price while unlocking a large amount, with the price rising as they unlocked.

In fact, it is precisely because there are problems that the market value is low and the potential is great. Moreover, within the concept of depin, each coin has its corresponding issues. When the coin price is low, it is all negative news, but when it rises, it coincides perfectly with the hype for a pump. It’s the same old trick.

For the retail investors in the crypto world, they only like the type of players who keep hyping during rises and keep criticizing during falls. The greatest weakness of human nature is whether one can overcome fear, buy during lows or even declines, hold during rises, and sell when the big cycle arrives #2025有哪些关键叙事？ $BICO

Iotx2.0 is about depin modularization, integrating the ecosystem of other chains is also normal, and there will be future collaboration projects with the Polygon chain, and it may also be necessary to fill in the POL chain address, hahaha

2. The iotx bet in the large warehouse position is a relatively old project. In the first half of this year, it completed new financing of 50 million USD. This coincided with the completion of the iotx 2.0 roadmap. It is like an old tree sprouting new buds; from the perspective of chip structure, it is overall quite healthy. The depin track it is in also has promising prospects. According to the research report released by the institution Messari, they are optimistic about the depin projects. #iotx

Therefore, there are basically no issues on the fundamental side. From the chart, it has temporarily broken below the trend line, and the rebound has not successfully broken through the trend line resistance. Overall, it is still quite weak in the short term. However, thanks to the relatively small scale of the project and the fact that there are no strong competitors in this track, when the altcoin season arrives, or when the sector rotates to depin, it is highly likely that iotx will become the leader of the sector.

Let's predict the price: in extreme cases, the iotx price might spike to 0.0284, which is about a 20% drop from the current price of 0.036. As the altcoin season rotates to the depin sector, based on the current FDV of 360 million USD, such a leader in the depin L1 track could easily reach a market value of 5 billion, with about 10-15 times the potential. But remember, do not open contracts; just hold spot and wait for the wind to come. $IOTX