Bitcoin started an upward trend after October 23. From March to September this year, it has been in a falling flag shape, which is what we commonly call a bull flag. On August 5, a downward flag-shaped channel overshot and quickly recovered! I think the market outlook. After this wave of flag-shaped callbacks, there will be a good rise! Here is my analysis of three possible situations in the future market!
The first is. The market is supported by the key position of about 56,000 as shown in the figure, and then a wave of upward trend is launched. This is what many people like to see, which is in line with everyone's bullishness! That is, the channel line overshot and then stepped back to the key position to initiate an upward trend! I think the probability is 40%
The second situation is that the market reaches between 50,000 and 49,000 and steps back on the channel line. Or break 49,000 to around 47,000, and then release the upward trend! Because, if I were a banker, I would break the market at 49,000, and then blow up all the long orders or stop many long orders at 49,000 (I believe many people will stop the long orders at 49,000). I think the probability is 30%!
The third situation is September 18th when the market cooperates. The favorable landing of the interest rate cut, and then a wave of downward market, directly reaching between 44,000 and 39,000! In this way, the banker can knock out all the long orders in your hands! It is similar to 312. A drop of about 30% for two consecutive days will kill all the long orders, and then start a wave of upward trend! And there is no chance to get on the car. The probability of this is 30%!
These 3 situations are my personal opinions, and the specific market will be proved by time!
Why do retail investors always get liquidated? Why do they make a small profit but lose a lot!
First of all, contract trading is virtual currency trading, which is a typical financial industry. If you want to make money through trading, you must become a qualified trader. Moreover, these traders have established their own trading system through systematic learning, and then continuously backtested and backtested. Only then can they have their own trading system to make money.
The reason why retail investors lose money is because they have not undergone systematic learning. He thinks that I just want to make money in this market, how is that possible? For example, if you want to become a doctor, you must go through professional learning in school, and then continue to intern and practice in the hospital, and finally become a qualified doctor.
You are a retail investor, I don’t want to learn, I just want to make money. How is that possible? I have watched one or two videos of this kind of pattern and this kind of moving average, and I think I can make money, so I immediately look for such a pattern and such a moving average. Then I think I can make money. How is that possible?
I found that some retail investors don’t even know their own trading cycles and trend cycles. He dares to come to this contract market to trade without even knowing his winning rate and profit-loss ratio.
Moreover, they are a team in this industry, and they have a clear division of labor. They have already thought about the analysis of market news, positions, stop losses, and measures to deal with some situations before they start to make this transaction. And you are alone. You must do all those jobs well.
Finally, I want to say that there are too many scammers in this square. They all post orders and then pull you to some pheasant platform to earn your handling fees, or they screen the points in the group to lure you into some member group to charge membership fees? In a word, there are too many fools these days, and there are not enough scammers. $BTC $ETH $CRV
A group of people in $CRV Square say that the market is going up, which makes people feel uneasy. It means that a group of leeks are preparing to enter the market. If I were the banker, I would pull up the market directly and not give you the opportunity to go long on a pullback or to hit a big negative line and not give you the opportunity to enter the market!
$CRV Following the analysis of my previous articles, I speculated on the future market trend.
The market successfully retraced to around 0.24. And today is a strong daily level pull-up, the market is very simple. It is rising. This wave of market can be seen in the blue line of the figure at around 0.36. Let's look at 0.39
Yesterday I published an article. It said that the market retracement was around 0.24 in 4 hours. Then it continued to rise! Many people replied that this coin will fall, and it will go to 0.19, etc. What dealers are selling, what big dealers are trapped, it's obvious. If there is no bad news, how can they rise? Besides, the big dealers have 0.4u of capital, and they are still waiting to get out of the trap, or take in more coins. To form a strong pull-up, the market value is small and locked, it is very easy to pull, the reason why they are dealers, they must have means.
The next market will definitely rise, I don't think there will be a callback, and then there will be a buying point.
I have made a very detailed analysis of this coin before. I won't go into details here. If you want to read more, please read my previous article.
$CRV is the same as my prediction of falling back to around 0.24. Damn it, I placed an order to cover the position at 0.2437. The lowest was 0.2441. My order difference was 0.0004.
$CRV The ultimate shock has ended, and the price of 0.22 has ended. Don't wait for a retracement to buy more!
The daily level formed a false bottom break and a rapid retracement. The bull market has been formed. The 0.22 dealer will not give you a chance. It is difficult to catch the channel-type rising buying point. The 4-hour chart can only retrace to around 0.24 or rise directly without retracement!
$CRV This is a rubbish channel-like rise. It seems that it can't go up any further, but it just keeps going up. A copycat is just a copycat. It grows in a disorderly manner!
$BTC $ETH The square is full of so-called masters who lead orders, tempting you to join the group, and then asking you to register for Pheasant Exchange!
Post a short essay, bring the profit, what is the position chart in the group, let’s not say whether it is a p chart, even if it is real, a system must have a minimum position, entry, stop loss, profit and loss ratio, and stop loss. , even if I tell you to stop the entry, you will still lose in the end, not to mention whether the so-called master has the level in his so-called profit chart!
The so-called master is really that good. The Binance Order Column has already brought orders, and he also posts point records and profit charts in the so-called group in the square, just to lure you to the Pheasant Platform, incurring handling fees and even customer losses! Among them, Sunbit is the pheasant platform
I bought a coin once, but the Public Security Bureau called me for several days and asked me if I had received any scam calls. Please don’t let me make a payment!
If you really have the ability, you will look down on the money you make by taking orders for you, let alone drag you to the Pheasant platform. (I wonder why they are all promoting this Pheasant platform. The handling fee is more important than getting in??)
$CRV ran away, ran away, the daily line just came out of the buying point and it was gone, I sold it first and wait for ETH to stabilize! In addition, I observed yesterday that the whale bought 18 million CRV a few days ago, and the night before yesterday, 10 million was withdrawn to EUR. Yesterday, I still thought that this whale had no pattern. Today, I woke up to a 14% drop, and I ran away directly. I even wanted to run away from my ETH spot! CRV and wait for a while to buy!
$CRV Last night, BTC and ETH fell, and CRV fell and immediately rebounded, indicating that whales are buying at the bottom!
The circulating market value is only about 300 million US dollars, and it is easy to pull up with a small market value.
It can only mean that whales are building positions! It will soar in the future! Weekly level.
After the main force completes the position building, I don’t know whether there will be an ultimate shock, but it will rise anyway. Whether it will fall first and then rise or rise directly depends on the trader!
Today, let's take a look at the trend analysis of this coin $CRV .
What caught my eye about this coin was that its weekly line released a huge amount from June 10 to June 16. This amount is 2.1 billion CRV. In fact, it is understandable to release this amount. From June 13, 2022 to June 10, 2024, this market has been fluctuating, including this bull market. It has not had a good increase. For more than 200 days of fluctuations, many people put the stop loss around 0.39U (including me, I will also put the stop loss near 0.39U, and I think you who read this post will also put the stop loss here)! After all, everyone is a retail investor! The logic behind the trading volume is your selling. It is someone else's buying! In this way, this order can be completed! The trading volume of 2.1 billion this week means that 2.1 billion CRVs were purchased by others. I think this is enough to show that this is the behavior of the main force! (But it cannot include the main force's left-hand to right-hand buying and selling, but this logic does not make sense! He left-hand to right-hand to drop the price below 0.39U, the only possibility is him. After the price fell below 0.39u, he took over a large number of retail investors' bloody chips)
Next, let's look at the second picture $CRV daily chart, which just walked out of a triangle decline, this is a very classic wash. And his wash is shrinking (this volume is very important!)
I think his next trend. It must be upward. The first is directly upward, and the second experience is the trend of the blue broken line as shown in the figure. It will experience a very classic ultimate shock, which will knock out all the stop losses of long orders and the last stubborn spot retail investors. Of course, there will be some very stubborn retail investors. This kind of loneliness is lying flat, which will not have much resistance to his future pull-up, and then initiate a wave of upward trend! Of course, the normal time of this upward trend will depend on the outbreak time of the altcoin. After all, all altcoins are now experiencing a process of testing the bottom (and the bottom of this ultimate oscillation will not be a large volume, the volume will be pitifully small)!
Of course, the above analysis is my personal subjective opinion, and the specific one depends on your personal subjective analysis and personal wishes!Let time reveal the specific market trends!
If you have this method, please contact me. I want to get rich!!! $ETH $BTC #非农就业人数高于预期
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刘多余
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After the OKX announcement today, OKX has another massive user information leak! OKX has another major internal user information leak. Everyone, go check and see if your information has been leaked!
It is rumored that a large number of OKX user KYC and user data have been leaked internally, including user address coordinates, names, mobile phone numbers, ID numbers, email accounts, and historical transaction information!
The following pictures are taken from the Internet. All the coin circle heroes are experiencing streaking!
#新币挖矿 #zklinknova This wb3 airdrop may be reversed! There are 1 million zkl in total, 200,000 people participated, and each person can't get 5 zkl. The cost of the airdrop task is about 8-9u. Can the price of zkl exceed 1u? About 2u can guarantee no loss!
First, let's look at the daily chart of #ETH走势分析 . After Ethereum entered a wave of rise, there was a wave of complex downward callback. The market was around 2870. The red line in the figure showed signs of stopping the decline! I think there will be two trends next!
First of all, the first one is. As shown by the blue dotted line in the figure, he will falsely break 2870 in the daily level chart, and then initiate. A wave of upward trend! Because the market has stepped back to 2870 many times, there are many people who are long at this position. If I am the main force, I will falsely break 2870 to remove the liquidity of a large number of stop-loss orders at this position. In addition, in the entanglement theory, this wave of decline still lacks a small c segment to form a trend divergence!
The second situation. As shown by the yellow dotted line in the figure, it moves between 3060 and 2870!
To sum up, the probability of the blue dotted line in the figure is 70%, the probability of the yellow dotted line is 20%, and the other situations are 10%.
Operation suggestions: No matter what the situation is, it is recommended to enter the market on the right side of the blue trend line! Be a right-side trader!