This month I started to have more fans, and I am more motivated to post. Although everyone only likes to find the so-called "answers" in the square, and few people are willing to read the experience seriously, I still like to write this kind of content that truly explains the market, and write it to even There are only a few sensible people who really love trading. My understanding of trading practice is divided into two parts: the first is to study the market, and the second is to study yourself. The core of market research is three words: look for patterns. If you decide to embark on this path, then what you need to first read is Livermore's "Memoirs of a Stock Operator". This book is known as the investment Bible and has been best-selling for hundreds of years. The full text is just a diary, but it has impressed countless people. After reading it over and over again, there is only one central idea throughout the entire article: "Stock prices always run in the direction of least resistance." This sentence is also hailed as the basic theory of all trading markets, and is also commonly known as "Tao". To condense it further, it is 4 words: supply and demand. If there are more people buying than selling, the price will rise, otherwise it will fall. When you can deeply understand this principle, what you need is to establish applications based on this basic theory to obtain benefits, which is the so-called "technique" or technique and model. There are countless various techniques published on the Internet, so I won’t go into details here. When I first learned trading, I studied the market for 20 hours a day and only slept for three or four hours. A year after I started slowly, I still studied the market for more than ten hours a day. I have studied more than 10,000 K-line charts. This is It takes effort and perseverance to do the hard work. The second part, study yourself. After I reached a certain depth in researching the market, I often came out on top in various real-price competitions with astonishing returns. In Big A, doubling in a week and multiple times in a month were commonplace. Big A People with a good background should know that this kind of volatility is not easy to achieve. Only a small number of people who have full positions and fight on absolute hot spots for many years can achieve it. But retracements are also staggering, and cuts in half are commonplace, so accounts always fluctuate like a roller coaster. After a period of time, I realized that my trading system had such a fatal flaw, so I started to study. I consulted successful hot money traders everywhere and learned from them. However, my offensive ability was too strong. Many times, They couldn't have given me better advice.As time went by, and the fluctuations continued repeatedly, I gradually realized that since we rely on human nature to make profits, is our human nature also the source of profits for others? So I started studying my own practice. Human nature has too many influences on trading, and everyone is not exactly the same, so I can only briefly talk about it. If you have any questions, you can leave them in the comment area and I will reply carefully. To put it simply, you can only trade within your own capabilities. Transactions within your capabilities, even if you have human shortcomings, will not have much impact on the transaction. Where are the boundaries of your abilities? The market is the most objective examiner, and your account is the most objective answer. Every once in a while, I will review the transactions I have made one by one, list the profits and losses of the same technique, and then see which techniques have produced the best results. If you are losing money or have low profitability, you should analyze your own trading problems based on the market environment at that time, constantly eliminate unprofitable transactions, and optimize the good models. Over time, you will find that many of the so-called opportunities you see are actually just a waste of time in the long run, making no money at all, or even losing money. It is better to do other things with this time. Therefore, after the transaction is completed, it becomes easier and simpler, just like when the plane flies over the clouds, it will always be sunny. If your trading is not simple, then there is either a problem with your trading or a problem with your brain. Why do you do complicated things when there are simple ways to make money? If you can’t do simple things well, how can you do complex things well? Today I will briefly talk about this. If you have any questions about trading, you can ask in the comment area and I will answer them carefully. (Anyone who does not answer specific currencies, specific opinions, or advertises will be blocked)
[Review notes] kp3r is good, The market has begun to organize a rebound, The high marks appearing at this location are worthy of attention. 119 intervened $KP3R
[Review notes] The market here is very similar to the period between 24,000 and 29,000. qi, data, bake Just like trb, loom, hifi at that time It all started in a small moment, Bitcoin gradually rises amid disagreements, The market does not have sustainable high standards; When the market’s willingness to pursue higher prices forms a synergy, It's when these things are activated, Among them, the status of qi is analogous to trb, Around the main line, the trading volume has basically not shrunk to less than 10 million. Launch the target with the highest space first. This should be a stage where the main focus is to hold on to the long term, waiting for the market's money-making effect to gradually spread, and the desire to chase higher to form a joint force. If there is no change, I should stay in qi and data and wait for the market trend after Bitcoin reaches a new high. $BTC $QI $DATA
[Review notes] Let’s talk about the market, btc breaks the platform here, It shows that the incremental funds still defeated the hold-up market. Everything will be fine in the future, But here the bulls have won miserably. There may be more differences that we will face in the next day or two, and there may also be a process of shrinking. The overall market has been beaten so hard in recent days that there is no synergy at all. This data is a life-saving straw when the market is bad. Now that the market has come to life and there are more choices for funds, the status of data may be lost, so this must be avoided. The overall market is still clearly centered around the return of value. The core is still in sol, and the direction of the combined force and the explosion point have not yet appeared. Maybe it won’t show up that soon, After much deliberation, I chose qi. qi is the sentiment indicator with the largest elastic space currently around value return. After several downturns in the market, all floating chips were basically wiped out. Maybe qi cannot be the leader, but its lower limit is an emotional target in the direction of least resistance around the main line, and its current position is relatively safe. Sit in at 0.0232 for the time being and wait for the market to show a direction of convergence before thinking about it. $BTC $QI
[Review notes] Originally, Bitcoin was in a bull market due to popular expectations. Over-the-counter incremental funds are also pouring in, But at this time The hold-up orders in the last bull market continued to fall between 41,000 and 43,000. As soon as you reach this range, you will start smashing, and if you fall, you will stop. Smashing the market into shapeless form, This market is truly the most courageous market I have ever seen. While shouting that blockchain is the future, at the same time, the market will be smashed if it rises. The number of these hold-up disks is immeasurable. So there is no way to make a judgment here, If the holding plate consumes all the funds for bargain hunting, then more will be killed, and BTC will explore the space downwards. If you copy the market and digest the hold-up market, BTC will break through 45,000 and the bull market will continue. Let’s wait for the market to make its direction choice. If someone tells you in the future that he sold BTC for more than 40,000, Please tell him that he deserves to be unable to eat two dishes for the rest of his life! $BTC
[Review notes] I made a misjudgment about btc earlier. Here BTC may have touched the lock-in range of the previous bull market. The market has been experiencing inexplicable crashes. Neither panic nor calm down. Its performance characteristics are that every time it falls, there is always no injection, but it can never be sold out. When it falls, the selling pressure will decrease, and when it rises, the selling pressure will increase, and there is no form at all. The market is now polarized, with incremental funds from the off-site continuing to pour in, and on-site hold-up orders continuing to be sold. The main force can only wait for these hold-up orders to be digested before the market will have a chance. $BTC
[Review notes] The inscription market has come to an end for now. The market mobilized WLD as the core target of incremental funds. The overall market returns to value around sol as its core. Core opportunities: wld, sol, qi, orn 4.1 has boarded wld, Temporarily hold wld, qi $WLD $QI $SOL
[Review notes] There is no big problem with the market. Unfirm chips have more chips, It takes a long time to wash. The market sometimes develops relatively quickly, Sometimes it's slower, Continue to be optimistic about Bitcoin reaching new highs and breaking through 5w. $BTC $QI
[Review notes] Let’s briefly talk about why btc will definitely rebound here and why qi will rise to the sky. First btc: This round of continuous short squeeze in Bitcoin is due to the continuous entry of incremental funds. The market has formed expectations of a bull market, and market participants have developed a very strong motivation to pursue rewards. The big drop here is actually a way to pursue rewards, because there are too many profit orders, and everyone chases strong rewards to form profit selling. , but the market has always been in such a strong emotional state. When the selling is released, the way of pursuing rewards will change from selling to buying, and Bitcoin will reach new highs and go out of a big market. It's just that the participants in this market are all young people who have not been baptized by the market. The market's reaction often produces a huge lag, so my judgments are often too advanced. This is also something I am reflecting on.
Leading instrument: qi is not hype, but value discovery. Based on the expectations of the bull market, large funds and long-term funds continue to buy some public chains or currencies with large market capitalization. Based on this atmosphere, the market's emotional funds will look for more flexible directions to speculate, and the money-making effect of the previous gas will be , coupled with the popularity of JTO's listing, everyone has dug out the forgotten QI. It was originally an altcoin with a small market value. Now that the bull market is coming, all the valuable coins at the top will rise a lot, so these linked coins will also It will follow the rise. When the time, place and people are right, funds launch qi, and the market value of qi should refer to jto and be higher than jto; when btc reverses, qi and jto will become the two cores of the market, with qi as the leader. JTO is Zhongjun. If JTO doubles, the market value will be 600 million. If qi is higher than 600 million, it needs to be doubled 5 times, so the lowest target price of qi is also 0.1. The level of hype for this kind of value discovery is much greater than the hype of the subject matter. It coincides with the first adjustment of the starting point of the Bitcoin bull market. When Bitcoin rises again, there is no doubt that the market will rise.
These things were all explained in the chat room a few days ago, but because my judgment is always too forward and the lag in the market always makes everyone feel more tormented, I will post it again for your reference.
The above is a personal opinion. Please do not use this opinion as a basis for buying or selling. There are risks in the currency market, so investment needs to be cautious.
[Review notes] 2023.12.13 00:52 Bitcoin’s freezing point has arrived Money will come back Promote btc's rapid rebound to new highs leading qi Full warehouse QI $BTC $QI
[Review notes] qiThe dragon's head is yin, 0.0245 has intervened. BTC is still in the divergence stage, and a second heavy volume decline is needed to complete the long-short conversion. After the conversion, market sentiment will undergo an extreme reversal and push QI to the sky. $BTC $QI
[Review notes] There is a strong wait-and-see sentiment in btc, After the repair, a second wave of decline will form. After the decline is over, the bottom-buying funds will make a comeback. Bitcoin will hit new highs again, The intra-day increase in leading qi is the highest on record in recent months. Already cleared at a high level, Waiting time to digest differences, After the adjustment, the second wave will intervene again. $BTC $QI
[Review notes] qi is currently the only copycat target that has emerged from the third wave. The emotional intensity is too strong, and there is a high probability that it will reach a high level The current trading volume is over 30 million, which is still in the early stages. 0.015 has intervened $QI
[Review notes] At 14:30-16-30, a super main force intervened in btc Strong support for btc with a buy order of 200 btc per order It is expected to have a greater impact on the Bitcoin process Continue to wait and see market changes $BTC
[Review notes] Bitcoin has strong demand for adjustment The remaining heat in the market cannot form a synergy Temporary stalemate between long and short After the stalemate, Bitcoin will enter a deeper adjustment a short position $BTC