For the cryptocurrency market, this perfectly fills the gap before the interest rate cut in November. Although the volatility of the cryptocurrency market has not been so drastic since the interest rate cut, and the imagined big market has not completely come out, there are political and military influences. In the final analysis, there is still no big capital involved. Since the last investment of more than 200 million US dollars, the short-term inflow of capital can be said to be increasing. The current market value of the cryptocurrency market is quite considerable. After this round of financing, it is expected to directly break through 3,000 this year. You must hold on to your spot.

Lao Cui concluded: Whether it is the news level or the technical level, the short-term trend is very clear, and it is still in the stage of high-rise callback, which means that there may not be too high points in the short term. The only advantage is that the short-selling force is not strong. Everyone is afraid that once it falls, it will be too late to exit and let the bulls take advantage. Therefore, short-term short orders must not be arranged, so we will enter our inspection period. As long as the recent callback cannot fall below the key support position of 2,600, our strategy is still bullish, or even blindly bullish. Lao Cui's strategy, Lao Cui has not played in the early 2400 orders, which gives everyone confidence. Lao Cui will at least let the contract get above 2800 before considering playing. If you want to ambush long orders, the stop loss space below must be large, you can consider fighting side by side with Lao Cui. Of course, don't worry too much. Even if it falls below the 2600 mark in the short term, the depth below will not be too large. Just be ready to buy the bottom at any time. As long as you dare to fall, you can directly take over. If you don't have a clear entry point, just ask Lao Cui directly. I will stop here today.

Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess. Experts can see five, seven or even more than ten steps, while those with low chess skills can only see two or three steps. The high-level ones take the overall situation into consideration and plan for the general trend. They don't focus on one piece or one place, but aim to win the game in the end. The low-level ones fight for every inch of land, frequently transform between long and short positions, and only fight for a short-term position, resulting in frequent traps.

This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute a buying and selling recommendation. Buying and selling based on this is at your own risk!

Let's take a look at the RSI indicator. The 6-day indicator has exceeded 70, and the 12-day value of 63 is close to 70. Only the 24-day value is slightly safe, and there are signs of bearishness in the short term. The KDJ three-line values ​​are also the same. The K line is 77, the D line is 60, and the J line is 93. The three lines are infinitely close to the overbought area, and the short-term correction trend is very obvious. The last value is the MACD we are familiar with. It formed a golden cross on October 13. The upward breakthrough trend of DIF is very strong. The bullish trend has not ended. The overall trend is still in the bullish space. After reading all the indicators, I believe you are very confused. There are bullish indicators and bearish trends. It is actually very easy to see from the combination that this is a typical problem of the connection of funds after a high. Not only do people feel very confused, but even the dealers don't know whether to pull back or rise. Especially at the Bollinger Band level, it makes everyone wait and see for the time being. The overall technical level indicators only show one problem. At present, it is very likely to form a sideways situation, slowly pullback, but the depth below is not large. Lao Cui's suggestion is that you can still look at it after the pullback, that is, the strategy of ambushing long orders can continue.

From the news level, first of all, the struggle between Iran and Israel at the military level seems to have subsided again, giving the currency circle a chance to survive. As long as the war does not recur, the continuation of the bulls will not be broken. Politically, Trump's winning rate can be said to be significantly improved. Once in power, it will be beneficial to the currency circle. There will be more and more good news in the future. It is getting closer and closer to November 5. Everyone around the election must control their positions. It is best to make all preparations for entering the market before the election. The effect of ambushing in advance may be better. Finally, from the perspective of the amount of funds that everyone is concerned about, a wealth management platform in Hong Kong has conducted a survey. 76% of private wealth in Asia has already entered the digital currency market, and 18% of people plan to invest in the future.

Lao Cui talks about coins: Ethereum is accumulating power to hit highs again, and the bull market is on the way!

We finally meet again. I apologize at the beginning of the article. Lao Cui is busy with users every time the market starts, and I am indeed absent from sharing with you. Lao Cui also reminds you that when the market starts, don’t wait for Lao Cui to speak. Lao Cui is basically on the way to lead users. If you have any questions, just communicate with Lao Cui in time. Remember not to wait for the article. We will analyze the new round of trends again. As for the long analysis in the previous article, it has ended. Congratulations to everyone who has followed for making a profit. For the later trend, I will give you a conclusion first. Those who are impatient can end here. The long trend will continue. The intention to fall is not strong enough. Users with multiple orders can continue to hold them like spot users. At present, Lao Cui’s orders are still retained.

Directly enter the technical level analysis. From a technical perspective, on the daily chart, the seven-day moving average crosses the thirty-day moving average again, and the short-term growth trend is still strong. According to the Bollinger Bands, the current market is running between the middle and upper tracks, but the coordination between the upper and lower tracks of the market has shown signs of slightly approaching or closing since 08:00 in the morning. The Bollinger Bands are closing, that is, the upper and lower tracks in the Bollinger Bands are constantly approaching. When the stock price narrows after a long period of decline, it indicates that the power of both long and short sides is gradually balanced, and the stock price will be in a long-term sideways market. Investors should mainly wait and see. This sentence means that there may be a possibility of a wave of sideways repair in the short term, that is, the recent market may not show a too deep callback trend, which means that after the long repair, the next impact will not be the high point of 2688 on the 15th, and it is very likely to directly impact the high point of 2727 on September 27. The callback is not strong, which means that the profit above is extremely rich. With the current trend, it is very simple to increase by 100 points upward, and the downward callback will not be too deep. Those who want to enter the market can mainly buy more.

Lao Cui's summary: In order to avoid looking back at the previous layout, Lao Cui still holds 2,300 spot ethers, accounting for 70% of the total volume. The remaining 30% are holding about 2,400 contract ethers, which have been sold at this stage. For the opportunity to enter the contract again, we have to wait for the stabilization of the 2,500 mark. At this stage, it is in a correction trend, so the current contract is still in a state of liquidation. The target of spot is always above 3,000 points. As long as the contract enters the market, the profit must be kept at around 50-100. Everyone should know that if you fail to seize the opportunity when you can expand your profits, you may be laying the risk of a liquidation when you lose. If you cannot seize the profit, you will lose money. If you can't seize this opportunity, Lao Cui welcomes everyone to talk about your ideas for future layout. Walking with the consensus is always Lao Cui's original intention. In the short term, as long as the key node of the callback of 2,500 can stand firm, the bull market will continue in the future. Even if the market falls below the bear market, it will not last too long. Users who want to enter the market can always go around the bull market.

Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess. Experts can see five, seven or even more than ten steps ahead, while low-level players can only see two or three steps ahead. Experts consider the overall situation and the general trend, and do not focus on one piece or one place, but aim to win the game in the end. Low-level players fight for every inch of land, frequently switch between long and short positions, and only fight for a short-term position, resulting in frequent setbacks.
This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute a buying or selling recommendation. Buying or selling based on this is at your own risk!

Judging from the four-hour chart, there was a violent pull-up at 8 o'clock in the morning. Lao Cui mentioned this to everyone the day before yesterday. External funds have entered the market. As long as the callback does not fall below 2400, there will be a new wave of opportunities. The market has been successfully completed. A wave of pull-ups directly led to all technical indicators pointing upward. Without exception, both the Bollinger Bands and the moving averages all pointed to the bull market, and the current indicator level seems to indicate that there are higher points waiting for a breakthrough. In the four-hour chart, since 2:00 p.m. yesterday, plus the new line just opened at 12:00 p.m., four positive lines have been gathered, and the bullish indicators are extremely strong. It should be noted that the KDJ three-line value is slightly high. There seems to be a trend of a pullback in the short term, but it is bullish and not short, and the short position is still maintained. Today's observation point is also very clear. Focus on the stabilization of the 2500 position. How to observe has been mentioned in the previous article. Those who did not seize the opportunity, remember the four words of unity of knowledge and action, understand the trend, and must seize it in time.

From the spot perspective, the current returns are far from our expectations. At this stage, the long orders that Lao Cui has ambushed are always aimed at holding 70% of the profits of the entire bull market. Many friends think that Lao Cui's layout in this round is a bit radical. Lao Cui takes the opportunity of this article to explain it to everyone. Users who have been following Lao Cui for a long time are very clear that unless they encounter a market that is almost certain to win, they will not easily let everyone enter the market, especially when they encounter a node that may create history this time, plus the users who followed Lao Cui to do more in the early stage have suffered losses, even if the responsibility is not Lao Cui. Lao Cui still holds a responsible attitude towards everyone and has an explanation to everyone before letting everyone refer to Lao Cui's layout. Normally, these are all the treatment of closed disciples. Lao Cui will not spread it without paying. Since I have explained it to you, Lao Cui has not kept it private. How long this bull market can be held depends on your patience. Lao Cui has given everyone reference information for the entire layout, and the initiative to do or not is in your hands. At present, Lao Cui's layout has no other operations for the time being, and he will remind everyone if there is any disturbance.

Lao Cui talks about coins: A large amount of capital intervenes, and the coin circle violently rises?

The predictions in the past two days are too accurate, so today I will talk about some other knowledge, and try not to be too hot. Starting from the halving effect of a bitcoin in the early stage, many friends think that halving will have a downward impact on the market of the coin circle. Lao Cui always feels that everyone has deviated from the original intention of halving. It's very simple. The halving strategy is a mechanism based on rewards by Satoshi Nakamoto. Frankly speaking, this is not good news for miners, but it is not bad news for coin holders. As the conditions for obtaining bitcoins become more and more stringent, the number of new bitcoins born later is becoming increasingly rare. Even if there are only 21 million, this should be a good news for the general direction. Although it will have an impact on the market in the short term, it is more favorable news in the general direction. Users who speculate in coins must not be influenced by others and think that halving is bearish. This theory is not valid.

I took a day off yesterday, and the reason for the rest was very sufficient. The market forecast was completely correct. The short-term bottom-fishing of two contracts made everyone earn a lot of money, and Lao Cui himself also made a lot of money. After fighting for a lifetime, it is time to rest for two days, so please don’t morally blackmail Lao Cui and make Lao Cui feel guilty. Since the securities market switched to the cryptocurrency market, what Lao Cui values ​​most is the free time in the cryptocurrency market. After predicting several directions, everyone has tasted a certain sweetness, which has caused everyone’s expectations of Lao Cui to be a little too high. Lao Cui reminds everyone that everyone must make careful decisions based on Lao Cui’s analysis, and do not enter the market blindly. Before entering the market, you must reasonably avoid risks. Lao Cui is not a god, and he will definitely make mistakes. I hope that the profits from these two orders will allow everyone to remember the previous glory when Lao Cui makes mistakes, and be merciful. It’s a waste of too much space. Lao Cui directly gets to the point. The market has ushered in a new starting point. Let’s discuss the future trend together:

Lao Cui concluded: The main factor of yesterday's growth still came from the amount of funds. More than 250 million USDT flowed into the spot field, most of which flowed into the BTC ETF spot. It can be said that traditional capital has finally flowed into the currency circle, which is a good signal. At least it represents that traditional capital has begun to take Bitcoin's spot seriously. The beginning will lead other retail investors to return to the currency circle market. In addition, the short-term decline of old A has led to the return of retail investors and capital. This indirectly shows that the currency circle is still as we analyzed. Putting aside the phenomenal trend, the investment in the currency circle is still second to none. As long as there is no war factor and political influence in the short term, even if there is violent growth in other financial markets such as old A, it will not actually suppress the currency circle too much. Once other markets are sluggish, the currency circle is still the gathering place for retail investors of the leading boss. This paragraph is to give confidence to spot users. Contract users are still the same. As long as they go long, they will make a profit. Long orders are currently trapped. As for the point, it was just given yesterday. Today's observation is still at 2400. Users who don't know the entry point, come and ask Lao Cui.

Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess. Experts can see five, seven or even more than ten steps, while low chess skills can only see two or three steps. The high-level ones take the overall situation into consideration and plan for the general trend. They don't focus on one piece or one place, but aim to win the game in the end. The low-level ones fight for every inch of land, frequently switch between long and short positions, and only fight for a short-term position, resulting in frequent traps.

This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute a buying and selling recommendation. Buying and selling based on this is at your own risk!

Because compared with the whole trend, the short market will not last too long, and the rebound speed below will definitely be very fast, which means that once you chase the short, you may be trapped. This kind of order is trapped, and it may be very easy to go up to more than 3000. It will take at least half a year to get out. Let's take a simple look at the four-hour trend chart: the seven-day moving average officially crossed the thirty-day moving average at 8 o'clock in the morning. The short-term strength has shown signs, and the average price also clearly shows that the buyer's sentiment is higher than the seller. Combined with the opening direction of the Bollinger Bands, the three tracks are completely flat, the price runs between the middle and upper tracks, and the upper track pressure position is near 2475. If it breaks through, it will point to more than 2500 in the short term. It is estimated that the next wave of breakthroughs will point directly to more than 2500. The three tracks are flat and there are signs of sideways trading, and it will definitely be a downward correction in the short term. The values ​​of the three lines of RSI and KDJ are slightly high, which seems to be oversold. MACD formed a golden cross at 16:00 yesterday afternoon. At present, this wave of bullish market is almost over. From the technical indicators, the space below will not be too deep, and there will still be an upward breakthrough after the callback.

Combined with the trend of the entire Ethereum, the lowest point of the callback reached around 2329. Looking at the long-term, the low point of the last round of short-selling market was 2308 on October 3. It can be seen that the depth of the callback is getting lower and lower. The trend of the entire market, from the T-line, is very similar to the wash before the bull market, and the depth has been fluctuating back and forth between 300-400 points. For the current trend, spot users must have extraordinary patience. It can be said that as long as these two waves can withstand the depth of the downward exploration, the subsequent outbreak will definitely make everyone reap a lot. If contract users want to enter the market, the inspection point is still the stabilization of the 2400 mark. As long as the callback depth does not reach below 2400 today, you can enter the market to try long orders. If you are not sure about the market, you should ask Lao Cui first. Lao Cui explained a lot of trends and found that everyone had no clear idea about the judgment criteria for stabilization. Many friends have always been skeptical about whether a point has stabilized.

Lao Cui talks about currency: Traditional capital intervenes in the currency circle, and the bull market is coming quietly?

Yesterday's short-term contract layout has reached the conditions for closing the net. Many friends refer to Lao Cui's approach. Most of them focus on the entry point and do not consider the stop-profit and stop-loss points. Lao Cui wants to talk about it today and hopes that everyone can correctly understand it. Short-term profits do not mean that the central idea is still based on stability, so congratulations to everyone for making a successful profit. Yesterday's low point has reached 2380, and today it is also considered to have bottomed out and rebounded directly to 2470. This wave can be said to have a profit of 50 points. For those who follow Lao Cui's article to enter the market, Lao Cui does not ask you to bring Lao Cui something after making a profit, but only hopes that you will not scold Lao Cui when you lose money in the future. Lao Cui himself does not want to give the exact entry point, so that everyone can try to make orders. Recently, users who have indeed made many losses have lost too much, so in a hurry, a long order of 2400 was given. For general contract users, try to keep the stop-profit space around 50 points, and don't be too ambitious.

A hero never mentions his past achievements. Let's go straight to today's theme analysis. From the perspective of rebound strength: it is currently in a process of high-up callback. It can be said that whether this wave of 2400 can stand firm plays a decisive role. As long as the 2400 position can stand firm, there is no need to think too much in the later stage. There will definitely be a fight for the 2500 mark. Through the recent long-short competition, everyone believes that there is a certain degree of grasp of the market. Obviously, the power of the bulls is higher than that of the bears. The upward space of 100 points is basically easy for Ethereum. Compared with the downward strength, the effect of bottom-fishing below is more obvious, so for contract users, more is to do more. Although according to the previous analysis, it is currently in a short-term oscillating market, and this trend is still pursued at this stage, there will not be too high a breakthrough. Lao Cui still emphasizes that you should not easily enter the short position. Even if the short position can fall to around 2000, you cannot grab the short position profit.

For novices, if you want to accept the operation mode of the contract, you must find a familiar veteran to guide you, and don't try the contract easily. The best result is not to touch the contract. This theory is a bit contrary to the original intention of the currency circle. In fact, most users enter the currency circle because of its large fluctuations. They feel that there is a chance to change their fate. This idea will only make everyone fall to the bottom. In the future, Lao Cui will report to you about the orders he holds every month. If you think it is worth referring to, you can also try it in the same way. If you are not sure about it, you must communicate with Lao Cui before operating. At least when Lao Cui comes out, he can notify everyone in time. A little difference is a thousand miles away. Especially for the short-term contract method, many friends think that the difference of a few points or dozens of points is not important. Often, the final contract can make a profit, which is the difference of these dozens of points. That's all. Today's analysis comes to an end. Interested users can try it according to Lao Cui's ideas.

Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess. Experts can see five, seven or even more than ten steps ahead, while those with low chess skills can only see two or three steps ahead. Experts consider the overall situation and the general trend, and do not focus on one piece or one place, but aim to win the game in the end. Underdogs fight for every inch of land, frequently switch between long and short positions, and only fight for a short-term position, resulting in frequent setbacks.

This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute a buying or selling recommendation. Buying or selling based on this material is at your own risk! #6万保卫战 #9月美国CPI实现6连降 #SCR价格预测 #CPI&PPI来袭，美国通胀升还降？ #币安LaunchpoolSCR

Lao Cui hopes that through his personal operation methods, everyone can understand that the currency circle is not only about gambling to get certain gains, and the currency circle does not belong to the casino. Especially in the early stage of the analysis with everyone, many trends, whether it is the coordination of the news level and the technical level, or the pattern of the entire financial market, all point to the early stage of the bull market without exception. Many friends in the industry have judged that the bull market has risen in 25 years, and there are also predictions for the end of this year. Whether it is the end of the year or next year, we cannot predict the exact time of the bull market. All Lao Cui can do is to prepare for the layout in advance and wait for this wave of growth. The flowers are gradually dazzling. Only by preparing before the bull market comes can we catch this wave of opportunities. Never think about being able to catch the bull head of the bull market at the lowest point, and don’t think about waiting for the bull market to start before intervening in funds. These two ideas will eventually lead to everyone watching the bull market slip away from their hands.

Recently, many friends with contracts have found Lao Cui, and most of the topics communicated with Lao Cui are about contract issues. Many friends think that Lao Cui's judgment of the market is relatively accurate, so they hope that Lao Cui can notify everyone when he enters the market. In fact, notifying or not notifying will have the same result, and the final decision-making power is always in one's own hands. Even if Lao Cui tells everyone that the bull market will come at this stage, the number of users who can enter the market is often less than one in ten. It's a very simple truth. If everyone who sees Lao Cui's article chooses to enter the market, the dealer will definitely let the bull market collapse completely. The candidates who can make profits in each round are strictly screened by data. This is the same as the trend of altcoins. Only a small number of people can make profits, and most people cannot make profits. As long as the capital pool in the market reaches a certain amount, the market will form a harvesting party. The contract is a bet with the dealer. If someone makes a profit, someone must lose money. Novice Xiaobai's psychological grasp of the contract is always half a beat slower.

The beginning of today's article is slightly changed to report the latest situation. Don't think that Lao Cui will not enter the market after his analysis. At present, Lao Cui's spot Ethereum layout is almost 40% of the position at 2300. The contract entry point is at the current point of 2400. The liquidation price is 1600, which belongs to the ant position. For the profit-taking target of spot, Lao Cui's approach is to increase the position step by step. The initial entry point is 2200, 2300 replenished 5%, 2400 replenished 10%, 2500 also replenished 5%, so the overall price has come to around 2350; it is still in a profitable position at this stage, and the callback will continue in the later period. Lao Cui's expectation is that if it falls by 100 points, it will still replenish the position according to 5%, and it will be replenished to around 2000. The exit point is also very clear above 3000. When it reaches 3000, the later trend will be observed to see whether it can continue. The highest is around 3500, and the holding time is more than half a year.

For the contract, there is no plan to continue to cover the position at the current price. In the short term, if it can stabilize at 2400 and reach around 2500, Lao Cui will wait and see whether to exit. The profit target of the contract is not as expanded as the spot. The profit is always kept around 100 points. Even if it keeps growing, the spot will continue to make profits in the future. The contract is completely exited and intervened in the spot position. This method can be regarded as a reference opinion for everyone. The short-term downturn must require the profit of the contract to make up for the overall loss of interests. Lao Cui's understanding of the currency circle is always enough funds to intervene in the spot, and the contract is only an option to reduce risks in the short term. If the market cooperates in the later period, the overall profit exit can also reach such a return of 8WU. This is Lao Cui's rough judgment on this trend. He has never thought of eating a fat man in one bite, and he will not miss any opportunity to make a profit.

Lao Cui concluded: Many friends are not familiar with Lao Cui, and it is also Lao Cui's fault that he has not introduced himself since he came to the new platform. Although you have been seeing Lao Cui's articles everywhere, the name is indeed familiar, but you really don't know what Lao Cui is doing specifically. Lao Cui will introduce himself to you today. Lao Cui officially switched from a securities company to the currency circle in 2014 and became an analyst in the currency circle. The first job in the currency circle was on another platform. Lao Cui will not mention the name of the specific platform, after all, this is a new employer. Looking back now, it happens that this year is Lao Cui's tenth year working in the currency circle. Lao Cui is naturally certified, so you don't have to doubt Lao Cui's professionalism too much. There is still a qualification certificate between Lao Cui and the liar. And what Lao Cui is engaged in is also the sentence that Lao Cui has always said, helping you to expand your profits when you make a profit and reduce your risks when you lose money. This is what Lao Cui does in his career. Old fans must know Lao Cui's details. Due to the length limitation of the article, I will not introduce personal matters. If you are interested in checking Lao Cui's qualifications, you can communicate with Lao Cui at any time. Lao Cui can still show you these things. The introduction ends here. The next is the most exciting part. The current price is quite suitable for those who want to enter the contract. You can grasp the long order. As for the numbers, you can look at the market chart yourself. The profit margin is around 50 points. This is a welfare order! Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess. Experts can see five, seven or even more than ten steps, while those with low chess skills can only see two or three steps. The high-level ones take the overall situation into consideration and plan for the general trend. They do not focus on one piece or one place, but aim to win the game in the end. The low-level ones fight for every inch of land, frequently switch between long and short positions, and only fight for a short-term position, resulting in frequent traps. This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute a buying and selling recommendation. Buying and selling based on this is at your own risk!

Many friends have doubts about Lao Cui's analysis. Since it is not based on market analysis, how can the sideways result be obtained? Lao Cui's judgment is based on only two points, that is, the listing of Bitcoin and Ethereum and the short-term outbreak of Lao A. These two points are enough to prove that there will be no big waterfall in the currency circle in the short term. Of course, this waterfall refers to the fact that Ethereum will not fall below 2000. This is due to the impact of the listing. The position of traditional capital is here. If they want to list all in the later stage, the first round of investment of traditional capital will definitely not allow them to suffer losses. Otherwise, the future currency circle will only go further and further away from legalization and compliance. It can be said that traditional capital and the currency circle have become grasshoppers on a line. Secondly, Lao A is strong. From the perspective of capital volume alone, there is no rival in the global finance that can be compared with Lao A. Foreign capital has already been promoting the entry of running, and it has been mentioned in the analysis of the previous two days that the current Lao A is in the second stage, that is, the dealer keeps the pull every day within a certain range, which can be said to be in its prime.

The above two points of analysis have already put aside the influence of politics. The primary reason for the lack of growth in the currency circle is definitely the amount of funds, followed by the military level. Taking a step back, it is not willing to stand in opposition to Lao A. It can be said that if the currency circle maintains a strong momentum at this stage, it can only be suppressed. As long as it maintains a short-term sideways trend, for spot users, it is a matter of finding a suitable entry point. At this stage, spot users will definitely not have much income, so it is not conducive to spot users to operate at this stage. On the contrary, this shock mode is more in line with the operation of contract users. Don’t think that blind growth and plunge are the profit model of contract users. The truth is often the opposite of what everyone thinks. The contract users that Lao Cui has contacted can maintain a profitable state, and they are all making profits in the shock. In the big market, they are often the role of being trapped. Dear contract users, these two days are the moment to decide your fate, and you must seize the opportunity.

Looking back at what we said earlier, the current Ethereum is in a volatile market, slowly repairing the market panic caused by the shorts. Sure enough, the sideways time has been long enough. Almost this week has been fighting for the nodes of 2400 and 2500. For spot users, there is no need to panic. After all, our entry point is still at a low level, and most of them choose to ambush at 2300. Thank you for your trust. I have held it for more than half a month. For the current market trend, there are actually not too many problems that need to be elaborated. The spot is held for a long time, and the contract is a short-term back and forth fluctuation. Of course, Lao Cui's recommendation is still to go long at a low level, and try not to do short orders. For the market that can reverse in the future, the risk of short orders being trapped is too great. Go directly into our analysis of the later trend:

From the daily line, the seven-day moving average is lower than the thirty-day moving average price again. The short-term seller's willingness is stronger than the buyer's willingness, and the short-seller advantage is still very obvious. The opening situation of the Bollinger Bands has not gone out of the obvious closing and opening forms. From the combination of these two, I am afraid that the sideways timeline will continue for a few days. Let's take a look at the coordination of the three lines of RSI and KDJ. The values ​​of these three are very normal. It is actually difficult for the technical level of the sideways interval to reflect the specific trend. The feedback that can be given to everyone at the technical level is actually very limited. This is why Lao Cui does not often tell everyone about the situation of the market. If you rely on the market analysis to make orders, you will definitely lose everything. At present, the clues that can be relied on can only be found from the entire financial market, and the currency circle has the strongest growth-linked attribute. If the currency circle wants to really get the nourishment of a bull market, it can only let Lao A calm down first. The current layout is the ambush position problem in the entire long-term, so everyone must remember not to panic. Patient waiting is the kingly way, and opportunities will definitely appear not far away.

Recently, the Americans are speculating that the interest rate cut in November may reduce expectations or even no interest rate cut. It is clear that the data of the Americans is full of water. Every time they are so arrogant, they still have a certain impact on the market. Even Buffett has reduced his holdings of US bank stocks by hundreds of millions of dollars, but he did not comment on it. This wave of interest rate cuts by the Americans has indeed led the global capital flow, and they should indeed let people speak loudly. Then, compared with our currency circle, the old A is currently in the second stage, that is, the strong stage. There will definitely not be too much excess funds flowing into the currency circle. Therefore, the biggest possibility of the currency circle market at present is to maintain a stable sideways mechanism and grow slowly. As long as there is no big waterfall, there will be no large-scale growth in the short term. But once the old A starts to go downhill, it is the rise of the currency circle, that is, the third stage of the old A, which will cause the continuous growth of the currency circle.

Lao Cui concluded: For funds, the interest rate cut will definitely be prioritized, and the flow of large amounts of funds will definitely go in a more stable direction. Moreover, the interest rate cut has already led to a wave of growth for the cryptocurrency industry, and it can be said that it is worthy of the cryptocurrency users. The next period of time is to wait for funds to flow into the cryptocurrency industry again. As long as other markets cannot maintain this retaliatory growth, the cryptocurrency industry will return to the bull market stage. Currently, users who are engaged in the cryptocurrency industry must lower their posture and wait for the bull market. At this time point, as long as there is no impact from the war, you can rest assured to buy at the bottom and wait for the right time. At this stage, contract users can directly enter the market with a deep callback. The profit must be placed at around 50 points of Ethereum. Long orders are the kingly way to make profits. Don't chase the rise after the breakthrough. Ambush with small positions at low positions is the mainstream. This year's Ethereum will not have any problem rising to more than 3,000, and even higher opportunities are within reach. Just calm down and wait. Spot users must be more patient. The ability of Lao A will gradually decline, and it will be difficult to survive this year.

In the second stage, the trading volume will be completely maintained at about 100 billion yuan per day, and it will increase by 100-300 points in a week; then comes the third stage, when institutions begin to leave the market, the problem of state-owned assets increasing shares to resolve debts is completely over, the stock market begins to fall, and retail investors gradually begin to get stuck. The most important judgment here is to keep an eye on the statements of Goldman Sachs and foreign capital, whose predictions are much more accurate than those of domestic investors. It is said in the circle that Goldman Sachs has never made a wrong judgment on the decline of the Chinese stock market, and has never predicted the bull market accurately. Goldman Sachs wants everyone to run, so we must leave the market in a big step. For domestic news, we only need to pay attention to the statutory debt balance of local governments, which is 410 billion yuan (excluding urban investment). If it is one-to-one, the debt of urban investment is 400 billion yuan, and the total debt of local governments is about 800 billion yuan (there are other data saying that it is 150-200 billion yuan, which Lao Cui cannot judge). We will calculate it based on the local debt of 80. The current total market value of the stock market must be at least about 1.2 times the domestic GDP.

That is to say, it is necessary to increase the current 90 billion to about 150 billion, so that there is room for debt resolution. However, based on history, according to previous operating ideas, it will generally start to fall when it rises to about 100-120 billion. In general, it will start to expand shares to reduce debts when it grows to about 10-20%. Converted to this range, that is, the current 3300 points of the old A point will rise to about 3500-3600 points, and everyone should be ready to run away. Even if you can get a profit of 4000 points on the upper side, don't continue to hold. At present, investment in the stock market can only be used to hedge the 280 billion additional issuance, that is, to hedge against currency depreciation. As long as you can outperform the currency depreciation rate, everyone will make money in this wave, and those who run slowly will definitely be trapped. At around 3500-3600, you can still exit the market with dignity. For individual stocks, there will not be a general rise. This is indeed the best time for you to exit the market. In addition, the recent instability in the Middle East and the data released by the United States have always exceeded expectations and led to growth (although Lao Cui does not believe it), but if we talk about it every day, there will definitely be some growth. The growth of the US dollar and US stocks is likely to return to the top of the world.

Lao Cui talks about coins: A-shares are growing strongly, will the waterfall in the coin circle come?

I didn't expect that a short-term correction of Ethereum could cause so many contract users to blow up their positions. I didn't expect that everyone's gambling nature was so strong. Leverage still needs to be carefully considered for investment, and everyone must not be obsessed with it. There are also many users who have invested in Lao A, and they all hope that Lao Cui can talk about how long this bull market can last, so today's analysis starts with Lao A, and the things in the coin circle are just a passing mention. Everyone should be clear that all financial markets have a competitive relationship. It is understandable that the rise and fall of one and the harmony of yin and yang are all understandable. The current trend of the coin circle is also inseparable from the growth of Lao A. The continued growth of Lao A is bound to cause a short-term correction in the coin circle. The amount of funds cannot come up, and the short-term will continue a slow upward process of shocks. Then for Lao A, there must be a lot of good news, and the biggest good news is the release of 28 billion yuan of funds into the stock market. The full inflow of 28 billion yuan can at least support it until the end of this year. Everyone needs to pay attention to the amount of funds flowing in every day.

Especially with the entry of foreign capital, Goldman Sachs, UBS, Morgan Stanley and other foreign investment banks are all optimistic about Chinese assets, and large amounts of money are flowing into the stock market, so don't think there will be a big drop in the short term. If you want to know how long the entire bull market will last, you need to start from its underlying logic. It can be said that this round of bull market is completely a policy bull market. Its core purpose is to help state-owned enterprises and local governments solve the huge debt problem. The simplest way is to issue additional stocks to stimulate the stock market and then cash out the debt. Lao Cui personally predicts that there will be the following three development trends: the first stage is the stock market surge, and the continuous rise will allow retail investors to enter the market. Foreign capital will wait and see. The daily trading volume will remain at 100-300 billion, and it will be pulled to 400-600 points a week; as long as retail investors enter the market, our second stage will begin. We are currently in the second stage, with retail investors rushing in and foreign capital slowly intervening. The national team operates state-owned enterprises and local listed companies, and begins to issue additional stocks to cash out and resolve the debt crisis. Here, you must check the news in time. Once the cash-out mode is turned on, you must leave the market in time.

Lao Cui concluded: In the end, after this round of growth, no one will be bearish anymore. I believe you all know very well that bulls are still in power, so Lao Cui will not emphasize this point again. Only when you are long, you must keep your position. Once the war starts, you need to change your order strategy immediately. The war is the intersection of the bull market and the bear market, and it can be regarded as a fuse. As long as there is no influence of this factor, the currency circle can generally be bullish, and there is no need to worry too much. The mentality must be calm, and the overall layout should not be affected by the short-term trend. If you still have uncertain entry points in your mind, you must communicate with Lao Cui in time, and even users who have orders should talk to Lao Cui immediately. Don't worry, neither of them will make you pay. The pressure position of Ethereum observation is that 2500 and 2533 can be broken through in the short term, and it will be the height before the war.

Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess. Experts can see five, seven or even more than ten steps ahead, while low-level players can only see two or three steps ahead. Experts consider the overall situation and the general trend, and do not focus on one piece or one place, but aim to win the game in the end. Low-level players fight for every inch of land, frequently switch between long and short positions, and only fight for a short-term position, resulting in frequent setbacks.
This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute a buying or selling recommendation. Buying or selling based on this is at your own risk!

The short-term pressure position is also very obvious. The first short-term pressure position is 2500, and the second actual pressure position is near the middle track 2533. For the daily line, as long as it breaks through, it may usher in a big rise, but if it does not break through, it is still within the controllable range. The short-term correction depth is difficult to reach the previous hundreds of points, that is, it will charge again after a correction of dozens of points. The three-line trend of RSI and KDJ is still normal. Everyone should know that Ethereum has almost grown to a height of about 90 points. The performance of these three lines is still within the normal range, which indirectly proves the strength of short-term bulls; and for the MACD line, DIF and DEA form a parallel trend, but DIF has a tendency to rise upward. As long as the market continues to grow above 2533, it is likely to form a golden cross pattern, proving that the upper space will be forced to open again. Overall, the daily chart shows that bulls still dominate, but this time the performance is more obvious, and almost all linear indicators point to a bull market.

Let's take a look at the recent important news. At 20:30 on Thursday evening, the US will release the seasonally adjusted CPI annual rate and monthly rate at the end of September, and will also release the number of people receiving unemployment benefits. You need to observe this data. I am afraid it will cause a new round of growth. This is the first time that the overall monthly and annual data has been released since the interest rate cut. There is no need to think too much that the data is definitely good, so Lao Cui believes that there will be another round of growth. At the same time, the US September PPI annual rate and monthly rate will be released at 20:30 on Friday evening, and the initial value of the one-year inflation rate forecast for October and the initial value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index in October will also be released at 21:45 in the evening. These two memories are the most important news data in recent times, and everyone needs to pay attention to them. As for the authenticity of the data, it is not too important for the currency circle. These types of data are definitely generally optimistic. You just need to prepare in advance before the data is released.