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刘公子的交易思维

Frequent Trader
1.8 Years
微博:刘公子分享 (习惯用独立思维的视角去解析行情)致力于做到知行合一 擅长趋势操作,币圈知名大V,每天实时指导,2017年进入币圈
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Ethereum is flowing out crazily, TRUMP stands out on its own, the best two trading days are this market rookie! Currently positioned near 76, short once more, targeting around 45, can also sell in batches!
Ethereum is flowing out crazily, TRUMP stands out on its own, the best two trading days are this market rookie!

Currently positioned near 76, short once more, targeting around 45, can also sell in batches!
See original
In the world of trading, understanding is crucial. Although many people have been working in the field of trading for 20 to 30 years, they still fail to understand its essence. Trading is as difficult as climbing to the sky, and its tortuous road is like the path of practicing Buddhism. I also studied day and night for eight years before I finally realized something: In 2016, I first got involved in the cryptocurrency circle. I thought it would be a natural thing to operate based on the experience of foreign exchange and the market, but I didn’t realize that the cryptocurrency circle has its unique fluctuation trajectory and characteristics, and I suffered losses. From 2016 to 2020, I was deeply involved in the research of technical indicators and entanglement theory, and I went astray. I wasted two years in vain, trying to find the 100% certain opportunity, pursuing the lowest purchase and the highest sale, but the result was unsatisfactory! In 2020, I began to contact trend theory and embarked on the right path. I learned the breakthrough trading method of "buy high and sell higher", but I went astray and tried to distinguish true and false breakthroughs and screen trading opportunities in order to improve the winning rate. This is the wrong direction. In 2021, I realized that there is no need to distinguish true and false breakthroughs, give up looking for certainty and high winning rate, and just make a bold breakthrough as long as the profit and loss ratio is high. In 2022, I practiced a lot of brainless breakthrough trading, both long and short, but ignored the general trend. As a result, false breakthroughs occurred frequently, making it difficult for me to stick to the breakthrough trading strategy. In 2023, I realized the epiphany of "unity of knowledge and action". The secret lies in position control, light position operation, keeping calm about losses, daring to act, and daring to hold floating profit orders, but at this time I have not yet realized the importance of the general trend. In 2024, I completely realized the importance of the general trend, became a general trend cycle trader, and was promoted to a long-term trend trader. I no longer blindly trade long or short, but first determine the general trend, only go long in a bull market and only go short in a bear market, firmly moving in one direction, and holding long-term positions for a few months to a few years. The above is my trading enlightenment journey, to be continued...
In the world of trading, understanding is crucial. Although many people have been working in the field of trading for 20 to 30 years, they still fail to understand its essence. Trading is as difficult as climbing to the sky, and its tortuous road is like the path of practicing Buddhism.

I also studied day and night for eight years before I finally realized something:
In 2016, I first got involved in the cryptocurrency circle. I thought it would be a natural thing to operate based on the experience of foreign exchange and the market, but I didn’t realize that the cryptocurrency circle has its unique fluctuation trajectory and characteristics, and I suffered losses.

From 2016 to 2020, I was deeply involved in the research of technical indicators and entanglement theory, and I went astray. I wasted two years in vain, trying to find the 100% certain opportunity, pursuing the lowest purchase and the highest sale, but the result was unsatisfactory!

In 2020, I began to contact trend theory and embarked on the right path. I learned the breakthrough trading method of "buy high and sell higher", but I went astray and tried to distinguish true and false breakthroughs and screen trading opportunities in order to improve the winning rate. This is the wrong direction.

In 2021, I realized that there is no need to distinguish true and false breakthroughs, give up looking for certainty and high winning rate, and just make a bold breakthrough as long as the profit and loss ratio is high.

In 2022, I practiced a lot of brainless breakthrough trading, both long and short, but ignored the general trend. As a result, false breakthroughs occurred frequently, making it difficult for me to stick to the breakthrough trading strategy.

In 2023, I realized the epiphany of "unity of knowledge and action". The secret lies in position control, light position operation, keeping calm about losses, daring to act, and daring to hold floating profit orders, but at this time I have not yet realized the importance of the general trend.

In 2024, I completely realized the importance of the general trend, became a general trend cycle trader, and was promoted to a long-term trend trader. I no longer blindly trade long or short, but first determine the general trend, only go long in a bull market and only go short in a bear market, firmly moving in one direction, and holding long-term positions for a few months to a few years.

The above is my trading enlightenment journey, to be continued...
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ACT four-hour line continuous rise, this currency has a long way to go, bottom fishing successful!
ACT four-hour line continuous rise, this currency has a long way to go, bottom fishing successful!
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Extreme market conditions that do not favor trading have caused previous optimistic investors to turn bearish. If there is a slow increase, I will be cautiously optimistic! The strategy is to plan in advance: short positions, short-term trades in the same time frame, and enter during specific intervals! Short at the Ethereum 2320 level, targeting 2200 for short positions and looking at 1900 for swing trades!
Extreme market conditions that do not favor trading have caused previous optimistic investors to turn bearish. If there is a slow increase, I will be cautiously optimistic!

The strategy is to plan in advance: short positions, short-term trades in the same time frame, and enter during specific intervals!

Short at the Ethereum 2320 level, targeting 2200 for short positions and looking at 1900 for swing trades!
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In three days, it has risen by 10,000 points. The current target for the bulls is 99,000. I didn't follow up on the high, and I think there was some misjudgment. From the beginning of April to now, the increase has been so rapid, truly exceeding expectations! Yesterday was the first time I went short, and it didn't work out. I wanted to seize the opportunity as soon as possible, but there is always a price to pay, just like when I bottomed out at 75,000 in early April. At that time, there weren't many signs of a bottom or reversal, and there was no clear direction; that's how the market works! A rapid rise is also unhealthy and breeds significant volatility. As the situation changes, I need to adjust my thinking and lay out plans starting from today! In summary, the short-term bearish trend for Bitcoin can already be established, with the final target set at 90,000. There are still 14,000 points to go to reach the target! For the 104,000 level, the short-term target is 100,000, and the wave target is 90,000!
In three days, it has risen by 10,000 points. The current target for the bulls is 99,000. I didn't follow up on the high, and I think there was some misjudgment. From the beginning of April to now, the increase has been so rapid, truly exceeding expectations!

Yesterday was the first time I went short, and it didn't work out. I wanted to seize the opportunity as soon as possible, but there is always a price to pay, just like when I bottomed out at 75,000 in early April. At that time, there weren't many signs of a bottom or reversal, and there was no clear direction; that's how the market works!

A rapid rise is also unhealthy and breeds significant volatility. As the situation changes, I need to adjust my thinking and lay out plans starting from today!

In summary, the short-term bearish trend for Bitcoin can already be established, with the final target set at 90,000. There are still 14,000 points to go to reach the target!

For the 104,000 level, the short-term target is 100,000, and the wave target is 90,000!
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After a month of watching the rise, I just turned bearish today and got scolded?
After a month of watching the rise, I just turned bearish today and got scolded?
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Affected by the easing of tariffs, the big pancake surged to 100,000. This wave of bullish momentum and time cycle exceeded many people's expectations, especially today, which was quite unexpected. Although I am a big bull, I couldn't escape the mindset of a retail investor! As mentioned in the post, the bearish outlook is also a short-term one, with no swing trading opportunities; I still believe that to be the case! The reason for turning bearish is due to my style; I am more adept at making early arrangements. Although there may be instances of being too early, once a trend mindset is formed, the potential for gains is larger, and the more challenging it is, the more meaningful my existence becomes! The short position at 101,500 continues to be held, with a short-term target of 97,000!
Affected by the easing of tariffs, the big pancake surged to 100,000. This wave of bullish momentum and time cycle exceeded many people's expectations, especially today, which was quite unexpected. Although I am a big bull, I couldn't escape the mindset of a retail investor!

As mentioned in the post, the bearish outlook is also a short-term one, with no swing trading opportunities; I still believe that to be the case!

The reason for turning bearish is due to my style; I am more adept at making early arrangements. Although there may be instances of being too early, once a trend mindset is formed, the potential for gains is larger, and the more challenging it is, the more meaningful my existence becomes!

The short position at 101,500 continues to be held, with a short-term target of 97,000!
See original
Today is also a time window, just like early April, market sentiment is extreme, rapid rises and slow rises have completely lost their technical aspects! Continue to bet on high shorts, testing errors in the short term! Do not chase the rise! Current price 100800 short, short-term target looks at 97000!
Today is also a time window, just like early April, market sentiment is extreme, rapid rises and slow rises have completely lost their technical aspects!
Continue to bet on high shorts, testing errors in the short term!
Do not chase the rise!
Current price 100800 short, short-term target looks at 97000!
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Ethereum 2000, go long, short-term target 1900!
Ethereum 2000, go long, short-term target 1900!
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Everyone stands to salute this wave On April 9th, a key moment in time That day, it was clearly indicated to enter Ethereum at 1400 Targeting 2000 Today, exactly one month later, saw 600 points! 2000, many beautiful positions!
Everyone stands to salute this wave
On April 9th, a key moment in time
That day, it was clearly indicated to enter Ethereum at 1400
Targeting 2000
Today, exactly one month later, saw 600 points!
2000, many beautiful positions!
See original
Everyone stands to salute this wave On April 9th, a key moment in time That day, it was clearly indicated to enter Ethereum at 1400 Targeting 2000 Today, exactly one month later, saw 600 points! 2000, many beautiful positions!
Everyone stands to salute this wave
On April 9th, a key moment in time
That day, it was clearly indicated to enter Ethereum at 1400
Targeting 2000
Today, exactly one month later, saw 600 points!
2000, many beautiful positions!
End
🎙️ 前期挤压的空头清算消耗殆尽,高空存在机会!
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Many layouts, very accurate layouts
Many layouts, very accurate layouts
刘公子的交易思维
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Every time the pancake rises, it's dragged down by Ethereum. After so many years, it's the first time I've seen Ethereum perform so poorly!

When will we see a ruthless approach, heading north, where a dramatic scene unfolds!

This position can still be a good opportunity to go long (trial and error)

The current price around 1710 is a good entry point for long positions, with a short-term target of 1900!
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Opportunities for segment layout are rare and hard to come by
Opportunities for segment layout are rare and hard to come by
刘公子的交易思维
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The market ignores interest rate cut expectations, strongly liquidating long positions, with Ethereum leading the way. The second quarter has just begun like this, which is not necessarily a bad thing. News-driven market sentiment ultimately doesn't last long, as evidenced by the drop from 88,500 to 10,000, showing how extreme the market's behavior can be!

As long as those who went long have been hurt, I won't be one to join in; not participating in this kind of market is just not my style!

Now, technical analysis is useless; it's all about who has the better mindset. Looking at the current chart, everywhere is bearish; what to do? You see it, and others see it too. Should everyone just blindly chase after it?

Currently going long around 77,500, with the first target at 82,000 and the second target at 86,000!

Just go with the current price, no range provided, increasing the difficulty, but that's fine!

Going long on Ethereum at 1,550, with a short-term target of 1,800 and a swing target of 2,100!
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Verification Result
Verification Result
刘公子的交易思维
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The second quarter has just begun, the market strikes hard, and panic selling has appeared again!

Will the plot of slow growth during the day and a drop at night happen again? Let's wait and see!

Bitcoin and Ethereum long positions are being held!
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Great opportunities arise when most people think it's impossible.
Great opportunities arise when most people think it's impossible.
刘公子的交易思维
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Already bottomed out, Bitcoin at 75000, Ethereum at 1460, holding on! Can't send the image.
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This is the band layout
This is the band layout
刘公子的交易思维
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When it rose to 81,000, it took 5,000 points. This time you have another opportunity; will you seize it? When volatility is high, ultra-short opportunities are limited!

The price has returned to the range of the past few days, and currently, the fear index is at 18, back to where it was a few years ago. The news has only led to both bulls and bears being hit; have you experienced this? Especially in the recent market!

Bitcoin has shown considerable resilience. After the tariff news, it can return to the technical and fundamental aspects. If you don't buy the dip now, then when?

Just now at 75,000, I already called for a buy; continue to buy around this line, with a short-term target of 80,000 and a swing target of 85,000!

Ethereum at 1,400 is a buy; this round number can continue to buy, with a short-term target of 1,680 and a swing target of 2,000!

The time frame is this month!
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Unwavering 😁
Unwavering 😁
刘公子的交易思维
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Once again at the crossroads of trends, the latest thoughts at midnight, for reference only!

US bonds soar, the dollar continues to fall, and BTC bulls are poised for action!

No matter how the news changes in the future, how the US stock market falls, or how tariffs are imposed, BTC will rebound, and the past few days are enough to prove this point!

The temporary decline observed in recent days is market demand, and the smoke released from the news is also intended to move this way; otherwise, how could one trap a wave of people? Without trapping a wave, how can there be liquidation?

Continue to hold a firm bullish outlook, especially for BTC and ETH!

Buy at the 82000 level, targeting 88000!

Buy at the 1520 level, targeting 1800!
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Perfect Layout of Federal Reserve Market
Perfect Layout of Federal Reserve Market
刘公子的交易思维
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Latest Thoughts:

The long position during the day was closed at 97100 in the evening, and now I am providing insights based on market news!

The Federal Reserve meeting is about to begin, and the bulls are chattering incessantly. The original plan was to go long first and then short, but the short entry has been postponed, and I will still treat it with a bullish outlook!

Long at the 95500 level, targeting 98500!
See original
At 1700 with Ethereum, I said I saw 1900 and 2000, doesn't it seem a bit exaggerated, hard to believe, various criticisms! Looking back now, I am the wise one, while everyone else is drunk, I alone am awake!
At 1700 with Ethereum, I said I saw 1900 and 2000, doesn't it seem a bit exaggerated, hard to believe, various criticisms!

Looking back now, I am the wise one, while everyone else is drunk, I alone am awake!
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