When will the major bull market for altcoins arrive!?
Let's first talk about the market! Currently, everyone is most concerned about what stage the market is at today, whether the altcoin season will come, and when it will come? In fact, at this point in the market, if we had to classify it, it should be gradually entering the mid-term. Don't be fooled by Bitcoin's significant rise; it has only completed the first phase goal of breaking through the valuation ceiling of the crypto market, creating a better lifting environment for other coins. Each bull market is generally divided into three stages; we are currently in the first stage, the second stage will involve rapid violent sell-offs and washouts, during which altcoins will generally follow suit and plummet but will stop falling before Bitcoin and quickly rebound. In this stage, this bull market may differ from previous ones; it used to be familiar patterns like 312, 519, but this time it may resemble the sharp washout pattern we saw a few days ago. This is because the demand for Bitcoin is too strong; not only are Wall Street investors interested, but several countries also plan to include it as part of their national strategic reserves. Therefore, a linear drop like 519 is generally unlikely unless a huge black swan event occurs. Since it's called a black swan, it is certainly difficult to predict and shouldn't be included in our considerations! Thus, during significant drops, don’t panic; just operate at the key points we advise. Bull markets are more about mindset; technicals are secondary! The third stage is the real bull frenzy, where altcoins will rise alongside Bitcoin and continue to surge for a while after Bitcoin peaks, then the bull market will end, and the dust will settle! If we analyze our current position, it's easy to see that we are at a node transitioning from the first stage to the second stage, indicating that the major movement is still ahead, and the future is very promising!
#Ai赛道 #RWA赛道 #depins Let’s talk about the big market first. Bitcoin has ended its unilateral rise since it continued to reach new highs of 73,777, and has undergone a correction of more than 13,000 dollars. The magnitude is still quite large. I know that many friends are quite panicked. ! Don’t panic. At present, this is just a normal retracement of an excessive rise. There are no pessimistic expectations about whether the market will fail or how deep the market will fall. The market made a second exploration on the 20th. The action has not broken the previous low, and the signs of stopping the decline are relatively obvious. It is expected that it will continue to hit new highs after the shock. It is estimated that the two positions it may reach are the 75620 and 80120 lines. Even from a very cautious point of view, as long as Bitcoin holds the dividing line of 61,000, we can all be optimistic about the upside. At this stage, there is no need to scare yourself, just hold on to the chips in your hand. In fact, looking at most of the altcoins, there are buy signals indicating the end of the adjustment. I personally judge that the performance of the altcoins in the next week will be relatively good, and the profit-making effect will be better.
If the market is divided into levels, then the recent market must be the hell-level plus version. The exchange is seriously sucked by the on-chain market, liquidity is lacking, and the rise and fall of many currencies are inexplicable. The small differentiations of various levels are intertwined with each other, which makes people crazy... But the friends in our community are another scene. The band is accurate, and they have escaped the top and bottom many times. It can be said that they are operating at the turning point. The fluctuation of income is completely unaffected by the market and grows steadily! Congratulations to the friends who keep up with the rhythm. The current market is in the stage of shocking and finding direction. Except for the few strong varieties that can be counted on two hands, the diamond hands of other coins are basically wiped out. Before the next round of unilateral market appears, you can only continue to do T, so that you can survive in this devastating market!
Back to the market, the current cake has broken through the descending wedge. The volume is acceptable, but not abundant, which will restrict the upward space, but the breakthrough is a breakthrough. It still depends on the higher line. There is a high probability that it will go back to impact the pressure near 99,500. It is unlikely to continue to break through. It is likely to fall back here to find the bottom. For big trading opportunities, we should first look at the previous low of 91,000, and then look at the range below 86,000. There will be a large trading space for us to enter the market and make a lot of profits if we enter the market at these two positions! At present, the weekend altcoins may be active. The long needle plus multiple large cycle bottom divergence in the BTC/ETH exchange rate pattern has obvious short-term bottom implications. In other words, the recent trend of Ethereum will be stronger than that of Bitcoin. If the main force works hard, Ethereum has a probability of hitting around 2,900. Therefore, there is some demand for altcoins to make up for the rise on the weekend, so we can look forward to it. In terms of currency selection, LTC has performed strongly due to the positive support of ETF. This is also the largest position in the community. It is currently at a historical pressure level, and it is still difficult to break through. You can find an opportunity to do T. Another relatively clear positive is that the high probability of Ethereum pledge passing. LDO, ETHFI, SSV and the like in this track can all be paid attention to. The Rwa sector has been silent for a long time. MKR took off, and it feels like it will also do something. You can choose varieties with good liquidity to make a layout. In general, stay away from contracts and do well in trading in waves. There will be several big opportunities this year, and you can still take off if you seize them!
LTC large position brought in over 30% profit, the other screenshots are successful trades made in the last two to three months, overall not bad, keep it up 😎
I think the friends in the community are quite happy these two days. Recently, we have mastered the rhythm very well. In the volatile market, we have been very accurate in escaping the top and picking the bottom several times, especially when the big cake broke through the previous low of 90500. In the market, there was a lot of bearish voices of head and shoulders breaking. We firmly believed that there was a great possibility of inducing shorts here, so we entered the market decisively. Then the big cake quickly pulled up after 89257, and the income of the friends who followed the entry also grew rapidly. It was so cool!
Looking back at the recent market, the large range oscillation, the boundary between long and short is very vague, and the conversion is so fast that it is dizzying. If you are not careful, the light profit will be taken back, and the heavy loss will be huge. It is really difficult to play! Only with courage and carefulness, and repeated bands, can you survive in this hell-level market and keep the fruits of victory!
After the rapid rise, the big cake is currently blocked at the large resistance position of 101,000. Next, there will be a benign retracement. The space is limited and will not be very deep. First look at 97,600, then look at 95,600. The trend has not ended. After the retracement, it will go up. First look at 104,000. If it remains strong, it is normal to set a new high! What really needs to be paid attention to is that Trump came to power and stimulated the big cake to reach a new high of around 110,000 or even higher. It is expected that there will be a callback that continues to break the low of 89,000, and then pull up again. There will probably be several more waves of this situation. When everyone is used to it, they dare to buy it after it goes down, and then there will be a smooth violent killing, cutting the leeks into blood... As long as this wave can be avoided, then the real good days are coming^_^
For the future rhythm deduction, let's get here first and return to the current market. After this wave of big cake hits the previous high, it is too likely to catch up with the rise, and the altcoin can still eat a wave. In terms of currencies, with Trump taking office, there are more opportunities for currencies with US capital background and related to the US government. The specific varieties have been shared in Tencent Conference and the community, so I won’t repeat them here. In addition, after Trump took office, institutions are likely to reapply for SOL’s ETF, and the possibility of approval is also greatly increased. SOL ecological currencies can be paid attention to! In the coming days, market fluctuations may be more intense. I hope everyone will focus on spot trading and stay away from contracts!
This wave has a perfect rhythm. On January 7, the highest point of the big cake was 102,000, and on January 13, it was prompted to buy the bottom near 91,000. First, it avoided the 30%-50% retracement, and then accurately bought the bottom. The current profit is 20%-30%, up and down 50%-60% (is this correct! 😂🤣) Full of sense of accomplishment 😎
To summarize this operation, at 1:00 a.m. on January 7, the big cake prompted to exit and do T at the high point of 102,000. Overall, it avoided a 30%-50% retracement, which was not bad. Yesterday, it was near the lowest point and prompted to cover. The rhythm and luck were OK [cool]
Bin was affected by Mr. Bao's negative comments and started the callback mode. It quickly fell all the way, and the lowest was close to 92,000. Ethereum also failed to withstand this wave of impact, leading the Shanzhai to plummet, and the market was wailing.
Rationally analyzing, at this position, there is no need to panic. Although we entered the market a little early, the position is not a big problem. Even if Bin continues to go down, the more extreme range is only 87,000~88,000, and Ethereum is 3,000. It is basically difficult to go down without a big black swan.
From the perspective of institutional capital flow, the inflow rate of Ethereum ETF has been increasing. In other words, when the market develops to this point, institutions have chosen the more cost-effective Ethereum. Then in the future, it may be normal for Ethereum to be stronger than Bin. Therefore, we really don’t have to worry. There is no problem with Ethereum, and there is no problem with Shanzhai, so there will be no problem with our operations.
When writing the analysis, the market has already started a sharp rebound. If the subsequent second exploration breaks through this low point, don't panic. Remember the points we mentioned and boldly cover your positions!
Big cake keeps fluctuating at a high level, and as expected, it steps back to around 94,000. When it is at a high level, it reminds you to control your position, and the point of replenishing the position when it steps back is also very accurate! I have repeatedly said that the cottage market is coming, and you can boldly increase your position with the key support. I don’t know how you operated at that time, fear or belief, increase your position or cut your losses?
I have been chatting with many friends who do trading recently. It seems that the shadow of the big cake bull market in the past two years has not passed. There is still fear about the cottage and dare not hold it for a long time... Isn’t this the effect that the main force wants to achieve? Although the market has made money, the coins in my hands have been waved back and forth. When the big one comes, I am not on the car. I really broke my thigh! I want to chase other coins, but I am afraid of heights. The bull market is going on in the torment, but I haven’t made any money. I am haggard in my heart.
Inertial thinking is terrible. When the market changes, we should adapt to this change, instead of being trapped in the cage of our own inertial thinking, and finally get nothing! Recently, the currencies we recommended have all risen very well. ENS, SSV, WLD, AXL, etc. have all made a sharp offensive. Congratulations to the friends who bought in and made a lot of money.
At present, the big cake will continue to fluctuate. Judging from the indicators, it will conduct a second exploration of yesterday's decline. The position will still look at 94,000 first. It is estimated that it will not be explored deeply. At present, Ethereum indicators are good, the shape is healthy, and the exchange rate trend is relatively stable. Therefore, don't be afraid of callbacks. Every callback is an opportunity to increase your position. Hold the coins in your hands firmly, don't change your mind, and hold them to enjoy the wealth dividends brought by the bull market!
Bitcoin never disappoints, continuously rising, approaching the $100,000 mark. Ethereum has finally strengthened as well, and over the weekend, altcoin markets have become active, with signs of profit emerging in the market.
A few days ago during the discussion about the market, I mentioned that there must be a position at this level, at least fifty percent, as a wave of market activity could emerge at any time. Looking at it now, my prediction was correct. The market is starting to heat up! Still adhering to the previous idea, there should be a position here, but the only difference is to try not to exceed fifty percent.
The market has developed to this point, and it should have entered the mid-stage, which is represented by Bitcoin continuously pulling up, opening up valuation space, then the rise slows down, and funds begin to flow into altcoins. Everyone can observe carefully; in recent times, altcoins have basically been increasing in volume, showing clear signs of capital attention. However, based on past experiences, after Bitcoin rises, there will generally be a significant pullback during the first wave of active cycles for altcoins. This pullback typically accompanies the initial top structure of Bitcoin, and after accumulating and gaining momentum from the pullback, Bitcoin and altcoins will rise together, starting the second wave of market activity, and finally, Bitcoin peaks while altcoins continue to surge, ending the market!
Therefore, the current position is quite critical. The bottom of altcoins generally sees a doubling in increase, the greed index is relatively high, and high-multiple coins are appearing, indicating that market sentiment is heating up quickly, which aligns with various signs before a pullback. It's hard to determine exactly when it will start; we can only manage risk through positions! If the anticipated trend occurs, altcoins will quickly drop alongside Bitcoin's adjustment, then stop falling before Bitcoin and rebound quickly (due to funds flowing from Bitcoin). At this moment, don't be fearful; it will be the best opportunity to build positions!
In the short term, Bitcoin is expected to start adjusting, initially looking for a pullback around 94,000, and mid-term seeing 86,000. Let's not look too far; just supplement positions when it pulls back to key levels! Pay attention to several positions for Ethereum, 3200, 3000, 2800! In terms of sectors, just choose from quality new public chains, memes, RWA, AI, and blockchain games; you can buy coins based on personal preference as mentioned multiple times before!
BTC bull market! When will the spring of altcoins come? !
Bitcoin, under the Trump effect, has continued to hit new highs, hitting a high of 93265 before falling back under pressure. Ethereum also hit the 3400 line of strong pressure before encountering resistance and falling back. The altcoins generally followed suit and made up for the rise. However, the bull market carnival still belongs to Bitcoin alone. Except for a few new public chains and meme coins, most of the currencies have limited rising activity, but they are not soft when they fall back. The profit-making effect of the market has not yet arrived collectively... Despite this, the meme coin sector that we have repeatedly emphasized, led by Pepe, has significantly outperformed the average increase in the market and made huge profits. Congratulations!
The big coin ended its downtrend after the election data started to overall lean towards Trump, stopping the decline at 800 above our predicted bottom point of 66000. Following this, it surged as Trump's voting advantage continued to expand, eventually reaching a historical high of 76400 after his election. It can only be said that the election data had a tremendous impact on the big coin, causing it to stop just a little short of our predicted bottom position. However, the new high created by the big coin is a great start, and there will be more opportunities in the upcoming market. Currently, the big coin is in a consolidation phase after reaching a new high. Due to breaking through the long-term resistance trend line, the bullish power is still strong. Next, it will go back to test and confirm the effectiveness of the breakout, and after confirmation, the market will begin again. The position is already very close, in the range of 73700~74000.
Ethereum also surged alongside the big coin, reaching 2880, which activated altcoins generally. When the big coin is at a high, some funds will inevitably flow into altcoins, which are generally at a lower position, making the overall market speculation relatively easy. Ethereum still has the potential to challenge 3000 upwards, so the pullback of the big coin is a good opportunity to layout quality altcoins! From the contract data, the bears have basically been wiped out, with a large number of long positions being accumulated. Whether the main force will insert a big needle downwards in pursuit of profit is hard to determine, but it is better to have a defensive expectation in mind. The spot defense is still based on the position of the second big coin Ethereum. If it effectively breaks below 2670, it will be a risk signal, and attention will need to be paid at that time!
At the current position, in the long term, the spot is definitely safe. Whether the contract will be liquidated depends on personal luck, so it is still better to focus on spot trading and minimize contract trading! In terms of coin selection, the previously mentioned mkr, sui, sei, pepe, wif, ens, ldo, op, ssv are all good varieties, and you can choose according to personal preference!
The last analysis mentioned that Bitcoin may show a new high after stabilizing at 66571. Although it fell a little short, it generally aligns with the expectation of a pullback near previous highs. Subsequently, Bitcoin began to decline sharply due to the impact of election data, rebounding slightly after hitting the 67500 trend line support, and is currently fluctuating above the trend line. From the daily trend perspective, there has been no indication of a stop in the decline, and it is expected that after a slight fluctuation here, it will continue to fall until it reaches the 65000~66000 range, at which point a significant rebound may occur. This could be a good short-term sniper position, allowing for participation in the swing, with resistance around 69600.
As for Ethereum, it appears relatively weak, and it is expected to approach around 2200 before any significant opportunities arise, so altcoins should be cautious of the continuing downward risk. On a larger scale, the weekly chart shows a long upper shadow, forming a double top with the previous high, indicating a poor pattern, and the level of adjustment may increase. This week, with interest rate cuts and the election conclusion, is destined to be a week of intense volatility. When key support has not been reached, do not rush to catch the bottom, especially with altcoins. Careful operation is essential.
Regarding specific coins, new public chains should be noted, as each market cycle produces a few new public chains with significant gains. Besides SOL in this round, there are two others with promising characteristics: SUI and SEI, especially SUI, which obviously has significant capital support—one of the standard choices for bottom-fishing. MKR is also highly recommended, as it is one of the rare projects in the crypto space actively repurchasing its tokens, demonstrating real value creation. It has been declining, with its cost-effectiveness continuously improving, making it a long-term quality coin that can be held with confidence. Other meme sectors and AI are also worth paying attention to, as the Ethereum Developer Conference approaches, and the Ethereum ecosystem is expected to take action. There are also risks to avoid, as the election is about to conclude; the election sector represented by People should be avoided, as favorable news has been exhausted, likely leading to deeper declines! As the market reaches today, the difficulty of operations continues to increase, focusing on swings, while faith should be set aside for now. After the election concludes, if a black swan event occurs, the biggest bottom-fishing opportunity will appear, and it is not yet time to be aggressive; currently, caution is key!
Write a brief opinion. After the big pie surged to 69519, it began to adjust, falling to 66571 and stabilizing. The trend is in line with expectations. There are two possibilities here: one is that today or in the next couple of days it closes with a bullish reversal, which would look quite beautiful and could see it rise to a higher level, potentially creating a new historical high. The other possibility is that it encounters resistance around 68200 during a pullback and continues to drop, which would test the support at 645000. This level must not be effectively broken; if it breaks, there will be more room for a larger drop. Short-term players need to pay attention here.
$ETH $BTC $PEPE
橙子_研究院
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As the market moves to today, Bitcoin is stronger than expected, hitting the trend line pressure of 69,000. Ethereum is in line with expectations and follows the rise. The altcoins also rebounded as predicted. The key meme sector, AI sector, and people and other hot coins frequently appear at the top of the list of gains, and the harvest is fruitful!
At present, Bitcoin has reached a very critical position, and it seems that it can break through and take off at any time, but it is facing huge pressure from above... From a technical point of view, there is no sign of peaking in the daily cycle, but the four-hour divergence has been confirmed, coupled with the oversold after the continuous rise, the risk of adjustment here is still relatively large, fortunately the amplitude will not be too deep, and it is likely to go around 67,600, and then continue to rise, creating a new high above 69,000. Here we must pay attention. If it falls back after a high rush, it cannot stand firm, and the daily level divergence will appear, and then a larger level of adjustment will come!
According to the on-chain data, the funds of the exchange are still in a low state, the contract holdings are at a historical high, the greed index is approaching 75, and the regional war is escalating. I always feel that there will be a wave of harvesting market! In addition, the current trend of the blood-sucking little overlord A in October has stabilized, and it is estimated that the second stage of the upward trend will begin. Many old-fashioned altcoins on Sunday also went out of the compensatory market.
All of the above make us have to maintain a respectful heart. If there is a new high trend after the adjustment, it is recommended to leave at least half of the position to observe the authenticity of the breakthrough first. After all, in our judgment, there is still a C kill to go, and when it will come, whether it will be superimposed with a black swan, are all unknown, so it is better to be cautious!
In terms of currency, because I am not an optimist, I will not recommend it for the time being, and I will screen it after the market really goes out of the direction. In a word, the market is unpredictable, control your fear and greed, so that we can go further! $ETH #大盘走势 #BTC要挑战7W大关了吗? #APE暴涨
As the market moves to today, Bitcoin is stronger than expected, hitting the trend line pressure of 69,000. Ethereum is in line with expectations and follows the rise. The altcoins also rebounded as predicted. The key meme sector, AI sector, and people and other hot coins frequently appear at the top of the list of gains, and the harvest is fruitful!
At present, Bitcoin has reached a very critical position, and it seems that it can break through and take off at any time, but it is facing huge pressure from above... From a technical point of view, there is no sign of peaking in the daily cycle, but the four-hour divergence has been confirmed, coupled with the oversold after the continuous rise, the risk of adjustment here is still relatively large, fortunately the amplitude will not be too deep, and it is likely to go around 67,600, and then continue to rise, creating a new high above 69,000. Here we must pay attention. If it falls back after a high rush, it cannot stand firm, and the daily level divergence will appear, and then a larger level of adjustment will come!
According to the on-chain data, the funds of the exchange are still in a low state, the contract holdings are at a historical high, the greed index is approaching 75, and the regional war is escalating. I always feel that there will be a wave of harvesting market! In addition, the current trend of the blood-sucking little overlord A in October has stabilized, and it is estimated that the second stage of the upward trend will begin. Many old-fashioned altcoins on Sunday also went out of the compensatory market.
All of the above make us have to maintain a respectful heart. If there is a new high trend after the adjustment, it is recommended to leave at least half of the position to observe the authenticity of the breakthrough first. After all, in our judgment, there is still a C kill to go, and when it will come, whether it will be superimposed with a black swan, are all unknown, so it is better to be cautious!
In terms of currency, because I am not an optimist, I will not recommend it for the time being, and I will screen it after the market really goes out of the direction. In a word, the market is unpredictable, control your fear and greed, so that we can go further! $ETH #大盘走势 #BTC要挑战7W大关了吗? #APE暴涨
橙子_研究院
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Are there any more black swans?! How to grasp the future market!?
#大盘走势 The trend of bitcoin in the past two days is relatively in line with expectations. It encountered resistance when it rushed upward and then fell down. It stopped falling in the key area of 59,000 and started to rebound. It has now entered the pressure level of 62,000. It is expected that after fluctuating here, there is still room for it to rise, but the space is limited and it is difficult to start a big market. Ethereum is doing slightly better here, and we can see the position of 2600 if we are optimistic, but the prerequisite is that Bitcoin should maintain mild fluctuations and avoid a sharp drop! The altcoins are more active than before, which shows that many funds are still optimistic about the market in October. The performance in October in history is indeed good, so we can look forward to it.