交易侠小宇pro

After a significant drop this week, the market direction for BTC has become increasingly unclear. I have summarized a few contributing factors:

1. The theft of Ethereum on Bybit highlights the potential risks and vulnerabilities of centralized exchanges (CEX). This incident could not only trigger a bank run but also induce stronger regulatory policies, leading to a panic-induced decline.

2. The promised favorable policies from Trump have yet to materialize, followed by the failure of three Bitcoin reserve bills in Montana, North Dakota, and Wyoming, resulting in a decline caused by political risk.

3. The market circulation driven by meme frenzy, such as the popularity of TRUMP. Additionally, a series of meme coin scandals have triggered a crisis of trust in crypto, such as the LIBRA Milei incident. This decline is attributed to a lack of trust in crypto.

4. The continuous outflow of spot ETFs, with a net outflow reaching as high as 600 million dollars last week. This decline is due to liquidity exhaustion leading to pessimism.

5. Tariffs. I believe news about U.S. tariffs has been rampant, and I don’t need to elaborate further. This should be categorized as a panic decline brought about by macro-level factors.

I personally believe that BTC needs to test the critical support level at 71,000. In other words, the market's pullback will continue. Are you scared?

No need for ridiculous ranges, we aren't short on those few points, let's go in directly, now, at this moment, with ETH ​​​

Just like a meticulously directed movie, I can hardly believe this is a man-made plot, the timing of entries and exits is just too precise, thank you ETH ​​​#

Just add one more stroke, position 20%, no difficulty at all, waiting for #美国加征关税

Bitcoin is currently priced at 96400 and shorted, with a position of 20% and a target of 95300

The long strategy provided yesterday has finally seen some improvement after a night's turnover.

Since Trump took office, Bitcoin has not risen but rather fallen. The reason for this is that since last October, Trump's favorable conditions for short positions have been exhausted. After taking office, he has been busy with trade wars and consolidating power; therefore, the market's slow pace is normal in the absence of new announcements.

From a technical standpoint, the downward slope of the retracement bottom has slowed down, and there is even a slight reversal. By tracking the CCI indicator, it is clear that bullish sentiment is obviously rising. The short-term moving averages shown in the chart are also developing upward.

For today, it is feasible to continue going long to achieve the target of 99600. Good luck to everyone.

Although it was a road full of thorns, at least we arrived safely.

We know that inflation data will affect monetary policy, which in turn affects the financial market. For Bitcoin, it is considered an anti-inflation asset, and the US CPI and core CPI for January announced last night exceeded expectations, and Bitcoin has risen accordingly. CPI exceeded expectations, stubborn inflation and interest rate cut expectations have further slowed down. Against the backdrop of a strong dollar, there are also factors that are not conducive to the circulation of Bitcoin. The most critical technical aspect at the moment is whether the price of the currency can stabilize the daily 100-day moving average, so as to break the negative mentality of the market. Even in the face of the embarrassing situation of the currency price contraction and correction, everyone should be more patient. Public current price reminder: 96500 to 96100 area, go in more. Target 99600#加密市场反弹

Concerns over the trade war triggered by tariff threats have further pushed market risk aversion, with spot gold currently rising above 2900, and Bitcoin bouncing back to around 97800. For Bitcoin, the daily line has reached the support rebound of the Bollinger bottom band, and the TD indicator shows a buy signal at point 9. Using MA99 as a trend line to look at the market outlook, as long as it can maintain above the moving average, the bulls are still in play. As shown in the chart, the daily line also faces a double top threat, but the neck line is currently well protected, and the market may evolve into a high-level ascending flag shape. Thus, in the next few days of this week, making a long position is definitely advisable. #美国加征关税

Yesterday's strategy of shorting in the long position was confirmed. The first long position was entered at 97500 and exited at 98300; the second short position was entered at 98260 and exited at 95000. The main reason for the significant success of the short position is attributed to the Federal Reserve officials' release of the meeting minutes regarding interest rate expectations during the night, which conveyed the central idea that the U.S. economy is strong, inflation is stable, and interest rates will remain unchanged... Today, we will face the U.S. inflation data CPI, which is expected to provide another opportunity to suppress Bitcoin's rise. If that's the case, we will maintain at 95500 today and aim for 94100#比特币后市 .

Yesterday, the idea of ​​going long first and short later was to arrange the first long at 95650, and stop profit at 97000; the second short at 96900, stop loss at 97500; the third short at 97900, stop profit at 97000. The bulls never dared to try easily, because the upper trend line suppression was too obvious. As shown in the figure, after the triangle area converged at the end, it was able to break through in the morning this morning, which had a positive impact on the short-term market sentiment. After excluding the 123 rule, the short-term focus is still on the suppression and breakthrough of 100,000 lots. The short-term bull profit space is about 1,000 points. Looking up, there is a great risk of retracement. My suggestion is to go long first. If the market does not break through the interim high point, you can rest assured. The watershed is at MA99 position 99904#比特币后市

Trump will announce tariffs on other countries this week, which poses a significant challenge for the world, and global stock markets have already begun to decline. BTC has also weakened slightly, dropping to 94,700 this morning. From a technical structure perspective, the lows continue to decrease, and the short-term channel is maintaining a weak state, with no reversal signals appearing yet. The angle of the long-term trend line is widening, and the likelihood of a major trend reversal in the future will gradually decrease, making trend characterization very important. As for today, one can consider entering long with 15% at 95,400, while the main line can focus on the 96,600 level for incremental positions.

Smart contract platforms are highly competitive. In the past 100 trading days, Solana, Cardano, and Polkadot have performed very well, leading to the diversion of the public chain ecosystem. In addition, the progress of ETH2.0 has been hindered, and the staking income has declined. The current ETH almost fell below the 2000 mark last week. Let's see if the DeFi protocol will loosen up in the future. Otherwise, the Ethereum ecosystem will face a fork caused by compliance risks. After the current sharp drop in Ethereum, I personally think there is value in bottom-fishing. Pay attention to risk control#以太坊现货ETF连续净流入

The current properties of BTC are difficult to define officially, but there still exists some degree of geopolitical safe-haven attributes. With the help of Trump's ladder, breaking through 100,000 may become a historical event. The future bubble needs a more explosive catalyst to maintain high levels. Currently, the US dollar remains strong, and its upward momentum will face significant limitations in 2025. This year, focus on the development of Federal Reserve interest rate cut expectations. BTC may form a more independent market in its future growth, and at that time, the technical aspect of BTC's return will be a period of dividends. At present, the trend is weakening, and the price channel is dominated by current behavior. The cycle distribution is a turn every 8 days, currently at the tail end of a downward channel. It is recommended to rebound to around 97,500 🈳, with a medium-term target set around 94,100. For reference only, please pay attention to risk control #比特币后市

Yesterday, BTC broke below 90,000, exhibiting a significant volume drop in the short term, effectively releasing the selling pressure brought about by panic sentiment. In fact, there was indeed a large outflow in the spot ETF market yesterday, but the U.S. stock market remains the dominant force, liquidating some positions around 94,000. From the perspective of institutions, this rollercoaster ride is designed for high-level sell-offs, and it is highly likely that there will be further collapses in the market, with declines far from over.

BTC once again breaks through the 100,000 barrier, what a thought-provoking event this is. Good news has finally been settled, BTC gained over 3,500 points overnight, saving the earth in excess, understanding how to manipulate the market, indirectly controlling the market, this is the work of a master……#加密市场反弹

It is expected that Ethereum may lead Bitcoin to rise to 3660 this week, followed by an end to the bullish rally. The largest resistance point for Bitcoin is 99416 USD. This trade is certainly most profitable for shorting, as it is very difficult for Bitcoin to reach above 100,000 again. If you are afraid of missing the entry point, you can enter directly at #比特币走势观察 .

This week's focus is on the US non-farm payroll and the Federal Reserve meeting minutes, to further understand officials' attitudes towards a 25 basis point rate cut. Yu Di believes that even if non-farm payroll continues to slow down, it may not change the Federal Reserve officials' stance, as the Fed previously hinted at a slowdown in rate cuts. Therefore, I speculate that there could be significant fluctuations in the crypto market next week, such as a drop of 10,000 points for Bitcoin, with the devil starting in 2025 at #比特币走势观察 .

Today is the first weekly options expiration of 2025, with a total of 2.6 billion dollars in options expiring. Users from Europe and America are gradually returning from their holidays, and the overall market heat is recovering. However, the theme of this week remains adjustment, with clear market differentiation, and no sustained hotspots have emerged yet. Later this month, Trump is about to officially take office as the new president of the United States, and the entire market has a very optimistic outlook for 2025. However, the recent significant pullback in the US stock market has also brought considerable uncertainty to the market, and it is highly likely that this month's interest rate meeting will maintain the current interest rates without cuts, with no more short-term positive factors in the market.

$BTC Bitcoin is approaching the 99-day moving average on the 4-hour chart. If it breaks through, it is expected to exceed 100,000 this week. I have currently exited my long position, making a profit of 3000 points