Next, it should be the turn of the cottage! Because since this round of bull market, it has basically been the big cake that has been leading the trend. With the support of funds approved by ETF, the big money has been leading the trend. The cottage, even Ethereum, has not kept up with the pace. As a result, many cottage targets with good value have been hovering at the bottom for a long time. The sectors that need attention are: the MEME sector where VC and retail investors are in opposition due to the bull market that does not take over each other. You can focus on: PEOPLE PEPE FLOKI is relatively strong. Among them, PEOPLE should have greater hype value. First, its market value is relatively low. Second, it has the hype value of organized crowdfunding in the US election. Secondly, its market value is relatively low. In addition, you can pay attention to BOME, which has a relatively low market value on the SOLNA chain. It has been in the bottom consolidation and accumulation stage for a long time since its listing. It has the opportunity to replicate the trend structure of PEPE. I went to Hong Kong to meet the project party of FLOKI, and I was not disappointed!
1. Election Related: Trump's 230 electoral votes remain unchanged, Harris has 210 and is catching up; the final result depends on swing states, which may lead to a market reversal. 2. Celebrity News: Musk and Trump celebrate with champagne in front of the voting screen. 3. Large Holder Operations: Large holders continue to sell, with a total sale of 200 million USD at an average price of 73770. 4. Bitcoin Trend: The 15-minute Bitcoin chart shows a high-level dead cross, but there are many short sellers; it may peak near 75k and then pull back, with profits to be taken in batches while preparing to buy at the bottom. 5. Trading Experience: After a strong daily candlestick, there are usually small gains and small losses; do not expect a significant pullback, and avoid shorting. 6. Operational Advice: Reduce positions to hedge above 75k; if it doesn't drop after 9:30 PM, consider adding positions to buy back; if it drops, reevaluate tomorrow. Be aware that risks are everywhere. #DOGE看涨情绪飙升 #BTC创历史新高 #美国大选后涨或跌? #特朗普宣布胜选
1. Too many people in this market are impatient, and this mentality can easily lead to trading losses. Many people want to make money quickly, but often things go against their wishes. Frequent trading plus high expectations not only make no money, but may also cause losses due to handling fees. Trading requires patience, which is unbearable for most people. Many investors fail because they cannot wait.
2. Trading is lonely, and you must be able to endure loneliness. The current election is approaching and the market is about to have a direction. It is recommended to take steady steps.
Today's trading strategy and points
1. BTC 4-hour K-line trend: Pressure level: around 68851~70431 Support level: around 65611~66499
ETH 4-hour K-line trend: Pressure level: around 2440~2489 Support level: around 2316~2367
2. Technical analysis: Bitcoin 4-hour K-line fell in large volume, and oscillated back and forth between the upper and lower important neckline support and pressure levels; the current 4-hour MACD indicator is in the form of oil leaking in the air (accelerating the price decline), and the 12-hour and 24-hour MACD indicators are in the form of rootless water. The price continues to have a need for correction, and it is still bearish in the later period. Short-term operations are shorted at highs. Once the K-line price rebounds to the small cycle 30 minutes, 1 hour EMA60 moving average or the key neckline pressure level, it is the best opportunity to ambush and enter the market for profit. 3. Short-term spot operation thinking: If the price pulls back to the important support level marked above, you can enter the market with a light position and place a long order
The impact of the election on the market
1. Trump leads in 4 of the 6 states, leading Harris by 15% of the vote. If elected, Bitcoin will explode and Doge will also have an independent market. Election night will cause prices to fluctuate greatly, with BTC fluctuating between -5% and +5%, and ETH fluctuating between -7% and +7%. Pin orders can be placed. 2. If Trump wins, the price of Bitcoin will approach the target of $73,000 faster, breaking the historical high of $80,000 to $90,000 before the inauguration on January 20, 2025; if Harris wins, the price of Bitcoin may fall to $65,000 to $66,000 in the short term. 3. If Bitcoin falls below $68,000, the cumulative long order liquidation strength will be 580 million; if it breaks through $70,000, the cumulative short order liquidation strength will be 873 million. #美国大选后涨或跌? #美国选情僵持 #BTC市占率新高
Cryptocurrency Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions
1. Market Condition: The current cryptocurrency market condition is poor, resembling a 'never-ending decline'. Buying in spot markets can easily lead to losses; what seems like a major upward trend before purchase often results in consolidation, being trapped, and significant pullbacks afterward. 2. Bitcoin (BTC): Do not attempt to catch the bottom during weak rebounds. Avoid entering the market without clear volume increases. 66527 and 65256 are strong support levels below where one can position themselves. 3. Overall Market: The spot market dynamics have changed. Aside from Bitcoin, altcoins and long-term contracts carry significant risks. The cryptocurrency market is in bad shape with many primary market projects and poor quality in the secondary market. 4. Ethereum (ETH): There are no signals indicating a stop in the decline. 2380 and 2351 are support levels where orders can be placed, suitable for short-term bottom-fishing. 5. Altcoin Situation: When Bitcoin rises, altcoins do not; when Bitcoin drops slightly, altcoins plummet. Altcoins are often manipulated, making it difficult to recover losses. 6. Solana (SOL): The decline is smooth; try placing orders at the two points of 158.28 and 153.42. 7. Dogecoin (DOGE): It is in a downtrend, but a potential surge is expected if Trump is elected. Pay attention to strong support levels at 0.137 and 0.128, and consider going long; if the position is controlled at 5.5 and still incurs losses from orders, then the market condition is truly terrible. #美国大选后涨或跌? #美联储利率决议来袭 #BTC市占率新高
Whether it's polls or already cast votes, Trump is leading again, cryptocurrency is about to take off, today is an opportunity for everyone to increase their holdings
68000 for Bitcoin 2400 for Ethereum is a money-making opportunity #美国大选后涨或跌? #BTC市占率新高
This week there are two extremely important events:
Retail investors have the following fantasies:
- If Harris is elected, Bitcoin will plummet 50%; - If Trump is elected, Bitcoin will surge by 100,000.
1. The election will be held on November 5, and the results may be announced that evening. Remember when Trump was elected last time, the market went from a limit up to a limit down in just one day, causing many people to get liquidated. 2. There will be a monetary policy meeting from November 6 to November 7. If interest rates are lowered, it is likely to trigger a wave of upward movement; if not, the original trend is likely to continue. According to non-farm payroll data, this meeting is expected to lower rates by 25 basis points. But combining these two events makes the situation complicated, and significant fluctuations may occur.
The structure of this round of Bitcoin's market is very clear. Whether Trump or Harris is elected, this market structure will not be disrupted. The market makers are responsible for the market trend and must maximize their own interests, not those of Trump or Harris.
Therefore, after the election results come out at noon on the 6th, the market's fluctuations are likely to be much smaller than most people expect. This has been confirmed multiple times, such as on the night of the rate cut, or when Trump attended the Bitcoin conference, etc.
The most likely scenario is that after the election results are released, Bitcoin's price will have a “spike” fluctuation either upward or downward, and then the market will still develop according to the original trend. The structure of Bitcoin's market has been fully formed after more than half a year of declines, oscillations, forced liquidations, and accumulation; it will not be destroyed by any single event.
The advantage of the U.S. election for market makers is that it can be used positively and negatively to increase market volatility, create market divergence, and provide market makers with stories to tell. The U.S. election is, after the ETF, the most favorable tool for market makers to tell stories.
The mindset of cryptocurrency traders usually includes the following types:
- Speculative mindset: Many traders view cryptocurrencies as a quick way to acquire wealth, hoping to make huge profits in a short period by buying low and selling high, often focusing on short-term price fluctuations and trading frequently. - Gambling mindset: Some individuals treat trading like gambling, investing large amounts of money without rationally assessing market risks, overly relying on luck, and hoping to strike it rich with a single trade. - Overconfidence mindset: These traders may have initially made some small profits or believe they have a deep understanding of the cryptocurrency market, leading to overconfidence, overestimating their abilities and judgment, increasing their investment scale, and then facing liquidation! - Fear and greed mindset: When prices rise, greed takes over, and they always feel it can go higher, hesitating to sell; conversely, when prices drop, fear emerges, fearing further losses, leading to hurried sell-offs. - Herd mentality: Seeing people around them or information online suggesting a particular coin has potential, they blindly follow and invest, lacking independent analysis and judgment, just going with the flow into the market. One must learn to reflect, summarize experiences, and draw lessons to achieve stable profits instead of seeking quick gains.
Zhu Su, co-founder of Three Arrows Capital, stated on platform X that he has gone long on ETH at $2475 and long on SOL at $175. SOL is strengthening, WIF can be positioned at some #战火将如何牵动加密市场? #年底牛还熊?
Israel and Iran are fighting, the pancake rebound hasn't stabilized at 68377, don't look bullish Last night the short-term rebound pattern was damaged, and there will still be a demand for a downward move; it is recommended to continue to control the total position not exceeding 60% during this pullback First support 64500 Second support 61600#加密货币市场持续震荡
Follow Bond, some institutions and capital are imitating the Reef model. Last time when Reef was delisted from Binance spot trading, the contracts surged 20 times at 00:05. Yesterday, UNFI was delisted from Binance spot trading, and the contracts surged several times. Bond's market cap is over 10 million; now even a random low-quality token has a market cap larger than Bond's. Bond has the smallest market cap among the contracts that are not delisted after the spot trading was suspended on Binance. Yesterday, even UNFI's contracts, which have a market cap of 25 million, could surge several times. Bond's contracts on Binance will not be delisted; wait and see, Bond will rise just like Reef, by several times. Bond has surged significantly several times before, once going from $2 to $25, a 10-fold increase. Bond can be held until it doubles before selling. Remember, this kind of coin can only handle 2x leverage #Bond #BTC回升至6W7 .
Intraday fluctuations with a downward trend, pay attention to the market trend after the US stock market opens tonight The Bitcoin moved aggressively yesterday, and tonight's closing must be closely monitored, it cannot fall below yesterday's opening price
Recently, Bitcoin has seen a huge inflow of funds. On October 17, Bitcoin ETF had a net inflow of 470 million US dollars, and Ethereum ETF had a net inflow of 48.4 million. This week's inflow was almost beyond expectations. It lays a solid foundation for the breakthrough in the future market. The weekly line will close at 8 am tomorrow. According to the current form, it is very strong! Will there be a chance to break through the 71,000 pressure next week? #BTC要挑战7W大关了吗? #币安累计交易量突破100万亿美元
I currently hold LISTA SOL There is no need to explain the logic of being optimistic about SOL. If a new ETF is approved next, SOL has a great chance
LISTA's on-chain TVL has risen sharply, and the price has lagged, so there is room for a doubling of the increase The weekly line of Bitcoin is strong. If the closing price can effectively stand at 68,000 this week, the market will have a chance to challenge the high point of 71,000 If it cannot stand firm, the support below is 65000#特斯拉转移比特币 #美股财报季来袭
BTC 4-hour K-line trend: Pressure level: around 68639-69986 Support level: around 65542-66508
ETH 4-hour K-line trend: Pressure level: around 2688-2741 Support level: around 2521-2566
Technical aspect: Bitcoin 4-hour cycle K-line fluctuates at a high level, with insufficient volume, and three cross stars are formed near the neckline pressure level of 68424-68639 (facing a densely-stocked area, coupled with insufficient volume, where will the K-line go? Is the dealer continuing to lure more buyers, or is it that the K-line price has enough chips in reserve and will continue to exert its strength after the price correction? ); The big cake Gubi trend indicator has a multi-cycle resonance of large, medium and small cycles and a long investment trend; the KDJ indicators of the 6-hour, 12-hour and 24-hour cycles are all in the overbought and blunted rising space area. It is expected that the price will still be bullish in the later period, but the MACD indicators of the 1-hour and 2-hour cycles are in the form of rootless water. The price has a short-term correction demand. Once the price is corrected to the 30-minute, 1-hour Bollinger middle track or some important neckline support levels, it is the best time to enter the long position🥰! (Please bring stop loss and unwinding protection measures) {Contract thinking} Short-term operation thinking: When the price is corrected to the important support level marked above, you can enter the market with a light position and long positions {spot thinking}; Note: The market situation is changing rapidly, and the above content analysis is for reference only#BTC突破6W8 #BNB涨至600
Next, funds must flow back to mainstream currencies. I think it will take enough funds to push Bitcoin to 70,000, or even break through 70,000. Ethereum will also need a lot of funds to stand on 3,000 again. (Of course, this is a matter of time) Don't doubt the cyclical correction of the market. Everything has not yet reached the stage of crazy bull cashing out. The profits of the bankers and institutions are far from reaching. Now it is the people who are full and not afraid of hunger and the people who are hungry to make a living. If you don't fall, it will never rise. We must become people who are in sync with the institutions, not that you!!! #灰度考虑新增35种加密资产 #以太坊生态meme币
BTC has a need for correction in four hours and one hour. The short-term upward momentum has confirmed that the support at 60,000 is effective. However, if you want to pull it up in one go, it will definitely not be so fast. It still needs to fluctuate, but the general upward direction is certain. The overall performance of SOL, LISTA, TIA, and ENA we hold are very beautiful, and the shape is also very good. The most important thing is the fundamentals of these targets. They are all ready to go. Everyone should hold them firmly and don’t sell them easily. Our batch requires everyone to hold 50% of the bottom position. These positions should be held first, and other positions can be found later. Regarding the overall strategy of the current operation: Be cautious in the aggressiveness, and also do some defense. After all, the S3 fighter has the possibility of an outbreak, and the Americans have the intention of exhausting their resources, so although there is no problem with the short-term trend and technical aspects. But what we must do when trading is to look at the big and do the small. The big macro does have many hidden risks. In order to block the outflow of funds, the Americans started a war by falsifying data. Even if the interest rate is no longer cut, then he will be desperate and even raising the interest rate is not impossible. Under the premise of our bull market expectations, we can see that the market is not without hidden mysteries. At this time, my strategy is to be conservative in radicalism, and to be defensive in offense. For us, operating a full position or an empty position only takes one minute. Most of the time, it is garbage time. At this time, it is a small profit. The real market starts. As long as you have the technology and basic skills, even if you miss the opportunity, you can still get it when the hot market comes. There are many opportunities! #美国9月PPI年率高于预期 #美联储会议纪要曝9月降息幅度有分歧
Recently, it is still tossing around 60,000. There is actually no important news in the market competition between long and short positions. It affects the market. Now it is a news vacuum period, and the market is also in a weak consolidation pattern. If you want to break this pattern, there must be news or data. Recently, there are not many opportunities for operation.
Friends, just follow the passwords and targets SOL LIsat TIA ENA prompted in my group. If there is an opportunity, do short-term trading. The overall position is still controlled within 50%, and be prepared for defense against the impact of US stocks or external negative factors. Yes. #9月美国CPI实现6连降 #特朗普当选概率上升
$BTC Currently, all cycles are short, and the weekly line shown in the figure below is also short. If the weekly line at the close of this week is still very ugly, it will continue to hit a new low, possibly 55,000. It is best to wait until the non-agricultural data on October 4 is released before considering this round of bottom-fishing rhythm#非农就业数据即将公布 #日本新首相支持区块链