The midnight analysis has once again been perfectly verified. Under this unilateral market situation, if I enter the market according to my ideas, it can be said that it is fun all the way. You should be full after following it, right?
Pie 54281→52977 successfully gained 1304 points!
Ether 2270→2198 successfully scored 72 points!
The market is full of gold, it depends on how you grasp it, keep up the pace and prepare your backpack to start picking it up!
1. The US economy is good: it means the probability of interest rate cut is low, and it will fall 2. The US economy is stable: it means there is no turning point, and it will fall 3. The US economy is in recession: it will be depressed, and it will fall sharply 4. The US dollar cuts interest rates by 25 points: the good news turns into bad news, and it will fall 5. The US dollar cuts interest rates by 50 points: such a fast cut means that there are problems in the economy, and it will fall 6. The US dollar does not cut interest rates: there is no liquidity, and it will fall sharply 7. The US dollar raises interest rates: black swan, and it will fall sharply 8. Powell releases good news: the good news turns into bad news, and it will fall 9. Powell releases bad news: it will fall sharply 10. Trump is in power Presidential election: good news turns to bad news, drop 11. Harris elected president: hit the cryptocurrency circle, big drop 12. Whales buy: must blow up whales, drop 13. Whales don't move: it means the market is cold, drop 14. Whales sell: it means big investors are not optimistic about the market, big drop$ETH $BNB $ETH #美国8月非农就业人数不及预期 #小非农增幅创3年多新低 #BNBChainMemeCoin #Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报
In the evening, the VIP members placed multiple orders and both took profit and pocketed them. The pie gained 831 points and 50 points in ether, and 2.6w of oil was successfully pocketed!
Precise orange cloth will help you to be one step ahead, and those who are close to me will be rich!
Tonight will decide the fate of the cryptocurrency world.
Will the U.S. fall into recession? Are the concerns about the financial crisis true? The big non-farm payrolls will tell tonight.
Yesterday's small non-farm payrolls, such as ADP, were all minor, but the results were shocking. ADP's new employment plummeted to 99,000, a record low in three and a half years, which put tonight's non-farm payrolls under great pressure.
Rationally speaking, if ADP plummets, the probability that the big non-farm payrolls will be lower than expected is quite high. And this afternoon, there was the Ethereum Foundation's sell-off that I mentioned, causing ETH to fall 3%.
However, ADP is a private company's employment data survey, which is more objective and neutral, while tonight's is the U.S. Department of Labor, which is issued by ZhengFu. With the election imminent, will the big non-farm payrolls be "beautified"?
Fed mouthpiece: If the non-farm payrolls tonight are "explosive" again, a substantial rate cut will be imminent
Fed mouthpiece Nick Timiraos published an article as the August non-farm payrolls are about to be released, saying that tonight's employment report will affect the extent of the Fed's rate cuts.
If the August non-farm payrolls are another bad employment report, it may lead to a sharp 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed, but if employment is good, it will keep the Fed on track to cut rates by 25 basis points. At the Fed's September 17-18 meeting, the focus of the debate was whether to start with a more traditional 25 basis point rate cut or a larger 50 basis point rate cut to prevent an undesirable weakness in the job market.
The August recruitment and employment report, which will be released tonight, will be key to making a rate cut decision. A decent employment report could prompt officials to start a possible series of rate cuts with a 25 basis point rate cut.
Friday also happens to be the last day that Fed officials can communicate publicly before the self-imposed pre-meeting blackout period begins. New York Fed President John Williams and Fed Governor Anthony Waller are scheduled to speak after the jobs report, the last chance to set expectations for the upcoming meeting.
KPMG Chief Economist Diane Swonk said there is a very strong case for a 50 basis point rate cut. The labor market is not in recession, but it is on thin ice. Even with Friday's good data, labor market weakness is increasing. $BTC $ETH $SOL #小非农增幅创3年多新低 #非农就业数据即将公布 #Telegram创始人获保释 #英伟达财报 #新币挖矿DOGS
Many people are now negatively sentimental and bearish, believing that cryptocurrencies are nothing more than a speculative bubble, but the price of Bitcoin has been stable above $54,000 for several months! !
This continued stability at relatively high valuation levels is almost unprecedented, which has led some observers to believe that we are in a consolidation period in preparation for the next major rise. Cryptocurrencies are more mature than before, especially the existence of ETFs for Bitcoin and Ethereum further consolidates this.
Bitcoin prices fell to a one-month low as investors withdrew from riskier assets around the world due to concerns about the economic outlook.
Bitcoin briefly fell below $56,000 before recovering slightly to trade at $56,308.32.
Other major tokens such as Ethereum also fell. Signals of a weak global economy have unnerved investors, causing global stock markets to experience their worst period since August 5.
This negative sentiment has spread to the crypto market, with traders awaiting Friday's U.S. jobs report to determine whether the economy will slow further.
Other warning signs include open interest in Chicago Mercantile Exchange Bitcoin futures falling to the lowest level since May.
The market fell below 57,000 again. The interest rate will be cut in September. What will happen next?
K-line trend Since the rise on August 8, the market has not fallen below 55,600. It recovered the lost ground last night, but the market opened again today!
PMI tonight, unemployment rate tomorrow (previous value 4.3, expected 4.2, less than 4.3 is the best, which boosts sentiment and increases the expectation of a rate cut of 25% this month!
Currently, the rate cut of 25% in September is 55%, source CME), non-agricultural, and then the 9.10 election debate, let's see what Harris and Trump say about encryption, and Harris's proposition. Can you tell me $BTC $ETH $BNB #非农就业数据即将公布 #BNBChainMemeCoin #Telegram创始人获保释 #以太坊基金会 #OpenSea收到韦尔斯通知
There is a very powerful stop-profit method, called no stop-profit.
Any logic for judging the top and bottom has shortcomings. Whether it is left-side trading or right-side trading, it is actually a probability. You may not have reached the top when you judge it.
For example, Bitcoin, four or five years ago, could you have imagined that it could rise to 50,000 or 60,000? Seven or eight years ago, it was even more impossible. For example, Dogecoin, SOL, etc. have all risen hundreds of times. Only by never stopping profit can you get this increase.
Although no stop-profit is awesome when encountering a super big market, it can allow you to get the biggest and most unimaginable profit. As long as you are right, you don’t have to work for a few years, but the disadvantages are also obvious. 99% of the market is not so big, and most of the time you can’t make money. $BTC $ETH $BNB #BTC走势分析 #Telegram创始人获保释 #以太坊基金会 #英伟达财报 #新币挖矿DOGS
Operation ideas at midnight on Thursday, September 5:
From the four-hour level, although a wave of violent stretching in the evening successfully caused the currency price to run from the lower track to the middle and upper track, it should be noted that the current situation is still in the previous downward channel
And combined with the hourly level, it can be seen that the volume of Duotou has ended. Although there is a back-and-forth wash of Yin and Yang, the energy of the bulls is nearing the end and has reached a peak!
At present, the downward divergence of the short positions indicates that Bitcoin has not ended its decline. The market is still in the top structure, and there are still many resistances above.
Recently, there have been frequent incidents of Huamen. At midnight, we can observe the continuation of Duotou first, and then we can proceed around the high kong.
Big cake operation ideas: 58100-58600 near kong, look down to around 56000!
Ether operation ideas: 2460-2490 near kong, look down to around 2350!
The method of unwinding the currency circle depends on the position status, currency trend, degree of lock-in and future market expectations. Common ways to unwind include quick cuts, high sell and low buy, downward flattening and short hedging.
Quick cuts suggest timely stop loss and exit when the currency shows a clear downward trend!
High sell and low buy can use the shock trend to reduce or replenish positions!
Downward flattening suggests continuous increase in buying as prices fall to average costs!
Short hedging can hedge by shorting the same or related currencies in the contract market!
The prerequisite for unwinding is clear thinking and decisive operation. Don't blindly chase ups and downs, don't be greedy and fearful, and don't worry about gains and losses!
Effectively control positions and risks, set stop profits and stop losses, don't rely too much on technical indicators and news, and combine your own analysis and judgment.
In the currency circle, unwinding requires flexible response and rational decision-making to successfully get out of trouble.
Before the complete outbreak, the main force will use various methods to induce investors to short positions. Just like the market in the past two days, the big positive line of the day before yesterday was followed by a big negative line, and even broke the previous low, which made many short-term investors think that there is no hope for rising. Especially this morning's low-breaking, it makes people feel that the market trend has returned to the downward track.
This is the so-called "darkness before dawn". Although the weekly and monthly lines show that the market trend is upward, the short-term 4-hour chart and daily chart make people feel that the market is still falling. In the context of the big cycle, the short-term decline is just a market-induced short trend. Once a big positive line appears, the situation may be reversed quickly.
The big positive line of the day before yesterday may be a trap carefully laid by the main force to pave the way for the subsequent market trend. Next, if a big positive line appears again, retail investors may not dare to enter the market for fear of another decline. This is a common confusion in the financial market. Only through systematic learning, improving cognition and vision can we truly identify and avoid the traps of the main force. $BTC $ETH $BNB #加密市场急跌 #非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC走势分析 #Telegram创始人获保释 #美联储何时降息?
Five factors could indeed have a significant impact on Bitcoin prices:
Fed rate cuts: Rate cuts typically increase market liquidity and drive asset prices, including Bitcoin.
Kamala Harris' potential policies: If she adopts policies that are favorable to cryptocurrencies, it could increase market confidence and drive prices higher.
Trump's support: If Trump supports Bitcoin, this could attract more institutional investors, which could drive prices higher.
Institutional support: The involvement of firms such as BlackRock and Goldman Sachs signals a mature market, which typically brings in more capital inflows.
Wealth effect: Bitcoin's rise often triggers altcoins' rise, driving growth across the market.
These factors combined have the potential to cause Bitcoin to explode higher in the coming months. However, market turmoil and unexpected events could also affect the realization of these expectations. $BTC $ETH $SOL #加密市场急跌 #非农就业数据即将公布 #BTC走势分析 #BNBChainMemeCoin #美联储何时降息?
Recently, I have been emphasizing that I am determined to watch Kong, and I have announced my ideas, directions, and points on the entire network in advance. The midnight Kong order has once again successfully landed 8.7w of oil!
I've been in a hot state recently, and it's no exaggeration to say that my ideas are ridiculously accurate!
Do you see others eating meat but you still choose to wait and see?
1. If you are a coin friend with shallow order, you can use the rebound market to unwind, or reduce your position when the price is high.
2. If you are a coin friend with deep order, you can make a partial position operation at high or cover the position to lower the average price, so that you can take the psychological initiative before the market comes.
Second: According to the trend status of the purchased currency
1. If the purchased currency is in a downward trend, once the downward trend is confirmed and the trend has been formed, it is recommended to stop loss immediately, and you must not have illusions of gain and loss. Because sometimes any hesitation and hesitation may lead to deep traps in the future, and finally make it difficult to extricate yourself.
2. If the purchased currency is in a balanced oscillation trend, there is no need to stop loss immediately. Wait patiently for the currency to enter the high position of the oscillation cycle. Once the coin is unwinded or the loss is small, you should decisively leave the market.
3. If the purchased currency is in an upward trend, there is no need to stop loss. Patiently hold it for a period of time, it will inevitably be unwinded and there will be a greater possibility of profit.
The latest operation ideas at midnight on Wednesday, September 4:
From the four-hour line, the current air situation is still in a wide range of 57,000~60,000. No matter whether it rises or falls recently, it has not sloped. The short-term air situation will continue to seesaw in this range!
Combined with the hourly level, the evening Kongtou has almost finished the volume release, and the current price ratio is gradually recovering. We are optimistic about the rebound after the air situation stabilizes at midnight!
From the news point of view, whether it is the Fed's interest rate hike or the US election, it supports the upward price ratio. From the overall technical level, the downward momentum is difficult to sustain, and it is expected to continue to rise in the future. So at midnight, you can follow the idea of retreat and do doubles!
Big cake operation ideas: Dou near 57,500~57,000, look at around 58,500!
Ether operation ideas: Dou near 2,400~2,420, look at around 2,550!