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Bullish
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First of all, let me say my opinion: BTC will reach more than 100,000 US dollars at the peak of this bull market, and the bull market has not ended, but everyone should wait patiently. Taking the recent macroeconomic situation as the entry point, the US dollar interest rate cut and the Bank of Japan interest rate hike will cause the funds for carry trading to flow back from the US stock market, and the rise of Bitcoin depends on the incremental funds of ETFs, so will the interest rate cut lead to a temporary shortage of funds flowing into BTC? In other words, if the US stock market stops rising in the second half of the year, can Bitcoin go out of an independent market? My answer is no. Now the trend of Bitcoin is highly correlated with Nasdaq, and the most popular boy on Nasdaq is Nvidia. If Nvidia stops rising later, it is likely to bring down Nasdaq. Because of the characteristics of Bitcoin itself, if the US stock market collapses in the future, Bitcoin may be sideways for a long time at the weekly level. Although the US tap is opened after the interest rate cut, and the EU can also open the tap with the interest rate cut, the market has to wait for the return of funds for carry trading, and there is no risk of recession in the United States. Combined with the positive effects of interest rate cuts, risky assets such as Bitcoin will rise at this time. So my view is that it is optimistic in the long term, volatile in the medium term, and cautious in the short term. The peak of this round of bull market will reach more than 100,000 US dollars, and the bull market has not ended, but everyone should wait patiently.
First of all, let me say my opinion: BTC will reach more than 100,000 US dollars at the peak of this bull market, and the bull market has not ended, but everyone should wait patiently. Taking the recent macroeconomic situation as the entry point, the US dollar interest rate cut and the Bank of Japan interest rate hike will cause the funds for carry trading to flow back from the US stock market, and the rise of Bitcoin depends on the incremental funds of ETFs, so will the interest rate cut lead to a temporary shortage of funds flowing into BTC? In other words, if the US stock market stops rising in the second half of the year, can Bitcoin go out of an independent market? My answer is no. Now the trend of Bitcoin is highly correlated with Nasdaq, and the most popular boy on Nasdaq is Nvidia. If Nvidia stops rising later, it is likely to bring down Nasdaq. Because of the characteristics of Bitcoin itself, if the US stock market collapses in the future, Bitcoin may be sideways for a long time at the weekly level. Although the US tap is opened after the interest rate cut, and the EU can also open the tap with the interest rate cut, the market has to wait for the return of funds for carry trading, and there is no risk of recession in the United States. Combined with the positive effects of interest rate cuts, risky assets such as Bitcoin will rise at this time. So my view is that it is optimistic in the long term, volatile in the medium term, and cautious in the short term. The peak of this round of bull market will reach more than 100,000 US dollars, and the bull market has not ended, but everyone should wait patiently.
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Rocky_Bitcoin
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Market topic debate, 200USDT prize draw, Binance provides support!

First of all, let me talk about my humble opinion: the bull market is not over yet, and it is on the way. Every round of market start-up has experienced twists and turns. As the saying goes: Therefore, when God is about to send a big bull to the market, he must first make his mind suffer, his muscles and bones tired, his body hungry, and his body empty, and then increase his ability.

There are several points on the current data: First, ETF inflow + US government support will become the biggest opportunity for this round of bull market, and it is precisely this opportunity that requires sufficient absorption and washing. Second, similar to the black swan of the global financial market on Black Monday, BTC smart money big holders did not panic sell, but continued to accumulate chips! Third, 85% of the central banks of major countries in the world are currently in a loose interest rate cut state, and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut is approaching. Global flooding is the best antidote for every crisis.

This round of Japan's 🇯🇵 rate hike has released the recession panic caused by the Fed's rate cut in advance, which provides a cushion for the Fed's real rate cut, thereby effectively releasing the negative impact. On the contrary, waiting for the Fed to really cut interest rates may become a positive, and the probability of the Fed's rate cut in September is currently as high as 95%. I still maintain that around Q3 2025 will be the peak of this bull market. Judging from the data of the past two bull markets, the peak of the bull market generally occurs 518-546 days after the BTC halving, which happens to be the time point of Q3 in 25 years. As shown in the 👇 figure

📊In the 2015-2017 cycle, Bitcoin reached its peak 518 days after the halving
📊In the 2019-2021 cycle, Bitcoin reached its peak 546 days after the halving

So, our current bull market is far from over. It is only 111 days after the#BTChalving, and it is still early. About a year after the rate cut + more than 500 days after the BTC halving will be the peak of this bull market!

🏆Activity rules: Quote my article and express your views on the current market trend. Can BTC hit more than 100,000 US dollars in this bull market? And is the cryptocurrency bull market over? Be sure to attach your views + logic in the comment area!

Welcome everyone to exchange views rationally and say your views in the comment area. I will select 10 posts with the highest content quality and the highest interaction in the comment area. 20U each.

🫡This post is jointly sponsored by Binance Square #BNB
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