币圈研报来源汇总：

1.Messari

2.Delphi Digital

3.Coinbase

4.a16z

5.Huobi Research

6.HashKey Capital

7.The Block Research

8.Glassnode

9.Bankless

Some ancient big shots in the crypto world really update too little, making it easy to forget.

In my mind, T1: Satoshi Nakamoto, CZ, Vitalik Buterin, He Yi, Li Lin, Xu Mingxing

T2: Ahr999, Professor Wesley, Brother Baolou, Sunwear (now known as: Social Anxiety Ah Shen), Hsaka (the pioneer of narrative trading), NorthRockLP, Sihai, Jiang Zhuoer

#BTC走势分析 #AIAgent热潮

How to Successfully Exit the Top in This BTC Bull Market?

An Important Indicator: ahr999
ahr999 Index = (Bitcoin Price / 200-Day Investment Cost) * (Bitcoin Price / Index Growth Valuation)

Conclusion Taking an Upward Trend as an Example,
ahr999 Index below 0.45, bear market bottom buying;
Between 0.45 and 1.2, slow growth phase;
Between 1.2 and 5, bull market takeoff;
Above 5, run away from the bull top!

#比特币 #比特币走势观察 #加密市场反弹

Only when you realize that in the cryptocurrency world, if you invest, only earning Bitcoin is truly making a profit; otherwise, it's a loss. The vast majority of people are definitely at a loss, no doubt about it.

#memecoin #Bitcoin #Web3

Very accurate! What is the expected valuation of BTC in 2025?

Jiushen once wrote two valuation models for Bitcoin in "Hodling Index", "linear growth" + "exponential increase". The book was written in 2018, and the predicted price of Bitcoin at the end of 2021 did reach $64,863, about 450,000 RMB, which is quite close to Jiushen's prediction.

So will this cycle 2025-2026 reach 3.4 million RMB / 500,000 US dollars in the table?
#BTC#Bitcoin#ETH#SOL

Advice for newcomers: Do not knowingly trade in forked coins or scam coins that have no future; do not deceive or cheat others, even if it can make money; time will ultimately prove the value of Bitcoin.

#BTC #Bitcoin #Web3

What cryptocurrencies will Musk's version of 'WeChat Pay' explode?

In the last year of the New Year, CEO Linda Yaccarino mentioned that system X Money will be launched in 2025. In my opinion, this will make 2025 the true starting point for payment in the cryptocurrency space.

Musk has always wanted to turn X into a 'universal app' like WeChat, so his goal with X Payments is very simple - to eliminate the centralization of traditional bank accounts.

Although many platforms now offer credit card payments, such as the bybit cashback card and the bitget premium payment card. In a sense, this can only gain a small reputation within the community, forming a self-entertaining consensus.

However, if Musk's X Payments successfully takes off, connecting usdt/usdc/btc, and even doge/pepe for payments, the disruption this application could bring to the cryptocurrency space may be comparable to the compliance landing of a btc etf.

In fact, this is not Musk's first attempt. As early as 2023, he obtained money transfer licenses in 38 states, including California. However, when applying for a payment license in New York, it was rejected as 'unsuitable.' All of this was hindered after Trump's election, not only because of their strong relationship, but more importantly, Trump's campaign slogan is: deregulation.

In front of Musk, traditional finance may only tremble in fear.

#比特币走势观察
#AIAgent热潮