The cryptocurrency market was hit with a sell-off on Wednesday as Bitcoin fell below $60,000. Most major altcoins followed suit, but Dogecoin remained resilient, gaining 0.4% intraday. Looking at the candlestick pattern, DOGE is still moving sideways, but whale accumulation and an impending breakout of the triangle pattern suggest that it could rally to $0.15.

So, will the Dogecoin price break through $0.15 by the end of October?
During the Iran-Iraq war, the price of Dogecoin fell significantly, falling from US$0.132 to US$0.1, a drop of 19%, resulting in a market value of US$15.75 billion. Looking at the daily chart, this pullback is a bearish move within a symmetrical triangle pattern.

In this article, Murad shares how he entered the cryptocurrency space and gradually formed his Meme investment thesis. He discusses how to choose Meme, why he thinks Meme launched in 2023 will be better, and how he tests and verifies his investment strategy. Murad emphasizes the connection between NFT and Meme, and believes that Meme will have a huge upside in 2025, and puts forward the view that belief is more important than short-term trading.

TL;DR：

Murad's journey into crypto: He came into contact with crypto while studying in China, and believes that 2025 will be a year of great opportunities in the crypto field, especially Meme. Meme is, to some extent, a counterattack against VC.

【Star-studded: FIL Market Outlook】
1. Macroeconomic impact: As blockchain technology is increasingly used and accepted around the world, it is expected that by 2024, the market demand for FIL (Filecoin), as a leader in the field of distributed storage, will rise sharply. If the global economy continues to rise steadily, the price of FIL is expected to rise driven by supply and demand.
2. Technological innovation: The continuous technological innovation and ecological construction of the Fil project team will become the key factors supporting its value. If the filecoin network makes breakthrough progress in data storage security, efficiency, and decentralization, it may have a positive effect on the market price of FIL.

The recent rise of Meme coins is really fierce. The new coin $Moodeng has skyrocketed by tens of thousands of times, and the new "Dog King" $Neiro has once again pulled up the market by more than 50%!
If you also want to dig deep into the cryptocurrency circle and maximize your investment returns, but you can't recognize the market, then no matter how good the opportunity is, it has nothing to do with you. Follow me on the homepage, and I will share spot codes, bull market layout strategies, and 100-fold potential coins for free every day!
A well-known crypto KOL posted a post at the end of September saying that the group members made nearly $1 million in profits on the new currency $Moodeng. Based on the transaction screenshots, it can be estimated that this lucky person made 7 million RMB in 10 days, which is an astonishing profit...

Explore what investors are expecting from Bitcoin ahead of the release of September U.S. inflation data, or CPI. Will BTC rise or crash?

Investors expect volatility to increase as the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) will release its September data at 8:30 a.m. ET. The September U.S. inflation data will set the stage for the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision and affect risk assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and stock markets.
Bitcoin (BTC) has plunged 5% over the past ten days, shocking cryptocurrency investors who had expected a bullish breakout in October. This price action proves that history doesn’t always repeat or rhyme. However, Bitcoin’s directionality could change with this macroeconomic event.

Bitcoin suddenly encountered selling pressure in the early hours of this morning (10th), and the price plunged from $62,400 to a low of $60,302. Although it has rebounded to $61,000 at the time of writing, it still fell by 2.09% in the past 24 hours, causing many investors to panic again.

Bitcoin has fallen sharply again, why this time?
The U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released the minutes of its monetary policy meeting from the 17th to the 18th of last month last night (9th). The minutes showed that all Fed officials agreed to cut interest rates, but there were still differences on whether to cut by 1 basis point or 2 basis points.

TIA Price Analysis: TIA price sparks bearish momentum
TIA price analysis shows a bearish trend below $5.
TIA has resistance at $6
TIA/USD has support at $4.47
TIA price analysis on October 10 confirms that TIA is facing bearish pressure around the $4.8 level. However, buyers are aiming for a quick breakout of the immediate resistance channel.
TIA Price Analysis 1-Day Chart: Bulls attempt to meet buying demand
Analyzing Celestia’s daily price chart, TIA’s price has seen a bearish bounce after sellers pushed the price to $4.5. TIA’s price has been trending steadily downwards over the past 24 hours as buyers lost confidence in the purchase, and the price is currently targeting a stay below $5. The 24-hour trading volume surged to $6.1 million, increasing interest in today’s trading activity. TIA’s price is currently trading at $4.8, down more than 1.1% over the past 24 hours.

After the Fed's meeting minutes, the probability of no rate cut in November has increased. The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is still the mainstream. Economists believe that as long as the labor market remains stable, the Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates again. With strong employment, the only factor that can make the Fed continue to cut interest rates is milder CPI inflation data.
Later today, we will get the US CPI inflation data for September, and the market expects the inflation rate to fall further, from the previous 2.5% to 2.3%, which will also bring volatility to the Bitcoin price.

Oh my, I'm so angry, those old guys at the Federal Reserve are such bastards.

The market was clearly on the verge of moving, but these bastards said a few words last night and it pulled back slightly.

These old guys really deserve a beating just like those monkeys in Mount Emei.

The Federal Reserve now really wants to be a whore and pretend to be a saint at the same time.

It is obvious that the economy has already entered a recession, so we have to start a cycle of interest rate cuts, and we have already entered this cycle.

As a result, they are still pretending to be serious and telling everyone shamelessly: "Our current economic situation has eased, and we can lower interest rates or not in the future."

The mystery of the cryptocurrency giant’s “settlement money”: the truth behind the $32 billion
As digital currencies surge, disputes between cryptocurrency companies and regulators have become more and more noticeable. Recently, a set of data disclosed by Coingecko is shocking: the total amount of settlements between cryptocurrency companies and US regulators has soared to a staggering $32 billion! What secrets are hidden behind this number? Today, let us unveil the mystery of this "settlement money" puzzle.
If you also want to dig deep into the cryptocurrency circle and maximize your investment returns, but you can't recognize the market, then no matter how good the opportunity is, it has nothing to do with you. Follow me on the homepage, and I will share spot codes, bull market layout strategies, and 100-fold potential coins for free every day!

The price of the pie has fallen back from a high of around 64,500 and is once again approaching the key psychological point of 60,000. After touching the high pressure of 2520, Ethereum fell back to the support area of ​​2350. Although it was close to 2470 twice yesterday, creating an atmosphere that it may enter a new downward trend, it is worth noting that despite yesterday's significant decline, the trading volume However, no simultaneous surge has been seen. This phenomenon may be regarded as a positive signal. Similar to the previous shrinking increase that was followed by short counterattacks, the current shrinking decline may indicate a potential opportunity for bulls to counterattack. Taken together, although market sentiment is cautious, there is no need to panic excessively.

根据美联储最新会议纪要，“美联储传声筒”Nick Timiraos指出，尽管美联储在9月大幅降息50个基点，但部分官员倾向于更为谨慎的小幅降息。这是因为较小幅度的调整为官员们提供了更多时间来评估政策效果，并为未来的政策调整留有余地。
会议纪要显示，一些官员认为，考虑到经济活动稳健、失业率较低和通胀仍然偏高，上个月的较小幅度降息是合理的。他们指出，四分之一个百分点的降息可能预示着更为可预测的政策路径。然而，尽管部分官员倾向于小幅降息，绝大多数官员最终支持50个基点的降息决策，认为这是更好地与当前经济形势保持一致的方式。
在9月17日至18日的会议上，12名利率制定委员中有11人支持降息50个基点的决策，仅一位委员反对，认为25个基点的降息更为合适。支持大幅降息的官员认为，货币政策的这种调整能够更好地反映近期通胀和劳动力市场的变化。虽然7月会议上已有降息25个基点的合理理由，但最新数据进一步证实了降息的必要性。
通胀走势与劳动力市场
关于通胀的讨论，几乎所有与会者都认同，尽管通胀率仍然高于目标，但最新的月度数据表明，通胀正在逐步回落至美联储设定的2%目标。一些与会者指出，食品和能源价格的下降在总体通胀放缓中起到了关键作用，且核心商品和非住房服务的价格上涨也有所缓和。这些因素表明，早期的通胀压力正在减弱，特别是2024年第二季度和第三季度的通胀数据支持了这一观点。
与会者还提到，各种因素可能会继续对通胀施加下行压力，包括实际GDP增长放缓、通胀预期稳定以及全球大宗商品价格下跌。此外，名义工资增长的放缓进一步表明通胀可能继续下降。尽管如此，许多与会者强调，通胀仍然偏高，美联储将继续致力于将通胀率控制在2%的目标水平。
劳动力市场的变化
会议纪要显示，劳动力市场的紧张状况在近期有所缓解。自7月以来，就业增长放缓、失业率上升，且职位空缺和求职率也有所下降，显示出劳动力市场不再过热。与此同时，企业招聘难度有所降低，裁员数量依旧较少，初请失业金人数也保持在较低水平。
然而，部分与会者强调，评估劳动力市场的变化充满挑战。移民增加、工资数据修订以及潜在生产率的变化，都是复杂的考量因素。展望未来，部分官员指出，劳动力市场的降温不需要过度，而继续宽松的货币政策可能会增加经济恶化的风险。
总体来看，9月美联储降息决策显示出内部存在意见分歧，部分官员支持更小幅度的调整，而最终采取的50个基点降息反映了美联储希望迅速应对通胀和劳动力市场的变化。未来政策路径将取决于接下来的经济数据表现。

After Bitcoin ended its correction in September, it has now entered a period of high-level shock adjustment. There are many factors that affect the market, which may change every day, such as the situation in the Middle East, the trend of A-shares, or the views of senior Fed officials, but these will not change the general trend.
A real breakthrough for Bitcoin requires an opportunity, such as a continued large-scale interest rate cut in November or Trump's victory in the US election. Without these catalysts, the market will still be dominated by adjustments. However, we are still confident about the market outlook for November and December.
Hold on to your stocks, be patient and you will see the rewards.

大A市场今日涨416家，跌4917家，继续关注比特币！比特币目前在62000附近，继续看涨，以太坊也在2400附近，每年10月是BTC上涨的季节。二级市场的MEME币如Turbo、BabyDoge和Neiro表现强劲，Neiro的横盘上涨趋势良好，但涨幅较大，不敢追高。其他拉盘主要是一些小市值币，正在加速吸筹，为未来的大牛市布局。在一级市场，V神前几天出售了河马币，带动了一波行情。然而，火星城等项目的热度难以持续，缺乏新的热点输出，热度会逐渐降低，除非有强有力的社区支持和宣传。随着大饼持续从交易所流出到钱包，屯币行为被视为利好。加上美国大选预期临近，整体上涨概率偏大，下跌空间有限，币圈或将迎来新一波上涨。$BTC：短期操作难度较大，价格波动频繁，建议在底部支撑附近埋伏多单。本周四将公布美国CPI数据，若顺利度过CPI，行情有望逐步回暖。从15分钟级别来看，形成看涨楔形结构，短线交易可考虑低位进场。

$ETH：日线形成三针探底形态，4小时线多次下探2400附近未破，反弹势头明显，建议继续低多布局。

$SOL：141美金支撑位可考虑做多博弈！若能守住支撑，后续有望突破150阻力。

币圈叙事乏力，MEME成为主流！在各种猫猫狗狗的真真假假和中本聪的炒作之后，随着11月大选的临近，政治叙事似乎正悄然升温。PEOPLE
PEOPLE代币源于去中心化自治的理念，与ConstitutionDAO相关。该代币旨在通过众筹购买最后一份公开拍卖的美国宪法副本，体现“共同拥有”的人权和去中心化精神。PEOPLE带有左翼色彩和一定的Meme属性，吸引了众多支持者和资金。Binance已于5月上线PEOPLE的现货交易对。目前，PEOPLE的FDV为3.859亿美元，价格为0.07618美元。
MAGA (Trump)他是以前美国总统特朗普及其竞选口号“Make America Great Again”命名的代币。项目创建者曾赠送特朗普580,000个代币，目前已积累189万美元的捐款，成为特朗普主题Memecoin中市值最大的代币。自特朗普遭遇刺杀后，TRUMP的价格曾短暂暴涨。MAGA于2023年8月11日创建，并在2024年6月1日达到了17.66美元的历史高点。目前，FDV为2.287亿美元，价格为4.97美元，链上持有者地址达到37,960个，前10大持仓占比约30%。

MAGA
MAGA Hat是以特朗普的红帽子为灵感的Memecoin，受“让美国再次伟大”口号影响，具有较强的传播性和Meme属性。该代币于2023年8月11日创建，目前FDV为7050万美元，价格为0.0001706美元，链上持有者地址达到21776个，前10大持仓占比约36%，主要筹码集中在Gate交易所。

FIGHT于特朗普遇袭当天创建，源于他在现场向群众致意并高喊“FIGHT”。事件后，FIGHT、EAR和FEARNOT等代币在以太坊和Solana上均发布合约，其中FIGHT和EAR表现突出，涨幅均超过百倍。但随着事件热度的消退，这些代币几乎归零，FIGHT表现相对较好。FIGHT于2024年7月14日创建，目前FDV为1060万美元，价格为0.01078美元，链上持有者地址达到8365个，前10大持仓占比约46%。

PACPAC在美国指的是政治行动委员会（Political Action Committee），专门筹集和分配竞选捐款以支持或反对候选人及立法倡议。由希望私下为政治竞选筹款的个人组成，通常代表商业、劳工或意识形态利益。Elon Musk于2024年5月成立了America PAC，这是一个超级PAC，没有捐款额度限制，旨在支持Donald Trump。自7月22日Musk更新推特简介后，PAC的市值迅速攀升至2000万美元，目前有所回调，FDV为1330万美元，链上持有者地址达到4056个。

其他相关MEME代币：

Yesterday, the crypto market fluctuated slightly during the day. The main market changes occurred after the opening of the U.S. stock market. Bitcoin once rose to around 63,200, but then fell back to around 61,800. Ethereum performed similarly. After the opening of the U.S. stock market, it rose to around 2,450, and then fell back to the 2,400 support level. This morning, with the unfavorable opening trend of A-shares, the market opened low and went low, and many profit-taking orders were sold. This adjustment is normal after the market has risen sharply. After all, A-shares rose from 2,700 points to 3,700 points, and falling back to 3,200 points is a good entry opportunity for investors.

The current situation is this: when fund managers of institutional investors realize that Memecoin can become an asset class and can be reasonably allocated to their investment portfolios without making mistakes (when they can explain it to their bosses and LPs), the market value structure of the entire Memecoin will undergo a subtle change; 1) The current total market value of Memecoin is about 48 billion US dollars, and the top 8 Memecoins account for about 50% of the total market value;

2) If we know that Dogecoin will return to its previous high, and if we know that PEPE will challenge Dogecoin based on its previous high, then the weighted number of half of Memecoin MC will increase by at least 10 times;

On Wednesday (October 9), Bitcoin continued to fluctuate weakly at $62,300. The Chinese market flashed the phenomenon of "negative premium" of USDT stablecoin, with USD/RMB at 7.06, but the Chinese over-the-counter transaction on the Binance platform showed that USDT/RMB was quoted at 6.92. The negative premium indicated that investors were turning from Bitcoin and the broad cryptocurrency market to A-shares.

According to Google, the USD/RMB exchange rate is temporarily reported at 7.06.

Binance's USDT China OTC price is quoted at approximately 6.92, with a negative premium rate of 1.878%, and even once reached over 2.5%.

USDT premium refers to the market price of USDT being higher or lower than the market price of its real dollar. Usually a "negative premium" means greater selling pressure in the market.

Which projects/currencies should we pay attention to in SUI?

background

Since September, the market has almost only two main focuses:

The first is the continuous iteration and update of the meme track:
Lowercase Neiro continues to rise after listing on Binance; Little Hippo MOODENG continues to surge on Solana and Ethereum. Meme coins continue to create wealth effects.

The second focus is SUI:
As a Layer 1 that appeared at the end of the previous cycle, its token distribution method is different from the above-mentioned meme that focuses on fair issuance of assets. It is the most criticized typical VC Token in this cycle.

However, SUI has been performing strongly in recent times, rising from $0.76 at the beginning of September to a high of $2.16, approaching its all-time high of $2.18, a surge of about 185% in a month and a half.

This week’s focus:

Economic data releases:

On October 10, the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting were released.
US inflation data for September was released.

Financial giants' financial reports:

On October 11, BlackRock, JPMorgan Chase and other institutions released their third-quarter financial reports.
Middle East Situation:
Pay attention to the development of the situation in the Middle East, which may have an impact on the crypto market.
FTX compensation plan:
On October 7, the Delaware Bankruptcy Court approved FTX’s bankruptcy reorganization plan.

98% of creditors will receive at least 118% compensation (settled in cash), and the FTT value is deemed to be zero.

Market Sentiment:

Although the crypto market is in a bull market, the market conditions are flat, and some investors have turned to the A-share market.

近期，随着A股的强劲反弹，不少加密市场的投资者，尤其是一些KOL（关键意见领袖），开始转移资金并公开建议进军A股。这种趋势反映出部分投资者对加密市场的信心动摇，尤其是在全球宏观经济不确定性加剧的情况下。然而，作为一名长期关注加密市场的投资者，是否应该跟随这些KOL的操作，将资金从加密市场转移至A股呢？本文将探讨这一问题，并从不同的视角分析A股走牛对加密市场的影响。
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一、A股走牛背后的逻辑
国庆假期过后，A股市场迎来了一波大涨，得益于政府出台的一系列经济刺激政策，市场情绪迅速升温。根据消息，中央政府推出的财政刺激政策、信贷宽松以及一系列对资本市场的支持措施，直接推动了股市的上涨。此举不仅吸引了国内投资者的关注，还引来了如贝莱德这样的国际资本重新审视中国市场的潜力。
贝莱德等大型机构在A股的进退操作尤其引人瞩目。去年，贝莱德曾因对中国市场信心不足而撤离A股，但在9月底政策的变化下，该机构又快速将A股评级从“中性”上调至“超配”。这种快速的反应看似敏捷，但是否值得加密市场的投资者跟随呢？
对于加密市场的长期参与者来说，盲目跟随这种资金流动显然是不理智的。贝莱德及其他机构投资者的快速调整更多是基于其全球资产配置策略和对短期市场机会的捕捉，而非对A股或加密市场的根本判断。
二、为什么要谨慎对待A股的上涨？
2.1 熟悉市场的优势
对于大多数加密市场的投资者，尤其是年轻的投资者，他们在加密市场的沉浮和经验积累远远超过他们对A股的了解。加密市场自诞生以来，尽管经历了多次的牛熊转换，但其整体发展趋势依然强劲。从比特币的崛起到DeFi、NFT、GameFi等领域的爆发，加密市场的创新速度和潜力不容忽视。
A股的走牛虽然吸引了大量投资者，但这个市场的操作逻辑和投资环境与加密市场截然不同。如果投资者因短期的市场波动而放弃自己熟悉的领域进入一个相对陌生的领域，这无疑是在冒险。这种“羊入虎口”的操作极易导致资金损失，尤其是在对A股的操作缺乏深入理解的情况下。
2.2 A股的不确定性
尽管A股当前的上涨得益于政策支持，但投资者应该意识到，A股的基本面并没有发生根本性改变。刺激政策虽然短期内对股市有利，但是否能够持续驱动市场走牛还需要观察。历史上，A股也曾多次出现“短期政策牛市”，但往往在政策效应衰退后，市场迅速回落。
对于像贝莱德这样的大型机构，其资金体量庞大、投资覆盖面广泛，能够通过迅速调整全球资产配置来应对不同市场的波动。而普通投资者缺乏这种灵活性和对市场的深度了解，盲目跟随可能会在市场调整中遭受损失。
三、加密市场的未来机遇
3.1 技术创新的持续推进
尽管全球经济面临不确定性，加密市场仍然是技术创新的重要阵地。区块链技术的应用正在从金融领域扩展到游戏、社交、供应链管理等多个行业，DeFi、NFT、DAO 等领域的持续发展为加密市场带来了新的机会。
此外，随着Layer 2 解决方案（如以太坊的 Rollup 技术）和新兴公链（如Solana、Avalanche等）的崛起，加密市场的基础设施正在快速改善，交易速度和费用问题得到了有效解决。这些创新不仅增强了加密市场的可用性，还为未来的大规模应用奠定了基础。
3.2 机构投资者的入场
虽然部分KOL选择离场，但大型机构对加密市场的兴趣不减反增。贝莱德、灰度（Grayscale）等全球知名的投资机构近年来持续加码加密资产，推出了加密基金和比特币ETF等金融产品。这些举措表明，机构投资者依然看好加密市场的长期发展潜力。
此外，随着全球央行的货币政策进入宽松周期，资金流动性增加，这为加密市场带来了新的增量资金。对于投资者而言，加密市场中的机会仍然存在，尤其是在未来的经济形势不确定的情况下，数字资产可能成为对冲通胀和货币贬值的重要工具。
四、投资者的选择：保持独立思考
面对当前A股的强势反弹和加密市场的暂时低迷，投资者最重要的是保持冷静，并根据自身的风险承受能力和市场认知做出独立决策。跟风操作是最不可取的投资行为，特别是在不熟悉的市场环境中。
投资者应当专注于自己熟悉的市场，利用长期积累的经验和认知做出理性的投资决策。对于加密市场的长期看法应保持乐观，因为其背后的技术和创新依然强劲。另一方面，如果有兴趣拓展投资领域，进入A股也应当以“学习”和“探索”的态度谨慎行事，避免急于求成。
五、结语
A股的走牛吸引了不少资金流入，甚至包括部分加密市场的投资者。然而，对于加密市场的长期参与者，是否应该跟随这种趋势进入A股，需要冷静权衡。盲目转移资金到一个不熟悉的领域无异于冒险，只有那些真正具备多市场操作能力的投资者才能在不同市场中自如进出。
加密市场虽然在短期内波动较大，但其技术创新和全球化发展潜力依然巨大。投资者应保持对加密市场的关注，并通过独立思考和理性分析做出最优决策。正如巴菲特所言，投资不应追随潮流，而应基于长期价值和独立判断。