Good morning, brothers. This morning, the price surged, When we wanted to get in and increase our positions, there was a sudden crash. From on-chain data, it was observed that over 2000 BTC flowed into Binance at 4 AM.
In yesterday's analysis, we mentioned That before the CPI announcement, the crypto market wouldn't see a significant rise. We have to wait until Wednesday night at 9:30 when the CPI data is released Only then will the crypto market have a chance for a turnaround.
Why is that? Because big money won't act until the CPI data is released. If the whales push the price up, it would be in vain. In these two scenarios: 1. When market confidence is insufficient 2. When negative news has not been fully released Pushing the price up only serves to let people cash out.
So we must wait until the CPI is released. Either all negative news needs to be out, or positive news needs to bring a major reversal. Only then will big money dare to invest heavily.
So don’t chase the recent surge in the past few days, just wait. Referring to yesterday's conclusion, there is hope for a major rebound this week. The probability of an increase is greater than the probability of a decrease. $BTC $ETH
Good morning, brothers. The cryptocurrency market has experienced a sharp drop for three consecutive days. Yesterday, BTC once fell below $92,000. What will be the future trend and how should we deal with it?
Let’s first look at the two major negative factors. (1) The market is pessimistic about the possibility of a sharp interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in 2025. U.S. Treasury yields have risen and the U.S. dollar index has soared.
(2) There are rumors that the U.S. Department of Justice has approved the sale of a large amount of BTC.
Regarding the Fed’s rate cut, the market is currently the most pessimistic.
Everyone predicts that the U.S. will not cut interest rates before July next year.
If some more data shows negative news, such as tonight’s non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate, it will only reinforce the fact that expectations are being lowered.
Things will turn around when they reach their most pessimistic point.
Instead, it indicates that things may reverse in the future.
As long as inflation shows a downward trend, the cryptocurrency market will be able to regroup.
Pay attention to the non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate to be released at 9:30 tonight.
Regarding the U.S. government’s plan to sell BTC, this is just a rumor.
The reporter heard someone from the Department of Justice tell him.
It is not known whether this is a story made up by a dog dealer.
It requires documents or statements from relevant departments to be true.
In addition, Trump is about to take office. He previously promised that the U.S. government cannot sell BTC.
Therefore, this negative news may not be as bad as
Buy the rumor, sell the news.
Buy when rumors are negative, and sell when positive news is realized.
This trading method is still good.
From the on-chain data, not much BTC has flowed into exchanges. So I suggest you don’t be pessimistic. You can buy the dip when BTC drops to around $92,000 Several coins recommended for buying the dip: BTC, Uni, Kaia, BNB
Good morning, brothers. Last week's analysis emphasized that everyone should buy the dip and hold on. The major trend prediction is that we will see a significant rebound after New Year's Day. This morning, BTC rose above $95,000, and Uni is about to break through $14.
Yesterday alone, Coinbase saw outflows of over 10,000 BTC, while Binance had inflows of 4,000 BTC. Overall, it is still an outflow, with Coinbase being the base for U.S. capital buying the dip. This indicates that large U.S. capital is still continuously buying the dip during this period. By 2025, BTC is expected to surpass ¥130,000.
From a technical indicator perspective: (1) A three-week adjustment, with some profit-taking already cleared. (2) BTC is close to the 60-day moving average, suggesting that the purchase cost for buyers over the past two months is at this moment. (3) The daily MACD has dropped to the zero line and is starting to cross upwards.
The major trend is set: (1) The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle is still ongoing, with three potential rate cuts in 2025, possibly in March, June, and September. (2) Trump is about to take office, and the expectation of BTC being included in the national reserves remains (regardless of whether it can be realized). (3) From a long-term perspective, the consensus on BTC is continuously increasing: 3.1 After Trump takes office, U.S. tariff policies exacerbate de-globalization, prompting other central banks to buy BTC. 3.2 Expanding debt pressure affects the credit of the dollar, enhancing BTC's status.
BTC, BNB, Uni, FTM, CHR, AR, PENGU, Kaia, and other coins are all performing well. Be patient, hold on, don't miss out, and don't short.
Bitcoin Eagle 🦅 12.30 Accurate Market Analysis @everyone
Good morning, brothers. In yesterday's market analysis, we mentioned that BTC might experience a slight drop, potentially retracing to $93,000. This has basically come true.
Last week, the overseas market was quiet due to the Christmas holiday, and this week everyone returns to work, which will bring greater volatility.
Currently, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond has surged, hovering at a seven-month high. The U.S. dollar index has risen for the fourth consecutive week, stabilizing above the 108 mark. These are all reasons putting pressure on BTC.
On-chain data shows that, from yesterday to today, Binance's BTC holdings have decreased. One address has accumulated 2,400 BTC from Binance in the past few days, worth $250 million. Currently, BTC holdings have returned to the value of December 25th.
Things often reverse; as Treasury yields and the dollar index pull back, BTC's turnover time is in place. After continued inflow of ETF funds, BTC will return to the $100,000 mark. Altcoins will follow, with more altcoins increasing by over 20%.
Good morning, brothers. As the United States recovers from the Christmas holiday, many people are worried that the financial market will fall sharply after the opening of the market. The funds in the currency circle have smashed BTC, causing a decline. However, from the ETF data, the net inflow is $160 million (BlackRock IBIT and FBTC have not yet been released).
From the big trend, this is a bull market retracement. It does not mean the end of the bull market. As Trump takes office less than a month later, new waves and trends are about to unfold. If we cannot see the trend from a big cycle perspective, we will easily become anxious or go in the wrong direction. In 2025, the market only priced in the possibility of a 0.35% interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Trump has previously made it clear that he resists high interest rates. After taking office, the new government will seize every opportunity to significantly reduce interest rates. This will not only significantly reduce the fiscal deficit, but also avoid triggering the fiscal cliff. When there is a divergence between market expectations and the future, it is a good opportunity to get on board. Look at the trend, not the K-line, it helps to hold
Bitcoin Eagle 🦅 12.26 Accurate Market Analysis @everyone
Good morning, brothers, BTC is once again challenging the 100,000 mark, Currently, altcoins have not followed, and market funds are insufficient.
Let us look forward to the big market, does BTC have support, Can it break through the previous high?
Yesterday, the Russian Finance Minister said that Russia is using Bitcoin for international trade, This is a result of legislative changes allowing such use to cope with Western sanctions. He believes that cryptocurrencies have a unique advantage in mitigating risks related to sanctions, inflation, and currency fluctuations.
This year, Russia allowed the use of cryptocurrencies in foreign trade, and took measures to legalize cryptocurrency mining.
Recently, BTC has been rising strongly, it may be related to countries like Russia and Iran being sanctioned by the U.S. secretly buying BTC. Whether the Chinese government is secretly buying remains unknown, but currently, Russia has confirmed it.
As the date of Trump's inauguration approaches, some states in the U.S. have already begun to test the waters: attempting to include BTC in state financial strategic reserves.
During the days of BTC's decline, on December 17, Ohio proposed a bill, to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve in the state.
Texas proposed a bill in December to establish a Bitcoin reserve.
In November, Pennsylvania suggested using 10% of the state’s general fund to purchase nearly 1 billion dollars worth of Bitcoin.
By 2025, it is estimated that at least one U.S. state will establish a Bitcoin strategic reserve. Cities outside of the U.S., such as Vancouver, may also establish Bitcoin reserves.
These are all factors driving BTC's rise. BTC is strong, and altcoins benefit from it. Therefore, there is still potential in the crypto space.
BitEagle 🦅12.20 Accurate Market Analysis @Everyone
Good morning, brothers. BTC fell again last night. What is the core reason? Is there still hope for the bull market?
The reason for the sharp drop is still the Federal Reserve. The hawkish level released by the Federal Reserve the day before yesterday exceeded expectations. It caused a sharp shock in the financial market. Powell said that subsequent interest rate cuts should be cautious. The US stock market is also falling sharply. The next week is the stage of digesting this news. So how much will BTC fall? If we look at the K-line, BTC has been trading sideways at a high level for 30 days. The bottom is getting higher and higher until the black swan event at the Fed meeting. Since the 30-day purchase cost is above $90,000, there is also an expectation that the United States will include BTC in its strategic reserves. It has fallen almost to the bottom. The maximum drop is $88,000 (30% probability). On-chain data shows that yesterday, the inflow of BTC into exchanges increased by 15,000. Most of it came from Binance, which increased by about 10,000. Coinbase is in an outflow state. At present, the Asian market is in a serious market crash. The US market is still absorbing funds. It may fluctuate around $94,000-$98,000 in the next few days. It will not rebound immediately. It needs to (1) wait for the US stock market to stabilize next week and stop falling and start to rebound. (2) The impact of the Fed will be released for another 3-5 days. Do not sell the coins you currently hold. It is recommended to hold them and wait for a rebound. BTC, BNB, and Uni can all be bought in batches.
Bitcoin Eagle 🦅 12.19 Accurate Market Analysis @everyone
Good morning, brothers, BTC has plummeted, altcoins are suffering, how to choose now?
Last night, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points as expected in December, indicating a decreased willingness to cut rates next year, leading to a disaster. The US stock market crashed, and the crypto market followed suit, with 250,000 people liquidated. Including A-shares, European and Asian stock markets all experienced a sell-off.
We didn't publish an analysis right away this morning.
On-chain data shows that BTC outflowed 10,000 from yesterday to today, Binance saw an inflow of 2,000 BTC, which is not much. The proportion of whales on exchanges has decreased, not high.
After the Asian market woke up, panic emotions triggered another wave of sell-off. In times of panic, we need to distinguish the larger trend: BTC is continuously being bought up by substantial funds, the purchase cost over the past month is above $90,000. Therefore, the risk is not high. The expectations for Trump's election have not been fully released yet.
So the current recommended strategy is: We need to guard against BTC dropping to around $95,000 in the next couple of days. Many altcoins have already dropped significantly, there is no need to cut losses. Wait for the panic sentiment to dissipate, there will still be bullets to buy the dip for BTC, BNB, and other relatively stable coins. In the future, BTC is still expected to rebound and recover to above $100,000.
Good morning, brothers, BTC has broken new highs, but altcoins are underperforming. How should we proceed next, and how do we plan our strategy?
From yesterday to today, looking at the on-chain data, BTC has flowed out of exchanges by 10,000, with over 5,000 flowing out from Binance. Large funds have been hoarding BTC.
Although we have been urging everyone to buy BTC for the past six months, there are still some brothers who haven't bought it. Every time BTC rises, they sigh and complain, which is quite amusing. But buying BTC can be resolved in 10 seconds, yet they still refuse to take action. It's quite lamentable.
Last week, Trump said, "We will do some great things in the cryptocurrency space." When asked whether the U.S. would establish a Bitcoin strategic reserve similar to the oil reserve, Trump said, "Yes, I think we will."
For BTC to become a U.S. strategic reserve, it must be approved by Congress, and it might not happen. But the key issue is not whether BTC strategic reserves can actually materialize, but that the mere expectation of it is enough.
Our judgment on the market is as follows: (1) BTC continues to break through and rise, altcoins dare not move. After this round of large-scale accumulation, BTC may challenge $127,000. (2) ETH follows BTC upwards, and altcoins begin to show interest. (3) If BTC stagnates and goes sideways, altcoins will start to rise.
Strategy: Buy 20% BTC, 20% ETH, and use the rest to buy altcoins. ETH breaking through $4,700 is not a problem. BNB breaking through $850 is not a problem. $ETH $BTC $VANA
Bitcoin Eagle 🦅 12.2 Accurate Market Analysis @everyone
Good morning, brothers. Yesterday, I analyzed the trend for December: It will keep rising until the end of the month, and we need to plan for profit-taking before the month's end.
Here are some key positive factors that we will emphasize again today: (1) Trump's family has started a crypto project called WLFI, raising funds through USDC, and has exchanged all received USDC for BTC and ETH. (2) BTC continues to flow out of Binance. (3) Israel and Hezbollah have agreed to a ceasefire.
Last week, U.S. stocks surged, injecting a strong dose of confidence into global risk assets. This week, ETFs continue to buy, which may push ETH to break through $4000, and BTC to exceed $100,000.
Suggested coins to hold patiently: Uni, FTM, DOT (these three have already taken profits once at 30%) AR, CHR, STX, Avail, DODO, ACH The password for the VIP group is separate.
In a bull market, remember this: Do not short, hold what you buy, and take profits in batches after a surge.
Bitcoin Eagle🦅 12.1 Accurate Market Analysis @Everyone
Good morning, brothers, today is December 1st. In November 2024, amidst the skepticism of most people, the bull market began. Will the bull market continue in December?
In the past few days, during the American Thanksgiving holiday, the main players were celebrating, and the market funds were logically not very sufficient. Yet, despite this, BTC didn't drop, and ETH increased a bit. The S&P 500 index hit a new high and closed strongly.
Previously, Trump's family started a crypto project called WLFI, raising funds through USDC. Yesterday, something happened; Trump's family converted all the USDC raised by WLFI into CBBTC and ETH. What does this indicate? It indicates that the family with the most inside information is optimistic about the prospects of BTC and ETH, feeling they are going to rise. So, as ordinary people, are we going to believe the debt-laden but stubborn short-selling analysts, or believe the first family of America?
In terms of on-chain data, Binance continued to see BTC outflows yesterday, over 3,000.
In terms of geopolitical issues, Israel and Hezbollah agreed to ceasefire.
Therefore, Bitcoin Eagle believes that before the end of December, the crypto market will see another rise. However, before Christmas at the end of December, there might be a significant pullback.
Because (1) The favorable effects of Trump's election have been released for a while and cannot last indefinitely (2) There are too many profits in the crypto market; now over 80% of BTC holders are in profit, and by the end of December, many altcoins will double (3) On the macro side, in recent months, a series of strong economic data has reduced the Federal Reserve's willingness to cut interest rates. Next Friday, non-farm payroll data will be released, and if it exceeds expectations, it will be bearish. Although the crypto market currently has support from American policy, fundamentally it depends on Federal Reserve policy, as it determines the amount of market funds.
While the bull market is good, we must remain vigilant, there is no market that only rises without falling, so don’t be overly optimistic. Taking profits on surging coins and converting them into stablecoins to keep is the way to go. Approaching the end of December, be prepared for profit-taking plans, and buy the dip after the pullback. $BTC $BTC $ETH
Good morning, brothers, BTC is as stable as an old dog, while ETH and altcoins are steadily declining. Recently, two whales exchanged 13,326 ETH for BTC.
Does this mean ETH has no future? The biggest problem with ETH is inflation + high GAS fees. This year, ETH increased by around 150,000 coins, worth $500 million. Previously, meme coins were all on the ETH chain, but now everyone is playing on the SOL chain. This further reduces the demand for ETH.
So, going with the trend, a month ago we suggested everyone swap ETH for BTC. The suggestion remains the same now.
However, things are developing; once ETH upgrades and BTC rises similarly, ETH will catch up, and at that time, we can take advantage of a wave of ETH profits. Just like when gold's market cap is too high and stops rising, one can invest in silver, which will soar. Silver didn't rise much the year before last, but it increased significantly last year and this year.
Altcoins are still not rising; there's no need to rush. Altcoins are also 'silver'. Once digital gold BTC stops rising and consolidates, then altcoins will start to rise. The U.S. 'Financial Innovation and Technology (FIT21) Act' and legislation proposals for stablecoins may gain support, which will be beneficial for a future boom in altcoins.
So, allocate 30% to BTC; altcoins have a lagging growth.
Bitcoin Eagle🦅 11.12 Accurate Market Analysis @Everyone
Brothers, good morning. Right now, all the groups are filled with laughter and joy. Many brothers who followed our analysis and went long have made money. The bear market lasted for 2 years, and we have finally welcomed the bull market.
Currently, Trump has appointed some politicians who support cryptocurrency as cabinet members, The United States is going to lead the cryptocurrency trend. Under the guidance of the U.S. president and government, cryptocurrency will usher in vigorous development.
In the new regulatory environment, cryptocurrency is expected to become a "legal and compliant" tool, Whether it promotes innovation, we do not know and do not care, In any case, it's just speculation and it’s rising.
Some brothers asked in the morning if BTC can still be bought? The group said not to buy for a few months, and now this price is not good to buy, It’s a bit late to buy now, a few days ago would have been fine. For BTC at this price, wait for a 5% pullback before buying.
Current market analysis prediction: BTC pulls back a few points, altcoins drop a little. BTC hovers around 80,000, Welcoming a wave of altcoin surges.
Still the same advice as yesterday.
Current strategy: (1) If the coins you bought have skyrocketed, then take profits at 30% first and look for opportunities to take profits in batches. (2) If your coins haven't even risen by 20%, wait for the pump. (3) If you haven't entered the market yet or are still in cash, then enter with 30% first. (4) Do not short, do not short, do not go against the big trend. Yesterday I saw a few people get liquidated for shorting.
Although the bull market has arrived, do not let emotions affect you. Stay calm in response to market fluctuations. Do not Fomo and chase the highs.
Good afternoon, brothers. The market pulled back yesterday. We remind everyone to play the long game and make sure to hold on. Now BTC has stabilized at $65,000.
From the data on the chain, from September 24 to today, September 27, more than 15,000 BTC flowed out of the exchange in 3 days. Yesterday, the stablecoins in the exchange began to rebound.
In the past 3 days, a whale withdrew 3,501 BTC (about 221.39 million US dollars) from Binance. This whale made money 3 times. After each large accumulation, the price of Bitcoin rose sharply.
We also analyzed a few days ago that there were obvious signs of whales bottom-fishing in September. There was a wallet that increased from 2,625 on September 6 to 23,732 on September 20. The increase in holdings of BTC worth $1.4 billion was terrifying. It might be the world's top billionaires such as Li Ka-shing or Bill Gates. At the beginning of September, many brothers said that according to historical statistics, September would fall. Most analysts, on Twitter and Binance Square, were frequently shorting, saying that it would fall to 40,000. Only we advised everyone to hold on and not sell at the bottom. Now we finally see the results. In fact, investment analysis is not nonsense, and it cannot be affected by emotions. It is necessary to make a well-founded judgment based on the Fed's policies and on-chain data. At 8:30 p.m., PCE data will be released, which is one of the Fed's preferred inflation indicators. If it is lower than expected, then BTC will accelerate to 70,000. If it is higher than expected, it will face a short-term correction. In any case, we still have to play the long game. We are in the early stages of a global waterproof cycle. Today, A shares have skyrocketed. Only by holding on to your money can you get big results and avoid selling out. $W $BNB #美国二季度核心PCE符合预期 #美联储11月降息预期升温
FTM is a Layer-1 platform that can communicate securely with Ethereum. It was renamed Sonic on August 2.
It raised $80 million. There is no particularly large financing institution, but the founder has great influence and strong ability to shout orders.
The Sonic test network was launched on September 6, and the main network will be opened in December this year.
The project party has not yet announced the time for the token swap, but it should be in the fourth quarter.
The list of Meme winners will be announced on the 24th, but the Meme on FTM has not been established yet and is not very popular.
The FTM K-line has a support at 0.62. There is no good or bad news recently, and it mainly follows the market.
The family members in the car just need to hold on and don’t sell at a loss. The family members who are not in the car can copy a little if there is a sharp drop and callback.
WLD stands for Worldcoin, which means World Coin. It has an iris recognition ID verification.
It is said to be an AI track, but it seems to have little to do with AI.
The capital background is also quite impressive, a16z, coinbase, Blockchain capital,
Total financing of $240 million, valuation of $6 billion.
The current market value is $970 million, and if it is fully circulated, it will be close to $20 billion, which is unlikely.
The biggest problem of WLD is selling pressure, which is released 7.8% every week. Investors and foundations have been selling, and the market can't stand it.
WLD is the biggest conspiracy scam in this cycle, and it is a wealth transfer game for the rich.
We should not be jealous of its rise, and we should not have the emotion of missing out.
If you want to pay attention to the AI track, you can take a look at $RDNR, $LPT, etc. $WLD $HIVE
Good morning, brothers. After the non-agricultural data was released last night and was lower than expected, it rushed first. As the market interprets the data more, and the holders of Mentougou currency take advantage of the good news to sell, it fell to a low of $52550, and now rebounded to $53800
The greed and panic index is 22. Now the currency circle has fallen into a state of extreme panic
If you sell in panic, you will find that it rebounds after you sell Then you chase it again for fear of missing out, and it falls again, and the cost of holding is not so low
The market is like the weather If there is a typhoon, it will be windy and rainy for the first 14 days Then on the 15th day, is it more likely that the sun will come out?
Hold on, brothers. If you don’t buy high-inflation tokens, After the market recovers, some strong coins will pull back in a few days, and some weak coins will pull back in a few weeks. If you still have bullets, continue to buy the bottom in batches. Remember to diversify your investments, don’t hold a heavy position and go all in on one. Optional targets: FTM, with expectations of currency exchange, the founder’s influence is strong CHR, a potential public chain, with a low market value and strong fundamentals BNB, the platform coin of the strongest dealer in the currency circle STX, currently at a very strong support level, started upgrading on August 28, and completed the upgrade at the end of September, with a 100-fold performance improvement$BTC $QUICK $SOL
The following two countries and regions can pay more attention to the currency, and you can also consider buying the bottom if you have bullets
Klay, Korean Ethereum, has the largest social software in Korea. The next step is to learn TON to make small programs, which is equivalent to being able to play things in the currency circle directly in Korean WeChat
Astr, Japanese Ethereum, has recently cooperated with the giant Sony. Sony Chain will empower Astr holders
Avail has rebounded well recently, and BTC has stabilized and is expected to reach 0.2 It will meet Binance and Coinbase, possibly in the first quarter of next year
Yesterday the market fell sharply, many people lost hope and wanted to sell their stocks In the evening, they recovered their losses This situation has happened repeatedly, I don’t know how many times The job vacancy data released yesterday showed that the employment situation is not optimistic The economy may be in recession, so it is conducive to interest rate cuts, which is good for the cryptocurrency circle
There are several important data today and tomorrow
- Tonight at 20:15, ADP employment figures will be released - 20:30, unemployment benefits will be released - Unemployment rate and non-farm data will be released at 20:30 tomorrow night
Beware of the three data, one of which is bearish, and another correction If there is a correction, don’t sell, but remind to hold
Current bullish factors: (1) Currently BTC computing power is at a low point, and miners are not making much money, indicating that the market is close to the bottom (2) The last halving cycle started to soar in the fourth quarter. Will it start to rise in the fourth quarter this time? (3) Long-term holders (wallets that have held Bitcoin for more than six months) continue to accumulate Bitcoin at record levels, with their total balance hitting a monthly high of 391,000 BTC this week (4) Interest rate cuts and liquidity are imminent, and there will be more funds in the market
Current bearish factors: (1) The last time more than 80,000 BTC was released in Mentougou, it continued to cause selling pressure, and there are still more than 30,000 BTC that have not been released (2) The breakdown of Israeli-Palestinian peace talks and Iran's involvement have caused a wider range of conflicts
At present, we still need to wait for the selling pressure in Mentougou to be resolved, which will take time
The later the time, the higher the turnover and the smaller the selling pressure. If there is a positive news, BTC can achieve a breakthrough from the shock $SAGA $USDC $BTC #非农就业数据即将公布
Good morning, brothers. BTC fell below $57,000 at 9 am. When the market plummets or soars, the human brain will be stimulated, thus making irrational judgments. How do we view the current market? We still need to analyze rationally, Explain it more clearly and avoid ambiguous analysis.
The core factors of the current decline: Mentougou released more than 80,000 BTC last month. These BTC continue to cause selling pressure. If 3,000 are sold every day, then it will take nearly a month.
The stage we are currently in is the oscillation range of digesting the selling pressure of Mentougou.
When will it plummet or fall sharply? Two aspects (1) There are too many profit-taking orders in the market, and the cost is low. A large-scale sell-off will cause a sharp drop (2) A black swan event will cause a sharp drop
The current short-term cost of the market is $63,000 The 100-day cost is $59,000 There is no other profit-taking order except Mentougou Therefore, from a rational analysis and judgment, there is no possibility of a further sharp drop
The current price is not the bottom but close to the bottom Why do you ask everyone not to sell at a loss? What if it rebounds after selling at a loss If you buy a token that is not a high-inflation token, it will fall for 1 month, and it will rise quickly in a few days when there is good news You must see hope in the crisis to have a chance to make money$QUICK $DATA $TIA #BTC走势分析