Today is Friday. From the price trend, it has been in a sideways state and did not fall at 4 am. At present, we need to wait until 6 pm. If the price still does not fall to 58,000, then we need to consider the possibility of a rebound. The rebound will last at least until 10 am on October 5, and the height of the rebound may be between 63,150 and 64,500, but it is not certain whether it can reach this height directly. However, if the price still falls back to 58,000, it is highly unlikely that it will rise to 64,500 in the future. There are two important pieces of information here: first, the daily level view has been predicted from September 27 to October 4, but the hourly level has not converged; second, the time cycle is expanding, which means that the subsequent rise is not a reversal of the trend, but just a rebound. After the rebound, after the hourly high is formed, the price will continue to fall. Therefore, this period of daily level decline will continue, so bullish investors need to be cautious. As for the news, I have no special opinion. (The probability of a rebound is relatively high)

The low point forecast originally scheduled to be shared in the early morning now seems to need to be postponed, but the overall operation is still within the established rules. In the future, we need to focus on the period from 04:00 to 18:00 on October 4, especially around 04:00, and the expected low point range is between 57400-58000. If this low point can be reached during this period, it is possible to coincide with the low point at the daily level.
However! It should be noted that since the low point at the hourly level has not yet converged, even if the expected low point is reached and a rebound occurs, it is only regarded as a rebound rather than the end of the daily low point. The specific judgment also needs to be combined with factors such as real-time price resonance and time convergence to comprehensively consider, and these conditions have not yet been met.
Once again, the time point of October 4 means that the daily line will at least fall to the vicinity of that date, rather than necessarily forming a low rebound on that day. Therefore, there will still be low points at the daily level in the future, and the specific day it will extend to will be updated later.#MarketForecast##TradingStrategy#

【OM mainnet is about to be launched】🚀
$OM

$According to official news, the OM project will be officially launched on the mainnet in October this year! The achievement of this important milestone marks that OM's layout in the blockchain field has entered a new stage.
OM, as an innovative blockchain project, aims to provide efficient, secure and decentralized financial services to global users through its unique technical architecture and governance mechanism. After its mainnet is launched, it will open up a series of new application scenarios and functions, including but not limited to digital asset trading, decentralized finance (DeFi) applications, etc.
This mainnet launch is not only an affirmation of the long-term efforts of the OM project team, but also an important boost to the entire blockchain industry. We look forward to OM being able to bring users a more convenient and secure blockchain experience with its advantages in technology and applications.
Please pay attention to the latest developments of the OM mainnet launch, let us witness the arrival of this historic moment together! 📅 #OM #区块链超话 #主网上线 #大A香还是大饼香

Today is Thursday. Although the trend is in line with the trend, the time is slow. In the morning, it was judged that the high point would be 23:00, but it was actually 0:00. So the current 4-hour chart is basically a negative line enveloping trend, so it is expected to look down to the range of 57400-58000 in the future, and the price needs to pay special attention to the situation from 9 am to 4 pm on October 3. Overall, there is no sign of convergence in time, and the downward trend will continue.

Today is Wednesday. Since the market was affected by external forces, it has directly fallen from 66450 to around 60000. So the target here is the fluctuation position of 60800, and 60000 is equivalent to the excess decline of 60800.
If this position completes a small-level decline, it is allowed to rebound to 64500, but there is still room for decline at 57400-58000. This position is more likely to rebound, and it needs to be observed in combination with the daily low point.
57400-58000 has the resonance of daily time and price. Secondly, the small-level rebound can pay attention to 14:00 and 23:00 on October 2. The price is about 62100-62700, and the overall small-level time cycle has not changed.

[Sun Yuchen: A mental patient in the blockchain circle]

How do you evaluate Sun Yuchen? Perhaps, his ex-girlfriend Ma Jiajia (real name Zhang Mengning) has the most say.
Ma Jiajia recalled that when eating coconut chicken with Sun Yuchen, he always quickly scooped most of the chicken into his bowl when the food was just cooked. This habit was also brought into his business behavior.
Ma Jiajia pointed out that Sun Yuchen has almost no friends or allies in the business world. Once there is a disagreement in the cooperation, he often chooses to pit the other party and feels secretly happy about it. This personality trait not only destroyed his relationship with his colleagues, but also led to his failure in intimate relationships.
Ma Jiajia and Sun Yuchen once appeared on a variety show together and planned a marketing campaign of "crowdfunding fake marriage" together. However, Ma Jiajia believes that Sun Yuchen's contract spirit is extremely weak, which became the fuse for the breakdown of their relationship.
It is worth mentioning that Sun Yuchen once had a relatively "normal" entrepreneurial experience, that is, the "accompany me App" he acquired. This is a stranger social software that focuses on anonymous chat and has a simple and crude profit model.
Ma Jiajia bluntly said that Justin Sun is like a person who is highly addicted to making money because he cannot get happiness from anywhere else. She even thinks that "being with him is a stain on my life." #孙宇晨# His performance in the blockchain circle is indeed impressive, but it may also make people think a lot about his life.

#大A香还是大饼香 #非农就业数据即将公布

Last Friday, only three of the twelve US#BTCspot ETF institutions had zero net outflows, and only Grayscale's GBTC had a net outflow. The other eight institutions all had net increases, and BlackRock, Fidelity and ARK increased their holdings by 6,648 BTC, of ​​which ARK increased its holdings by 3,085 BTC.

Even if there was an outflow from Grayscale, the net outflow was only 84 BTC. In the past week, Grayscale's net outflow was only 386.37 BTC, which has been such a small number for two consecutive weeks, indicating that Grayscale's BTC selling has basically ended.

In the past week, US institutions have increased their net holdings by a total of 16,596.26 BTC, which is 275% higher than last Monday, and#ETHhas also increased significantly. Therefore, we can temporarily judge that US investors are likely to increase their risk appetite due to the interest rate cut, and have increased their investment in BTC and ETH. Of course, another key data this week is Friday's non-agricultural data, which may strengthen the soft landing or trading recession.

#大A香还是大饼香 #美联储11月降息预期升温

The decline will probably fall to around 62700 at most, and the lowest will reach 62800, which is already a must-reach position. I have shared before that the must-reach position is 62100, but because 62100 is calculated based on 65700, and our actual new high price overflows to 66450, the must-reach point has also moved up, so 62800 is already a must-reach position, and there is demand, so we need to consider rebounding here.

Now there is no rule based on external intervention, so there will be a strong time for rebounding.

Conditional change points:
October 2nd 23:00 strong time, can reach 65200-65555, or even a new high (the probability is not high).

October 4th 16:00 normal time, if there is no strong rise, it will turn to fall at this time at the latest.

These two times are not obvious highs and lows, but it can be the time to form a turning point, so what needs to be considered is the strength of the rebound. If the rebound strength is poor, it will be worn out by time and then turn to fall again. The time of October 4th seems to be contradictory in terms of high and low points, because the daily low point is also on October 4th. If it is a high point, then the daily low point will be delayed, and the low point will be established from October 14th to 21st.
So when rebounding, you can pay attention to whether there will be a rebound opportunity. The fastest is to form a high point turn to fall near the strong time, and the slowest is to wait until October 4th. Secondly, because the price may not stop falling, there will be some adjustments if there is a new low in the future, but the general idea is this.

Be careful to carry orders, heavy positions, remember to bring stop losses, and split positions.
$BTC $ETH
#非农就业数据即将公布 #加密市场反弹

[Fed Powell's new voice, the cryptocurrency circle is waiting for the wind to change! ] More good news, sisters

Fed Chairman Powell spoke today, and the phrase "economic conditions lay the foundation for inflation to fall back" instantly ignited market enthusiasm. For the cryptocurrency circle, this is not only a weather vane of the economy, but also a catalyst for investment sentiment. The steady recovery of the economy has paved a more solid road for the cryptocurrency market.

Powell also mentioned that the policy will return to neutrality and make decisions meeting by meeting, which undoubtedly adds more unknowns to the market. But for the cryptocurrency circle, the unknown is an opportunity, and every fine-tuning of the policy may bring about a reshuffle of the market. Investors are holding their breath and are ready to seize every possible opportunity.

He emphasized the balance between inflation and employment goals, pointing out that the labor market has cooled but is still solid. This means that while achieving the inflation target, the employment market has also maintained a good trend. For the cryptocurrency circle, this means that under the premise of macroeconomic stability, the cryptocurrency market is expected to gain more room for development.

Overall, Powell's speech brought new thinking to the cryptocurrency circle. In the context of economic recovery and policy adjustments, investors need to be more sensitive to market dynamics and flexibly adjust investment strategies. Although policy uncertainties still exist, it is these uncertainties that bring more possibilities to the market.

Friends in the currency circle, let us stay calm and meet every challenge and opportunity with a steady mind. In this ever-changing market, only by maintaining keen insight and decisive decision-making can we soar in the wind!

#美联储动态 # #币圈机遇 # #美降息25个基点预期升温 #

Don't leave, come back~! Cry~!

$BTC

The price of pie is rising again~!

🌟No matter how chaotic the outside world is, let's focus on the unchanging truth🌟

🌈 Looking back, October and November always put on a glorious coat for the cryptocurrency field, and historical data shines with positive signals!

💰 The world's two largest economies, the United States and China, have recently taken steps to cut interest rates, injecting liquidity into the market while quietly paving a road to prosperity.

🗓 There are only 36 precious days left before the US election. This is not only a political feast, but also an important vote on the future direction of cryptocurrency. Perhaps it will usher in the first presidential candidate who openly embraces encryption!

🌐 The FTX incident has also ushered in a turnaround. The $16 billion solution can be distributed as early as next week, injecting a shot of confidence into the market.

📈 All signs indicate that the current balance seems to be slowly leaning towards the bulls, but don't forget that patience is the most precious asset in this game.

💪 Stick to your strategy and hold your position, because the real bull market often starts with subtle sprouts and then blooms into eye-catching flowers.

🚀 This is not just an analysis, but also an observation of market trends. Remember, decisions should be based on personal judgment. This article is for information reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.

🚀 Let us witness together how this "pump" with unlimited potential will write a new chapter!

#非农就业数据即将公布 #美国二季度核心PCE符合预期

Sisters, are A-shares going to limit account openings? The market is closed!!!

64000 is the limit, sisters, don't be afraid. Hold on, and you will win. At most, it will cross 64000, and then it will rebound. You can cover your position.

The current trend is really mouth-watering. Big funds are entering the market every day.
Many old antique long-term investors can no longer resist the temptation.

Big Pie Analysis:
Today is the weekend, and the market is mainly in a volatile trend. The price fluctuates between 65800 and 65910, forming a small oscillation pattern. From the daily chart, it shows an obvious bullish trend.

MACD: The fast and slow lines of MACD run above the 0 axis, and DIF and DEA are both positive, which indicates that the current market is in a bullish market.

Although there is a certain callback pressure in the short term, the overall trend is upward.

What is the real difference between cryptocurrency speculation and gambling?

Many newcomers tend to confuse cryptocurrency speculation and gambling when they enter the cryptocurrency circle. In fact, although both seem to have certain risks on the surface, they are very different in essence. Today I will briefly tell you why cryptocurrency speculation and gambling are not the same thing.

1. Controllable risk vs. uncontrollable risk
Gambling is a pure game of luck, and basically you cannot predict the results. Whether it is the roulette wheel in the casino or the winning or losing of poker cards, it is ultimately controlled by probability and luck. But cryptocurrency speculation is different. Although the market fluctuates, by analyzing technical indicators, market trends, and news, you can grasp the general direction and manage risks reasonably. The victory or defeat of cryptocurrency speculation depends more on your knowledge and judgment, rather than luck.

2. Have long-term planning vs. short-term betting
Gambling is usually short-term, and the winning or losing will be immediately known. Cryptocurrency speculation is a long-term accumulation process. You can adjust your position according to market conditions, set stop loss and take profit, and slowly accumulate wealth. As long as you have patience and strategy, your income can be gradually improved. Gamblers often place bets with the mentality of "getting rich overnight". If they win, they will make a lot of money, and if they lose, they will lose everything.

3. Different mentality
Coin speculation focuses on mentality management. You need to be calm about every rise and fall and operate rationally. Gambling often makes people addicted. Gamblers' psychology is easily influenced by winning or losing. The more they lose, the more they want to make up for their losses. The more they win, the greedier they are, and they lose more in the end. Coin speculation pays attention to discipline and planning, and they know how to control their desires and keep a normal mind to face market fluctuations.

4. Market rules vs. randomness
Coin speculation is based on the supply and demand relationship, market sentiment, technical trends, etc. of the financial market, and there are certain rules to follow. While gambling, the results are completely random and there is no rule to rely on. In other words, coin speculation is an investment behavior with logic to follow, while gambling is "speculation" that relies purely on luck.

The difference between coin speculation and gambling lies in risk control, long-term planning, mentality management and market rules. People who really understand coin speculation rely on knowledge and experience to make money, rather than blindly gambling. I hope that after entering the cryptocurrency circle, everyone can adjust their mindset, treat cryptocurrency trading as an investment behavior, and avoid falling into the gambler mentality.

#币安上线CATI

📅【Next week's economic data timeline】Non-agricultural week is full of excitement, your investment guide!
Monday: 09:30, China's manufacturing PMI, the beginning of a week of data feast.
Tuesday: 01:00 in the morning, Powell speaks, new clues to the Fed's policy; at 22:00 in the evening, the US ISM manufacturing PMI is announced.
Wednesday: 20:15, ADP employment report, a glimpse of the non-agricultural trend in advance.
Thursday: 20:30, initial jobless claims, the latest pulse of the job market.
Friday: The finale! 20:30, non-agricultural employment and unemployment rate, a comprehensive interpretation of economic health.
#经济数据日历 # #非农就业数据 # #美降息25个基点预期升温 #

[Investment Observation] When discussing the current rise in the cryptocurrency market, we must be aware of its high volatility and unpredictability. Nevertheless, based on existing market trends, technological advances and project dynamics, the following sectors are worth paying attention to:

The Layer 2 solution sector is attracting much attention due to the congestion and high transaction fees of main chains such as Ethereum. Layer 2 projects such as Arbitrum, Optimism and Polygon have achieved significant improvements in transaction efficiency and cost reductions by building additional protocol layers, attracting many users and projects to join.

The DeFi (decentralized finance) sector, with its smart contract technology, provides financial services without trusting intermediaries, which continues to stimulate market vitality. Projects such as Compound, Uniswap, and MakerDAO occupy a key position in the DeFi field, driving the continued development of the sector.

The NFT and Metaverse sectors remain popular due to the uniqueness and scarcity of NFT as the core asset of the Metaverse. With the deepening of the concept of the Metaverse and the development of technology, the application scenarios of NFT are becoming increasingly rich, injecting new impetus into the growth of the sector.

In addition, emerging blockchain platforms such as Solana, Avalanche, Polkadot, etc., have attracted a large number of users and projects with their technological innovation and ecological construction, becoming the new favorites of the market.

#美国二季度核心PCE符合预期 #加密市场反弹

Mr. Zhao came out and posted his first post: GM

Mr. Zhao, are you asking me to buy General Motors in the US?

Everyone, hurry up and buy General Motors.

The best returns always come in the fourth quarter!