In the past few days, I have also experienced retracement. Sometimes it is more difficult for retail investors to make money than in a bear market. It is said that it is because of all kinds of anxiety. Whether it is a shortfall, a contract, a sharp retracement, etc., these are the most inevitable things in human nature. One link: when others are fleeing the top, you are not fleeing. When others are rushing to make huge profits, the media reports which wallet has become rich again. When others are cheating, you are still in a daze. You will only be anxious and impulsive, and then make random decisions. , want to make money quickly and then continue to lose, and get off before the mentality explodes in the bull market.
It should be done but not done: the biggest failure is patience, don't predict the market, improve valuation capabilities, if iotx, pyth, AR, wld, ondo, Ron, Lpt, which of the major long-term targets 2 months ago did not make money ? It’s only been 2 months and it’s already doubled... As a result, I switched positions and chased hot spots like crazy, and I lost myself. I need to be more patient and don’t do too many unnecessary operations. Look at the Binance exchange, which has thousands of operations throughout the month, but the positions are not. If you don't make any progress, it means that you are not a professional trader. You are just a professional in the currency circle. Confirming the target to buy a suitable position and waiting patiently is what you should do.
The second misfortune is acuity and cognition. The hot bome catches up to about half, and I dare not take a position. If I miss it, I still lack cognition. I see the news but don’t pay attention. The cognition is not in place. You must know the wealth creation effect of the currency circle. It is very likely to appear in the issuance of new assets or new gameplay, and it must be easy to spread. When these conditions are met, you should pay attention to it immediately. Unfortunately, if you are not keen and aware, you will chase after it foolishly and only get soup. This should be done The most important thing is to have full market acumen, carefully review the reasons for the outbreak, and understand the narrative to gain the greatest value.
If we could go back in time, we should do it
1. Hot spots can be pursued, but position allocation should be done well. Instead of changing positions frequently, the long-term target is to hold it well. Adjust the position with profit when the price rises. Keep U in hand before rushing.
2. It’s not that the band is bad, it’s that you understand your own capabilities and don’t do things beyond your capabilities, including contracts, bargain hunting, and top escapes.
3. Pay special attention to the issuance of new assets or the emergence of new gameplay, especially if the pool is large, the narrative is large, easy to get started, easy to spread, and particularly easy to explode. Don’t ignore any news and constantly improve your ability to identify information.
$BTC $ETH $BNB #热门话题 #BOME #BTC #ETH #sol

The logic of buying bonds is very clear. 70% of it is taken
$BOND

During the day, I definitely don’t believe that the Asians’ pull is a real breakthrough.
It’s polite not to draw a door for you immediately. The Asian pull in the morning has never stabilized. It attacked the foreigners and ate the liquidity of the shorts. So I chose to hedge the big cake near 59,000.
The US stock market opened and saw if it could rebound. If you haven’t taken profit, remember to take profit. The fluctuation range is still roughly 54,000-59,000.
It’s a familiar link again. The winning rate of opening shorts when the golden cross is about to appear during this kind of fluctuation is good. You can review the previous period of fluctuation.
The golden cross is tried and tested. Shorting is done when the golden cross is not crossed, and long is done when the dead cross is crossed.

#BTC下跌分析 #币安合约锦标赛 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 $BTC $ETH $BNB

$BONK bonk is stronger than $WIF
wif bonk's main force has been in it
pay more attention to sol $BNB sol may start first
liquidity is recovering
yesterday's selling pressure from Germany was taken up, bonk is doing very well, each wave of increase is very close, stronger than bome, big cake range oscillation, cottage repair market, liquidity recovery needs a time to switch, long and short conversion also needs a process
#币安7周年 #TON #币安合约锦标赛

$BOND I did a bond yesterday
Let me explain the logic of long bond
It is actually similar to the previous trb trading method
Bond's holdings yesterday exceeded fdv
That is, the market value of bond
The main force that entered the market can easily squeeze out the shorts by pulling up the spot. Some delisted coins will force shorts before. Normally, they will be pulled up by dozens of points
1162w market value and 2389w contract positions
Then the negative rate is the same as the original trb
The main force continues to buy spot after receiving the funding fee. The market value is so low that it is easy to pull up the shorts. The reason for closing the long position at night is that the negative rate has dropped
Follow up and observe to see if there will be continuous shorts to go short It depends on how much short-selling fuel there is. If the subsequent negative rate reaches the upper limit, breaking 1.8 will bury all the short-selling. #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #BTC下跌分析 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #币安合约锦标赛 $ETH $TRB

Yesterday afternoon and evening, the spot market crashed fiercely.

The volatility of bitcoin is very suitable for the band. The bitcoin bought at 56,000 was sold and bought back at 55,000, which was a band of 2,000 dollars. All of them were real transactions.
But the price did not reach a new low, and the CVD diverged. A large number of selling orders were taken up. The price position is above 56,600.
The impact of the German government's sale of BTC will become smaller and smaller. It has fallen from 72,000 and has fallen by 15,000 dollars, a 25% drop. Now it is a decline to shock. If 53,000 is the lowest point, the bottom here must be built around 54-59,000 for more than a month.
Figure 2 What is the second exploration? It means that after the plunge, the rebound is over within 48 hours, and there will be a large number of short-term bottom-fishing sales, resulting in a second retracement.
Generally, the retracement will not exceed the previous low. When the price reached 5.4w in the morning, there was no new low, and Binance spot cvd reached a new low. The passionate sell orders were absorbed by the strong buy orders.

$BTC $BTC #币安合约锦标赛 #BTC下跌分析 #币安合约锦标赛

Which B to choose for rebound
Go collect the altcoins that are oversold by almost 10 times in the market
Rebound When ETH rebounds, these coins will rebound very quickly
Saga dym has been verified. When there is a large volume at the bottom, follow it
Keep an eye on these coins. As long as the next wave of it explodes and the big cake rebounds, this kind of dry in will increase by 20-30%, you can take a closer look.
Take saga as an example. The circulating market is very small, so the rebound is very fierce. You don’t need to pay too much attention to the overall market value for the oversold rebound, just do a wave of counterparty
$SAGA $DYM $AEVO
#BTC下跌分析 #币安合约锦标赛 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #德国政府转移比特币

There are all pending orders below Bitcoin.

ETH is around 2930 and there is around 2730 below
Bitcoin 56600 is used as a reference

I said in the group yesterday that if Bitcoin pulls back to 56600 and closes, it may break the bottom. Breaking the bottom means that it is a trap to go down
If it breaks the bottom, it may not be a downward trend, and it will return to the previous shock. Then I will go to this position. The 59000_55000 range will oscillate for at least one month. You must at least straighten out the moving average before you have a chance to go up. It is impossible to go up directly. It is unlikely
#BTC走势分析 $BTC $ETH $SOL
I hope there will be a lower price to receive spot goods

The pressure of sats is around 18.
unisat officials once again confirmed that sats is used as the gas fee for swap.
UniSat aims to provide a seamless and consistent experience for the Bitcoin mainnet and Fractal Bitcoin by effectively integrating wallets, explorers, and swap products. From a user's perspective, the key difference (provided by Fractal Swap) is the faster confirmation speed and lower total Fractal fee. Their similarities are that both are based on the BRC-20 protocol and use BRC-20sats as gas fees.
unisat officials once again confirmed that sats is used as the gas fee for swap, which is good for sats~
$1000SATS #德国政府转移比特币 #币安合约锦标赛 #BTC走势分析 $ORDI

ai said in May that wld would drag down the sector
saga dym is about to fall tenfold
it is not recommended to hold spot except meme in other sectors
a bunch of copycats have fallen tenfold
don't be discouraged if you can't make money in this market, it's even harder in other places
I don't know which copycats can still rise, as long as they fall to a low enough price, there will naturally be main players to operate them. Currently, copycats can only choose meme. There will always be a big wave of US money release
#德国政府转移比特币 #币安合约锦标赛 #美联储何时降息？ #BTC走势分析 $BTC $ETH $SOL

Compared with the violent wash-out in the past, Dabing didn’t sell out too much volume last week.
If it can’t sell out a huge volume, the probability of a V-reversal is very small. This is why I opened short positions near the 58,000 pressure level and opened short positions on both Auntie and Dabing at the same time.
Selling down to get volume, there is no explosion. You can’t imagine the big shock. Don’t go to the pattern for the next one or two months. All the short positions near 57,000 have gone. The shock means eating and running. All of them are real-time operations.
#币安合约锦标赛 #BTC走势分析

Big Bitcoin is a dragon on weekends and a worm on weekdays
I shorted a little at the pressure point of 58100 to earn some living expenses [hehe][hehe][hehe]
Big Bitcoin weekly MACD is still far from 0 weeks
There will be no big market in June-August of 2021
Big Bitcoin 4.5w will not affect the bull market structure
If Big Bitcoin 56600 falls below next Monday, continue to wait
There are many copycats here, and many copycats are shorted and closed. Big Bitcoin shorts are flattened all the way
$BTC $ETH $SOL #币安合约锦标赛 #BTC走势分析

If sol is strong, there is still hope for bome. Bome has a structure.
Bome has completed 5 waves on the daily line. This position of bome is really attractive.
Bome will definitely have a big chance later.
Double-digit sol seems difficult.
Sol is the strongest and is still oscillating in a triangle. Sol's biggest alpha in this round is 120. 5 needles have not gone down.
#币安合约锦标赛 #BTC走势分析 #美国6月非农数据高于预期 $BTC $ETH $BNB

In my opinion, the root cause of many people losing money is fake effort, inefficiency, meaninglessness and self-deception.
Many people seem to be serious about trading cryptocurrencies, more serious than anyone else, trading 16 hours a day, and professional traders are not as diligent as you. Like full-time traders. But they just refuse to calm down and study or read a few books, and they watch the market ineffectively every day.
To put it nicely, it is called watching the market. To put it bluntly, it is just staring at the K-line in a daze. You don’t know what you are staring at. As long as you spend time staring, you work hard. It is meaningless except for moving yourself.
In fact, both paths are actually OK: 1. Be a full-time player, knowing that you will rely on this for a living in the future, just study hard and start from scratch.
2. Be a casual player, you also have a job in reality, and you know that you are not good at trading cryptocurrencies, so trading cryptocurrencies is just for fun, dealing with spot goods, value investment, and leaving them alone, and working hard in reality.
And many people insist on being a casual player who is neither good nor bad, high-intensity and ineffective in trading cryptocurrencies, lazy and not learning, and wearing the skin of a full-time trader. In short: nothing. If you don't lose money, who will?
The final result is that because of the lack of ability, the coin is destined not to be traded well, and then because of "full-time" coin trading, it is out of touch with reality and has no job. High-intensity watching the market has a disordered work and rest schedule, and I feel dazed every day. Because of the multiple recharges after losing money, my savings have been exhausted, and in the end I lost everything.
You have to love what you do
If you want to make money in this industry, you should devote yourself to it to do it well. After adjusting your concept, you will start to learn some basics systematically from scratch, and then slowly find your position and start again step by step. #币安合约锦标赛 $BTC $ETH $SOL #BTC走势分析
So if you want to make money, you still have to adjust your concept first

The previous bottom-picking indicators were one, the holding volume of Bitcoin, one, the negative premium in the next quarter, and the other, the negative fee rate + limit price. These four bottom-picking indicators are no longer applicable. The previous bottom orders can be withdrawn. Mentougou will issue them within three months, not in a centralized manner. Bitcoin obv has not stood on the 1H moving average. Wait until Monday. The German government is not at work on weekends. All the bottom-picking funds ran away yesterday. In addition, the market has changed now, and the previous bottom-picking standards are no longer applicable. In 2019, if the holding volume of BitMEX is 1 billion, 300-400 million long positions will be significantly cleaned up. Now the volume of the big pie has reached 111 million, and the position of the BN oil contract + B standard contract is worth 7 billion. The main force only needs to clean up the counterparty of 500 million, 100 million, and 150 million to make a lot of profit.
$BTC $ETH $BNB #币安合约锦标赛 #BTC走势分析
Unless there is a huge negative macro-economic situation, there will be a huge cleanup. It is difficult for the current big pie to double again. As long as the big pie position is maintained, the main force only needs to go back and forth to get a very large profit

It has bottomed out in the short term and will fluctuate repeatedly.
I have figured out the position holdings. The previous set has indeed changed because the size of Bitcoin has increased and the main participants have also changed. Today I have been struggling with the issue of position holdings.
In 2019, BitMEX cleared long positions once every 1 billion Bitcoin positions, and the market plummeted.
Now Bitcoin is larger in size, with a position holding of 5-6 billion. The leverage effect of clearing 1 billion+ is the same. This also makes it easier for the main players to come and go to harvest. It is not realistic to completely blow up the longs. The current position holdings match the current market value. In the future, Bitcoin will be cleared by 6 billion, 1 billion, 1.5 billion, and 2 billion.
It is already difficult for Bitcoin to double, and the main players can only make profits through the coming and going of waves.
Breaking 55,000 during the day, the position was blown up by 500 million, and huge liquidity has been obtained. Bitcoin has bottomed out in the short term. I have figured out the logic. We can no longer use the past logic to look at the current market size. Buy it back in the second round
$BTC $BTC $ETH #币安合约锦标赛 #BTC走势分析 #美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期

Bottom-picking indicators: one is the holding volume of Bitcoin, one is the negative premium in the next quarter, and the other is the negative fee rate + limit price.

The real bottom is based on this. The contract order is executed. It depends on these four conditions. If they are not met, you need to close the long position after the rebound.

It is still uncertain here. There will be non-agricultural data in the evening. This is not a gamble. There will be ETFs and US stocks opening tonight. These two are uncertain, so let's see. Anyway, the short position will be left first.

Anyway, the conditions for bottom-picking have not appeared and have not been met. So it remains to be determined whether it will fall later. Only some BCH short positions are left.

The main short position here should not be smashed now. The main short position should also consider the above ETF and non-agricultural factors.
Here we still need to pay attention. If the decline continues, there will be no bottom. Quickly obtain liquidity and v. Even if it does not fall, it will fluctuate for a long time, at least one month. #BTC走势分析 $BTC $ETH $BNB #BTC☀

According to the new logic of crypto evolution, ordi and eths are the evolution of bitcoin and ethereum, two L1s. All L2s have no way out and are temporary measures. Solana is the third level after bitcoin and ethereum, and it is L1 itself. This year's bull market is the beginning of the evolution of L1 to the third pole. The beginning of each L1 must be the prosperity of the coin itself. The prosperity of solana meme coins is the prosperity of the previous Ethereum ICO era. #币安合约锦标赛 $BTC #CRV #欧洲杯开赛

$FLOKI

Floki mentioned on May 13 has doubled
BNB has reached a new historical high, Floki is the first meme on BSC
Leading meme

So the logic of pulling the meme leader Floki first is to bring traffic and attention to BSC

Floki originally belonged to the BSC chain and later developed the ETH chain. The new high of BNB has driven the biggest meme of BSC. This wave of meme craze is concentrated on BSC's Floki and its son's token. The token is floli. Usually, such popular memes have continuity, and strong varieties can often continue to rise, and will continue tomorrow

#bnb历史新高 #BTC走势分析 #

How to tell whether the KOL you follow in the cryptocurrency circle is really good? ?
There are two softwares in the cryptocurrency circle, one is called Coin and the other is called Contract Emperor. Both softwares have been in operation for 5 years.
In the past 5 years, so far, there are about 500 people who have made more than 1 million yuan in public trading.
There are 10 to 20 people who have made more than 20 million yuan in public trading.

It’s right that the gap is big. It’s really not easy to make money in the cryptocurrency circle.

For example, there are orders in B An and OK. I have been watching for 2 years, and I haven’t seen anyone who has led fans to get rich collectively.
However, the cryptocurrency circle usually eliminates stupid people first. You can lose money in cryptocurrency trading, but you can’t be cheated!
So, when a KOL says how awesome he is, let him release a real plate of more than one million first.
A person who doesn’t even have the income of the top 500 in Coin/Contract Emperor is 99% a liar!
Loss can be admitted, but being cheated is a shame!
#PEPE创历史新高 #美众议院通过FIT21法案 #ETH $BTC $ETH $