let the fun begin after the trump bull interferance
back to fundamentals
not mentaly dement
2025 coming. xmass will be over

everyone seem to be jumping up and down after these 2 events election + FED ? any one multimilionnaire with this cryptpo move😂
I don't think so. so what's the fuss then ? just a wait & see
next are NFP
then back to regular life ponctuated by economy news WW, géopolitics and global news
you need to read beetween the lines of fed: powell comments: we are proud of our job still inflationnary pressures.. really mr Powell ! tss tss how surprising.

could mean easy on rate cuts or pause

2025 huge debt growing bigger with donald,oops, but no pb that will be solved with cryptos. ha ha, we know, you said that before. a meme thought by your friend MUSK to clear 140%/pib debt, that's a lot of coins, draining liquidity using poor people'money to cut taxes for Musk& the richests & firms. wonderfull !

all that after selling US cryto reserves

smile all, I do too, for other reasons, we wait for the fun.
enjoy for the time being if it lasts

Btc holders feom the early days are not trumpists. same wirh ETF
meme' are not surprising !?

Musk in the crab basket, (not surprising)
according to cointelegraph charges would weigh on Musk relating to the organization of a rigged lottery of 1 million de$ (crypto) which could be linked to the US election favoring Trump the winners not being chosen at random as announced by Musk, and under conditions

as if by chance all that in any case 🤣
and the phenomenon of bizarre correlation between Tesla shares and the Doge token? could we investigate too? our systems indicate something astonishing on the movements of this meme, especially the unexpected increases that we observe as well as the decreases but more logical.
the support of muzzled dogs would give air to the crypto market no?

financial mkts vs ccrypto still do not make sense even if no big move all assets taken individualy are ok in the financial sphere, but do not vs cryptos qyite the opposite like if btc was up vs micro strategy shares down

elections & non form payrolls coming, might clear things for some time

financials in disordered order
not logical uu everything between the different classes of assets which indicates that anything can happen during the day, we will wait for the US to see what they have in their heads and stomachs over there.

in this bear market which coin is the best refuge against a crash if any comes

we are expecting a not very exciting opening on the financials, it could well be during the day.
as it was too calm before the weekend we decided to cover our big shorts a little to stay in line, big regrets. so on the lookout for coin rebounds to let go of the mash, get rid of that. always shorts of the same relative value and short in dry, uncomfortable as soon as a long enters the portfolio, overtrading by prudence and regrettable error
at least it gives the feeling of the longs. 😊
the red should be there until the capitulation of the communities, investorsETF and exchanges, I spoke this weekend to someone other than here. there is already a certain unease.

point on my markets
not clear at all without big movements
yet the news is full of big geopolitical, political news harris unsere in front of trump not bull btc crypto according to bernstein
north korea in the spotlight should bring stress, net no risky assets go up a little bit we note tesla and apple down, non risky go down in proportion so 10 year rates go up a little gold silver down
the USD varies according to currencies oil down
hard to get an idea on the coming days which, I suppose, are blocked 'by the major event of the US elections,
volatility and trend will resume afterwards on all assets with the comments to read on Reuters or bloomberg which will set the tone of the analysts of the world of finance
sorry no big ideas in the short term some small profit taking on relative value positions initiated recently to free up cash.
we decide to keep the bulk of the portfolio risks unchanged, very winning. and have a coverage margin >400%
in English "a bit boring"

2025 comes after, elections and FED + new statistical indices on US economy
the accounts will be done for serious players.end of year 24.
we await your motivated ideas! ?

geopolitical situation more than explosive , north Korea intercontinental ballistic missiles tests some sold to Russia, +soldiers fighting Ukraine !? but who will come back home in plastic bags say US !
Dec FED rate cut in prices, elections + stats will determine future decisions
reverse daily hammer S&P ! ouch...
2025 bullish Don't think so🤣
get use to red that was due to come cf all posts for months.

no change in our very bearish LT stance& positions straight or relative value( still using volatility to sell memes)
it would take smtg major to change our view but we reassess regularly obviously

micro stratery the black swan of btc
if btc continues moves at the pace we endured recently in theclose 5% mark in less that 10 days the nav profit from itc btc holdings will vaporise and accelerate the move in a crash, no more loans a 0 % to add btc holdings, even bankrupcy risk ! yet the stuctured bonds are complex but it would be certainly bad news for bond and share holders who will try to recoup their money.from 2025 until 2031 billions of bonds convertible or not come to maturity. that could spark a sell off.
just so you know (a bit of research in a complex strategy by saylor).the btc ego maniac. no more yhan short research share I was interested in. do your own for sure in details
take care

markets check
considering all financials cash futures all assets+ news we think risk assets are a bit over optimistic in their move intraday especially btc

so considering now: either a short or long /short relative value for a net btc negative short term to see then migth run more

morning financial markets very little moves if anything a tiny bit opposite from yesterday morning looking like profit taking from the few xho took opportunities to get rid or short risky assets same already seen on cryptos from early lows. wich are having a more pronounced move as they are far more volatile.
so, nothing to change the down trend yet it seems

USTC
their stupid choice of repeg rather than the best solutions proposed they will destroy a token that had potential
already written about this I know the culprits

⚠️⚠️🚨the btc news from micheal saylor always trying to make the market rise is to be taken with a pinch of salt...not the first time he's trying to transform himself
his cash management at the start has become an unmanageable mammoth that puts micro strategy at risk in the event of a shock and the entire crypt sphere he's like those banks stuck by positions that are far too huge and that create major crises lehman, CSFB, SocGen subprime etc, I participated directly in each one.

markets today
pretty much as morning opening in direction but mvt amplified stocks down refuge assets up gold silver included with interest rates safer financials [note that tnotes are down (=higher rates) when bunds/ europe up(=lower rates, >traders are siking refuge). all volatility indexes are up stress is gaining financial world to some extend. not abnormal all considered + context of US elections running + usual dirtier campaigns, not a glory for the country !

$ not liked ! agst most/all major currencies ! not good for our cryptos labelled in $ something we hedge too.
oil is up confirming tensions mentionened in early post we can't find good for cryptos, may be some individual cases
for the rest all as we expected,
book performing gently. don't figth the trend surf it. If what we had was the bull run alt season etc 😂 we have/had a reversal (downtrend started months ago surrounded by volatility ). for those following for a lg time you know how we thk it will end

N.B to avoid stops to being triggered abnormaly on illiquid manipulated coins we'll avoid mentionnig them clearly 🫢. cryptos are not financial assets as such. illiquid, unregulated, which leads to excesses + malversations, We thk. frauds are by far too commun even in trading itself. not just scam, tech frauds...
it will still take time before 1 crypto replaces fiats properly, btc failed so far...

added some shorts on btc which was late on meme move
with a left order in perp fut. filed defore diner, discovered just now ! good to keep for at least 5% this migth not take long, don't want to overload book. especially with btc.
I suspect we'll need ammos to hit other knowned over expensise coins a lot more volatile.
I don't have that many returns from how you feel and trade pls share
hope mine are usefull for some at least. and it's free🤣

we like especially when long predicted
but long! won't be until the more exposed give up, we suspect in some sort of panic it could be.
exchanges are already long up to their ears wouldn't be able to do much we suspect , ETF well predicted inflows so, it seems, and anticipated going long upfront. their own comments are that we inflows were FOMO, we had that not so long ago before a nice correction downwards